Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg

Population growth drivers in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's population is around 17,625 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 471 people (2.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,154 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,421 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,396 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 0.6% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 71.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above-median population growth of national statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 3,544 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 18.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has experienced around 44 dwellings receiving development approval each year, with 223 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 24 so far in FY-26. Given an average of only 1 new resident per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is meeting or surpassing demand, providing greater buyer choice while supporting potential for population growth above projections, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $237,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. Additionally, $6.1 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting the area's residential character.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg records about 56% of the building activity per person while it places among the 34th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers, supporting demand for existing dwellings. This activity is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New development consists of 94.0% standalone homes and 6.0% attached dwellings, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. At around 469 people per approval, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg indicates a mature market.

Future projections show Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg adding 3,340 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 23 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Canvas at Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct (Canvas), Bonnyrigg Town Hub Precinct (Stages 12-13), and Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg features a skilled workforce, with manufacturing and industrial sectors strongly represented, an unemployment rate of 5.6%, and 5.7% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 7,818 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.4% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation lags significantly (57.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 28.4% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. The area has a particular employment specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share 2.3 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical services employ just 5.5% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.7% and the labour force increased by 5.0%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg SA2's median income among taxpayers is $50,589, with an average of $57,561. This is below the national average, and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $55,071 (median) and $62,661 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals individual incomes lag at the 4th percentile ($513 weekly), while household income performs better at the 39th percentile. Looking at income distribution, the predominant cohort spans 31.3% of locals (5,516 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 37th percentile.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 82.8% houses and 17.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 32.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (33.1%) or rented (34.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 85.7% of all households, comprising 44.6% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 21.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.3%, with lone person households at 13.3% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (16.9%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 25.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.7%) and certificates (16.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in secondary education, 9.8% in primary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 126 active transport stops operating within Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 70 individual routes, collectively providing 4,269 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 135 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward - the car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, above the regional average. A high 28.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 609 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 33 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg residents, with AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions showing results broadly in line with national benchmarks. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~8,389 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and arthritis, impacting 6.6% and 6.0% of residents, respectively, while 75.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,223 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 55.9% of its population born overseas and 73.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is Christianity, which makes up 49.1% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Buddhism, which comprises 26.9% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg are Other, comprising 31.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Vietnamese, comprising 20.2% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 1.8%, and Chinese, comprising 12.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Serbian is notably overrepresented at 4.0% of Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg (vs 0.5% regionally), Spanish at 0.9% (vs 0.6%) and Samoan at 1.2% (vs 0.5%).

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and similarly equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (16.1%) but fewer 35 - 44 year-olds (11.4%). Since the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.7% to 5.8% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 14.6% to 16.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 12.8% to 11.2% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 13.9% to 12.8%. By 2041, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 96% (984 people), reaching 2,005 from 1,020. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 57% of projected growth. The 55 to 64 group displays more modest growth at 1%, adding only 29 residents.