Warwick Farm

Warwick Farm has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Warwick Farm's population is approximately 6,495 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 558 people, a 9.4% rise from the 2021 Census total of 5,937 inhabitants. The growth can be attributed to an estimated resident population of 6,482 in June 2024 and the addition of 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. Warwick Farm's population density stands at 1,396 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's population growth rate of 9.4% since the 2021 census outpaces both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan areas, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 68.3% to Warwick Farm's overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Warwick Farm is expected to experience population growth just below the national median statistical area average. By 2041, the latest annual ERP population numbers project an increase of 572 persons, reflecting an overall gain of 8.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warwick Farm according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Warwick Farm has seen approximately three new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 15 homes. As of FY26, five approvals have been recorded. On average, 11.3 new residents per year arrived per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. This supply lagging demand typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New homes are being built at an average value of $150,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, commercial development approvals totalled $53.9 million, indicating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warwick Farm has significantly less development activity, with 94.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached houses, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

The location has approximately 4020 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Warwick Farm is expected to grow by 559 residents through to 2041, potentially leading to buyer competition and price increases if current development rates do not match population growth.

Warwick Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects that may impact this region. Notable projects include Liverpool Health and Academic Precinct, Liverpool Civic Place, Liverpool Innovation Precinct, and Light Horse Park Redevelopment. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Warwick Farm recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Warwick Farm has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation, a 6.9% unemployment rate, and estimated employment growth of 6.0% in the past year. As of September 2025, 3121 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.8% higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation is lower at 46.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, employing 1.4 times the regional level. Professional & technical services employ only 5.1% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The ratio of 0.7 workers per resident indicates higher-than-average employment opportunities locally.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 6.0% while the labour force grew by 4.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, with a slight increase in unemployment of 0.2%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, lower than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections for Warwick Farm indicate local employment should increase by 6.3% and 13.5% respectively in these periods.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Warwick Farm SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $48,609. The average income stood at $57,150. This was below the national average and compared to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $54,739 (median) and $64,357 (average) as of September 2025. Census data revealed household, family and personal incomes in Warwick Farm all fell between the 8th and 11th percentiles nationally. Distribution data showed the predominant cohort spanned 30.2% of locals (1,961 people) in the $800 - 1,499 income category, unlike trends in the broader area where 30.9% fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 74.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 4th percentile.

Warwick Farm features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warwick Farm's dwelling structure in the latest Census showed 20.2% houses and 79.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 63.3% houses and 36.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warwick Farm was 11.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 16.8% and rented at 71.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent was $320, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Warwick Farm's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warwick Farm features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 57.9% of all households, including 25.2% couples with children, 16.2% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 42.1%, with lone person households at 37.2% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Educational outcomes in Warwick Farm fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Warwick Farm's residents aged 15 and above have 28.4% university degree holders, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This difference indicates potential for further education development. Bachelor degrees are the most common (19.0%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.9% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (18.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.4% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.0% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warwick Farm has 30 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 13 different routes that collectively facilitate 4,613 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 128 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 659 daily trips across all routes, translating to about 153 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warwick Farm's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Warwick Farm residents showed relatively positive health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions among the general population, albeit higher than national averages for older cohorts at risk. Private health cover was found to be very low, at approximately 48% of the total population (~3,137 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 50.4% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions were mental health issues (7.2%) and arthritis (6.5%), with 73.2% of residents reporting no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 76.4%.

Residents aged 65 and over comprised 14.4% of the population (936 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 12.8%, presenting health challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

Warwick Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Warwick Farm has a population where 67.7% speak a language other than English at home, with 61.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion, making up 45.0%. However, Islam's representation is notable at 17.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 17.4%.

For ancestry, 'Other' is highest at 34.2%, above the regional average of 27.9%. English and Australian ancestry follow at 10.1% and 9.9% respectively. Serbian (4.1%), Vietnamese (6.4%), and Indian (7.6%) groups are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.4%, 3.6%, and 6.2%.

Warwick Farm's population is younger than the national pattern

Warwick Farm's median age is nearly 36 years, closely matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years. This is slightly below the Australian median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warwick Farm has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 at 17.9%, but fewer residents aged 5-14 at 10.8%. Between the 2021 Census and present day, the population aged 65-74 has grown from 6.9% to 8.3%. Conversely, the population aged 35-44 has declined from 17.1% to 15.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Warwick Farm's age profile will significantly change. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 23%, adding 176 residents to reach 931. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.