Green Valley
Statistical Area - sa2

Green Valley is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Green Valley's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 12,821 as of August 2025. This figure reflects a decrease of 98 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,919. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,800 in June 2024 and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,994 persons per square kilometer, placing Green Valley in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove recent population growth, contributing approximately 62.0% of overall gains.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area's population is projected to decline by 171 persons. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, anticipated to increase by 661 people.

The level of residential development activity in Green Valley is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Green Valley averaged approximately 20 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, totalling 104 approvals across the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, with six recorded so far in FY-26. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $266,000, below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options for purchasers.

This financial year, $1.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Green Valley shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 92.0% below the regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This is also under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Green Valley's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 660 people per dwelling approval, the area reflects a highly mature market.

Given the expected stable or declining population, Green Valley should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Green Valley has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Two projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly: the M7-M12 Integration Project and the Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit (FAST) Corridor. Other notable projects include Canvas at Bonnyrigg and Cecil Hills High School Upgrade.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Green Valley remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Green Valley has a skilled labour force with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 4.8% and there was an estimated 5.0% employment growth in the past year as of June 2025.

In this month, 6,288 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was significantly lower at 49.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a notable concentration in manufacturing at twice the regional average. However, professional & technical services were under-represented, making up only 4.7% of Green Valley's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney.

Over the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 5.0% while labour force grew by 4.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Green Valley's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.9%% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Green Valley had a median taxpayer income of $50,181 and an average income of $58,213. Nationally, these figures were $56,994 and $80,856 respectively in Greater Sydney. As of March 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $55,500 (median) and $64,384 (average), accounting for a 10.6% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data indicates individual incomes at the 10th percentile were $580 weekly, while household incomes were at the 52nd percentile. Income analysis reveals 34.6% of Green Valley's population (4,436 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with metropolitan trends showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile.

Green Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Green Valley, as per the latest Census evaluation, 82.1% of dwellings were houses while 17.9% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Green Valley stood at 32.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.3% and rented ones at 28.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,041, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent in Green Valley was $450 compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Green Valley's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,041 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $450 compared to the national figure of $375.

Green Valley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.9 percent of all households, including 51.6 percent couples with children, 17.2 percent couples without children, and 17.7 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.1 percent, with lone person households at 10.9 percent and group households comprising 1.2 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Green Valley faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 17.5%, significantly below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 27.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (17.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education. Green Valley's four schools have a combined enrollment reaching 2,399 students. The educational mix in Green Valley includes two primary schools, one secondary school, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Green Valley found that there are currently 64 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 40 individual routes providing service. Each week, these routes collectively facilitate 2,702 passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents in Green Valley typically located approximately 151 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 386 trips per day across all routes, equating to roughly 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Green Valley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Green Valley's health outcomes data shows excellent results, notably for younger cohorts with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 49%, affecting around 6,269 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 52.5% and the national average of 55.3%. Diabetes and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions in the area, impacting 6.5% and 5.7% respectively.

About 77.3% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 77.9%. Green Valley has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.8%, with around 2,030 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Green Valley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Green Valley has a high level of cultural diversity, with 53.4% of its population born overseas and 71.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Green Valley, making up 49.7% of people. However, Buddhism is significantly more prevalent at 17.1%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 6.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (34.6%), Vietnamese (11.9%), and Australian (8.8%). Notably, Serbian (2.8%) and Spanish (1.4%) are overrepresented in Green Valley compared to regional averages of 1.9% and 1.0%, respectively. Lebanese ethnicity is also notable at 3.1%.

Green Valley's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Green Valley has a median age of 37 years, matching Greater Sydney's figure of 37 years and remaining close to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.0% of Green Valley's population compared to Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 35-44 age cohort makes up 11.2%. Between 2021 and the present day, the 65-74 age group has increased from 8.5% to 10.3% of Green Valley's population. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Green Valley's age structure. Notably, the 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 112%, reaching 1,147 people from its current total of 541. This growth is driven entirely by the aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising all of Green Valley's projected population growth. In contrast, the 55-64 and 45-54 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.