Middleton Grange

Middleton Grange lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Middleton Grange has an estimated population of approximately 7,911 as of May 2026, according to analysis of ABS population updates for the wider region and new address data validated by AreaSearch since the Census. This represents an expansion of 868 people (12.3%) from the 2021 Census, which counted 7,043 people. The calculation is based on a resident population of 7,894 estimated by AreaSearch from the latest ABS ERP release in June 2025, combined with an additional 147 validated new addresses registered since the Census. The resulting population density is 3,102 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top quartile of national areas evaluated by AreaSearch. The growth rate of 12.3% since the 2021 census outpaced both the state (7.1%) and Greater Sydney, making the area a regional leader in expansion. Population gains were mostly fueled by natural increase, which accounted for roughly 60.0% of the total growth during recent times.

AreaSearch utilizes ABS and Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline year. For any SA2 locations lacking this information, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 using 2021 as the baseline are employed. The age group growth rates derived from these sources are also applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic patterns, the area is anticipated to experience population growth slightly below the median of statistical districts analyzed by AreaSearch, with projections indicating an expansion of 527 persons to 2041, representing a total increase of 6.5% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Middleton Grange when compared nationally

Middleton Grange has averaged approximately 43 new residential approvals annually, with an estimated 218 dwellings approved over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 18 approvals recorded during FY-26 so far, based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approvals allocated from statistical area data. An average of 5 people relocated to the suburb for each new home built during the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), indicating that demand is outpacing supply, which typically increases buyer competition and exerts upward pressure on prices, with new homes built at an average estimated cost of $494,000, suggesting developers are targeting the high-end segment with premium projects. Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $84.9 million in the current financial year, demonstrating strong non-residential development activity.

Middleton Grange exhibits much lower construction activity compared to Greater Sydney, registering 68.0% below the metropolitan average on a per-person basis. This limited supply of new builds generally supports the valuation and demand for established homes. The mix of new construction consists of 76.0% standalone houses and 24.0% attached homes, preserving the suburban character of the area with a focus on spacious family residences. With approximately 458 people per building approval, the suburb presents characteristics of a mature property market.

Middleton Grange is projected to add 510 residents to 2041, based on the latest quarterly demographic projections from AreaSearch. Given current building trends, the supply of new housing is expected to easily accommodate this growth, offering favorable conditions for purchasers and potentially enabling growth beyond current forecasts.

Middleton Grange has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and major works are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 5 projects likely to impact the locality. Important projects include the Fifteenth Avenue Business Hub, Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit (FAST) Corridor, Hoxton Park Recycled Water Scheme, and Hoxton Park 12 houses, with details on the most relevant works provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Middleton Grange ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Middleton Grange has a skilled local workforce with a strong presence in essential services, showing an unemployment rate of only 2.5% and estimated job growth of 6.6% over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregations of statistical area data. In March 2026, 4,453 residents were employed, and the local unemployment rate was 1.6% lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%, while workforce participation stood high at 78.3% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census responses indicated that a significant 39.8% of residents worked from home, although this figure may be influenced by pandemic-related lockdowns.

The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The suburb displays a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with its employment share in this sector reaching 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services are underrepresented, accounting for just 6.0% of the local workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. A comparison between the census working population and the resident population suggests the local neighborhood offers limited jobs within its boundaries.

According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from wider geographic regions, the 12-month period saw employment rise by 6.6% while the labour force expanded by 6.7%, keeping the rate of unemployment essentially unchanged. In comparison, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 1.9%, labour force expansion of 1.9%, and a minor drop in unemployment. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context on future demand in Middleton Grange. These five and ten-year forecasts have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential growth. Although overall national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates vary significantly by sector. Applying these industry-specific projections to the local workforce suggests employment in Middleton Grange will grow by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, representing a basic weighted extrapolation for comparison that does not incorporate local population forecasts.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Income levels in the suburb of Middleton Grange exceed the national average according to ATO figures aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Taxpayers in the suburb of Middleton Grange recorded a median income of $59,014 and an average income of $71,753, compared to Greater Sydney averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on a 10.32% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, local income estimates would be approximately $65,104 for the median and $79,158 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census indicates household incomes are highly ranked at the 85th percentile, with a weekly median of $2,344. The largest income bracket is the 39.7% of households (representing 3,140 residents) earning between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, which aligns with the regional trend of 30.9% in the same bracket. The area displays high relative wealth, with 33.2% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, which assists in supporting high-end retail and local services. Residential costs account for 21.3% of income, yet solid earnings keep disposable income at the 77th percentile, and the SEIFA index places the suburb in the 7th decile for income.

Middleton Grange is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

According to the latest Census, residential dwellings in Middleton Grange consisted of 90.6% standalone houses and 9.4% alternative dwellings, such as semi-detached houses, apartments, and other configurations, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings in the Sydney metropolitan area. Home ownership in Middleton Grange was recorded at 10.8%, with mortgaged properties accounting for 62.1% and rental properties making up 27.1% of local dwellings. The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,500 was higher than the Sydney metropolitan average of $2,427, and the median weekly rent was $520 compared to the regional median of $470. On a national level, mortgage costs in Middleton Grange are considerably higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also well above the national median of $375.

Middleton Grange features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households represent 91.2% of all households in the area, consisting of couples with children at 63.6%, couples without children at 14.2%, and single-parent households at 12.6%. The remaining 8.8% of households are non-family arrangements, consisting of single-person households at 8.0% and group households at 0.7%. The median household size of 3.6 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Middleton Grange exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The region shows lower rates of university completion, with 25.6% of residents holding a tertiary qualification compared to the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This indicates an area where targeted educational initiatives could be beneficial. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 5.0% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational and technical training is common, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, consisting of advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 19.4%.

A high proportion of residents are engaged in studies, with 37.9% of the local population currently enrolled in education. This group consists of 15.8% in primary school, 9.5% in high school, and 5.2% in higher education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of transit options shows 11 active bus stops operating in Middleton Grange. These stops are served by 30 separate routes, which combine to provide 831 weekly trips. Transit accessibility is moderate, with residents living an average of 460 meters from their nearest stop. Because this is a residential suburb, the majority of workers travel outside the area, and cars remain the primary method of travel at 93%. Households average 1.9 vehicles, which is above the metropolitan average. A high proportion of residents (39.8%) worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may be reflective of pandemic conditions.

Service frequency averages 118 trips per day across all active routes, which represents approximately 75 weekly trips for each individual stop.

Middleton Grange's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health indicators show strong outcomes across Middleton Grange, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality and chronic conditions. Younger cohorts demonstrate low rates of common health issues, and private health insurance coverage is high, representing approximately 55% of the local population (~4,373 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent health issues reported locally were asthma at 4.9% and arthritis at 3.7% of residents, while 84.5% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Residents aged 65 and over make up 7.5% of the local population (593 people), which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. Health outcomes for local seniors are above the national average, though they rank lower nationally than the younger cohorts in the suburb.

Middleton Grange is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Middleton Grange exhibits high levels of cultural diversity, with 42.3% of the population born outside Australia and 57.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 69.0% of local residents, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of parental country of birth, the main ancestries represented are Other at 37.7% of the population (compared to the regional average of 16.0%), Australian at 12.2% (compared to the regional average of 17.8%), and English at 8.1% (compared to the regional average of 19.0%). There are also notable differences in specific ethnic backgrounds: Serbian ancestry represents 3.3% of the population in Middleton Grange (compared to 0.5% regionally), Croatian is at 2.0% (compared to 0.7%), and Spanish is at 0.9% (compared to 0.6%).

Middleton Grange hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

The median age in Middleton Grange is 32 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38. The suburb has a higher concentration of residents aged 5 - 14 (18.1%) compared to Greater Sydney, but fewer residents aged 65 - 74 (4.7%). This concentration of 5 - 14 year-olds is higher than the national average of 12.0%. Demographic changes since the 2021 Census show the median age has shifted from 31 to 32 years. Significant shifts include the 15 to 24 cohort expanding from 11.9% to 14.4% of the population, and the 55 to 64 group increasing from 6.6% to 8.0%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 group declined from 10.2% to 8.1%, and the 5 to 14 cohort fell from 20.2% to 18.1%. Projections suggest the age structure of Middleton Grange will change by 2041, with the 65 to 74 group showing the highest growth at 51%, adding 188 residents to reach a total of 560, while the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 groups are expected to decrease.