Horningsea Park

Horningsea Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Horningsea Park's population, as estimated based on ABS updates and AreaSearch validation, is approximately 3,823 as of Nov 2025. This figure reflects a 150-person increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,673. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,775 in Jun 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,901 persons per square kilometer, placing Horningsea Park within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade ending Jun 2024, Horningsea Park demonstrated resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 2.7%, outperforming its SA4 region. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth (approximately 58%), although all drivers including overseas and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch's projections for Horningsea Park are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to Horningsea Park for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, Horningsea Park is expected to increase by approximately 411 persons to reach 4,234 by 2041, reflecting a 12.2% total increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Horningsea Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Horningsea Park has had virtually no dwelling approvals in recent years. Between FY21 and FY25, an estimated 3 homes were approved, with none so far in FY26.

This results in a significant demand for new residents, averaging 94.7 per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years. Despite this high demand, new dwellings are developed at an average value of $381,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options. Compared to Greater Sydney and nationally, Horningsea Park has significantly less development activity, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints. However, development activity has picked up in recent periods.

Horningsea Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified four projects that could impact the area: Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct, Bathla Group Croatia Avenue (164), Bathla Group Croatia Avenue (225), and Dalma Holdings Shoptop Development. These are the key projects likely to have a significant influence on the area's performance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Horningsea Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Horningsea Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.6%.

As of June 2025, 2,321 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 3.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 63.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Transport, postal & warehousing has an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level, while professional & technical employs just 5.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 5.6%, labour force by 5.2%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and an increase in unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that Horningsea Park's employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Horningsea Park's median income among taxpayers was $56,884 in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is higher than the national average of $56,994 for Greater Sydney. The average income in Horningsea Park was $68,830 compared to $80,856 nationally. By September 2025, estimates suggest median and average incomes would be approximately $64,057 and $77,509 respectively, accounting for a 12.61% growth in wages since financial year 2022. Census data shows Horningsea Park's household income ranks at the 89th percentile ($2,457 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 54th percentile. Incomes primarily fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, with 37.7% of locals (1,441 people) earning within this range, similar to the metropolitan region's 30.9%. A significant portion, 36.0%, exceeds $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 87th percentile. Horningsea Park's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Horningsea Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Horningsea Park, as per the latest Census, 98.7% of dwellings were houses, with 1.3% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Horningsea Park stood at 21.0%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.2% and rented ones at 19.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,253, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,475. The median weekly rent in Horningsea Park was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Horningsea Park's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,253 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $530 compared to the national figure of $375.

Horningsea Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 90.8% of all households, including 60.0% couples with children, 16.3% couples without children, and 13.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 9.2%, with lone person households at 8.1% and group households comprising 0.6%. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Educational outcomes in Horningsea Park fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area has lower university qualification rates at 22.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common (17.3%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.7% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 21.0%. Educational participation is high, with 34.4% currently enrolled in formal education: secondary (11.8%), primary (10.6%), and tertiary (6.1%).

Horningsea Park's main educational institution is John Edmondson High School, serving 1,040 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 984) with balanced opportunities. Secondary education dominates with 1 school; primary students typically attend nearby schools. School capacity exceeds residential needs (27.2 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 19.0), indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Horningsea Park shows that there are currently 17 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 40 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 1,003 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 182 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency across all routes amounts to 143 trips per day, which equates to approximately 59 weekly trips per individual stop.

Horningsea Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Horningsea Park's health outcomes data shows excellent results, with both young and elderly residents having low prevalence rates for common health conditions.

Approximately 54% (~2,070 people) of Horningsea Park's total population has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (6.6%) and arthritis (4.6%), while 79.4% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's rate of 77.9%. Horningsea Park has a senior population (aged 65 and over) of 10.1%, comprising 386 people. Despite above-average health outcomes among seniors, they require more attention than the broader population.

Horningsea Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Horningsea Park has high cultural diversity, with 39.4% of its population born overseas and 50.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Horningsea Park, comprising 57.7% of the population. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 15.9% versus 12.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (29.4%), Australian (13.5%), and English (9.6%). Notably, Serbian (2.4%) Spanish (1.2%), and Croatian (2.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.9%, 1.0%, and 1.4% respectively.

Horningsea Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Horningsea Park's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Horningsea Park has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 (18.6%) compared to Greater Sydney but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.9%). This 15-24 age group is well above the national average of 12.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 65-74 age group has grown from 5.4% to 6.5% of the population, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 15.9% to 15.1%. By 2041, Horningsea Park's age profile is projected to evolve significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 163%, adding 174 residents to reach a total of 282. Residents aged 65 and older are anticipated to represent 63% of the population growth, while declines are projected for the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups.