Tooradin

Population growth drivers in Tooradin are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The estimated population of the suburb of Tooradin is around 1,751 as of February 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 29 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,722. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 1,748 in June 2024 and 16 additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 63 persons per square kilometer. Natural growth contributed approximately 81% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, the suburb of Tooradin is expected to experience a population increase just below the national median by 2041, with an expected expansion of 104 persons, reflecting a total gain of approximately 5.8% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tooradin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates that Tooradin has experienced around 3 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Approximately 16 homes were approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 1 approval so far in FY-26.

On average, about 1.4 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years. This suggests a balanced market between supply and demand, supporting stable conditions.

The construction cost value of new properties averages $542,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Recent building activity consists entirely of standalone homes, preserving Tooradin's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 270 people per dwelling approval, Tooradin is characterized as a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tooradin is forecasted to gain 101 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Tooradin has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly influence a region's performance like alterations to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Clyde Rail Extension, City of Casey Capital Works Program 2025/26, Cranbourne Line Upgrade, and Cranbourne Park Shopping Centre Expansion, with the following list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Tooradin shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Tooradin has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, notably in construction. Its unemployment rate was 3.1% as of December 2025, lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 4.8%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.6%.

As of December 2025, 1,017 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 3.5%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.8%. Workforce participation was 75.6% in Tooradin, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Home-based work accounted for 16.8% of jobs based on Census responses, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing.

Construction employment was particularly high at 2.3 times the regional level. Professional & technical services had limited presence with only 2.9% employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Local employment opportunities exist but many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 4.6%, labour force by 4.6%, and unemployment remained largely unchanged at 3.5%. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, and a slight rise in unemployment to 5.1%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest total employment could grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Tooradin's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 5.9% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Tooradin's median income among taxpayers was $51,584 in financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $62,767 during the same period. These figures compare with Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164 respectively. Based on a 8.25% growth in wages since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $55,840 (median) and $67,945 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($1,954 weekly), while personal income sits at the 45th percentile. The largest segment of residents earns between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (39.5%, or 691 residents), which aligns with the metropolitan region's figure of 32.8%. After housing expenses, 84.9% of income remains for other expenses. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Tooradin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tooradin's residential structures, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses with no other dwelling types present. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's mix of 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings such as apartments or semi-detached homes. Home ownership in Tooradin stood at 32.7%, higher than Melbourne metro, with mortgaged properties making up 53.0% and rented ones 14.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with the Melbourne metro average. However, median weekly rent in Tooradin was recorded at $350, lower than Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Tooradin's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $350 against the national figure of $375.

Tooradin features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.3% of all households, including 41.9% couples with children, 25.8% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.7%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Tooradin shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 46.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (35.6%). Educational participation is high at 32.8%, with 13.4% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.4% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tooradin has eight active public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by two routes that together offer 65 weekly passenger trips. Residents have good access to transport, with an average distance of 261 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards, with cars being the primary mode at 96%. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 16.8% of residents work from home, which might be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes is nine trips per day on average, leading to about eight weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Tooradin is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Tooradin exhibits above-average health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions among its general population is low but exceeds the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 52% (~904 people) of Tooradin's total population has private health cover, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (8.8%) and asthma (8.4%), with 70.4% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show low chronic condition prevalence. Tooradin has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over, at 20.3% (355 people), than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%, but ranks lower nationally than the broader population.

Tooradin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tooradin had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 87.7% of its residents being citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Tooradin, comprising 45.5% of the population. However, Judaism was not represented in Tooradin's population, which is a significant underrepresentation compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%.

The top three ancestry groups in Tooradin were Australian (36.6%), English (31.2%), and Irish (6.6%). These percentages were substantially higher than the regional averages of 18.4%, 20.1%, and 5.7% respectively. Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 2.9% in Tooradin compared to 1.2% regionally, as were Hungarian (0.6% vs 0.3%) and New Zealand (0.9% vs 0.5%) ancestries.

Tooradin's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tooradin has a median age of 40, which is higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age cohort makes up 12.5% of Tooradin's population, notably higher than the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 8.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 5.8% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age cohort has decreased from 13.2% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Tooradin's age profile. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to expand by 48 people (48%) from 101 to 150. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 88% of total population growth, reflecting Tooradin's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 15 to 24 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.