Ashcroft - Busby - Miller
Statistical Area - sa2

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's population was 18,281 as of August 2025. This showed an increase of 319 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,962. The change was inferred from ABS estimates of 18,224 in June 2024 and 75 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 3,348 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Overseas migration contributed approximately 51.9% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics project an above median growth, with the area expected to increase by 3,435 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, reflecting an 18.5% total increase over 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashcroft - Busby - Miller recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller averaged approximately 87 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, showing 435 dwellings approved over the past five years from FY-21 to FY-25, with 11 approved so far in FY-26. Over these five years, an average of zero people moved to the area per dwelling built, indicating supply meeting or exceeding demand and supporting potential population growth while offering greater buyer choice. The average expected construction cost for new properties was $222,000, below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options.

This financial year saw $3.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft - Busby - Miller had significantly less development activity, with 76.0% fewer approvals per person. Recent construction comprised 68.0% detached dwellings and 32.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of housing types across price ranges. The location had approximately 218 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market.

Projections suggest Ashcroft - Busby - Miller will grow by 3,378 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that may impact the area. Key projects include Parks for People Program Bankstown, Hurlstone Agricultural High School Redevelopment, Bankstown Central Masterplan, and Spring Square by Poly Bankstown. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The labour market performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate stands at 14.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 7.0% over the past year.

The area has 5,593 residents employed, but its unemployment rate is 10.2% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags significantly, at 34.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a strong specialization in the latter, being 2.0 times the regional level. Professional & technical services have limited presence, at 2.4% compared to the regional 11.5%.

Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 7.0%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, reducing unemployment by 1.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6%, with unemployment increasing by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data for NSW to Sep-25 shows employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%. National unemployment stands at 4.5%, with national employment growth at 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May 2025 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.9%% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended 30 June 2022 indicates Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's median income among taxpayers was $39,106, with an average of $45,366. This is below the national average. Greater Sydney had a median income of $56,994 and an average of $80,856 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% from financial year ended 30 June 2022 to March 2025, estimated incomes for Ashcroft - Busby - Miller would be approximately $43,251 (median) and $50,175 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller fall between the 2nd and 4th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals the largest segment comprises 26.9% earning $800-$1,499 weekly, with 4,917 residents falling into this category. This is unlike surrounding regions where 30.9% fall within the $1,500-$2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 81.0% houses and 19.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller was 20.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.1% and rented at 55.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,842, lower than Sydney metro's $2,475. Median weekly rent was $266, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $375.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.4% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 12.7% couples without children, and 24.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 27.6%, with lone person households at 25.3% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates at 10.6% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This provides both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (8.6%) and certificates (22.2%).

Educational participation is high at 36.5%, including 14.2% in primary education, 11.5% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education. A network of 8 schools operates within the area, educating approximately 3,237 students. Education provision is balanced with 6 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller shows that there are currently 117 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops service a mix of buses, with a total of 43 individual routes providing weekly passenger trips amounting to 1,901. The report indicates excellent transport accessibility for residents, with an average distance of 136 meters from their homes to the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages at 271 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller area faces significant health challenges with common conditions prevalent across all ages but more so among older cohorts. Approximately 47% of residents (~8,518 people) have private health cover, lower than Greater Sydney's 52.5% and the national average of 55.3%. Arthritis and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 8.2% each.

69.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 77.9% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.6% (2,482 people) than Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require particular attention due to the challenges they face.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has high cultural diversity, with 40.8% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller, comprising 39.6% of people. Islam is notably overrepresented, making up 27.0%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 12.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.9%), Australian (17.4%), and English (13.9%). There are notable divergences in certain ethnic groups: Lebanese is overrepresented at 11.3% (vs regional 4.0%), Samoan at 3.3% (vs 1.5%), and Vietnamese at 9.8% (vs 4.4%).

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.7%). From the 2021 Census to present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 15.1% to 16.9%, while the 25-34 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.7%. By 2041, significant demographic changes are projected for Ashcroft-Busby-Miller. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to grow by 92%, adding 696 residents to reach a total of 1,452. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.