Tooradin

Population growth drivers in Tooradin are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Tooradin's population is estimated at around 1,775. This reflects an increase of 53 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,722. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 1,775 residents following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of 14 new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 64 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed approximately 81.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by approximately 130 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of around 7.0% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tooradin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Tooradin has seen approximately one new home approved each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated eight homes. So far in Financial Year 26, one approval has been recorded. On average, 3.6 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between Financial Years 21 and 25.

This demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost value of new dwellings in the area is $542,000.

All recent development has consisted of detached dwellings, maintaining Tooradin's traditional low-density character with a focus on family homes. As of current figures, there are an estimated 439 people in the area per dwelling approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tooradin is forecasted to gain 124 residents by 2041. If development rates remain constant, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Tooradin has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Clyde Rail Extension, City of Casey Capital Works Program 2025/26, Cranbourne Line Upgrade, and Cranbourne Park Shopping Centre Expansion, with the following list outlining those deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Tooradin shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Tooradin's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector stands out with a high representation, an unemployment rate of 3.2%, and estimated employment growth of 4.6% over the past year (AreaSearch).

As of June 2025, 1,010 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.5% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is equal to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Leading industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction shows strong specialization with a share 2.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical jobs are under-represented at 2.9% compared to Greater Melbourne's 10.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the past year (Sep-22 to Sep-23), employment increased by 4.6%, labour force grew by 4.3%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points, contrasting with Greater Melbourne's growth rates. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tooradin's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 5.9% in five years and 12.3% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Tooradin's median income among taxpayers is $51,583. The average income in the area was $62,765 during this period. This places Tooradin's incomes just below the national average. Comparing with Greater Melbourne, Tooradin's median income was lower at $54,892 while its average income was higher at $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest the median income in Tooradin would be approximately $57,855 and the average around $70,397 as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 data, household income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($1,954 weekly) while personal income sits at the 45th percentile in Tooradin. The earnings profile indicates that 39.5% of individuals (701 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band, which aligns with regional levels where this cohort represents 32.8%. After housing expenses, 84.9% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Tooradin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tooradin's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses with no semi-detached dwellings, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Melbourne metro which had 0.0% houses and 0.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tooradin stood at 32.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.0% and rented ones at 14.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. The median weekly rent was $350, while Melbourne metro had no recorded figures for rents or mortgage repayments. Nationally, Tooradin's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and its rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Tooradin features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households constitute 80.3% of all households, including 41.9% couples with children, 25.8% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.7%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Tooradin shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 46.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 35.6%. Educational participation is high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 13.4% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 3.5% in tertiary education.

Tooradin Primary School serves the area, enrolling 292 students as of a typical Australian school condition index (ICSEA) of 997. The school focuses on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. There are 16.4 school places per 100 residents, indicating strong educational infrastructure serving local and surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows eight active transport stops operating within Tooradin, consisting of a mix of bus services. These stops are served by four individual routes, collectively offering 101 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 261 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 14 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 12 weekly trips per individual stop.

Tooradin's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Tooradin's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is present at approximately 52% of the total population (~917 people), which lags behind the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.8% and 8.4% of residents respectively. 70.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 19.8% of residents aged 65 and over (351 people), which is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Tooradin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tooradin, surveyed in June 2016, had low cultural diversity with 87.7% citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated, comprising 45.5%. Judaism was absent (0.0%), contrasting Greater Melbourne's None%.

Ancestry showed Australian dominance at 36.6%, followed by English at 31.2%, and Irish at 6.6%. Notably, Dutch were overrepresented at 2.9% compared to None% regionally, as were Hungarian at 0.6% (None%) and New Zealand at 0.9% (None%).

Tooradin's median age exceeds the national pattern

Tooradin has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Tooradin at 12.4%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 8.4%. Between October 2021 and October 2022, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 3.7% to 5.5% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort declined from 13.2% to 12.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Tooradin's age profile. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 61 people (an increase of 63%) from 97 to 159. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 88% of total population growth, reflecting Tooradin's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 and 15 to 24 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.