Middleton Grange

Middleton Grange lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of Middleton Grange is around 7,648, reflecting an increase of 605 people since the 2021 Census. The population was reported as 7,043 in the 2021 Census. This increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,579 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 145 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density ratio is 2,999 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Middleton Grange's population growth of 8.6% since the 2021 census exceeded the state average of 7.8%. Natural growth contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase its population by 549 persons to 2041, reflecting a growth of 6.3% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Middleton Grange according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Middleton Grange shows an average of approximately 44 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 220 homes were approved, with a further 14 approved so far in FY-26. This averages out to about 0.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these five years.

The average construction value of new homes is approximately $494,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26 alone, commercial development approvals totalled $84.9 million, suggesting significant local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Middleton Grange has significantly less development activity, with 68.0% fewer approvals per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. The current new development mix consists of approximately 74.0% detached dwellings and 26.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (91.0%). Middleton Grange reflects a transitioning market with around 332 people per approval. Future projections estimate that Middleton Grange will add approximately 480 residents by 2041, indicating that at current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand and potentially support growth beyond current population projections.

Middleton Grange has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified five projects that could affect this region. Major projects include the Fifteenth Avenue Business Hub, Hoxton Park Recycled Water Scheme, Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreation Centre, and Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit (FAST) Corridor. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Middleton Grange ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Middleton Grange has a skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.3% as of December 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.5%.

Residents' participation in the workforce was high at 75.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 39.8% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The area has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 6.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.5% while labour force grew by 5.1%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Middleton Grange's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Middleton Grange has an above average income level according to the latest data from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO), aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Middleton Grange is $59,014, and the average income stands at $71,753. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median income is $60,817 and average income is $83,003. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $64,243 (median) and $78,110 (average). Census data from 2021 shows that household incomes in Middleton Grange rank at the 85th percentile with a weekly income of $2,344. The largest segment of income distribution comprises 39.7% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, which includes 3,036 residents. This is consistent with broader trends across regional levels where 30.9% fall into the same category. Middleton Grange demonstrates affluence with 33.2% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 21.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 77th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Middleton Grange is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Middleton Grange, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings including semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. In Middleton Grange, the level of home ownership was recorded at 10.8%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 62.1% and rented properties making up 27.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500 as of June 2021, while the median weekly rent figure stood at $520 during the same period. Nationally, Middleton Grange's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 recorded in December 2020, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 reported in March 2021.

Middleton Grange features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 91.2% of all households, including 63.6% couples with children, 14.2% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 8.8%, with lone person households at 8.0% and group households making up 0.7%. The median household size is 3.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Middleton Grange exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.0% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 19.4%. Educational participation is high, with 37.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 15.8% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 11 active stops operating within Middleton Grange. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 30 individual routes that provide 831 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 460 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's residential nature, with car being the dominant mode at 93%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 39.8% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 118 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 75 weekly trips per individual stop.

Middleton Grange's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Middleton Grange. AreaSearch's assessment found low mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, particularly in younger cohorts.

Approximately 55% (~4,228 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common conditions are asthma (4.9%) and arthritis (3.7%). 84.5% of residents reported no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Middleton Grange has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 7.2% (550 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Middleton Grange is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Middleton Grange has a high level of cultural diversity, with 42.3% of its population born overseas and 57.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Middleton Grange, representing 69.0% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Middleton Grange are Other (37.7%), Australian (12.2%), and English (8.1%).

The representation of Other is significantly higher than the regional average of 16.0%, while Australian and English are notably lower than their respective averages of 17.8% and 19.0%. Notably, Serbian (3.3%) Croatian (2.0%), and Spanish (0.9%) ethnic groups are overrepresented in Middleton Grange compared to the regional averages of 0.5%, 0.7%, and 0.6% respectively.

Middleton Grange hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Middleton Grange's median age is 32 years, which is notably younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Middleton Grange has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 years (18.6%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 years (4.4%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.1%. According to post-2021 Census data, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 years has increased from 11.9% to 14.1%, while the proportion of those aged 55-64 years has risen from 6.6% to 7.9%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 years has decreased from 20.0% to 18.3%, and the proportion of those aged 5-14 years has dropped from 20.2% to 18.6%. Demographic modeling indicates that Middleton Grange's age profile is projected to change significantly by 2041. The number of residents aged 65-74 years is expected to grow by 54%, adding 180 residents to reach a total of 517. However, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts.