Ashcroft

Ashcroft has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Ashcroft is around 3,662, reflecting an increase of 28 people since the 2021 Census. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, indicating a resident population of 3,640. The suburb's population density is 3,184 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projects future growth using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year.

Growth rates are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Ashcroft is projected to increase by 656 persons, reflecting an 18.5% total growth over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Ashcroft is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Ashcroft averaged around 3 new dwelling approvals each year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 16 homes. So far in FY26, 1 approval has been recorded. The population decline over recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New dwellings are developed at an average value of $222,000, below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. Relative to Greater Sydney and nationally, Ashcroft shows reduced construction levels, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. The area's new development consists of 75% detached houses and 25% attached dwellings, sustaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. As of now, there are approximately 1224 people per dwelling approval in Ashcroft, indicating an established market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the location is projected to add 676 residents by 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Ashcroft has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely to affect this region. Key initiatives include Hurlstone Agricultural High School Redevelopment, Spring Square by Poly Bankstown, Planning Proposal for 93-145 Hoxton Park Road, 51 Maryvale Avenue & 260 Memorial Avenue, and Frangipane Avenue Apartments.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Ashcroft are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Ashcroft's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominent. The unemployment rate was 14.2% in June 2025, compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.2%. As of June 2025, 1,153 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 10.0%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation in Ashcroft lagged significantly at 35.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among Ashcroft residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade showed strong specialization, employing 1.5 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employed only 2.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels in Ashcroft increased by 7.2%, while the labour force grew by 5.0%, causing a decrease in unemployment rate by 1.7 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashcroft's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Ashcroft had a median income among taxpayers of $39,625. The average income stood at $45,968. This is below the national average. In comparison, Greater Sydney had levels of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for median income in Ashcroft are approximately $44,622 as of September 2025. Average income is estimated to be around $51,765 during the same period. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Ashcroft all fall between the 1st and 6th percentiles nationally. Distribution data shows that 28.6% of the community (1,047 individuals) earns within the $800 - 1,499 band, differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Ashcroft, with only 75.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Ashcroft is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ashcroft's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashcroft was at 21.1%, similar to Sydney metro. Mortgaged dwellings were 24.7%, while rented dwellings accounted for 54.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ashcroft was $1,950, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,475. The median weekly rent figure in Ashcroft was $295, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Ashcroft's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $295 against the national figure of $375.

Ashcroft has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 73.6% of all households, including 36.0% couples with children, 13.1% couples without children, and 22.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.4%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.1 people, smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Ashcroft faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.4%) and certificates (23.4%). Educational participation is high at 38.5%, comprising 15.1% in primary, 11.9% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

Ashcroft Public School and Ashcroft High School serve the area collectively, with a total of 988 students. The area's ICSEA score is 890, indicating varied educational conditions. Educational provision consists of one primary and one secondary institution, with school capacity exceeding typical residential needs (27.0 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 19.0), suggesting the area functions as an educational hub for the broader region.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ashcroft has 20 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 different routes that together facilitate 899 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located 151 meters from their nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 128 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashcroft's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Ashcroft residents show relatively positive health outcomes with low prevalence of common conditions among the general population, although this is higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 45% (1,655 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 52.5%. Nationally, it stands at 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.8%) and asthma (7.2%). A total of 71.9% report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Sydney's 77.9%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.6% (461 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to presenting challenges.

Ashcroft is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashcroft has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.1% of its population born overseas and 60.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Ashcroft, making up 40.6% of its people, but Islam is notably overrepresented at 27.2%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 12.9%. The top three ancestry groups are Other (23.4%), Australian (17.2%), and English (13.6%).

Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Samoan is overrepresented at 3.9% compared to the regional average of 1.5%, Lebanese at 10.0% versus 4.0%, and Vietnamese at 9.3% against 4.4%.

Ashcroft hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Ashcroft's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (17.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.9%). According to post-2021 Census data, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 14.6% to 16.6%, while the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 12.8% to 11.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that Ashcroft's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 15-24 cohort (23%), adding 138 residents to reach a total of 746. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.