Green Valley
Statistical Area - sa2

Green Valley is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Green Valley's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 12,821 people. This figure represents a decrease of 98 individuals from the 2021 Census total of 12,919 people. The decrease is inferred from ABS estimates: 12,800 residents as of June 2024 and an additional 17 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,994 persons per square kilometer, placing Green Valley within the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.0% to recent population gains in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an overall decline in the area's population, with a projected reduction of 171 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 661 people over this period.

The level of residential development activity in Green Valley is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Green Valley has averaged approximately 20 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 104 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 7 approvals have been recorded. Despite experiencing population decline, housing supply in Green Valley has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $266,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year, there have been $1.1 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Green Valley shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 92.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. However, this activity is also below average nationally, which may reflect the area's maturity or possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Green Valley's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes.

With around 660 people per dwelling approval, Green Valley reflects a highly mature market. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Green Valley may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Green Valley has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are likely to impact the area: M7-M12 Integration Project, Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit Corridor, Canvas at Bonnyrigg, and Cecil Hills High School Upgrade.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Green Valley remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Green Valley has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 4.8% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.0% over the past year.

In June 2025, 6,288 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Green Valley was significantly lower at 49.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing employment levels were particularly notable, at 2.0 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services employed only 4.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 5.0% while labour force increased by 4.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Green Valley's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Green Valley's median income among taxpayers was $50,181 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $58,213 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Sydney had median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Green Valley's median income are approximately $56,509, and the average is around $65,554 as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 data, individual incomes lag at the 10th percentile ($580 weekly), while household income performs better at the 52nd percentile. Income brackets indicate that 34.6% of Green Valley's community falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band (consisting of 4,436 individuals). This is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 17.7% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 50th percentile.

Green Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Green Valley, as per the latest Census evaluation, 82.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 17.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is compared to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Green Valley was 32.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.3% and rented ones at 28.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,041, below Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent figure in Green Valley was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Green Valley's mortgage repayments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Green Valley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.9% of all households, including 51.6% couples with children, 17.2% couples without children, and 17.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.1%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Green Valley faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 17.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 27.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 10.1% and certificates at 17.7%. Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.0% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education. Green Valley's four schools have a combined enrollment of 2,399 students. The area has varied educational conditions across its schools, which include two primary schools, one secondary school, and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Green Valley has 64 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 40 different routes that together facilitate 2,702 weekly passenger trips. The average distance residents live from the nearest stop is 151 meters.

On average, there are 386 daily trips across all routes, equating to about 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Green Valley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Green Valley's health outcomes show exceptional results, with younger age groups having a very low prevalence of common health conditions. As of March 2021, approximately 49% of Green Valley's total population (~6,269 people) had private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 52.5%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

Diabetes and arthritis were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.5% and 5.7% of residents respectively, as of March 2021. A total of 77.3% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 77.9%. As of March 2021, Green Valley has 15.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,030 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require particular attention despite being strong overall.

Green Valley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Green Valley has a population where 53.4% were born overseas, with 71.0% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the prevalent religion, comprising 49.7%. Buddhism is notably higher than the Greater Sydney average at 17.1%.

Ancestry-wise, 'Other' is highest at 34.6%, Vietnamese at 11.9%, and Australian at 8.8%. Other notable groups include Serbian (2.8%), Spanish (1.4%), Lebanese (3.1%).

Green Valley's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Green Valley's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.0% of Green Valley's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort makes up 11.2%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 65 to 74 age group has increased from 8.5% to 10.3%. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Green Valley's age structure. Notably, the 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 112%, reaching 1,147 people from 541. This growth is driven entirely by an aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and above comprising all projected growth. Conversely, the 55 to 64 and 45 to 54 age groups are projected to experience population declines.