Cabramatta West

Population growth drivers in Cabramatta West are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Cabramatta West's population is estimated at around 7,935 people. This figure reflects an increase of 113 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,822. AreaSearch validated this estimate following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and additional 18 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of approximately 4,336 persons per square kilometer, placing Cabramatta West within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in 2025, the suburb has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.8%, outperforming its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 69.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Applying growth rates by age group from these aggregations to all areas, the suburb is expected to grow by 193 persons to reach 8,128 people by 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 2.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Cabramatta West according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Cabramatta West recorded around 33 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 166 homes. So far in FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), there was an average of only 0.2 people moving to the area for each dwelling built, suggesting new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand.

The average construction value of new homes was $364,000, below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY-26, $1.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabramatta West maintains similar construction rates per person, preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. New building activity shows 69.0% standalone homes and 31.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points.

This is a considerable change from the current housing mix of 86.0% houses, indicating reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 213 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates Cabramatta West to grow by 204 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Cabramatta West has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts local performance. AreaSearch identified eight projects likely affecting the area. Notable projects include Mount Pritchard Public School Preschool, Cabramatta West Estate Renewal, Mounties Mount Pritchard Upgrade, and The Vale - Cabramatta West. Relevant projects are listed below.

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AreaSearch assessment indicates Cabramatta West faces employment challenges relative to the majority of Australian markets

Cabramatta West has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 7.4% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.6%. Residents' key industries of employment are manufacturing, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Manufacturing shows notable concentration with levels at 2.8 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have lower representation at 4.9% compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

The area's workforce participation is significantly lower than Greater Sydney's rate, at 41.3% versus 60.0%. Employment levels increased by 5.6% and labour force grew by 4.2% in Cabramatta West during the year to June 2025, leading to a decrease in unemployment of 1.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (Sep-22) project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cabramatta West's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.5% over five years and 12.1% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Cabramatta West had a median income among taxpayers of $43,814 and an average level of $51,801. Both figures are below the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated median income is approximately $49,339 and average income is around $58,333 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, individual incomes are at the 2nd percentile ($481 weekly), while household incomes perform better at the 36th percentile. Income distribution shows 30.0% of the population (2,380 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 34th percentile.

Cabramatta West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Cabramatta West's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.6% houses and 14.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 73.3% houses and 26.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cabramatta West was at 31.9%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.2% and rented ones at 39.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, below Sydney metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent was $380 compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Cabramatta West's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Cabramatta West features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.7% of all households, including 41.0% couples with children, 15.5% couples without children, and 25.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.3%, with lone person households at 13.7% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.2.

Educational outcomes in Cabramatta West fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational pathways account for 20.1% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 7.3% and certificates at 12.8%. Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.3% in secondary, 9.8% in primary, and 6.4% in tertiary education.

Harrington Street Public School serves Cabramatta West, enrolling 817 students as of a typical Australian school condition (ICSEA: 993). The school focuses on primary education only, with secondary options available nearby. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average (10.3 vs 17.4), indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cabramatta West has 34 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 18 different routes that together facilitate 1,025 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located 149 meters from the nearest stop.

Buses run an average of 146 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 30 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cabramatta West's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cabramatta West shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with very low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 47%, covering around 3,767 people, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are diabetes (6.0%) and arthritis (5.2%), while 78.1% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 75.6% in Greater Sydney. The area has a smaller proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 16.8%, or around 1,333 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 19.0%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's profile.

Cabramatta West is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cabramatta West, as of the data provided, has a population where 59.0% were born overseas and 79.5% speak a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Cabramatta West is Buddhism, practiced by 39.7% of its residents, compared to 21.7% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Vietnamese (34.4%), Other (19.2%), and Chinese (17.1%).

These figures differ from regional averages: Vietnamese is higher (17.8%), Other is lower (32.7%), and Chinese is higher (12.0%). Notably, Serbian (2.0% vs 1.8%), Samoan (2.5% vs 1.0%), and Lebanese (1.2% vs 1.8%) ethnic groups are overrepresented in Cabramatta West compared to regional averages.

Cabramatta West's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Cabramatta West has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group comprises 13.3% of Cabramatta West's population compared to Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 35-44 cohort makes up 11.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 7.8% to 9.3%, while the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 13.2% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Cabramatta West's age structure. Notably, the 75-84 group is projected to grow by 86%, reaching 709 people from its current total of 380. This growth reflects an aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 84% of projected population growth. Conversely, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.