Hinchinbrook

Population growth drivers in Hinchinbrook are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Hinchinbrook's population was 13,038 as of May 2026, an increase of 22 people since the 2021 Census. This growth is inferred from ABS data: 13,050 in June 2025 plus six new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 2,497 persons per square kilometer, placing Hinchinbrook in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.1% of recent population gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for SA2 areas, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government projections for uncovered areas, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with Hinchinbrook expected to grow by 42 persons to 2041 based on the latest ERP numbers, reflecting a total gain of 0.2% over 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hinchinbrook is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hinchinbrook has averaged approximately 19 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 98 homes. As of FY26, 15 approvals have been recorded. Despite a population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average construction cost for new properties is $258,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year, there have been $4.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Hinchinbrook's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hinchinbrook has significantly less development activity (92.0% below the regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also lower than the national average, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Hinchinbrook's suburban character with a focus on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 1140 people per approval, Hinchinbrook shows signs of being a mature, established area.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Hinchinbrook is projected to add 32 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Hinchinbrook has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly impacted by modifications to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects that are expected to influence the area. Notable projects include the Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit (FAST) Corridor, Avala Apartments Miller, Hoxton Park Recycled Water Scheme, and Canvas at Bonnyrigg. The following list details those likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Hinchinbrook shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Hinchinbrook has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 3.6% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.8%.

In December 2025, 6,862 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.5% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Hinchinbrook is similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 31.7% of residents worked from home. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing.

Manufacturing employment levels are particularly notable at 1.7 times the regional average. Professional & technical employment is limited at 5.0%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.8% while labour force grew by 5.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.7 percentage points. In Greater Sydney during this period, employment rose by 2.2%, labour force grew by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Hinchinbrook's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Hinchinbrook SA2 had median taxpayer income of $50,131 and average income of $57,660 in financial year 2023. These figures were below Greater Sydney's respective incomes of $60,817 and $83,003. By March 2026, estimated median income was approximately $55,305 and average income was $63,611, based on a 10.32% increase in wages since financial year 2023. Household income ranked at the 67th percentile ($2,039 weekly), with personal income at the 23rd percentile. In Hinchinbrook SA2, 36.6% of individuals (4,779) had incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999. Housing costs consumed 17.3% of income, but disposable income ranked at the 66th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 4th decile.

Hinchinbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Hinchinbrook's dwelling structure in its latest Census evaluation showed 88.0% houses and 12.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), differing from Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hinchinbrook was at 28.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.4% and rented ones at 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, lower than Sydney metro's $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Hinchinbrook was $480, similar to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Hinchinbrook's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hinchinbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.0% of all households, including 56.8% couples with children, 15.9% couples without children, and 16.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Hinchinbrook fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (19.3%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.4% in primary, 10.2% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hinchinbrook has 68 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 49 different routes that together facilitate 3000 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 176 metres from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, and cars remain the primary mode of transport at 92%. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, 31.7%, work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 428 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hinchinbrook's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Hinchinbrook. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low among the general population, nearing the nation's average for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover was found to be very low, approximately 48% of the total population (~6,294 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were asthma (6.0%) and arthritis (5.4%), while 78.1% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 13.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,793 people), lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were above average but ranked lower nationally than the broader population.

Hinchinbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hinchinbrook has a population where 48.0% were born overseas and 64.2% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion, with 60.2% of people adhering to it. Buddhism is overrepresented in Hinchinbrook at 10.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 4.1%.

In terms of ancestry, Other is the highest at 35.9%, Australian is at 11.3%, and English is at 6.9%. Serbian (2.9%), Spanish (1.3%), and Vietnamese (6.8%) ethnic groups are notably overrepresented in Hinchinbrook compared to regional averages of 0.5%, 0.6%, and 1.8% respectively.

Hinchinbrook's population is younger than the national pattern

Hinchinbrook's median age is 35 years, slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. The 55-64 age group comprises 12.9%, higher than Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 13.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group grew from 7.1% to 8.8%, and the 75-84 group increased from 2.5% to 3.8%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 13.4% to 12.0%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 15.5% to 14.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Hinchinbrook. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 631 people (126%), from 500 to 1,132. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for all total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 55-64 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.