Ashcroft - Busby - Miller
Statistical Area - sa2

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's population is approximately 18,335 as of November 2025. This reflects a growth of 373 people (2.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,962. The increase is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 18,224 in June 2024 and an additional 92 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,358 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 51.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate an above median growth, with the area projected to increase by 3,435 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting an 18.1% total increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashcroft - Busby - Miller recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has averaged approximately 87 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 435 homes approved during this period. In FY26, up to May, 32 dwellings have been approved. The average number of people moving to the area per year for each dwelling built over these five financial years is zero.

This indicates that supply meets or exceeds demand, providing greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth above projections. The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $198,000, which is below regional levels, suggesting more accessible housing choices for buyers. This financial year has seen $3.4 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting the area's predominantly residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has significantly less development activity, at 76.0% below the regional average per person.

This scarcity of new dwellings typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Recent construction comprises 68.0% detached dwellings and 32.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an increasing blend of attached housing types that offer choices across various price ranges, from spacious family homes to more compact options. The location has approximately 218 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Looking ahead, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller is projected to grow by 3,324 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 13 projects that are likely to impact the area, with key ones including Hurlstone Agricultural High School Redevelopment, Spring Square by Poly Bankstown, Avala Apartments Miller, and Planning Proposal for 93-145 Hoxton Park Road, 51 Maryvale Avenue & 260 Memorial Avenue. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a balanced workforce with strong representation from manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 14.4% as of June 2025.

The area experienced an estimated employment growth of 7.0% over the past year. As of June 2025, 5,593 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 10.2%, above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was significantly lower at 34.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a particularly strong specialization in manufacturing at twice the regional level.

Professional & technical services had limited presence at 2.4%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 7.0% while labour force grew by 4.9%, causing a decrease in unemployment rate by 1.7 percentage points. This contrasted with Greater Sydney where employment rose by 2.6%, labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's median income among taxpayers is $39,106. The average income is $45,366. This is below the national average. Greater Sydney has a median income of $56,994 and an average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $44,037 (median) and $51,087 (average). Census data reveals incomes in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller fall between the 2nd and 4th percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that 26.9% of residents earn $800-$1,499 weekly. This is unlike surrounding regions where 30.9% earn $1,500-$2,999 weekly. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller, as per the latest Census, consisted of 81.0% houses and 19.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller stood at 20.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.1% and rented dwellings at 55.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,842, below Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent was $266, lower than Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,842 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $266 compared to the national figure of $375.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 72.4% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 12.7% couples without children, and 24.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 27.6%, with lone person households at 25.3% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 10.6%, significantly lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common among qualifications, at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 1.8% and graduate diplomas at 0.8%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas at 8.6% and certificates at 22.2%. Educational participation is high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 14.2% in primary, 11.5% in secondary, and 4.4% in tertiary education.

Eight schools operate within Ashcroft-Busby-Miller, educating approximately 3,237 students. The area has varied educational conditions, with six primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups, providing balanced education provision.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis shows 117 active public transport stops operating in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller area, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 43 individual routes, collectively offering 1901 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 136 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 271 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but particularly high among older cohorts. Approximately 47% of the total population (~8544 people) has private health cover, compared to 52.5% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 8.2%) and asthma (8.2%).

A majority, 69.3%, report being free from medical ailments, though this is lower than the Greater Sydney figure of 77.9%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.6% (2489 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these challenges.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller scores highly in cultural diversity, with 40.8% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion is Christianity, comprising 39.6% of the population. However, Islam is notably overrepresented at 27.0%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 12.9%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (21.9%), Australian (17.4%), and English (13.9%). Lebanese, Samoan, and Vietnamese ethnicities are overrepresented in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller compared to regional averages: 11.3% vs 4.0%, 3.3% vs 1.5%, and 9.8% vs 4.4% respectively.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's median age is 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (16.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.7%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 15.1% to 16.9%, while the 25-34 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.7%. By 2041, significant demographic shifts are projected for Ashcroft-Busby-Miller. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 92%, adding 694 residents to reach a total of 1,452. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.