Ashcroft - Busby - Miller

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's population is around 18,335 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 373 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,962 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 18,224 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 92 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,358 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 51.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of national areas is projected, with the area expected to increase by 3,435 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 18.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashcroft - Busby - Miller recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller averaged approximately 87 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a total of 435 homes approved during this period. In FY26 up until now, 39 dwellings have been approved. The average number of people moving into the area per dwelling built over these five years is zero.

This indicates that supply meets or exceeds demand, providing more buyer choices and supporting potential population growth above projections. The average construction value of new properties is $198,000, which is below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In the current financial year, $3.4 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has significantly less development activity, at 76.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 68.0% detached dwellings and 32.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a mix of housing types catering to various price ranges. The location has approximately 218 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. By 2041, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller is projected to grow by 3,324 residents, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, presenting favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 13 projects that may affect this region. Notable projects include Hurlstone Agricultural High School Redevelopment, Spring Square by Poly Bankstown, Avala Apartments Miller, and Planning Proposal for 93-145 Hoxton Park Road, 51 Maryvale Avenue & 260 Memorial Avenue. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a balanced workforce with white and blue-collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are strongly represented, with an unemployment rate of 14.4% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.3%. There are 5,527 residents in work, but the unemployment rate is 10.3% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation is significantly lower, at 34.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a strong specialization in manufacturing (employment share 2.0 times the regional level).

However, professional & technical services have limited presence, at 2.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as shown by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 7.3%, while labour force grew by 4.1%, causing a drop in unemployment rate of 2.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2%. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Ashcroft - Busby - Miller SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $39,106 and an average of $45,366. This is below the national average. Greater Sydney's median was $56,994 with an average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $44,037 (median) and $51,087 (average). Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller are between the 1st and 4th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 26.9% of residents earn $800 - 1,499 weekly compared to surrounding regions where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 75.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller, as per the latest Census, consisted of 81.0% houses and 19.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 87.5% houses and 12.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller stood at 20.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.1% and rented ones at 55.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,842, below Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent figure was $266, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 72.4% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 12.7% couples without children, and 24.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.6%, consisting of 25.3% lone person households and 2.3% group households. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.6%) and certificates (22.2%). Educational participation is high at 36.5%, with 14.2% in primary education, 11.5% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.2% in primary education, 11.5% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the Ashcroft-Busby-Miller area indicates that there are currently 117 operational transport stops. These stops facilitate a variety of bus services, with a total of 43 individual routes providing weekly passenger trips amounting to 1,901. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 136 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency across all routes averages at 271 trips per day, which translates to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups, but particularly so among older cohorts. Approximately 47% of the total population (~8544 people) have private health cover, compared to 52.5% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.2% and 8.2% of residents respectively.

69.3% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 77.9% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.6% (2489 people), compared to 10.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require particular attention due to the challenges they present.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller scores highly in cultural diversity, with 40.8% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller, comprising 39.6% of people. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented, making up 27.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 12.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (21.9%), Australian (17.4%), and English (13.9%). Notably, Lebanese (11.3%) Samoan (3.3%), and Vietnamese (9.8%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 4.0%, 1.5%, and 4.4% respectively.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.7%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 15.1% to 16.9%, while the 25-34 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.7%. By 2041, significant demographic changes are projected for Ashcroft-Busby-Miller. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 92%, adding 694 residents to reach a total of 1,452. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.