Hinchinbrook

Population growth drivers in Hinchinbrook are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Hinchinbrook's population is approximately 13,060 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 22 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,038. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,035 in June 2024 and six validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density of 2,501 persons per square kilometer, placing Hinchinbrook in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Over the past decade, Hinchinbrook has shown resilience with a compound annual growth rate of 1.6%, outperforming Greater Sydney. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57.4% of population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for SA2 areas released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for uncovered areas, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest lower quartile growth, with Hinchinbrook expected to grow by 46 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 0.2% over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Hinchinbrook is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Hinchinbrook averaged approximately 19 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 98 homes. As of FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. The population has decreased during this period, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, indicating a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $258,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year, there have been $4.0 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Hinchinbrook's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hinchinbrook has significantly less development activity, 93.0% below the regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also lower than the national level, implying market maturity and potential development constraints. New development consists of 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Hinchinbrook's suburban nature with a focus on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 1140 people per approval, Hinchinbrook shows characteristics of a mature, established area.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Hinchinbrook is projected to add 21 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Hinchinbrook has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 15 infrastructure projects that could impact a particular area. Notable ones include the Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit Corridor, M7-M12 Integration Project, Avala Apartments Miller, and Hoxton Park Recycled Water Scheme. The following list provides details on those expected to have significant relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Hinchinbrook demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Hinchinbrook's workforce is skilled with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 3.6% in September 2024. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.0%.

As of September 2025, 6,769 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.6% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was 67.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 31.7% of residents worked from home in September 2025. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing.

Manufacturing employment levels are at 1.7 times the regional average. Professional & technical employment was 5.0%, compared to 11.5% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. During September 2024 to September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.0% and labour force grew by 4.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment rose by 2.1%, labour force grew by 2.4%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points during this period. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hinchinbrook's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Hinchinbrook SA2's median income among taxpayers was $50,131 and average income stood at $57,660 in financial year 2023. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%, estimated median income is approximately $54,573 and average income is $62,769. According to Census data, household income ranks at the 67th percentile ($2,039 weekly) and personal income sits at the 23rd percentile. In terms of income distribution, 36.6% of the population (4,779 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range. High housing costs consume 17.3% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 66th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Hinchinbrook is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Hinchinbrook's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.0% houses and 12.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hinchinbrook was at 28.5%, similar to Sydney metro's level. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 50.4% and rented ones for 21.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Hinchinbrook was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Hinchinbrook's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863. Rents in Hinchinbrook were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hinchinbrook features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.0% of all households, including 56.8% couples with children, 15.9% couples without children, and 16.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 8.9% and group households comprising 0.9%. The median household size is 3.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Hinchinbrook fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.3%) and certificates (19.3%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (11.4%), secondary education (10.2%), and tertiary education (6.1%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Hinchinbrook has 68 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 49 different routes, together facilitating approximately 3,000 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 176 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 92%. On average, there are 2.0 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 31.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages at 428 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 44 weekly trips per stop.

Hinchinbrook's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis shows strong health performance in Hinchinbrook based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates were low and chronic condition prevalence was near the national average for older cohorts at risk. Private health cover was found to be very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~6,294 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were asthma and arthritis, impacting 6.0% and 5.4% of residents respectively. 78.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. As of the assessment date, 13.7% of residents were aged 65 and over (1,795 people), lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were above average but ranked lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Hinchinbrook is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hinchinbrook has one of the most culturally diverse populations in Australia, with 48.0% born overseas and 64.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hinchinbrook, accounting for 60.2% of its population. Notably, Buddhism is more prevalent in Hinchinbrook than the Greater Sydney average, comprising 10.2% compared to 4.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 35.9%, Australian at 11.3%, and English at 6.9%. These figures differ significantly from regional averages: Other is substantially higher (35.9% vs 16.0%), while Australian and English are notably lower (11.3% vs 17.8% and 6.9% vs 19.0%, respectively). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences in representation, such as Serbian at 2.9% compared to the regional average of 0.5%, Spanish at 1.3% versus 0.6%, and Vietnamese at 6.8% against the regional average of 1.8%.

Hinchinbrook's population is younger than the national pattern

Hinchinbrook's median age is 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group has strong representation in Hinchinbrook at 12.9%, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group grew from 7.1% to 8.8% of the population, and the 75-84 cohort increased from 2.5% to 3.9%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 13.4% to 11.8%, and the 5-14 group dropped from 15.5% to 14.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Hinchinbrook. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow exceptionally, increasing by 640 people (126%) from 506 to 1,147. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 55-64 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.