Bonnyrigg

Bonnyrigg lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Bonnyrigg's population is estimated at around 10,025 people. This reflects an increase of 240 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,785 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 9,890 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 16 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,297 persons per square kilometer, placing Bonnyrigg in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bonnyrigg has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, Bonnyrigg is expected to expand by 2,050 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 19.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bonnyrigg according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bonnyrigg averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 140 homes were approved in the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, and another 14 have been approved so far in FY-26. On average, 0.8 new residents arrived per new home annually over these five years.

This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new homes was $365,000. In FY-26, there have been $790,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg shows approximately 62% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established homes.

Recent construction comprises 95.0% detached dwellings and 5.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (74.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes amid densification trends. The location has approximately 403 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Looking ahead, Bonnyrigg is expected to grow by 1,915 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bonnyrigg has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 19 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones include Canvas at Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct (Canvas), Bonnyrigg Town Hub Precinct (Stages 12-13), and Mounties Mount Pritchard Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Bonnyrigg shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Bonnyrigg has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.5% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.7% over the past year. This is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

In December 2025, 4,250 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.3% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Bonnyrigg was significantly lower at 55.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 25.8% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in manufacturing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Manufacturing stands out with employment levels at 2.4 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 5.3% of Bonnyrigg's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the year ending December 2025, employment increased by 5.7%, while labour force grew by 5.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest Bonnyrigg's employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Bonnyrigg's employment mix.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Bonnyrigg had a median taxpayer income of $43,667 and an average of $51,514. This is below the national average. Greater Sydney's median was $60,817 with an average of $83,003. By September 2025, estimates suggest Bonnyrigg's median income will be approximately $47,536 and average $56,078, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes in Bonnyrigg were at the 2nd percentile ($486 weekly), while household income was at the 28th percentile. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captured 30.1% of Bonnyrigg's community (3,017 individuals), similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represented 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 78.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 21st percentile.

Bonnyrigg is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Bonnyrigg's dwelling structure in its latest Census comprised 73.8% houses and 26.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonnyrigg was at 25.9%, with dwellings either mortgaged (29.4%) or rented (44.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Bonnyrigg was $374, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bonnyrigg's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Bonnyrigg features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.8% of all households, including 40.3% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 24.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.2%, with lone person households at 16.0% and group households comprising 1.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bonnyrigg faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 26.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 16.2%. Educational participation is high, with 33.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.4% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bonnyrigg has 65 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 51 different routes that collectively facilitate 4,127 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 141 metres from the nearest stop. Most Bonnyrigg residents commute outwards daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport for these residents at 88%, while only 6% use the train. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in Bonnyrigg, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, 25.8%, work from home, which may be reflective of COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages at 589 trips per day, equating to approximately 63 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bonnyrigg's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Bonnyrigg residents' health data shows positive outcomes overall. Mortality rates and health conditions are similar to national benchmarks. Common health conditions affect both young and old age groups equally.

Private health cover is low, at 47% (around 4,748 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%. Diabetes and asthma are most common, affecting 6.8% and 5.8% respectively. 75.1% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Under-65 residents have better health outcomes. Bonnyrigg has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over, at 18.2% (1,824 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. National rankings for this age group are broadly in line with the general population.

Bonnyrigg is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnyrigg has a culturally diverse population with 57.0% born overseas and 74.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Bonnyrigg, comprising 44.4%. Buddhism is overrepresented at 30.5%, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 4.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (30.0%), Vietnamese (23.9%), and Chinese (12.4%), all substantially higher than regional averages. Notably, Serbian (2.5%) and Spanish (1.0%) are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5% each, while Samoan is also notable at 1.3%.

Bonnyrigg's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bonnyrigg has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and being comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 15-24 age group makes up 15.8% of Bonnyrigg's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. The 35-44 cohort is less prevalent in Bonnyrigg at 12.2%. Between 2021 and the present day, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 5.8%, while the 15 to 24 cohort rose from 14.3% to 15.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 12.6% to 11.1%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Bonnyrigg's age structure. The 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 96%, adding 556 people and reaching 1,138 from 581. This aging population trend is evident with those aged 65 and above comprising 58% of the projected growth. The 55 to 64 age group shows more modest growth at 1%, adding only 9 residents.