Middleton Grange

Middleton Grange lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Middleton Grange statistical area (Lv2) is around 7,640. This figure represents an increase of 597 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,043. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, showing a resident population of 7,579 plus an additional 143 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,996 persons per square kilometer, placing Middleton Grange (SA2) in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's 8.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeds the state average of 7.6%, indicating it is a growth leader regionally. Natural growth contributed approximately 60.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. These projections are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, the Middleton Grange (SA2) is expected to increase by 488 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 0.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Middleton Grange according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Middleton Grange averaged around 44 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 221 homes were approved, with a further 14 approved so far in FY-26. On average, over these five years, each new dwelling constructed resulted in approximately 0.5 new residents per year.

This indicates that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and potentially supporting population growth beyond current expectations. The average value of new homes being built is $494,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $84.9 million in commercial development approvals recorded, indicating robust local business investment. However, compared to Greater Sydney, Middleton Grange has significantly less development activity, at 69.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties.

New development in Middleton Grange consists of 75.0% detached dwellings and 25.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 91.0% houses. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. At around 324 people per approval, Middleton Grange reflects a transitioning market. Future projections, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, show Middleton Grange adding 11 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Middleton Grange has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly: Fifteenth Avenue Business Hub, Hoxton Park Recycled Water Scheme, Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreation Centre, and Fifteenth Avenue Smart Transit Corridor. The following details these key initiatives.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Middleton Grange performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Middleton Grange has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.2% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8%.

As of September 2025, 4,007 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.0% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's at 60.0%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. The area has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented, at 6.0% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.8%, while labour force grew by 4.2%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data up to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Middleton Grange's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Middleton Grange's income level is above the national average, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The suburb's median income among taxpayers is $59,014 and the average income stands at $71,753, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $64,243 (median) and $78,110 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank exceptionally at the 85th percentile ($2,344 weekly). The largest segment comprises 39.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (3,033 residents), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Middleton Grange demonstrates considerable affluence with 33.2% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 21.3% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 77th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Middleton Grange is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Middleton Grange, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Middleton Grange was 10.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.1% and rented dwellings at 27.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area, as of 30 June 2021, was $2,500, compared to Sydney metro's $2,475. The median weekly rent figure for Middleton Grange was $520, while Sydney metro recorded $490. Nationally, mortgage repayments in Middleton Grange were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 as of 30 June 2021, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 for the same period.

Middleton Grange features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 91.2% of all households, including 63.6% couples with children, 14.2% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 8.8%, with lone person households at 8.0% and group households making up 0.7%. The median household size is 3.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

The educational profile of Middleton Grange exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 25.6%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (19.4%). Educational participation is high, with 37.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 15.8% in primary education, 9.5% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Middleton Grange has 11 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 30 different routes that collectively facilitate 831 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents on average being located 460 meters from their nearest transport stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 118 trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 75 weekly trips per individual stop.

Middleton Grange's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Middleton Grange's health outcomes data shows excellent results across the area.

Common health conditions are seen at a typical level among both young and elderly residents. Approximately 55% of Middleton Grange's total population (~4,224 people) has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma (affecting 4.9% of residents) and arthritis (3.7%). A total of 84.5% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 77.9% across Greater Sydney. Middleton Grange has 6.8% of its population aged 65 and over (519 people), which is lower than the 10.1% in Greater Sydney. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

Middleton Grange is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Middleton Grange has a high level of cultural diversity, with 42.3% of its population born overseas and 57.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Middleton Grange, accounting for 69.0% of people, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three represented ancestry groups are Other (37.7%), Australian (12.2%), and English (8.1%).

Notably, Serbian (3.3%) and Croatian (2.0%) populations in Middleton Grange exceed regional averages of 1.9% and 1.4%, respectively. Spanish-speaking population is also present at 0.9%.

Middleton Grange hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Middleton Grange has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Middleton Grange has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (19.8%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4.3%). This 5-14 concentration is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 has increased from 11.9% to 13.9%, while those aged 55 to 64 have risen from 6.6% to 7.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 0 to 4 has decreased from 10.2% to 9.1%. By 2041, Middleton Grange's age profile is projected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 65 to 74 is expected to grow by 163 people (50%), from 328 to 492. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 58% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, population declines are projected for residents aged 0 to 4 and 35 to 44.