Ashcroft - Busby - Miller

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's population is approximately 18,390 as of May 2026. This represents an increase of 428 people (2.4%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 17,962. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 18,381 in June 2025 and an additional 97 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,368 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.2% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for Australian statistical areas, with the area expected to expand by 3,306 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 17.9% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashcroft - Busby - Miller recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has approved approximately 87 dwellings annually over the past five financial years, totalling 435 homes. In FY26 to date, 85 approvals have been recorded. The average annual increase in residents per new home over these five years is zero. This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction cost of new dwellings is $198,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY26, $3.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has 75.0% lower building activity per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes.

Recent construction comprises approximately 68.0% standalone homes and 32.0% townhouses or apartments, offering a variety of housing types across different price ranges. With around 218 people per dwelling approval, the area shows characteristics of low density. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller is projected to add approximately 3,297 residents by 2041. Current development levels appear aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects likely impacting the region. Notable projects include Hurlstone Agricultural High School Upgrade, Spring Square by Poly Bankstown, Avala Apartments Miller, and a Planning Proposal for 93-145 Hoxton Park Road, 51 Maryvale Avenue & 260 Memorial Avenue. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, predominantly in manufacturing and industrial sectors. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 15.0%. Over the past year, there has been an estimated employment growth of 7.4%.

In December 2025, 5,568 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 10.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 46.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 17.7% of residents work from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a notable concentration in manufacturing at twice the regional average.

However, professional & technical services employ only 2.4% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 7.4%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 2.0 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller SA2 is below the national average. The median income is $42,624 and the average income stands at $48,458. In contrast, Greater Sydney's figures are a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Ashcroft - Busby - Miller would be approximately $47,023 (median) and $53,459 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller fall between the 1st and 4th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 26.9% of the community earns $800 - 1,499, differing from broader area patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's dwellings, as per the latest Census, comprised 81.0% houses and 19.0% other dwellings. Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller was at 20.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 24.1% and rented ones at 55.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,842, below Sydney's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was $266, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 72.4% of all households, including 32.6% couples with children, 12.7% couples without children, and 24.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 27.6%, with lone person households at 25.3% and group households at 2.3%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7 people.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 10.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.8%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (8.6%) and certificates (22.2%). Educational participation is high at 36.5%, with 14.2% in primary education, 11.5% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.2% in primary education, 11.5% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller reveals that there are 125 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes. There are 43 individual routes providing a total of 1,924 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent with residents typically located 136 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. The dominant mode of transport remains the car at 85%, while 7% use the train and 5% use the bus.

On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, some 17.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 274 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 15 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Several health conditions impact both younger and older age cohorts substantially. Private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~8,477 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.2 and 8.2% of residents respectively. However, 69.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 13.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,532 people), lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller scores highly on cultural diversity, with 40.8% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion is Christianity, comprising 39.6%. However, Islam is overrepresented at 27.0%, significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (21.9%), Australian (17.4%), and English (13.9%). Notably, Lebanese, Samoan, and Vietnamese ethnicities are overrepresented at 11.3%, 3.3%, and 9.8% respectively.

Ashcroft - Busby - Miller's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ashcroft-Busby-Miller has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.9%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 15.1% to 17.0%, while the 55 to 64 age group has declined from 12.3% to 11.3%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes in Ashcroft-Busby-Miller's population structure. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 87%, adding 641 residents to reach a total of 1,383. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age groups are expected to decrease in number.