Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg

Population growth drivers in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's population is around 17,625 as of February 2026. This reflects an increase of 471 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,154. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,421 in June 2024 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,396 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.6%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 71.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, an above median population growth of national statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 3,544 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 18.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has seen approximately 44 dwellings granted development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 223 homes were approved, with an additional 24 approved in FY26 as of now. Each year, on average, one new resident is associated with each dwelling constructed during these five financial years.

This indicates that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and supporting potential population growth beyond projections. The average construction cost value of new properties is $237,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing choices for purchasers. In the current financial year, commercial development approvals totaling $6.1 million have been recorded, suggesting the area's predominantly residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has about 56% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 34th percentile of areas assessed nationally, indicating more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings.

This lower level of development activity compared to national averages suggests a mature market with possible development constraints. New developments in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg consist of approximately 94% standalone homes and 6% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. The population per approval is around 469 people, further indicating a mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is projected to add approximately 3,340 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects likely affecting this region. Notable projects include Canvas at Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct (Canvas), Bonnyrigg Town Hub Precinct (Stages 12-13), and Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Bonnyrigg Heights, as of September 2025, has an unemployment rate of 5.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 5.3% over the past year. The area's residents have a workforce participation rate of 56.4%. A significant portion, 28.4%, work from home.

Key industries for employment include manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing is particularly prominent with an employment share of 2.3 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services employ only 5.5% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment levels increased by 5.3%, while labour force grew by 4.2%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 1.0 percentage points during the year ending September 2025.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.3% and labour force increased by 4.2%, resulting in unemployment fall by 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $50,589 and an average of $57,561. This is below the national average. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median was $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Using Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $55,071 (median) and $62,661 (average). Census data shows individual incomes at the 4th percentile ($513 weekly), while household income is at the 39th percentile. The predominant income cohort spans 31.3% of locals (5,516 people) in the $1,500 - $2,999 category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 37th percentile.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg, as per the latest Census, had 82.8% houses and 17.2% other dwellings, compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg was 32.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.1% and rented ones at 34.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.7% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 21.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.3%, with lone person households at 13.3% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 25.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 16.2%. Educational participation is high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes secondary education (10.2%), primary education (9.8%), and tertiary education (6.0%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has 126 active public transport stops. These are served by 70 different routes, offering a total of 4,269 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically living within 135 meters of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 88% of residents, while trains account for 6%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 28.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 609 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 33 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's health data shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. The prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 48% (8,389 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Diabetes and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.6% and 6.0% of residents respectively. A total of 75.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. The area has 18.3% (3,223 people) aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnyrigg Heights, located in Australia, is one of the most culturally diverse areas with 55.9% of its population born overseas and 73.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bonnyrigg Heights, comprising 49.1% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented at 26.9%, significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are 'Other' at 31.1%, Vietnamese at 20.2%, and Chinese at 12.0%, all substantially higher than regional averages. There are also notable divergences in Serbian (4.0% vs 0.5%), Spanish (0.9% vs 0.6%), and Samoan (1.2% vs 0.5%) representations compared to regional figures.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.4%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 3.7% to 5.8%, while those aged 15 to 24 increased from 14.6% to 16.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group declined from 12.8% to 11.2%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 13.9% to 12.8%. By 2041, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is projected to see significant shifts in its age composition. The 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 96%, reaching 2,005 residents from 1,020. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 57% of the population growth. The 55 to 64 age group is expected to grow by 1%, adding only 29 residents.