Hinchinbrook
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Hinchinbrook are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Hinchinbrook's population is 13,045 as of November 2025. This shows an increase of 7 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,038. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 13,035 in June 2024 and validated new addresses since then. This results in a density ratio of 2,499 persons per square kilometer, placing Hinchinbrook in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Over the past decade, Hinchinbrook has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.6%, outperforming metropolitan areas. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57.4% of population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest lower quartile growth, with Hinchinbrook expected to grow by 46 persons to 2041 based on current numbers, indicating a total gain of 0.3% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Hinchinbrook is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hinchinbrook has averaged approximately 19 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 98 homes. As of FY26, there have been 5 approvals recorded. The population has decreased during this period, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average cost of $258,000, below the regional average, suggesting affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $4.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Hinchinbrook's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hinchinbrook has significantly less development activity, 93.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, Hinchinbrook also reflects market maturity with possible development constraints. New development consists of 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 1140 people per approval, Hinchinbrook indicates a mature, established area. Future projections anticipate Hinchinbrook adding 36 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Hinchinbrook has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects expected to impact the area. Notable ones include the Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit (FAST) Corridor project, the M7-M12 Integration Project, Avala Apartments Miller development, and Cecil Hills High School Upgrade. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Hinchinbrook demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Hinchinbrook has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in the past year.

Employment growth was estimated at 5.5%. As of June 2025, 6841 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.6%, which is 0.6% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 54.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment was concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing.

Manufacturing employment levels were at 1.7 times the regional average. Professional & technical employment was limited at 5.0%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5% and labour force increased by 5.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment rose by 2.6%, the labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hinchinbrook's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Hinchinbrook's median income among taxpayers was $46,181 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $54,311 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Sydney had a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates project Hinchinbrook's median income to be approximately $52,004 and the average income to be around $61,160 by September 2025. According to census data, household income ranks at the 68th percentile ($2,039 weekly), while personal income sits at the 23rd percentile. In terms of income distribution, 36.6% of Hinchinbrook's population (4,774 individuals) falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range. This is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region, where 30.9% of the population falls into the same category. High housing costs consume 17.3% of income in Hinchinbrook. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 66th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Hinchinbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Hinchinbrook's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census evaluation, comprised 88.0% houses and 12.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hinchinbrook was 28.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented dwellings at 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent in Hinchinbrook was $480, slightly higher than Sydney metro's figure of $490. Nationally, Hinchinbrook's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hinchinbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 90.0% of all households, including 56.8% couples with children, 15.9% couples without children, and 16.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Educational outcomes in Hinchinbrook fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 30.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (19.3%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.4% in primary, 10.2% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education.

Hinchinbrook Public School and Hoxton Park High School serve 1,394 students collectively, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 952) indicating balanced educational opportunities. There is one primary and one secondary institution, with school places per 100 residents at 10.7, below the regional average of 19.1, suggesting some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hinchinbrook has 57 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus services. These stops are covered by 49 different routes that facilitate a total of 2,952 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 176 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 421 daily trips across all routes, translating to approximately 51 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hinchinbrook's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Hinchinbrook's health outcomes show exceptional results, with younger cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common conditions. Approximately 47% (~6,157 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 52.5%. Nationally, it is 55.3%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions at 6.0% and 5.4% respectively. 78.1% of residents reported no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 77.9%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.9% (1,688 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average.

Hinchinbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hinchinbrook has a population where 48.0% were born overseas, with 64.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hinchinbrook, comprising 60.2% of its population. Buddhism is notably overrepresented, making up 10.2% compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.6%.

Regarding ancestry, the top groups are Other (35.9%), Australian (11.3%), and English (6.9%). There are significant differences in the representation of Serbian (2.9% vs regional 1.9%), Spanish (1.3% vs 1.0%), and Vietnamese (6.8% vs 4.4%) populations.

Hinchinbrook's population is younger than the national pattern

Hinchinbrook's median age is 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes a strong 12.9% of Hinchinbrook's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 13.4%. Between 2021 and the present day, the 65-74 age group has grown from 7.1% to 8.3%, and the 75-84 cohort has increased from 2.5% to 3.7%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 11.9%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 15.5% to 14.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Hinchinbrook, with the 75-84 age cohort projected to grow exceptionally by 664 people (138%), from 482 to 1,147. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 55-64 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.