Ashcroft - Busby - Miller

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's population was 18,434 as of February 2026. This reflected an increase of 472 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,962. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 18,224 in June 2024 and validated new addresses since then. The population density ratio was 3,376 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.9% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth, with the area expected to expand by 3,435 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 17.5%.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashcroft - Busby - Miller recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has received around 87 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 435 homes. As of FY26, 46 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year arriving for each new home built between FY21 and FY25 is zero. This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $198,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, $3.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller records markedly lower building activity, at 76.0% below the regional average per person. Recent construction comprises 68.0% standalone homes and 32.0% townhouses or apartments, offering choices across price ranges from spacious family homes to more accessible compact options.

With around 218 people per dwelling approval, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller shows characteristics of a low density area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is projected to add 3,225 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones are Hurlstone Agricultural High School Redevelopment, Avala Apartments Miller, Planning Proposal for 93-145 Hoxton Park Road, 51 Maryvale Avenue & 260 Memorial Avenue, and M5 Motorway Westbound Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a balanced workforce with both white and blue-collar jobs, dominated by manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 14.4% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.3%.

There are 5,527 residents in work, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Sydney's at 10.3%, suggesting room for improvement. Workforce participation is lower at 46.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 17.7% of residents work from home. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a notable concentration in manufacturing at twice the regional average.

Professional & technical services employ only 2.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population versus resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 7.3%, while labour force grew by 4.1%, resulting in a 2.6 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $42,624 and the average income stands at $48,458. In Greater Sydney, the median income is $60,817 and the average income is $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Ashcroft - Busby - Miller would be approximately $46,400 (median) and $52,751 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller fall between the 1st and 4th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 26.9% of the community earns $800 - 1,499 (4,958 individuals), differing from broader area patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller, with only 75.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller, as per the latest Census, consisted of 81.0% houses and 19.0% other dwellings (including semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller stood at 20.0%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (24.1%) or rented (55.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,842, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Ashcroft - Busby - Miller was recorded at $266, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.4% of all households, including couples with children (32.6%), couples without children (12.7%), and single parent families (24.8%). Non-family households make up the remaining 27.6%, consisting of lone person households at 25.3% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7 people.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (8.6%) and certificates (22.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 14.2% in primary, 11.5% in secondary, and 4.4% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 125 active transport stops operating within Ashcroft - Busby - Miller. These stops offer a mix of bus services. There are 43 individual routes in total, providing 1,924 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 136 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The dominant mode of transport is car at 85%, followed by train at 7% and bus at 5%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, some 17.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 274 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller faces substantial health challenges, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions impacts both younger and older age cohorts significantly. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~8,498 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.2% and 8.2% of residents respectively. 69.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 14.0% of residents aged 65 and over (2,588 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller scores highly on cultural diversity, with 40.8% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller, comprising 39.6% of people. However, Islam is overrepresented, making up 27.0%, which is substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (21.9%), Australian (17.4%), and English (13.9%). Notably, Lebanese (11.3%) and Vietnamese (9.8%) are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.6% and 1.8%, respectively. Samoan ancestry is also higher at 3.3%.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.4%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 15.1% to 17.2%, while the 65 to 74 age group has grown from 7.0% to 8.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 12.6% to 11.4%, and the 55 to 64 age group has dropped from 12.3% to 11.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 86%, adding 672 residents and reaching a total of 1,452. Meanwhile, both the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to decrease in number.