Ashcroft

Ashcroft has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of Ashcroft is estimated at around 3,687 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 53 people (1.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,634 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,640 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,206 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected, with the suburb expected to increase by 654 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 16.5% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ashcroft according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis indicates Ashcroft averaged approximately 9 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 46 homes. As of FY26, 8 approvals have been recorded. The average population increase per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25 was 0.1 people, suggesting new construction is meeting or exceeding demand. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings was $222,000, below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options.

In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $122,000, reflecting minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Sydney, where Ashcroft shows 87.0% reduced construction per person. The area's new building activity is dominated by standalone homes (67.0%) and attached dwellings (33.0%), with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments offering varied price points. Ashcroft has a low density character, with around 230 people per dwelling approval. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates the area will grow by 607 residents. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Looking ahead, Ashcroft is expected to grow by 607 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Ashcroft has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Hurlstone Agricultural High School Redevelopment, Planning Proposal for 93-145 Hoxton Park Road, 51 Maryvale Avenue & 260 Memorial Avenue, Spring Square by Poly Bankstown (started on 2nd February 2021), and Frangipane Avenue Apartments.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Ashcroft are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Ashcroft's workforce comprises white and blue-collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently featured. The unemployment rate was 14.8% in December 2025, while employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.7%. As of that date, 1,145 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 10.6%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Ashcroft was lower at 48.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Home-based work accounted for 14.6% of jobs, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Dominant employment sectors included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade had notably high concentration, with levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services were under-represented, with only 2.7% of Ashcroft's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities were indicated by the count of working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 7.7%, while labour force grew by 5.2%, reducing unemployment by 2.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2% and unemployment increase marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashcroft's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for localized population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Ashcroft's income level is lower than average nationally according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers is $39,625 and the average income stands at $45,968, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $43,136 (median) and $50,041 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Ashcroft all fall between the 1st and 6th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows 28.6% of the population (1,054 individuals) fall within the $800 - 1,499 income range, contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.1% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Ashcroft is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ashcroft's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashcroft was at 21.1%, with the rest being mortgaged (24.7%) or rented (54.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ashcroft was $1,950, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Ashcroft was recorded at $295, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Ashcroft's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Ashcroft has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 73.6% of all households, including 36.0% couples with children, 13.1% couples without children, and 22.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 26.4%, with lone person households at 24.0% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Ashcroft faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.4%) and certificates (23.4%). Educational participation is high at 38.5%, with 15.1% in primary education, 11.9% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 38.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.1% in primary education, 11.9% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Ashcroft indicates 20 active transport stops operating within the area, consisting solely of bus services. These stops are serviced by 15 individual routes, collectively facilitating 897 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 151 meters from the nearest transport stop. In this primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation at 87%, while 7% use the train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, some 14.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 128 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ashcroft is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Ashcroft, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably, common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 45% of the total population (around 1,666 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.8 and 7.2% of residents respectively. Conversely, 71.9% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among working-age individuals appear typical. The area has 13.2% of residents aged 65 and over (486 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings generally aligning with those of the broader population.

Ashcroft is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashcroft's cultural diversity is notable, with 43.1% of its population born overseas and 60.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ashcroft, accounting for 40.6% of people. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented, comprising 27.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' tops the list at 23.4%, higher than the regional average of 16.0%. Australian and English ancestry follow, with 17.2% and 13.6% respectively, the latter being notably lower than the regional average of 19.0%. Some ethnic groups show significant representation: Samoan at 3.9%, Lebanese at 10.0%, and Vietnamese at 9.3%, all higher than their respective regional averages.

Ashcroft hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Ashcroft's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (16.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.6%). According to data from the 2021 Census, the age group of 15-24 has increased from 14.6% to 16.8%, while the 65-74 cohort has risen from 6.5% to 7.6%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 12.8% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Ashcroft's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 78%, adding 121 residents to reach a total of 276. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts.