Tooradin

Population growth drivers in Tooradin are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Tooradin's population is estimated at around 1,751 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 29 people (1.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,722 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,748 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 14 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 63 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 81.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the Tooradin statistical area (Lv2) expected to grow by 125 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 8.2% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Tooradin according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Tooradin had approximately 3 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 17 homes. As of FY26, there has been 1 approval recorded.

The average population increase per dwelling built in the area between FY21 and FY25 was 1.7 people per year. This indicates a balance between supply and demand, suggesting stable market dynamics for new dwellings with an average construction cost value of $542,000.

All approved homes were standalone houses, maintaining Tooradin's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The population density in the area is around 251 people per approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tooradin is projected to gain 143 residents by 2041. Development pace appears reasonable given projected growth, but increasing competition among buyers may result from population expansion.

Tooradin has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

No changes can affect an area's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, significant projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 0 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Clyde Rail Extension, City of Casey Capital Works Program for the year 2025/26, Cranbourne Line Upgrade, and Cranbourne Park Shopping Centre Expansion. The following list outlines those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Tooradin demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Tooradin has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Notably, the construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 3.1% and estimated employment growth of 5.0% over the past year (AreaSearch).

As of September 2025, there are 1,003 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is at par with Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries include construction (2.3 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 2.9% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Employment levels increased by 5.0% and labour force grew by 4.7% in Tooradin during the year to September 2025, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne had employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tooradin's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Tooradin's median income at $51,584 and average income at $62,767. These figures are lower than national averages of $57,688 (median) and $75,164 (average). Greater Melbourne has higher incomes. As of September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $55,840 and average income is $67,945, accounting for an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Tooradin's household income ranks at the 62nd percentile ($1,954 weekly) and personal income at the 45th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 39.5% of residents (691 individuals), similar to the broader area's 32.8%. After housing expenses, 84.9% of income remains for other costs. Tooradin's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Tooradin is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Tooradin's dwellings were all houses at the latest Census. Home ownership stood at 32.7%. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 53.0%, with rentals at 14.2%. Median monthly mortgage repayments were $2,000 and median weekly rents were $350. Nationally, Tooradin's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while its rents were below the national figure of $375.

Tooradin features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households constitute 80.3% of all households, including 41.9% couples with children, 25.8% couples without children, and 11.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.7%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 2.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Tooradin shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 46.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (35.6%). Educational participation is high at 32.8%, with 13.4% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.4% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 3.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Tooradin has eight active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two different routes that together offer 65 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good, with residents on average located 261 meters from their nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages nine trips per day, equating to approximately eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Tooradin's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Tooradin's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average among both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% of the total population (~904 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively. 70.4% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 19.7% of residents aged 65 and over (344 people), which is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Tooradin is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Tooradin, as per data from the 2016 Census, had a population with 87.7% being Australian citizens, 88.5% born in Australia, and 96.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 45.5%. Notably, Judaism was not present among Tooradin's population, unlike Greater Melbourne where it constituted None%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (36.6%), English (31.2%), and Irish (6.6%). Other ethnic groups with notable differences included Dutch at 2.9% in Tooradin compared to None% regionally, Hungarian at 0.6% versus None%, and New Zealand at 0.9% against None%.

Tooradin's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Tooradin has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age cohort is notably over-represented in Tooradin at 12.2%, compared to the Greater Melbourne average, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 8.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 3.7% to 5.6% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 age cohort has declined from 9.3% to 8.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Tooradin's age profile will significantly evolve. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 60 people (62%) from 98 to 159. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 87% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 15-24 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.