Ashcroft - Busby - Miller
Statistical Area - sa2

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 18,281 by Aug 2025. This figure shows an increase of 319 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 17,962. The rise is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 18,224 in Jun 2024 and an additional 75 validated new addresses post-Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,348 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing about 51.9% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are employed. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate above median growth, with the area expected to increase by 3,435 persons by 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting an 18.5% total increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashcroft - Busby - Miller recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has averaged approximately 96 new dwelling approvals per year. Development approval data is sourced from the ABS on a financial year basis, with 480 dwellings approved over the past five financial years (between FY-20 and FY-25), and 11 approved so far in FY-26. Over these five financial years, an average of 0.0 people per year have moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating that supply meets or exceeds demand, providing greater buyer choice while potentially supporting population growth above projections. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $222,000, which is under regional levels, suggesting more accessible housing choices for buyers.

In FY-26, $3.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character compared to Greater Sydney, where Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has significantly less development activity (81.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Recent construction comprises 68.0% detached dwellings and 32.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a blend of attached housing types across various price ranges. The location has approximately 218 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Looking ahead to 2041, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller is expected to grow by 3,378 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that are likely to impact the area. Key projects include Parks for People Program Bankstown, Hurlstone Agricultural High School Redevelopment, Bankstown Central Masterplan, and Spring Square by Poly Bankstown. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller had a balanced workforce in June 2025, with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate was 14.4% and employment grew by 7.0% over the past year.

There were 5,593 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 6.0 percentage points higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lagged significantly at 34.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing had an employment share twice the regional level.

Professional & technical services had limited presence with only 2.4% employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 7.0% while labour force grew by 4.9%, reducing unemployment by 1.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6%, labour force grow by 2.9%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to Sep-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia projected national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Ashcroft - Busby - Miller had a median taxpayer income of $39,106 and an average of $45,366. This is below the national averages of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average). As of March 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest median income would be approximately $43,251 and average income $50,175. Census data indicates incomes in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller fall between the 2nd and 4th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 26.9% of residents earn between $800 - $1,499 weekly, compared to surrounding regions where 30.9% earn between $1,500 - $2,999 weekly. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 81.0% houses and 19.0% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller was at 20.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.1% and rented ones at 55.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,842, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent figure was $266, substantially below Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were significantly below the national figure of $375.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.4% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 12.7% couples without children, and 24.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.6%, with lone person households at 25.3% and group households making up 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, as university qualification rates are substantially lower at 10.6% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification, with 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 22.2%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.2% in primary education, 11.5% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education. A robust network of 8 schools operates within Ashcroft - Busby - Miller, educating approximately 3,237 students as of the latest data from 2021. Ashcroft - Busby - Miller demonstrates varied educational conditions across its regions. Education provision is balanced with 6 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis shows 117 active public transport stops in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller area. These stops offer bus services via 43 different routes, serving 1,901 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is excellent, with residents usually being 136 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 271 trips per day across all routes, equating to around 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. Approximately 47% of the total population (~8,518 people) has private health cover, compared to 52.5% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.2% and 8.2% of residents respectively.

About 69.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 77.9% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.6% (2,482 people), compared to 10.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller scores highly on cultural diversity, with 40.8% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 39.6% of people in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 12.9%. Islam is significantly overrepresented at 27.0%, substantially higher than the regional average.

The top three parental birth countries are Other (21.9%), Australian (17.4%), and English (13.9%). Lebanese (11.3%) and Vietnamese (9.8%) are notably overrepresented, while Samoan is also overrepresented at 3.3%.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 15.1% to 16.9%, while the proportion of those aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 12.6% to 11.7%. By 2041, significant demographic shifts are projected for Ashcroft-Busby-Miller. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 92%, adding 696 residents and reaching a total of 1,452. Conversely, the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are both projected to decrease in number.