Green Valley
Statistical Area - sa2

Green Valley is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Green Valley's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 12,817. This figure represents a decrease from the 2021 Census count of 12,919 people, indicating a reduction of 102 individuals (0.8%). The estimated resident population in June 2024 was 12,800, with an additional 16 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this change. This results in a population density ratio of 3,992 persons per square kilometer, placing Green Valley within the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch and making land in the area highly sought after. Overseas migration drove primary population growth, accounting for approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is utilizing ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022, based on 2021 as the starting year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an overall decline over this period, with Green Valley's population projected to decrease by 171 persons by 2041 according to the methodology employed. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 661 people.

The level of residential development activity in Green Valley is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Green Valley has averaged approximately 20 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 104 homes. As of FY-26, 8 approvals have been recorded so far. Despite population decline in the area, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a well-balanced market with good buyer choice. The average expected construction cost value for new dwellings is $222,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers.

In FY-26, there have been $1.1 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Green Valley shows substantially reduced construction activity, with 92.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. The area's construction activity is also below national averages, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 88.0% detached dwellings and 12.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Green Valley's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

With around 660 people per dwelling approval, Green Valley reflects a highly mature market. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Green Valley may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Green Valley has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects that could impact this area. Key projects are the M7-M12 Integration Project, Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit Corridor, Canvas at Bonnyrigg, and Cecil Hills High School Upgrade. The following list details those most likely relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Green Valley remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Green Valley has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.8% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.0% over the past year.

There are 6,288 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.8%, which is 0.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Green Valley is lower at 49.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing has particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 2.0 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services employ only 4.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 5.0%, while labour force increased by 4.9%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Green Valley's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Green Valley's median income among taxpayers was $50,181 in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $58,213 during this period. In comparison, Greater Sydney had median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 12.61%, estimated median and average incomes in Green Valley as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,509 and $65,554 respectively. Census data from 2021 shows individual incomes at the 10th percentile were $580 weekly, while household incomes were at the 52nd percentile. Income brackets indicate that 34.6% of Green Valley's community (4,434 individuals) fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band, consistent with broader metropolitan trends showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consumed 17.7% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 50th percentile.

Green Valley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Green Valley's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 82.1% houses and 17.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Green Valley stood at 32.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.3% and rented dwellings at 28.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,041, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent in Green Valley was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Green Valley's median monthly mortgage repayments were higher at $2,041 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher at $450 compared to the national figure of $375.

Green Valley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.9% of all households, including 51.6% couples with children, 17.2% couples without children, and 17.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.1%, with lone person households at 10.9% and group households making up 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Green Valley faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has educational challenges with university qualification rates at 17.5%, significantly below Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 13.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 27.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.1%) and certificates (17.7%).

Educational participation is high at 31.4%, including primary education (10.0%), secondary education (9.7%), and tertiary education (6.1%). Green Valley's 4 schools have a combined enrollment of 2,399 students, serving varied educational conditions across the area. The educational mix includes 2 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Green Valley has 64 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 40 different routes that together facilitate 2,702 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located just 151 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 386 trips across all routes, which amounts to approximately 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Green Valley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Green Valley's health outcomes show notable results, with younger cohorts having a very low prevalence of common health conditions. As of approximately mid-2021, about 49% (~6,267 people) had private health cover, lower than Greater Sydney's 52.5%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

In Green Valley, diabetes and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.5 and 5.7% of residents respectively, while 77.3% reported being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 77.9%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.8% (2,030 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Green Valley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Green Valley has a high level of cultural diversity, with 53.4% of its population born overseas and 71.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Green Valley, making up 49.7% of people there, while Buddhism comprises 17.1%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 6.6%. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (34.6%), Vietnamese (11.9%), and Australian (8.8%).

Notably, Serbian, Spanish, and Lebanese ethnicities have higher representation in Green Valley compared to regional averages: Serbian at 2.8% vs 1.9%, Spanish at 1.4% vs 1.0%, and Lebanese at 3.1% vs 4.0%.

Green Valley's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Green Valley's median age stands at 37 years, matching Greater Sydney's figure and remaining comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.0%, higher than Greater Sydney, while the 35-44 cohort is less prevalent at 11.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 8.5% to 10.3%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Green Valley's age structure. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 112%, reaching 1,146 people from 540. The aging population trend is clear, with those aged 65 and above comprising all projected growth. Meanwhile, the 55-64 and 45-54 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.