Warwick Farm
Statistical Area - sa2

Warwick Farm has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Warwick Farm's population was around 6,495 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 558 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 5,937. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,482 in June 2024 and an additional 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,396 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warwick Farm's growth rate of 9.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 68.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, Warwick Farm is expected to increase its population by just below the median of national statistical areas by 2041. The latest population numbers project an increase of 572 persons by 2041, recording a gain of 8.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warwick Farm according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Warwick Farm has seen approximately 3 new homes approved annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling 15 homes. As of FY-26, 3 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25 brought in around 11.3 new residents per year. This suggests supply is lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost of new homes was $150,000, below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $53.9 million, showing strong commercial development momentum. However, Warwick Farm has significantly less development activity compared to Greater Sydney (94.0% below regional average per person), which may strengthen demand and prices for existing properties. This level is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached houses, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

The location currently has approximately 4020 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Looking ahead, Warwick Farm is expected to grow by 559 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Warwick Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 25 projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Liverpool Health and Academic Precinct, Liverpool Civic Place, Liverpool Innovation Precinct, and Light Horse Park Redevelopment. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Warwick Farm recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Warwick Farm has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 7.2% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 5.6%.

As of June 2025, 3,046 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 7.2%, which is 3.0% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Warwick Farm is 46.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Health care & social assistance employs 1.4 times the regional average, while professional & technical services employ only 5.1% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating above-average employment opportunities locally. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 5.6%, while the labour force grew by 4.8%, reducing unemployment by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May 2025, project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warwick Farm's industry mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Warwick Farm had a median taxpayer income of $48,609 and an average income of $57,150. These figures are below the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $54,739 and $64,357 respectively. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Warwick Farm fall between the 8th and 11th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 30.2% of locals (1,961 people) earn between $800 - $1,499, unlike broader area trends where 30.9% earn between $1,500 - $2,999. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 74.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 5th percentile.

Warwick Farm features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warwick Farm's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 20.2% houses and 79.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 63.3% houses and 36.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warwick Farm stood at 11.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 16.8% and rented ones at 71.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in Warwick Farm was $320, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Warwick Farm's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warwick Farm features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 57.9% of all households, including 25.2% couples with children, 16.2% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 42.1%, with lone person households at 37.2% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Educational outcomes in Warwick Farm fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Warwick Farm's educational qualifications lag behind regional benchmarks, with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common (19.0%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 18.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.0% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education. Warwick Farm Public School and Lawrence Hargrave School serve a total of 272 students. Educational provision follows conventional lines with one primary and one secondary institution. However, limited local school capacity (4.2 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 16.7) means many families travel to nearby areas for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warwick Farm has 30 active public transport stops. These include both train and bus services. There are 13 different routes operating in total.

Each week, these routes combined provide 4,613 passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 128 meters. Daily service frequency averages 659 trips across all routes, which equals about 153 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warwick Farm's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Warwick Farm residents show relatively positive health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions among the general population, but higher than national averages for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is very low, at approximately 48% (3,137 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 50.4% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common conditions, affecting 7.2% and 6.5% respectively, while 73.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 76.4% in Greater Sydney.

The area has 14.4% residents aged 65 and over (936 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 12.8%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Warwick Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Warwick Farm has a high level of cultural diversity, with 67.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 61.7% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Warwick Farm, comprising 45.0% of the population. However, Islam is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 17.4% of Warwick Farm's population.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (34.2%), English (10.1%), and Australian (9.9%). Notably, Serbian (4.1%) and Vietnamese (6.4%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Lebanese representation is lower than the regional average at 2.8%.

Warwick Farm's population is younger than the national pattern

Warwick Farm's median age is nearly 36 years, closely following Greater Sydney's average of 37 years. This is slightly below the Australian median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warwick Farm has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (17.9%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (10.8%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 has increased from 6.9% to 8.3%, while the proportion of those aged 35-44 has decreased from 17.1% to 15.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Warwick Farm's age profile. The strongest projected growth is in the 45-54 cohort, with a 23% increase adding 176 residents to reach 931. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.