Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg

Population growth drivers in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's population is approximately 17,339 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 185 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 17,154. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 17,333 in June 2025 and the addition of 24 new addresses validated after the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,340 persons per square kilometer, placing Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2016 to 2026, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has shown a compound annual growth rate of 0.5%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.9% of overall population gains during this period.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is expected to have an above median population growth among statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with a projected increase of 3,381 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 19.5% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has averaged approximately 44 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 223 homes were approved, with an additional 29 approved so far in FY26. On average, about one new resident arrives per year for each new home built during these years.

This suggests that new construction is keeping pace with or even exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and facilitating population growth that could surpass current expectations. The average expected construction cost of new dwellings in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is around $237,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26 alone, commercial development approvals totaling $6.1 million have been recorded, reflecting the area's predominantly residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg shows approximately 56% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 34th percentile of areas assessed nationally.

This results in relatively constrained buyer choice, contributing to interest in existing homes. The proportion of new building activity comprises 94.0% detached dwellings and 6.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with its emphasis on detached housing. With approximately 469 people moving into Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg for each dwelling approval, it indicates a developed market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is projected to add around 3,374 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep up with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases in the area.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Canvas at Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct (Canvas), Bonnyrigg Town Hub Precinct (Stages 12-13), and Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Bonnyrigg Heights, as of December 2025, has an unemployment rate of 6.6%, which is 1.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 5.2%. The workforce participation rate in Bonnyrigg Heights is 57.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A total of 7,818 residents are employed, with manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance being the dominant sectors.

Manufacturing employment is particularly strong at 28.4% of the workforce, compared to the regional average of 12.3%. Over the past year, employment has increased by 5.7%, while the labour force grew by 5.0%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. According to Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25, national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Applying these projections to Bonnyrigg Heights' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $50,589 and an average income of $57,561. This is lower than the national averages of $60,817 for Greater Sydney and $83,003 nationally. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% from financial year ending June 2023 to March 2026, estimated median income would be approximately $55,810 and average income $63,501 as of March 2026. According to Census 2021 income data, individual incomes lag at the 4th percentile with a weekly income of $513, while household income is at the 39th percentile. The earnings profile shows that 31.3% of locals (5,427 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 81.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 37th percentile nationally.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg had 82.8% houses and 17.2% other dwellings in the latest Census, compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership was at 32.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.1% and rented at 34.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.7% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 21.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.3%, with lone person households at 13.3% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 25.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.7%) and certificates (16.2%). Educational participation is high at 31.9%, comprising secondary education (10.2%), primary education (9.8%), and tertiary education (6.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.2% in secondary education, 9.8% in primary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has 126 active public transport stops. These are served by 70 routes, facilitating 4,269 weekly passenger trips. Residents' average proximity to the nearest stop is 135 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. Most residents commute outward. Car remains the primary mode of transport at 88%, with train use at 6%. The area has an average vehicle ownership of 1.7 per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 28.4% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Daily service frequency averages 609 trips across all routes, equating to approximately 33 weekly trips per individual stop. The provided map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's health data shows positive outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health condition prevalence is low across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 48% of the total population (~8,253 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes (6.6%) and arthritis (6.0%), with 75.6% of residents reporting no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Under-65 population health outcomes are better than average. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,173 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Senior health outcomes are above average, in line with national rankings for the general population.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnyrigg Heights, located in Australia, is one of the country's most culturally diverse areas with 55.9% of its population born overseas. A significant proportion, 73.8%, speaks a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Bonnyrigg Heights, comprising 49.1% of people.

However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented, making up 26.9% compared to Greater Sydney's average of 4.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (31.1%), Vietnamese (20.2%), and Chinese (12.0%). These percentages are substantially higher than their respective regional averages: Other at 16.0%, Vietnamese at 1.8%, and Chinese at 5.7%. Additionally, there is notable overrepresentation of Serbian (4.0% vs regional average of 0.5%), Spanish (0.9% vs 0.6%), and Samoan (1.2% vs 0.5%) ethnic groups in Bonnyrigg Heights compared to the Greater Sydney region.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg as of the 2021 Census was 38 years, closely matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg had a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (11.3%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.5%). Between the 2016 and 2021 Censuses, the population aged 75 to 84 grew from 3.7% to 5.6%, while those aged 15 to 24 increased from 14.6% to 16.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group declined from 12.8% to 11.4%, and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 13.3% to 12.0%. By 2041, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. Notably, the 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 97%, adding 941 people and reaching a total of 1,911 from the previous figure of 969. The population aged 65 and above is projected to comprise 55% of the overall growth in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 age group is expected to grow by only 2%, with an increase of just 38 residents.