Bonnyrigg Heights

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bonnyrigg Heights reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Bonnyrigg Heights is around 7,600. This represents an increase of 231 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,369. The growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 7,531 residents following their examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of eight new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,534 persons per square kilometer, placing Bonnyrigg Heights in the upper quartile relative to other national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 3.1% growth since the census is within 1.3 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 4.4%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% of Bonnyrigg Heights' population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for Bonnyrigg Heights, with an expected increase of 1,499 persons to 2041, reflecting an 18.8% total increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bonnyrigg Heights, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Bonnyrigg Heights has experienced approximately 16 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 83 homes. In FY-26 so far, 10 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.3 new residents arrive per new home annually between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, recent data shows this has intensified to 5.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $365,000. This year, there have been $5.3 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to Greater Sydney, where Bonnyrigg Heights has significantly less development activity (52.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. New development consists of 95.0% detached houses and 5.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 599 people per dwelling approval, Bonnyrigg Heights reflects a highly mature market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 1,430 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Bonnyrigg Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to affect this region. Notable projects include Canvas at Bonnyrigg, Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal - Humphries Precinct (Canvas), Bonnyrigg Estate Renewal, and the M7-M12 Integration Project. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Bonnyrigg Heights recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Bonnyrigg Heights has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors well-represented. The unemployment rate was 5.7% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.7% over the past year (AreaSearch data). As of December 2025, 3,568 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was lower at 59.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Census data showed that 31.4% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in retail trade, manufacturing, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing employment is particularly high at 2.1 times the regional level, while professional & technical services are lower at 5.8%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.7% and labour force increased by 5.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Bonnyrigg Heights' employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment profile.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 reports Bonnyrigg Heights' median taxpayer income at $51,034 and average at $60,205. This is below the national average. Greater Sydney has a median of $60,817 and an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 are approximately $55,556 (median) and $65,539 (average). Census data shows individual income at the 8th percentile ($568 weekly), while household income is at the 61st percentile. Income distribution reveals that 33.1% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually, mirroring regional levels at 30.9%. After housing expenses, 85.8% of income remains for other expenses.

Bonnyrigg Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bonnyrigg Heights' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 95.9% houses and 4.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bonnyrigg Heights was 41.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.5% and rented ones at 20.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,038, lower than Sydney metro's $2,427. Median weekly rent in Bonnyrigg Heights was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bonnyrigg Heights' mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bonnyrigg Heights features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 89.7% of all households, consisting of 50.6% couples with children, 19.6% couples without children, and 18.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 10.3%, with lone person households at 9.3% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Bonnyrigg Heights fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 18.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.4%) and graduate diplomas (0.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 25.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.4%) and certificates (16.3%). Educational participation is high, with 30.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.9% in secondary, 9.0% in primary, and 6.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in secondary education, 9.0% in primary education, and 6.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 61 active public transport stops in Bonnyrigg Heights, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 54 individual routes, facilitating a total of 2,595 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically situated 128 meters from the nearest stop. The area, predominantly residential, sees most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 90%, while train usage stands at 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

A significant 31.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions). Service frequency averages 370 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bonnyrigg Heights's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Bonnyrigg Heights. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups, as assessed by AreaSearch.

Private health cover was found to be relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~3,858 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and diabetes, impacting 6.4% and 6.4% of residents respectively. 76.3% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents showed low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,421 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Bonnyrigg Heights is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bonnyrigg Heights, as per the 2016 Census, has a population where 54.4% were born overseas. At home, 72.4% speak a language other than English. Christianity is the main religion, practiced by 55.1%.

Buddhism, however, is significantly higher at 22.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 4.1%. In terms of ancestry, 'Other' comprises 32.6%, Vietnamese 15.4%, and Chinese 11.4%. Notably, Serbian (5.9%) and Samoan (1.2%) are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5% each, while Spanish is at 0.8% versus the region's 0.6%.

Bonnyrigg Heights's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Bonnyrigg Heights as of the 2021 Census was 38 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bonnyrigg Heights had a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (11.8%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (10.5%). Between the 2016 and 2021 Censuses, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 increased from 3.7% to 5.9%, while those aged 15 to 24 rose from 15.0% to 16.5%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45 to 54 decreased from 13.2% to 11.6%. By 2041, Bonnyrigg Heights is projected to experience significant shifts in its age composition. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 96%, adding 432 people and reaching a total of 881. Those aged 65 and above are projected to comprise 54% of the population growth. The 35 to 44 age group, however, is expected to show more modest growth of 3%, with an increase of only 20 residents.