Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's population was around 17,473 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 319 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,154. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,421 in June 2024 and an additional 61 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,366 persons per square kilometer, placing Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.6%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 71.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is expected to have an above median population growth based on AreaSearch's analysis of statistical areas. The area is projected to grow by 3,544 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 20.0% over the 17-year period from 2024 to 2041.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has averaged approximately 44 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25223 homes were approved, with an additional 16 approved so far in FY26. On average, each new home attracts one new resident annually over these five years, indicating that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand and providing more housing options while also driving population growth.

The average value of new dwellings developed is $237,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has recorded $6.1 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting its predominantly residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg shows approximately 56% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 35th percentile nationally, which may result in relatively constrained buyer choice and increased interest in existing homes due to market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is dominated by detached dwellings, with 94.0% of approvals for this type of housing compared to 6.0% for medium and high-density housing.

This emphasis on detached housing attracts space-seeking buyers and preserves the area's suburban nature. With around 469 people per dwelling approval, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg exhibits a developed market. Future projections indicate that Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg will add approximately 3,492 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially leading to increased buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Canvas at Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct, Bonnyrigg High School Upgrade, and Parklane Residences Villawood. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Bonnyrigg Heights, Bonnyrigg has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors well-represented. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 5.3%, with an estimated employment growth of 5.6% over the past year.

There are 7,780 residents in work, but the unemployment rate is 1.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 44.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing has a strong presence with an employment share of 2.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.5% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over the past year, employment increased by 5.6%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a slight rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.8% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022 shows Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg had a median taxpayer income of $46,093 and an average income of $54,376. These figures are lower than the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 for Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2022 to September 2025 (an estimated period of 3 years), current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $51,905 and an average income of around $61,233 in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg. According to Census 2021 data, individual incomes rank at the 4th percentile ($513 weekly), while household incomes rank at the 40th percentile. The earnings profile indicates that 31.3% of locals (5,469 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% are in this category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 38th percentile.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg, as per the latest Census, had 82.8% houses and 17.2% other dwellings, compared to Sydney metro's 73.3% houses and 26.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg was 32.2%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.1% and rented ones at 34.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, matching the Sydney metro average, while the median weekly rent was $400, also in line with Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg had higher mortgage repayments at $2,000 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents exceeding the national figure of $375 at $400.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.7% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 17.7% couples without children, and 21.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.3%, with lone person households at 13.3% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.2 people.

Educational outcomes in Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, considerably lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 13.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 25.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas making up 9.7% and certificates 16.2%. Educational participation is high, with 31.9% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.2% in secondary, 9.8% in primary, and 6.0% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg, educating approximately 5,852 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 995) with balanced educational opportunities. There are four primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups. As an education hub, the area has 33.5 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.4, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg has 110 active public transport stops. These are served by a mix of buses along 70 individual routes. Weekly, these routes facilitate 4085 passenger trips.

Residents' average proximity to the nearest stop is 135 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. Daily, there are an average of 583 trips across all routes, translating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg, with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover was found to be very low at approximately 47% of the total population (~8247 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were diabetes, impacting 6.6% of residents, and arthritis, affecting 6.0%. A total of 75.6% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, which is comparable to the 75.6% figure across Greater Sydney. The area has 17.6% of residents aged 65 and over (3066 people), lower than the 19.0% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnyrigg Heights, located in Australia, is noted for its cultural diversity. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from June 2016, 55.9 percent of Bonnyrigg's population was born overseas. In this area, 73.8 percent of residents speak a language other than English at home.

Christianity is the predominant religion in Bonnyrigg Heights, with 49.1 percent of people identifying as Christian. However, Buddhism is notably more prevalent here compared to Greater Sydney, making up 26.9 percent of Bonnyrigg's population versus the regional average of 21.7 percent. Regarding ancestry, based on the country of birth of parents, the top three represented groups in Bonnyrigg Heights are 'Other', comprising 31.1 percent of the population, Vietnamese at 20.2 percent, and Chinese at 12.0 percent. Notable differences exist in the representation of certain ethnic groups compared to regional averages: Serbian is overrepresented at 4.0 percent (versus 1.8 percent regionally), Spanish at 0.9 percent (versus 1.0 percent), and Samoan at 1.2 percent (versus 1.0 percent).

Bonnyrigg Heights - Bonnyrigg's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Bonnyrigg Heights-Bonnyrigg is 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights-Bonnyrigg has a higher percentage of 15-24 residents (15.8%) but fewer 35-44 year-olds (11.6%). Between the 2016 and 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group grew from 3.7% to 5.4%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 14.6% to 15.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 12.8% to 11.5%. By 2041, Bonnyrigg Heights-Bonnyrigg is projected to see significant shifts in its age composition. The 75 to 84 group will grow by 114%, reaching 2,005 people from 936. Those aged 65 and over will comprise 59% of the projected growth. The 35 to 44 age group will display modest growth of 1%, adding only 17 residents.