Bonnyrigg

Bonnyrigg lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Bonnyrigg as of November 2025 is around 9,922 people. This reflects an increase of 137 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,785 people in the suburb. The change is inferred from the resident population estimate of 9,890 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 54 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,263 persons per square kilometer, placing Bonnyrigg in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bonnyrigg has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.6%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, an above median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected for Bonnyrigg, with the suburb expected to increase by 2,041 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 20.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bonnyrigg according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Bonnyrigg has seen approximately 27 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 138 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of around 0.7 new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand. The average construction value of new properties is $365,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

Additionally, $5.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, reflecting the area's residential character. Comparatively, Bonnyrigg shows approximately 61% of the construction activity per person relative to Greater Sydney and places among the 35th percentile of areas assessed nationally. This suggests limited choices for buyers, supporting demand for existing dwellings, and indicates the area's established nature with potential planning limitations. The new building activity shows 94.0% detached houses and 6.0% attached dwellings, sustaining Bonnyrigg's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (74.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. With around 470 people per dwelling approval, Bonnyrigg shows a developed market. Population forecasts indicate Bonnyrigg will gain 2,019 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Bonnyrigg has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects that could affect the region. Notable initiatives include Canvas at Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct, Bonnyrigg Town Hub Precinct (Stages 12-13), and Mounties Mount Pritchard Upgrade. The following list outlines those likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Bonnyrigg shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Bonnyrigg's workforce is skilled with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.2% as of June 2024.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.4%. As of June 2025, Bonnyrigg had 4,226 residents employed, an unemployment rate of 5.2%, and a workforce participation rate of 41.6%. Leading employment industries were manufacturing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Manufacturing was particularly specialized with an employment share 2.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 5.3% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities appeared limited locally based on Census data comparison of working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.4% while labour force grew by 4.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. By contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bonnyrigg's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Bonnyrigg had a median income among taxpayers of $43,667 in financial year 2022. The average income was $51,514 during the same period. This is lower than the national average and compares to levels of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $49,173 (median) and $58,010 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals individual incomes lag at the 2nd percentile ($486 weekly), while household income performs better at the 28th percentile. Income analysis reveals that 30.1% of Bonnyrigg's population earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (2,986 individuals). This mirrors the broader area where 30.9% occupy this earnings bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Bonnyrigg, with only 78.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 21st percentile.

Bonnyrigg is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Bonnyrigg's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 73.8% houses and 26.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 73.3% houses and 26.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonnyrigg stood at 25.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.4% and rented ones at 44.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Bonnyrigg was $374, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Bonnyrigg's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Bonnyrigg features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 82.8% of all households, including 40.3% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 24.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.2%, with lone person households at 16.0% and group households comprising 1.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Bonnyrigg faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates at 15.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 26.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 16.2%. Educational participation is high, with 33.0% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (10.4%), secondary (10.3%), and tertiary (5.8%).

Bonnyrigg's three schools have a combined enrollment of 2,734 students, serving distinct age groups with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 964). The area functions as an education hub, offering 27.6 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.4, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bonnyrigg has 54 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops service a mix of bus routes totaling 51 individual routes. Together, these routes facilitate 3,952 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Bonnyrigg is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 142 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 564 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 73 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Bonnyrigg is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Bonnyrigg shows better-than-average health outcomes with fewer common health conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, older and at-risk cohorts have higher prevalence rates.

Approximately 47% of Bonnyrigg's total population (~4,700 people) has private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%. Diabetes and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.8% and 5.8% of residents respectively. 75.1% of Bonnyrigg's residents report having no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 75.6%. The area has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 17.3% (1,716 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 19.0%, but these older residents may require more healthcare attention than the broader population.

Bonnyrigg is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnyrigg has a population that is highly diverse culturally, with 57.0% born overseas and 74.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bonnyrigg, making up 44.4% of its population. However, Buddhism is significantly more prevalent here compared to Greater Sydney's average, comprising 30.5%.

The top three ancestry groups based on parents' country of birth are Other (30.0%), Vietnamese (23.9%), and Chinese (12.4%). Notably, Serbian (2.5%) and Samoan (1.3%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Bonnyrigg compared to regional averages.

Bonnyrigg's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bonnyrigg has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The population aged 15-24 is strongly represented at 15.6%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort stands at 13.0%, lower compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and present, Bonnyrigg's 75-84 age group has grown from 3.7% to 5.3% of the population, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 14.3% to 15.6%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 12.6% to 11.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Bonnyrigg's age structure. Notably, the 75-84 group is expected to grow by 116%, adding 612 people and reaching a total of 1,138 from its previous figure of 525. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 60% of the projected growth. The 35-44 age group, however, shows modest growth of just 1%, adding only 12 residents.