Middleton Grange

Middleton Grange lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Middleton Grange is around 7,911, reflecting an increase of 868 people since the Census in 2021. The population in 2021 was reported as 7,043. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,894 based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 147 validated new addresses since the Census date. Middleton Grange's population density stands at 3,102 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile compared to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth of 12.3% since the 2021 census exceeds both the state average of 7.1% and Greater Sydney's growth rate. Natural growth contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where necessary, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Based on these aggregations, Middleton Grange is expected to increase by 527 persons to reach an estimated population of approximately 8,438 by the year 2041, reflecting a total increase of 6.5% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Middleton Grange among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis shows Middleton Grange averaging approximately 44 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, about 220 homes were approved, with an additional 15 in FY-26 so far. This results in around 4.7 new residents per year for every home built over the past five financial years, indicating significant demand exceeding supply.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $494,000, targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26, $84.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Middleton Grange has significantly less development activity, which is 67.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. New development consists of 74.0% detached dwellings and 26.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

This shows a considerable shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 91.0% houses. Middleton Grange indicates a mature market with approximately 348 people per approval. Future projections estimate an addition of 510 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Middleton Grange has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones are Fifteenth Avenue Business Hub, Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit (FAST) Corridor, Hoxton Park Recycled Water Scheme, and Hoxton Park 12 houses. Relevant details follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Middleton Grange performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Middleton Grange has a skilled labour force with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.4% as of the past year's data aggregation from statistical areas by AreaSearch. Employment growth over this period was estimated at 7.4%.

As of December 2025, 4,443 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Middleton Grange was 78.0%, higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 39.8% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.

The area shows strong specialisation in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, employment increased by 7.4% while labour force grew by 7.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal increase in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Middleton Grange's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Middleton Grange has an income level above the national average, according to the latest data from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO), aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Middleton Grange is $59,014, with an average income of $71,753. These figures compare to those for Greater Sydney, which are $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 10.32% since the financial year 2023, current estimates suggest the median income would be approximately $65,104 and the average income $79,158 by March 2026. According to Census 2021 data, household incomes in Middleton Grange rank at the 85th percentile, with a weekly income of $2,344. The largest segment of income earners in Middleton Grange comprises 39.7% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, with 3,140 residents falling into this category. This is consistent with broader trends across regional levels, where 30.9% of residents earn within the same income bracket. Middleton Grange demonstrates considerable affluence, with 33.2% of its residents earning over $3,000 per week, which supports premium retail and service offerings in the area. High housing costs consume 21.3% of income in Middleton Grange, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 77th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Middleton Grange is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Middleton Grange's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Middleton Grange was at 10.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.1% and rented ones at 27.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,500, above Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Middleton Grange was $520, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Middleton Grange features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 91.2% of all households, including 63.6% couples with children, 14.2% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 8.8%, with lone person households at 8.0% and group households making up 0.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Middleton Grange exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 19.4%. Educational participation is high, with 37.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 15.8% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 11 active stops operating within Middleton Grange. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 30 individual routes that provide 831 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 460 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, with car being the dominant mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 39.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 118 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 75 weekly trips per individual stop.

Middleton Grange's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Middleton Grange. AreaSearch's assessment indicates low mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, particularly among younger cohorts who have a very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is found to be high at approximately 55% of the total population (~4,373 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 4.9 and 3.7% of residents respectively. A total of 84.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Middleton Grange has 7.5% of residents aged 65 and over (593 people), which is lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

Middleton Grange is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Middleton Grange has a high level of cultural diversity, with 42.3% of its population born overseas and 57.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Middleton Grange, making up 69.0% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Other (37.7%), Australian (12.2%), and English (8.1%).

Notably, Serbian (3.3%) is overrepresented in Middleton Grange compared to the regional average of 0.5%. Croatian (2.0%) and Spanish (0.9%) also have higher representation than the regional averages of 0.7% and 0.6%, respectively.

Middleton Grange hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Middleton Grange's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Middleton Grange has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (18.1%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4.7%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is above the national average of 12.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, demographic aging has occurred with the median age increasing from 31 years to 32 years. The 15 to 24 age group grew from 11.9% to 14.4%, while the 55 to 64 age group increased from 6.6% to 8.0%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 age group declined from 10.2% to 8.1%, and the 5 to 14 age group decreased from 20.2% to 18.1%. By 2041, Middleton Grange's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 65 to 74 age cohort is expected to grow by 51%, adding 188 residents to reach 560. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age cohorts are predicted to experience population declines.