Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

SA2

Greater Sydney / Bringelly - Green Valley

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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Statistical Area (SA2) Boundary Analysis

This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.

SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).

Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.

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Sales ActivityProperty Sales Trends in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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DemographicsPopulation Growth in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has an estimated 14,124 residents, up from 13,263 at the 2021 Census — a change of 861 people, or 6.5%. Growth has averaged 1.3% a year over five years. 217 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Natural increase accounts for 52.8% of that increase. That puts 3,420 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.

Detail

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's population is around 14,124 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 861 people (6.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,263 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 14,106 from the ABS as of June 2025 and an additional 217 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,419 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch.

Over the past decade, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 2.2% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the Greater Sydney. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 52.8% of overall population gains during recent periods. Projections from ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024, using 2022 as the baseline, are adopted by AreaSearch for each SA2 region. In instances where such data is unavailable, SA2 level projections from the NSW State Government published in 2022 with a 2021 base year are utilized instead. The age bracket growth rates derived from these datasets are additionally applied to all locations for the period spanning 2032 to 2041. Based on these anticipated demographic transitions, population expansion is projected to track slightly below the national median, with the region expected to grow by 1,228 persons to 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a total increase of 8.6% over the 16 years.

Frequently Asked Questions - Population

What is the latest population estimate for the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Total population for the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 was estimated to be approximately 14,124 as at May 26. This is based upon an estimated resident population of 14,106 from the ABS up to June 2025.
How has the population in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 changed since 2021?
The hoxton park - carnes hill - horningsea park sa2 has added approximately 861 people and shown a 6.49% increase from the 13,263 people recorded at the 2021 Census period.
What is the population density in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The population density in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is estimated at 3,419 persons per square kilometer based on the latest population estimate.
How much has the population grown over the past 10 years in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Over the past 10 years, the population in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 has shown a compound annual growth rate of 2.2% per annum.
What are the main drivers of population growth in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Population growth in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is driven by: Natural increase (52.8%), Overseas migration (47.2%), Interstate migration (0.0%). The primary driver is Natural increase, contributing 52.8% of overall population gains.

Residential SupplyHousing Development & Building Approvals in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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197 new dwellings have been approved in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park over the past five years, an average of 39 a year. That places the area in the 59th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 3 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 24 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 88% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 91, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.

Detail

Approximately 39 residential building approvals have been registered annually in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, amounting to a total of 197 dwellings over the course of the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, there have been 84 approvals documented. Because the average number of incoming residents per finished home was 4.3 per year over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand far outstrips the volume of new supply, which typically drives up prices and intensifies competition among buyers, even as new dwellings are constructed at an average estimated cost of $235,000—below regional benchmarks—offering more affordable options to purchasers.

Additionally, commercial approvals reached $7.2 million this financial year, suggesting a relatively quiet focus on non-residential development. In comparison to Greater Sydney, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park displays a significantly lower rate of building activity, sitting 85.0% below regional average per person. Such constrained construction levels generally support demand and value retention for established real estate. This volume is also below the national average, reflecting the mature state of the local market and highlighting potential planning limits. Single-family detached houses make up 88.0% of the new construction, while attached structures account for 12.0%, preserving the conventional low-density suburban aesthetic favored by families looking for space. The presence of roughly 669 people per dwelling approval confirms the established nature of this market. Long-term forecasts indicate that Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park will add 1,210 residents by 2041 (calculated from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Under current construction trends, incoming housing supply is anticipated to easily satisfy demand, creating favorable buying conditions and potentially encouraging growth beyond current population projections.

Frequently Asked Questions - Development

How many dwelling approvals have occurred in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 recently?
Dwelling approval activity in the the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 area has seen 56 residential approvals over the past two financial years, based on AreaSearch's SA2 aggregation method. The Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's current population of 14,124 has been supported by 39 approvals on average over recent years.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's development activity compare to the broader region?
The Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 has seen 0.29 approvals per 100 people in recent years, compared to 0.65 approvals in the broader region. This means that one dwelling has been approved for every 669 people in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, compared to one for every 190 in the broader region.
Is the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 keeping up with housing demand?
With the population expected to increase by 1,210 people by 2041, around 404 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels appear more than sufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 3.0 persons per dwelling. This suggests that population growth may exceed trend projections in the coming years, supported by a robust housing supply.
What has been the trend in development approvals over the past five years in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Looking at development activity over the past five years, the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's approval levels have been significantly above the yearly average of 39, indicating strong recent growth in development activity.
How many dwellings will be needed to accommodate future population growth in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The population in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is expected to grow by 1,210 people by 2041, necessitating approximately 404 new dwellings. This calculation is based on the current census average of 3.0 persons per dwelling in the area.
How does recent development compare to population growth in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Over the past five years, the population in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 has grown by approximately 6,857 people, while 197 residential approvals were recorded. This equates to a ratio of 34.8 people added for each new dwelling approval. This high ratio suggests strong population growth relative to housing supply, potentially indicating unmet housing demand.
Are there opportunities for residential developers in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
With dwelling approval activity running at an average of 39 approvals per year and a population of 14,124, the market appears to be adequately supplied relative to projected housing demand in recent years, suggesting that developers should have a longer-term approach when considering new projects. With the population expected to increase by 1,210 people by 2041, around 404 new dwellings will be necessary. Recent approval levels appear more than sufficient to meet these forecasts, considering the census average of 3.0 persons per dwelling. This suggests that population growth may exceed trend projections in the coming years, supported by a robust housing supply.
Approvals Pipeline Development applications near Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

Development applications around Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.

Project PipelineInfrastructure & Major Projects in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, worth an estimated $100 million. A further 76 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $17.4 billion. 22 are already under construction and 31 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.

Detail

An area's long-term performance is heavily shaped by local infrastructure updates, major construction projects, and planning changes. A total of 14 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a likely impact on this locality. Notable developments include the Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct, Favco Industrial Park, Prestons Industrial Estate, and Prestons Grove Estate, with the most relevant initiatives listed in detail below.

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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure

What are some of the major infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Key infrastructure and planning changes likely to influence the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 include: Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct (Dev. Application); Favco Industrial Park (Construction); Prestons Industrial Estate (Construction); Prestons Grove Estate (Construction); and Bathla Group Croatia Avenue (164) (Approved). These projects represent significant developments that will shape the area's future infrastructure landscape.
What types of infrastructure projects are impacting the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Infrastructure development impacting the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 spans multiple sectors including Residential Development, Business Parks & Technology Hubs, and Transport & Logistics, among others.
What is the scale of infrastructure investment impacting the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Infrastructure investment analysis indicates substantial capital deployment exceeding $7.5 billion in projects that will impact the extended area, with a notable concentration of investment within the immediate the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 vicinity.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's infrastructure development compare to other areas?
With an infrastructure score in the top 30%, the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 demonstrates above-average development activity compared to national benchmarks.
Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct
Category: Sports & Recreation
Stage: Dev. Application | Est. Comp: 2028
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A $100 million expansion of the Carnes Hill Community and Recreation Precinct. Stage 1 includes a 25m indoor pool, a dedicated learn-to-swim pool, an indoor splashpad, a gymnasium, and health facilities. Following an Expressions of Interest process awarded in March 2026, the project is progressing through design finalization and development application. Future stages are planned to include an outdoor 50m competition pool and a multipurpose hall.

Sports & Recreation

Fifteenth Avenue Business Hub
Category: Retail
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

The Fifteenth Avenue Business Hub is a retail and commercial development within the Western Sydney Parklands, located at 104 Fifteenth Avenue, West Hoxton. The project includes a supermarket, retail outlets, a service station, and a childcare centre, designed to provide essential services and approximately 130 jobs to the local community. It is situated along the 1 billion dollar Fifteenth Avenue Upgrade corridor. Recent activity in early 2026 includes applications for civil works like kerb, gutter, and stormwater infrastructure.

Retail

Prestons Grove Estate
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Residential subdivision development in Prestons featuring 33 registered lots for modern family living. The estate is nestled in a quiet community with easy access to Edmondson Park railway station, plus M5 and M7 highways. Over 90% sold, marketed by Australian Land & Housing.

Residential Development

Edmondson Park Precinct Development
Category: Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2030
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

A 425-hectare urban renewal masterplan in Sydney South West Growth Area delivering approximately 8,000 homes. Major 2026 milestones include the completion of Precinct 9 civil works and the ongoing construction of the Edmondson Park High School (due 2027). Landcom is progressing 'Town Centre North' including a 100% Affordable Housing project on Croatia Avenue slated to start construction in early 2026. Urban Property Group's 'Chapter Place' is currently under construction with 106 terraces at Sites 1 and 2 Buchan Avenue scheduled for completion in Q4 2026.Frasers Property continues delivery at Ed.Square with the Foveaux Collection and Soho homes within the Central Park residential neighborhood.

Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal

Edmondson Park High School
Category: Education & Training
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   

New public high school under construction for Edmondson Park. The project includes 40 permanent classrooms, 3 support learning classrooms, specialist learning hubs for science, performing arts, food technology, textiles and wood technology, a gymnasium, library, lecture theatre, canteen and landscaped grounds. Main structural works are complete with building commissioning, furniture installation and landscaping underway. Opening remains scheduled for Day 1, Term 1, 2027.

Education & Training

Chapter Place Terraces
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2026
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Construction is underway on 106 tri-level terrace homes (Lot 1: 43 terraces, Lot 2: 63 terraces) at Chapter Place, on Buchan Avenue in Edmondson Park. Developed and built by Urban Property Group and designed by Cox Architecture, the 3 and 4 bedroom terraces feature rooftop terraces, private entries and garages. This is the first stage of the broader $1.5 billion Chapter Place masterplan, which is planned to deliver up to 1,900 homes on a 51,634 square metre landholding around 800 metres from Edmondson Park Station.A previously approved townhouse scheme on a third nearby site has since been superseded by a larger apartment tower proposal now on public exhibition.

Residential Development

Edmondson Park Town Centre Expansion
Category: Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal
Stage: Construction | Est. Comp: 2030
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

Major mixed-use town centre development including Ed.Square by Frasers Property and The Edmondson Collection by ALAND. It features around 3,500 dwellings, 40,000sqm of retail space, over 120 shops, a Coles supermarket, Event Cinemas, and extensive community open space, providing comprehensive services and amenities directly adjacent to Edmondson Park railway station. Community input highlighted strong support for shared green spaces, outdoor seating, nature play and practical features like neutral facade colours.

Communities, Precincts & Urban Renewal

Landcom Affordable Housing Block 24
Category: Residential Development
Stage: Under Assessment | Est. Comp: 2027
Source / Links: Link 1   Link 2  

58 new affordable rental apartments in a 9-storey building on Croatia Avenue within the Edmondson Park Town Centre North. 100% affordable housing for key workers and low-income families delivered in partnership with a community housing provider. Features cycle and car parking, sustainability measures as part of broader Edmondson Park development.

Residential Development

Jobs & IndustryEmployment Trends in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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7,906 residents of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park are employed, from a labour force of 8,182. Unemployment sits at 3.4%, with participation at 73.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 11,175, about 79% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

The local workforce in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is highly capable and active across a variety of sectors, showing an unemployment rate of just 3.4% and an estimated employment growth of 4.4% over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents numbered 7,906, representing an unemployment rate 0.8% lower than the Greater Sydney mark of 4.1%, while the participation rate remains typical at 73.9% relative to Greater Sydney's 69.1%. Census records indicate that a notable 35.8% of the working population operated from home, though this figure should be interpreted alongside pandemic lockdown conditions.

The primary employment sectors for local citizens are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The district displays a clear employment specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, where the local job share is 1.8 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, the professional & technical sector is underrepresented, accounting for only 5.0% of employment compared to 11.5% regionally. Given the difference between the Census working population and resident population counts, this largely residential sector appears to offer few local jobs. According to AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics, during the 12 months leading to March 2026, the number of employed individuals rose by 4.4% while the overall labor force expanded by 5.0%, leading to a 0.6 percentage points rise in unemployment. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment and labor force both expand by 1.9%, alongside a slight decrease. National employment forecasts for May-25 from Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future labor demand in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park. These five and ten-year projections have been aligned with the local occupation mix to model future trends. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary widely by industry. Projecting these sector-specific rates onto the employment distribution of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park suggests local employment will rise by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (note that this weighting extrapolation is purely illustrative and excludes localized population projections).

Frequently Asked Questions - Employment

What is the employment situation in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
As of March 2026, the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 has approximately 7,906 employed residents with an unemployment rate of 3.4%. This healthy unemployment rate suggests a well-functioning labour market. Employment performance is above the national median, showing positive labour market dynamics.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's unemployment rate compare to the broader region?
As of March 2026, the unemployment rate in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 stands at 3.4%, which is 0.8 percentage points below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.1%. This lower unemployment rate suggests stronger local employment conditions. For comparison, the national unemployment rate is 4.2%.
What are the major employment sectors in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The employment landscape in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is dominated by several key sectors. The largest employers are health care & social assistance (13.3% of employment), retail trade (11.1%), and transport, postal & warehousing (9.7%). The relatively diverse employment base, with the top three sectors comprising 34.1% of jobs, provides economic resilience. Other significant employers include manufacturing and construction.
How has employment changed recently in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Over the past year to March 2026, the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 has experienced employment growth, with total employment increasing while the labour force increased. As a result, the unemployment rate has rise. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment increased and its unemployment rate dropped.
What is the workforce participation rate in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The workforce participation rate in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is 73.9%, which represents the proportion of working-age residents who are either employed or actively seeking work. This high participation rate indicates strong workforce engagement and economic vitality. The local rate leading the Greater Sydney average of 69.1%, showing similar workforce dynamics to the broader region.
Which industries are over-represented in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's employment market?
The hoxton park - carnes hill - horningsea park sa2 shows notable specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, which employs 9.7% of the local workforce compared to 5.3% regionally. This concentration suggests the area has developed competitive advantages in this sector. The area also shows above-average employment in 1 other sectors, contributing to a distinctive economic profile.
What are the employment growth prospects for the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Based on Jobs and Skills Australia projections applied to the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's industry mix, employment is expected to grow by 6.1% over the next five years and 12.9% over ten years. This compares to national growth expectations of 6.6% over five years. Steady growth is anticipated across multiple sectors, providing diverse employment opportunities.
How does the job market in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compare nationally?
The hoxton park - carnes hill - horningsea park sa2's employment market shows above-average performance nationally, placing in the top half of areas assessed. Employment indicators suggest healthy labour market conditions relative to other regions. Recent job advertisement trends show the broader employment region saw a 5.9% decline, ranking 29.0th out of 37 regions nationally.
What employment opportunities exist for skilled workers in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Skilled workers will find good opportunities in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, with skilled sectors accounting for 34.4% of employment. Key sectors for skilled workers include health care & social assistance (13.3%), education & training (8.8%), and finance & insurance (5.9%). With projected employment growth of 6.1% over five years, demand for skilled workers is expected to remain strong.

EarningsHousehold Income in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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Median household income in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is $2,248 a week (about $117,000 a year), with median personal income at $762 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $56,603 a year against an average of $66,731. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.

Detail

According to AreaSearch's analysis of the most recent postcode level ATO data published for financial year 2023, taxpayers in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 recorded a median income of $56,603 and an average income of $66,731. These statistics sit slightly below national benchmarks and compare to median and average figures of $60,817 and $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, contemporary figures are estimated at approximately $62,444 (median) and $73,618 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows that weekly household earnings sit in the high 80th percentile at $2,248, whereas individual incomes reside lower in the 40th percentile.

Looking at income distribution, the largest segment is composed of 37.9% of residents (5,352 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional pattern where this group comprises 30.9%. High-income earners represent a notable portion, with 31.2% receiving over $3,000 weekly, which reflects strong local purchasing capacity. While significant housing costs absorb 18.7% of earnings, solid incomes keep disposable funds in the 76th percentile, and the local SEIFA ranking for income sits in the 5th decile.

Frequently Asked Questions - Income

What is the median taxable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is approximately $62,444. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded a median of $56,603.
What is the average taxable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is approximately $73,618. The official ATO data from FY-23 recorded an average of $66,731.
How does the median taxable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated median taxable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is approximately $62,444 compared to $67,093 in Greater Sydney. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $56,603 and $60,817 respectively.
How does the average taxable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compare to the region?
Based on Wage Price Index adjustments to March 2026, the estimated average taxable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is approximately $73,618 compared to $91,569 in Greater Sydney. The official ATO data from FY-23 shows $66,731 and $83,003 respectively.
What are the main income cohorts in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
As per the 2021 Census, the income bracket containing the largest proportion (~37.9% / 5,352 persons) of the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's population is the $1,500 - 2,999 cohort.
How do the main income cohorts in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compare to the region?
The largest income cohort in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing about 37.9% of the population. In comparison, Greater Sydney's largest income cohort is the $1,500 - 2,999 group, representing 30.9% of its population, according to the 2021 Census.
What is the median household income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census data indicates that the median household income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is $2,248/wk.
What is the median family income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
According to the 2021 Census, the median family income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is $2,259/wk.
What is the median personal income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 according to the 2021 Census?
The 2021 Census shows that the median personal income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is $762/wk.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's income rank nationally?
The Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $56,603 and an average of $66,731 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is just below the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $62,444 (median) and $73,618 (average) as of March 2026.
What is the disposable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The estimated disposable income in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is $7,922 per year according to AreaSearch analysis.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's disposable income compare to the region?
The hoxton park - carnes hill - horningsea park sa2's disposable income is $7,922 compared to $7,412 for Greater Sydney, based on AreaSearch analysis.

Housing StockHousing & Dwellings in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park had 3,564 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 94% detached houses and 1% apartments. 57% are owned with a mortgage, 23% rented and 21% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $500 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,342 a month, a total housing cost higher than 94% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 22.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.0%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.

Detail

According to the most recent Census, the distribution of housing types in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park consisted of 94.1% standalone houses and 5.9% other options (such as townhouses, apartments, or alternative dwellings), compared to the Sydney metropolitan distribution of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park was lower than the Sydney metro average, standing at 20.6%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (56.8%) or occupied by tenants (22.6%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,342 was below the Sydney metropolitan average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent of $500 was higher than the metropolitan figure of $470.

On a national level, monthly mortgage costs in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park are much higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are also well above the national median of $375.

Frequently Asked Questions - Housing

What percentage of homes are owned vs rented in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
In the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, 20.6% of homes are owned outright, 56.8% are owned with a mortgage, and 22.6% are rented.
What percentage of dwellings in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 are houses?
According to the latest data, 94.1% of dwellings in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 are houses.
What percentage of dwellings in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 are apartments or units?
In the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, 0.5% of dwellings are apartments or units, with an additional 5.4% being semi-detached dwellings.
What is the level of outright home ownership in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Outright home ownership in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 stands at 20.6%, compared to 28.7% in Greater Sydney.
What is the median monthly mortgage repayment in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The median monthly mortgage repayment in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is $2,342, compared to $2,427 in Greater Sydney.
What is the median weekly rent in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The median weekly rent in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is $500, compared to $470 in Greater Sydney.
What is the distribution of rental prices in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
In the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, 1.5% of rentals are $0-149/week, 10.6% are $150-349/week, 80.2% are $350-649/week, 7.7% are $650-949/week, and 0.0% are $950+/week.
What is the average monthly housing cost in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The aggregate monthly housing cost in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is $1,819, which represents the average monthly cost across all housing types.
What percentage of income do residents spend on housing in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
In the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, households with mortgages typically spend 24.0% of their income on mortgage repayments, while renters spend 22.2% of their income on rent.
How crowded are homes in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The average persons per bedroom ratio in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is 0.9, indicating the level of household density.
How does housing affordability in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compare to the region?
Housing affordability in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 shows mortgage holders spending 24.0% of income on repayments (vs 27.0% regionally), while renters spend 22.2% of income on rent (vs 22.6% regionally).
What types of dwellings are most common in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The dwelling mix in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 consists of 94.1% detached houses, 5.4% semi-detached dwellings, 0.5% apartments, and 0.0% other dwelling types.
What is the weighted average housing cost based on tenure mix in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Considering the housing occupancy patterns, the weighted average monthly housing cost is approximately $1,820. This accounts for outright owners paying no housing costs, mortgage holders paying $2,342/month, and renters paying $2,165/month.
How affordable is housing in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 relative to local incomes?
Housing in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park consumes approximately 18.7% of median household income ($9,734 monthly), indicating costs are highly affordable. The generally accepted benchmark is that housing should not exceed 30% of household income.
How do proposed developments compare to existing housing types in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Recent development applications in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park show attached dwellings contributing 11% of approvals compared to 6% of existing stock, while detached houses represent 89% of applications versus 94% of current dwellings. This suggests development patterns consistent with existing housing mix. Housing density growth is around the national average.

HouseholdsHousehold Composition in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park counted 3,564 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,795 today, averaging 3.6 people each. 60% are couples with children, more than in 99% of areas nationally, against 16% couples without children. 9% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Families make up the vast majority of households at 90.6%, which consists of couples with children at 60.1%, childless couples at 15.7%, and single parent households at 14.0%. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.4%, with single-person homes representing 8.5% and group share houses comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household occupancy of 3.6 persons is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Frequently Asked Questions - Households

How many households are in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
As of the 2021 Census, the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 had 3,564 households. Based on population growth patterns, this has grown by approximately 6.5% to an estimated 3,795 households today.
What is the typical household size?
The median household size in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is 3.6 people. This compares to 2.7 in Greater Sydney and reflects the area's household composition mix.
What types of households are most common?
Family households dominate at 90.6% of all households. The remaining households consist of lone person households (8.5%), group households (1.1%), and other household types (0.0%).
How are families structured in the area?
Among the 3,228 family households, 60.1% are couples with children, 15.7% are couples without children at home, and 14.0% are single parent families. This mix shapes local demand for schools, family services, and housing types.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compare to regional household patterns?
Compared to Greater Sydney, the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 shows distinct household patterns. Family households are notably over-represented at 90.6% (versus 72.6% regionally). Conversely, lone person households are under-represented at 8.5% compared to the regional 23.2%. This family-oriented profile influences local demand for family homes, schools, and children's services.
What is the average family size?
Families in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 have an average of 1.7 children, slightly above the Greater Sydney average of 1.5. This influences local demand for child-related services and larger family homes.
What are the marriage patterns in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Marriage patterns reveal 53.8% of the adult population are currently married, while 34.1% have never married. This compares to 48.3% married and 36.4% never married across Greater Sydney.
How significant are single-person households?
Single-person households represent 8.5% of all households in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, notably lower than the regional average of 23.2%. This affects demand for smaller dwellings and single-person accommodation.
Are shared living arrangements common?
Group households (unrelated people sharing) account for 1.1% of households, well below the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%. This low rate suggests limited student or young professional shared accommodation.
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EducationSchools & Education in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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22.2% of adults in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park hold a university qualification, including 16.7% with a bachelor degree and 4.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 19.0% hold a vocational qualification. 6 schools serve the area, with 4,011 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,015 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.

Detail

Educational outcomes in the area show room for improvement, as the proportion of residents holding university qualifications (22.2%) sits well below the Greater Sydney mark of 38.0%. This scenario highlights an opportunity for targeted academic programs. Among these qualifications, bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.7%, followed by postgraduate degrees (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational and technical training is highly prevalent, with 31.0% of the population aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, split between advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (19.0%). Active participation in study is very high, with 35.5% of the local population currently enrolled in an educational institution.

This figure is comprised of 12.7% attending primary schools, 11.0% in high schools, and 5.6% enrolled in higher education.

Frequently Asked Questions - Education

What percentage of people in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 have university qualifications?
22.2% of people aged 15 and over in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 have university qualifications, compared to 38.0% in the broader region.
What percentage of people in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 have no formal qualifications?
46.8% of people aged 15 and over in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 have no formal qualifications, compared to 34.2% regionally.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's education level compare to national averages?
The hoxton park - carnes hill - horningsea park sa2 ranks in the 49th percentile nationally for education based on AreaSearch's analysis of qualification and performance metrics.
What types of qualifications are most common in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The most common qualifications in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 are: Certificate (19.0%), Bachelor Degree (16.7%), Advanced Diploma (12.0%).
What proportion of the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's population is currently attending educational institutions?
35.5% of the population in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is currently engaged in formal education, with 12.7% in primary school, 11.0% in secondary school, 5.6% at university.
What is the ICSEA score for schools in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The average ICSEA (Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage) score for schools in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is 1015, indicating average socio-educational advantage (national average is 1000).
How many schools are located within the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
There are 6 schools within the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, with a combined enrollment of approximately 4,011 students.
What types of schools are available in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The hoxton park - carnes hill - horningsea park sa2 includes 3 primary schools, 2 secondary schools, 1 combined school.

Schools Detail

AmenitiesServices & Amenities in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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Explore the surrounds Search this catchment for any place type — schools, cafés, supermarkets, transport — and drop your own custom points on the map.
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Getting AroundTransport & Commuting in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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Public transport in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park reaches 48 stops on 75 routes, timetabled for about 2,600 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.

Detail

Public transit statistics show 48 active transport stops operating within Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, consisting of various bus options. These stops are connected to 75 separate routes, which provide a total of 2,556 passenger trips each week. Transport connectivity is considered good, with local homes averaging a distance of 214 meters from the nearest stop. Due to the residential nature of the area, the vast majority of commuters travel outwards, with private cars remaining the primary choice at 91%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 cars per household, which is higher than the regional average.

A high proportion of 35.8% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 restrictions. Across all bus routes, service frequency averages 365 trips daily, which represents roughly 53 weekly trips for each transport stop.

Frequently Asked Questions - Transport

How many public transport stops are in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park?
There are 48 public transport stops within the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2.
How frequent are the transport services in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park?
the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 has 2,556 weekly trips across 75 routes, averaging 365 trips per day.
How far are residents from public transport in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park?
On average, residential properties are 214 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Transport Stops Detail

HealthcareHealth Services in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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79.6% of residents in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 85% of areas nationally. 5.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 52.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.

Detail

Health indicators show excellent outcomes throughout Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality patterns and chronic illness prevalence, with younger age groups showing particularly low rates of common illnesses. Meanwhile, the proportion of residents with private health insurance is slightly lower than the average SA2 region, sitting at approximately 52% of the population (~7,358 people), which compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent health conditions recorded, affecting 5.9 and 5.3% of the community, respectively, while 79.6% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney.

Residents aged 65 and older represent 10.7% of the local population (1,507 people), which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. Senior citizens exhibit above-average health profiles, though their national standing is lower than that of the younger local cohorts.

Frequently Asked Questions - Health

How many people in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 have private health insurance?
Around 52.1% of people in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 are covered by private health insurance, which compares to 59.9% in the broader region of Greater Sydney.
What percentage of the population requires ongoing medical assistance in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
In the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, 5.4% of the population is identified as requiring ongoing medical assistance. This figure is slightly different from the regional average, where 5.2% of people in Greater Sydney require similar assistance.
How prevalent is asthma in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
5.9% of people in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 are diagnosed with asthma. In comparison, 6.4% of the population across Greater Sydney is affected by asthma.
What percentage of people have diabetes in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Diabetes affects 5.3% of the the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 population, while in the surrounding region, 4.3% of people are diagnosed with diabetes.
What is the percentage of people with heart disease in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
2.3% of people in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 have heart disease. Across the region of Greater Sydney, 3.2% of the population is affected by heart disease.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compare to the region in terms of overall private health coverage?
In the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2, 52.1% of the population are estimated to have private health insurance. Comparatively, Greater Sydney sees an estimated private health coverage rate of 59.9%.

Ancestry & LanguageCultural Diversity in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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46.0% of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park residents were born overseas and 59.5% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 90% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (10.8%) and English (8.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.

Detail

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park exhibits a high level of multiculturalism, with 46.0% of the population born outside Australia and 59.5% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the dominant religious affiliation, representing 58.1% of the local population. However, the most distinct deviation from regional averages is in Islam, which represents 14.0% of residents, more than double the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%. Regarding parental country of birth, the three most common ancestries in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park are Other, accounting for 33.9% of the population, which is much higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Australian, accounting for 10.8%, which is much lower than the regional average of 17.8%, and English, representing 8.2%, which is much lower than the regional average of 19.0%.

Other distinct ethnic groups show significant variations: Serbian backgrounds represent 2.6% of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park (compared to 0.5% regionally), Spanish backgrounds represent 1.2% (compared to 0.6%), and Lebanese backgrounds make up 4.0% (compared to 2.6%).

Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity

What is the level of cultural diversity in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park scores quite highly on cultural diversity, with 46.0% of its population born overseas and 59.5% speaking a language other than English at home.
What is the most common religion in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The main religion in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park was found to be Christianity, which makes up 58.1% of people in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Islam, which comprises 14.0% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.
What are the top countries of origin in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park are Other, comprising 33.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Australian, comprising 10.8% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%, and English, comprising 8.2% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 19.0%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Serbian is notably overrepresented at 2.6% of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park (vs 0.5% regionally), Spanish at 1.2% (vs 0.6%) and Lebanese at 4.0% (vs 2.6%).
How does the percentage of people born overseas compare to the regional average?
46.0% of the the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 population was born overseas, compared to 40.5% regionally.
What percentage of the the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 population speaks a language other than English at home?
59.5% of the population in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 speaks a language other than English at home, compared to 39.5% in the wider region.
How many people in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 identify as Australian Aboriginal?
1.0% of the the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 population identifies as Australian Aboriginal, compared to 1.3% in the region.
What is the citizenship status of the population in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
87.3% of the the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 population holds citizenship, compared to 80.8% in the wider region.

Age StructureAge Profile of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

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The median resident of Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is 34, younger than 88% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 28.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.

Detail

The median age of 34 years in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and also considerably younger than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the area has a larger proportion of young people aged 15 - 24 (16.8%) but a lower share of those aged 25 - 34 (11.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age bracket expanded from 15.1% to 16.8% of the population, while the 65 to 74 group rose from 5.6% to 7.0%.

Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort shrank from 17.4% to 15.5% and the 35 to 44 group fell from 15.6% to 14.5%. Projections for the year 2041 point to significant demographic shifts in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park. The 75 to 84 cohort is expected to grow the fastest, increasing by 139% (adding 575 residents to reach 989). Older residents aged 65+ will account for 68% of the overall population increase, highlighting a clear aging trend, whereas the 0 to 4 and 15 to 24 cohorts are expected to decrease in size.

Frequently Asked Questions - Age

What is the median age in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
According to the latest data, the median age in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is 34 years.
How does the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2's median age compare to broader areas?
At 34 years, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is 3 years younger than the Greater Sydney average (37 years) and 4 years younger than the national average (38 years).
What age groups are over-represented in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The most over-represented age group in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compared to the Greater Sydney region is the 15 - 24 group, making up 16.8% of the population.
What age groups are under-represented in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The most under-represented age group in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 compared to the Greater Sydney region is the 25 - 34 group, making up 11.9% of the population.
Are there age groups with notable population variances?
Yes, certain age groups in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 show significant variance compared to the Greater Sydney region. The most under-represented age groups are 85+ year-olds (0.8% vs 2.1%) and 75-84 year-olds (2.9% vs 5.3%).
What is the percentage of children (0-14 years) in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The percentage of children aged 0-14 years in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is 21.5%.
What is the percentage of older people (65+ years) in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2?
The percentage of people aged 65 and over in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 is 10.7%.

Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park

Data currency Refreshed

9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.

Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.

The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section

Section Source & update cycle Currency
Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections
Population ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline.
Age profile ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate.
Development & approvals ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline
Property sales & rents Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures
Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026.
Infrastructure projects Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily Apr 2026 4 months ago all 1 projects tracked here
Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Apr 2026.
Employment ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census.
Education ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Transport ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Services & amenities Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures
Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections
Income ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail.
Health ABS, ATO Annual 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline
Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current.
Housing ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures
Households ABS 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures
Cultural diversity ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures

"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.

How the numbers are built

Population

The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 217 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (13,263 at the 2021 Census → 14,124 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.

Age profile

Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".

Property sales

Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.

Rents

Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.

Development & infrastructure

Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.

Employment & income

Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.

Education, transport & amenities

School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.

Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.

Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.

Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (127011596). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.

Common questions about this page

Why can the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park SA2 boundary differ from the suburb boundary?
This page uses ABS Statistical Area Level 2 (SA2) boundaries for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP). SA2 areas can differ materially from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, even when they share similar names, because they are defined for different purposes and often use different geographic boundaries.
Where does the data on this Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park page come from?
AreaSearch compiles this page from official and industry sources — including ABS, Geoscience Australia, Valuer General, Provider directories, DEWR, JSA, State Transport Departments and ACARA — then aggregates them to the boundary shown and calculates the rankings, growth rates and benchmarks itself. Property sales come from the state valuation authority, rents from state rental bond lodgements, development applications from council and state planning portals, school data from ACARA, and public transport from state transport departments.
Is the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park data on this page just from the 2021 Census?
No. Most of this page is maintained well beyond the Census. Sourced entirely from current releases: development & approvals (Jun 2026), property sales & rents (Aug 2026), infrastructure projects (Apr 2026) and services & amenities (Jul 2026). Built on a Census baseline but carrying newer measures on top: population (to May 2026), age profile (to May 2026), employment (to Mar 2026), income (to FY 2023), education (to Aug 2026), transport (to Jul 2026) and health (to 2024). Population and age cohorts in particular are re-based to the latest ABS Estimated Resident Population rather than left at 2021 counts. Only housing, households and cultural diversity remain wholly Census-based, because no more current small-area dataset exists for those measures.

Nearby Areas