Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's population is 14,185 as of November 2025. This reflects a growth from the 2021 Census figure of 13,263 people, an increase of 922 people (7.0%). The change was inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 14,031 in June 2024 and an additional 134 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,434 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. The area's growth of 7.0% since the 2021 census exceeded the state average of 6.7%, indicating it as a regional growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 58.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with overseas and interstate migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where ABS data is not available, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national statistical areas is expected by 2041, with the area's population projected to increase by 1,461 persons, recording a gain of 9.2% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park when compared nationally

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has seen approximately 39 residential properties approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25197 homes were granted approval, with an additional 13 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, around 5 new residents per year have been arriving for each dwelling constructed during this period.

This indicates a significant lag between supply and demand, which typically results in heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $235,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. Commercial development approvals totaling $7.2 million have been recorded this financial year, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has shown substantially reduced construction rates, with 85.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

The area's development consists of 88.0% standalone homes and 12.0% attached dwellings, maintaining its traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. As of now, there are approximately 659 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections suggest Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park will add 1,307 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 15 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct, Favco Industrial Park, Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreation Centre, and Prestons Industrial Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Hoxton Park-Carnes Hill-Horningsea Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 2.7% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment grew by an estimated 5.4% in the past year. As of June 2025, 7663 residents were employed. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's at 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area has a specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Professional & technical services had limited presence with 5.0% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Over the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 5.4% while labour force grew by 4.9%, reducing unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and a rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project industry-specific growth patterns for Hoxton Park-Carnes Hill-Horningsea Park over five and ten-year periods, suggesting local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park had a median income among taxpayers of $52,541 and an average income of $63,574. These figures are slightly lower than the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 for Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $59,166 (median) and $71,591 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile ($2,248 weekly), while personal income ranks lower at the 41st percentile. Income brackets indicate that 37.9% of locals (5,376 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, which aligns with regional levels where this cohort represents 30.9%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 31.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 18.7% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 77th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.1% houses and 5.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park was 20.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.8% and rented ones at 22.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,342, lower than Sydney metro's $2,475. The median weekly rent figure was $500, slightly higher than Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 90.6% of all households, including 60.1% couples with children, 15.7% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 9.4%, with lone person households at 8.5% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Educational attainment in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area has lower university qualification rates at 22.2%, significantly below Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 19.0%. Educational participation is high, with 35.5% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.7% in primary, 11.0% in secondary, and 5.6% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, educating approximately 4,011 students. These schools have typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1015) with balanced educational opportunities, including 3 primary, 2 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. School capacity exceeds residential needs at 28.6 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 19.1, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has 45 active public transport stops. These are served by a mix of bus routes totalling 74. The weekly passenger trips across all these routes amount to 2,401.

Residents' access to transport is rated good, with an average distance of 214 metres to the nearest stop. Daily service frequency averages 343 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in the Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park area, with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is present at approximately 51% of the total population (~7,262 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (affecting 5.9% of residents) and diabetes (impacting 5.3%), with 79.6% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 77.9% in Greater Sydney. There are 1,449 residents aged 65 and over, comprising 10.2% of the population. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population, despite being above average.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoxton Park-Carnes Hill-Horningsea Park has a population where 46.0% were born overseas, with 59.5% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion at 58.1%. Islam's representation is higher here at 14.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 12.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (33.9%), Australian (10.8%), and English (8.2%). Notable ethnic group representations include Serbian (2.6% vs regional 1.9%), Spanish (1.2% vs 1.0%), and Samoan (1.8% vs 1.5%).

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 15.1% to 16.3%, while the 65 to 74 age group increased from 5.6% to 6.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 5 to 14 has decreased from 17.4% to 16.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 162%, adding 616 residents to reach a total of 997. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 69% of the population growth, while the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.