Hinchinbrook

Population growth drivers in Hinchinbrook are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Hinchinbrook's population is 13,045 as of November 2025. This reflects a growth of 7 people since the 2021 Census which recorded 13,038 residents. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 13,035 in June 2024 and an additional 4 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,499 persons per square kilometer, placing Hinchinbrook in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Hinchinbrook has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.6%, outpacing metropolitan areas. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 57.4% of overall gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with Hinchinbrook expected to grow by 46 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 0.3% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hinchinbrook is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hinchinbrook averaged approximately 19 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 98 homes. As of FY26, 6 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with varied buyer options. New properties are constructed at an average cost of $258,000, below the regional average, offering more affordable housing choices.

This financial year, there have been $4.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Hinchinbrook's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hinchinbrook has significantly less development activity, with 93.0% fewer approvals per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also lower than the national average, indicating market maturity and potential development constraints. New developments consist of 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Hinchinbrook's suburban character and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 1140 people per approval, Hinchinbrook demonstrates a mature, established area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Hinchinbrook is projected to add 36 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Hinchinbrook has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects likely impacting the region. Key initiatives include the Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit Corridor, M7-M12 Integration Project, Avala Apartments Miller, and Hoxton Park Recycled Water Scheme. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Hinchinbrook demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Hinchinbrook has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.0%.

As of September 2025, 6,769 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at 54.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with notable concentration in manufacturing at 1.7 times the regional average. Professional & technical services had limited presence, with 5.0% employment compared to 11.5% regionally.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.0%, labour force grew by 4.1%, and unemployment fell by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, labour force grow by 2.4%, and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 indicate national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hinchinbrook's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, assuming constant population growth for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Hinchinbrook SA2's median income among taxpayers was $46,181 and average income stood at $54,311 in the financial year 2022. This is below national averages of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average) for Greater Sydney during the same period. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $52,004 and average income $61,160 based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%. Census data shows household income ranks at the 67th percentile ($2,039 weekly) and personal income at the 23rd percentile. In terms of income distribution, 36.6% of the population (4,774 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range. High housing costs consume 17.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 66th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Hinchinbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hinchinbrook's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.0% houses and 12.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hinchinbrook was at 28.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented ones at 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's $2,475. The median weekly rent in Hinchinbrook was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Hinchinbrook's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hinchinbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.0% of all households, including 56.8% couples with children, 15.9% couples without children, and 16.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Educational outcomes in Hinchinbrook fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (15.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (19.3%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (11.4%), secondary (10.2%), and tertiary (6.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 57 active transport stops operating within Hinchinbrook, consisting of a mix of buses. These stops are served by 49 individual routes, collectively facilitating 2,952 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically situated 176 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 421 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 51 weekly trips per stop.

Hinchinbrook's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Hinchinbrook's health outcomes show excellent results, notably for younger populations with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 47% (~6,157 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 52.5%. Nationally, it averages 55.3%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.0% and 5.4% of residents respectively. Overall, 78.1% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 77.9%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.9% (1,688 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Senior health outcomes are above average but require more attention than the general population.

Hinchinbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hinchinbrook has a culturally diverse population, with 48.0% born overseas and 64.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hinchinbrook at 60.2%. Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 10.2% of Hinchinbrook's population.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (35.9%), Australian (11.3%), and English (6.9%). Notably, Serbian (2.9%), Spanish (1.3%), and Vietnamese (6.8%) ethnicities are also overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Hinchinbrook's population is younger than the national pattern

Hinchinbrook's median age is 35 years, slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. The 55-64 age group comprises 12.9%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort stands at 13.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 65 to 74 age group grew from 7.1% to 8.3%, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 2.5% to 3.7%. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 group declined from 13.4% to 11.9%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 15.5% to 14.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Hinchinbrook. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 664 people (138%), from 482 to 1,147. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. In contrast, both the 25 to 34 and 55 to 64 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.