Warwick Farm
Statistical Area - sa2

Warwick Farm has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Warwick Farm's population was approximately 6,482 as of August 2025, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents a growth of 545 people, an increase of 9.2% since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 5,937. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,482 in June 2024 and an additional 85 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,394 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warwick Farm's growth rate exceeded both the state (6.4%) and metropolitan area averages, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 68.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Warwick Farm is expected to experience a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas by 2041. The latest population numbers project an increase of 572 persons by 2041, representing an 8.8% total gain over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warwick Farm according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Warwick Farm has seen approximately three new homes approved annually. Development approval data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows 15 approvals across the past five financial years, from FY2020-21 to FY2025-26 with two approvals so far in FY2026-27. An average of 11.3 new residents per year has been arriving per dwelling constructed over these past five years. This demand significantly outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $350,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. Additionally, $53.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Relative to Greater Sydney, Warwick Farm shows substantially reduced construction at 94.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. Nationally, new construction in Warwick Farm is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

All new construction has been comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Detached housing makes up 20.0% at Census but demonstrates ongoing robust demand for family homes in Warwick Farm, which has approximately 4020 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Looking ahead, Warwick Farm is expected to grow by 572 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Warwick Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 27 projects that could affect this region. Notable initiatives include Liverpool Health and Academic Precinct, Liverpool Health and Academic Precinct (LHAP), Liverpool Civic Place, and Liverpool Innovation Precinct. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment performance in Warwick Farm has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Warwick Farm has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 7.2% as of June 2025, and estimated employment growth of 5.6% over the past year. It has 3,046 residents in work, with an unemployment rate 3.0% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is lower at 46.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with healthcare being particularly notable at 1.4 times the regional average. Professional & technical services are under-represented at 5.1% of Warwick Farm's workforce, compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating a level of local employment opportunities above the norm.

In the 12 months prior, employment increased by 5.6%, while labour force grew by 4.8%, reducing unemployment by 0.7 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Warwick Farm's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Warwick Farm's median taxpayer income in financial year 2022 was $48,609, with an average of $57,150 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is below Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By March 2025, estimates suggest the median would be approximately $53,762 and the average $63,208, accounting for a 10.6% increase since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census figures place Warwick Farm's household, family, and personal incomes between the 8th and 11th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 30.2% of individuals earn between $800 - $1,499, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 band dominates at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Warwick Farm, with only 74.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 5th percentile.

Warwick Farm features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warwick Farm's dwelling structure in its latest Census evaluation showed 20.2% houses and 79.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 63.3% houses and 36.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warwick Farm was at 11.8%, with the rest either mortgaged at 16.8% or rented at 71.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent was $320, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Warwick Farm's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warwick Farm features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 57.9% of all households, including 25.2% couples with children, 16.2% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 42.1%, with lone person households at 37.2% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Educational outcomes in Warwick Farm fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Educational qualifications in Warwick Farm trail regional benchmarks; 28.4% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (18.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.0% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education. Warwick Farm Public School and Lawrence Hargrave School serve a total of 272 students. Educational provision follows conventional lines, with one primary and one secondary institution. Local school capacity is limited (4.2 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 16.7), leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warwick Farm has 30 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus services. These stops are operated by 13 different routes, collectively facilitating 4,613 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 128 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 659 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 153 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warwick Farm's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Warwick Farm's health data shows positive results with low prevalence of common conditions among its general population, albeit higher than national averages for older and at-risk groups. Only about 48% (~3,130 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 50.4% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (7.2%) and arthritis (6.5%), with 73.2% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 76.4%.

Warwick Farm has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.4% (934 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 12.8%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Warwick Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Warwick Farm has a population where 67.7% speak a language other than English at home, with 61.7% born overseas. Christianity is the primary religion in Warwick Farm at 45.0%. Islam's representation in Warwick Farm is similar to Greater Sydney, at 17.4%.

The top ancestry groups are Other (34.2%), English (10.1%), and Australian (9.9%). Notably, Serbian (4.1% vs regional 2.4%), Vietnamese (6.4% vs 3.6%), and Lebanese (2.8% vs 5.2%) populations differ from the regional averages.

Warwick Farm's population is younger than the national pattern

Warwick Farm has a median age of 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years. This is modestly below the Australian median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warwick Farm has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (17.9%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (10.8%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 65-74 has grown from 6.9% to 8.3%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has declined from 17.1% to 15.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Warwick Farm's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 24%, adding 177 residents to reach 931. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease.