Tooradin

Population growth drivers in Tooradin are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Tooradin is estimated at around 1,751 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 29 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,722 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 1,748 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 16 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 63 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by natural growth, contributing approximately 81.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected by 2041, with the suburb expected to expand by 127 persons, reflecting an overall gain of 8.3% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tooradin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Tooradin shows approximately three dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 17 homes were approved, with one so far in FY26.

Each dwelling built attracted an average of 1.7 people per year over these five years. This indicates a balanced supply and demand market supporting stable conditions.

The average construction cost value for new properties is $542,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Recent building activity consists solely of standalone homes, maintaining Tooradin's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 251 people per dwelling approval, Tooradin exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. Population forecasts from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate indicate Tooradin will gain approximately 146 residents by 2041. Construction pace is reasonable with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as population increases.

Tooradin has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 0 projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Clyde Rail Extension, City of Casey Capital Works Program for the year 2025/26, Cranbourne Line Upgrade, and Cranbourne Park Shopping Centre Expansion. The following list provides details on those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Tooradin shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Tooradin has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 3.0% as of September 2025. This rate is lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment growth in the past year was estimated at 5.1%. As of September 2025, 1,005 residents are employed, with a workforce participation rate of 75.3%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. A moderate 16.8% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

Construction employment is particularly high at 2.3 times the regional level. Professional & technical services have a limited presence with only 2.9% employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. While local jobs exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 5.1%, labour force by 4.6%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% with a slight increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tooradin's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Tooradin had a median income among taxpayers of $51,584 and an average income of $62,767 in financial year 2023, according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures are lower than Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates project Tooradin's median income to be approximately $55,840 and average income to be around $67,945 as of September 2025. In Census 2021, household income in Tooradin ranked at the 62nd percentile ($1,954 weekly), while personal income was at the 45th percentile. The largest segment of earners comprised 39.5% with a weekly income of $1,500 - 2,999 (691 residents), similar to the metropolitan region where this cohort also represented 32.8%. After housing expenses, 84.9% of income remained for other expenses in Tooradin. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Tooradin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As of the latest Census in Tooradin, all dwellings were houses with none being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is unlike Melbourne metro which had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tooradin stood at 32.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 53.0% and rented ones at 14.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $350 compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Tooradin's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents lower than the national figure of $375.

Tooradin features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.3% of all households, including 41.9% couples with children, 25.8% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.7%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households making up 2.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Tooradin shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (35.6%). Educational participation is high at 32.8%, comprising 13.4% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.4% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tooradin has eight active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two different routes that collectively offer 65 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as good, with residents typically located 261 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents in this primarily residential area commute outward using private vehicles, which remain the dominant mode of transport at 96%. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 16.8% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages nine trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Tooradin is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Tooradin shows above-average health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions among its general population is low but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 52% of Tooradin's total population (~904 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8% and 8.4% of residents respectively, while 70.4% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Working-age residents in Tooradin exhibit low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 20.2% of residents aged 65 and over (353 people), higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%, but lower than the national average for the broader population.

Tooradin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tooradin was found to have below average cultural diversity, with 87.7% of its population being citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Tooradin, comprising 45.5% of people, but Judaism is notably underrepresented at 0.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 1.0%. In terms of ancestry, Australian (36.6%) and English (31.2%) are the most represented groups in Tooradin, significantly higher than regional averages of 18.4% and 20.1% respectively.

Irish ancestry also stands out at 6.6%. Additionally, Dutch ancestry is overrepresented at 2.9%, compared to 1.2% regionally, as are Hungarian (0.6%) and New Zealand (0.9%) ancestries.

Tooradin's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tooradin has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Tooradin has a notably higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (12.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.3%). Between 2021 and present, the percentage of residents aged 75-84 has increased from 3.7% to 5.7%, while those aged 45-54 have decreased from 13.2% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Tooradin's age profile. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 57 people (from 99 to 157), and the combined 65+ age groups will account for 80% of total population growth. Conversely, the 5-14 and 35-44 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.