Bonnyrigg

Bonnyrigg lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the population of the suburb of Bonnyrigg is estimated at approximately 10,025 people. This figure represents an increase of 240 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 9,785. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of resident population data from the latest ERP release by the ABS in June 2024. This population level results in a density ratio of 3,297 persons per square kilometer, placing Bonnyrigg in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, the suburb of Bonnyrigg has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.6%. This growth outpaced the SA3 area and was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb of Bonnyrigg is expected to increase its population by 2,049 persons to reach a total of 12,074 people by the year 2041. This projected growth reflects an increase of 19.3% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bonnyrigg according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Bonnyrigg saw approximately 28 new home approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 140 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 13 approvals have been recorded. This results in around 0.7 new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. In Bonnyrigg, commercial approvals reached $790,000 this financial year.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg accounts for about 62% of building activity per person, placing it in the 41st percentile nationally. New development comprises 94.0% detached dwellings and 6.0% townhouses or apartments. With around 403 people per dwelling approval, Bonnyrigg indicates a developed market. Future projections estimate Bonnyrigg to add approximately 1,935 residents by 2041.

Future projections show Bonnyrigg adding 1,935 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bonnyrigg has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely to affect the area. Notable projects include Canvas at Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct (Canvas), Bonnyrigg Town Hub Precinct (Stages 12-13), and Mounties Mount Pritchard Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Bonnyrigg shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Bonnyrigg has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.2% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.2% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of this date, 4,201 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.0% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Bonnyrigg was significantly lower at 54.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses indicated that 25.8% of residents worked from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment among residents is concentrated in manufacturing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Bonnyrigg has a particular employment specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share of 2.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have limited presence at 5.3%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment in Bonnyrigg increased by 5.2% while labour force grew by 4.1%, resulting in a decrease in unemployment by 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, labour force grow by 2.4%, and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Bonnyrigg's employment mix suggests that local employment should increase by 5.7% over five years and 12.4% over ten years, although these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not take into account localised population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Bonnyrigg had a median taxpayer income of $43,667 and an average income of $51,514. Nationally, the median was $60,817 and the average was $83,003 in Greater Sydney. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $47,536 (median) and $56,078 (average), based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes were at the 2nd percentile ($486 weekly), while household income was at the 28th percentile. In Bonnyrigg, 30.1% of individuals had incomes between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the regional average of 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 78.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 21st percentile.

Bonnyrigg is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Bonnyrigg's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 73.8% houses and 26.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonnyrigg was at 25.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.4% and rented ones at 44.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Bonnyrigg was $374, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bonnyrigg's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Bonnyrigg features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.8% of all households, including 40.3% couples with children, 16.5% couples without children, and 24.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.2%, with lone person households at 16.0% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bonnyrigg faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 15.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.3%) and graduate diplomas (0.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (16.2%). Educational participation is high, with 33.0% currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.4% in primary, 10.3% in secondary, and 5.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 10.3% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bonnyrigg has 65 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 51 different routes that collectively facilitate 4,127 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 141 meters from the nearest stop. Most Bonnyrigg residents commute outwards daily, primarily using cars (88%), while only 6% use trains for their journeys. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in Bonnyrigg, which is higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents work from home, with this figure standing at 25.8%.

This may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency for all routes combined averages 589 trips per day, equating to approximately 63 weekly trips per stop.

Bonnyrigg's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Bonnyrigg's health data shows positive outcomes for its residents. Mortality rates and health conditions are largely similar to national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover is low, at approximately 47% of the total population (~4,748 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%. Diabetes and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.8% and 5.8% of residents respectively. 75.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Under-65 population health outcomes are better than average. The area has a higher proportion of residents aged 65 and over, at 18.1% (1,814 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. National rankings for this age group are broadly in line with the general population.

Bonnyrigg is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnyrigg has one of the highest cultural diversities in Australia, with 57.0% of its residents born overseas. A majority, 74.9%, speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bonnyrigg, practiced by 44.4% of people.

However, Buddhism is significantly more prevalent here compared to Greater Sydney, with 30.5% of Bonnyrigg residents practicing it. In terms of ancestry, the top groups are 'Other' (30.0%), Vietnamese (23.9%), and Chinese (12.4%). These figures are notably higher than regional averages for these groups. Additionally, Serbian (2.5%), Spanish (1.0%), and Samoan (1.3%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Bonnyrigg compared to regional averages.

Bonnyrigg's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Bonnyrigg has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 15-24 age group makes up 15.9% of Bonnyrigg's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 35-44 cohort is lower at 12.2%. Between 2021 and now, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 5.8%, and the 15-24 group has risen from 14.3% to 15.9%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 12.6% to 11.1%, and the 5-14 age group has fallen from 13.7% to 12.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Bonnyrigg's age structure. The 75-84 group is expected to grow by 95%, adding 554 people and reaching 1,136 from 581. The population aged 65 and above will comprise 58% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 55-64 age group will experience modest growth of 1%, with an increase of just 11 residents.