Hoxton Park

An assessment of population growth drivers in Hoxton Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Hoxton Park is around 4,933, showing an increase of 361 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 7.9% rise from the previous figure of 4,572 residents. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, which indicated a resident population of 4,882 for Hoxton Park. This population density equates to approximately 3,203 persons per square kilometer, placing the suburb in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The growth rate in Hoxton Park exceeds both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages, indicating its status as a regional growth leader. Natural growth contributed significantly to this increase, accounting for nearly 58% of overall population gains.

For projection purposes, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas covered by this data, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered. Applying these growth rates to Hoxton Park anticipates a population increase just below the Australian median statistical area average by 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to expand by 601 persons over this period, reflecting a total increase of approximately 10.5%.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Hoxton Park when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Hoxton Park had around 16 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 84 homes were approved, with a further 5 in FY-26. This results in an average of 4.5 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

However, demand outpaces supply, which typically influences prices upwards and intensifies competition among buyers. The average construction cost value for new properties is $381,000, lower than regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options.

In FY-26, $1.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, highlighting the area's residential nature. New developments comprise 89.0% detached dwellings and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Hoxton Park's suburban character focused on family homes. With around 384 people per approval, it suggests a mature market. Future projections estimate Hoxton Park to add 516 residents by 2041, with current development rates expected to comfortably meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Hoxton Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified six projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Prestons Industrial Estate, Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct, Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit Corridor, and Favco Industrial Park. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Hoxton Park demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Hoxton Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.5% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.6%.

As of June 2025, 2,567 residents were in work, and the unemployment rate was 0.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lagged significantly at 53.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Hoxton Park had a particular employment specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services were under-represented, with only 4.4% of Hoxton Park's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.6%, and labour force increased by 5.1%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.6%, labour force expand by 2.9%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in Sep-22, projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hoxton Park's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Hoxton Park had a median taxpayer income of $45,714 and an average income of $55,314. Nationally, the averages were $56,994 and $80,856 respectively in Greater Sydney. By September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest median income will be approximately $51,479 and average income $62,289. Census 2021 data ranks household income at the 63rd percentile ($1,960 weekly) and personal income at the 21st percentile. The earnings profile indicates that 37.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, aligning with regional levels where this cohort represents 30.9%. Housing costs consume 19.1% of income, leaving disposable income at the 58th percentile.

Hoxton Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hoxton Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had 0.0% houses and 0.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoxton Park stood at 24.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.9% and rented ones at 26.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,139, aligning with Sydney metro's average. The median weekly rent was $490, compared to Sydney metro's $0 and $0. Nationally, Hoxton Park's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Hoxton Park features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.5 people

Family households constitute 88.6% of all households, including 55.5% couples with children, 16.8% couples without children, and 15.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 11.4%, with lone person households at 9.9% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.5 people.

Hoxton Park shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 18.7%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 14.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 29.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.4%) and certificates (19.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 34.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.3% in primary, 10.8% in secondary, and 5.8% in tertiary education. Hoxton Park has three schools with a combined enrollment of 986 students, demonstrating typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1015) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes two primary schools and one K-12 school. With 20.0 school places per 100 residents, the area shows strong educational infrastructure serving both local and surrounding communities. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoxton Park has 20 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 29 individual routes in operation. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 1,014.

Residents' accessibility to public transport is rated excellent, with an average distance of 148 meters to the nearest stop. On average, there are 144 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hoxton Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Hoxton Park, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is found to be very low at approximately 49% of the total population (~2,410 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Diabetes and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 6.7% and 6.3% of residents respectively. Notably, 76.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, which is significantly higher than the 0% reported across Greater Sydney. The area has 11.4% of residents aged 65 and over (562 people), with health outcomes among seniors being particularly strong and broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Hoxton Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoxton Park has one of the highest levels of cultural diversity in Australia, with 48.4% of its population born overseas and 61.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hoxton Park, accounting for 55.9% of the population. Buddhism is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 8.4% of Hoxton Park's population.

The top three ancestry groups are 'Other' (33.6%), Australian (10.5%), and English (8.6%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences in representation: Serbian at 2.7%, Spanish at 1.2%, and Samoan at 2.3%.

Hoxton Park's population is younger than the national pattern

Hoxton Park has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and somewhat younger than Australia's national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.4% of the population in Hoxton Park, higher than the Greater Sydney figure. However, the 25-34 cohort makes up only 11.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 14.9% to 16.0%, while the 65 to 74 cohort rose from 6.9% to 8.0%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group decreased from 16.4% to 15.4%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Hoxton Park. The 65 to 74 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 223 people (57%), from 394 to 618. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 70% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.