Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park
Statistical Area - sa2

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's population was 14,028 as of August 2025. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 13,263 people, a rise of 765 individuals (5.8%). The change is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 14,031 as of June 2024 and 90 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,396 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, the area has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.7%, outpacing its SA4 region. Natural growth contributed approximately 58.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Considering these projections, the area is expected to increase by 1,461 persons to 2041, recording a gain of 10.4% over the 17-year period based on the latest population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park when compared nationally

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has approved approximately 39 residential properties annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that between FY-21 and FY-25, around 197 homes received approvals. In FY-26, there have been about 7 approvals so far. On average, each dwelling constructed over the past five financial years accommodates approximately 5 new residents annually.

This suggests a significant gap between demand and supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost for new homes is around $381,000, which is relatively affordable compared to regional levels. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled approximately $7.2 million, indicating limited focus on commercial development in the area. Compared to Greater Sydney's averages, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has shown substantially reduced construction activity, with 85.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

New developments primarily consist of standalone homes (88.0%) and attached dwellings (12.0%), maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. The location currently hosts approximately 659 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections estimate that Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park will add around 1,464 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections and providing good conditions for buyers.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 15 projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreational Precinct, Favco Industrial Park, Carnes Hill Aquatic and Recreation Centre, and Prestons Industrial Estate. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.7%, and it has seen an estimated employment growth of 5.4% over the past year.

This rate is 1.5% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's at 60.0%. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. Employment in transport, postal & warehousing is particularly high, with a share 1.8 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence, at 5.0% compared to the regional rate of 11.5%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 5.4%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts project a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park had a median taxpayer income of $52,541 and an average income of $63,574. Nationally, the average income was $80,856 in Greater Sydney and $56,994 overall. By March 2025, adjusting for Wage Price Index growth of 10.6%, median income is estimated at $58,110 and average income at $70,313. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile with a weekly income of $2,248, while personal incomes rank at the 41st percentile. The dominant income bracket is $1,500 - 2,999, comprising 37.9% of locals (5,316 people), similar to regional levels at 30.9%. Higher earners exceeding $3,000 weekly represent 31.2%, indicating strong purchasing power. High housing costs consume 18.7% of income, but disposable income ranks at the 77th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, as per the latest Census, 94.1% of dwellings were houses while 5.9% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in the area stood at 20.6%, with mortgaged properties making up 56.8% and rented dwellings accounting for 22.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,342, below Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent figure in the area was $500, slightly higher than Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.6% of all households, including 60.1% couples with children, 15.7% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 9.4%, with lone person households at 8.5% and group households making up 1.1%. The median household size is 3.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

Educational attainment in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common (16.7%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.0% and certificates at 19.0%. Educational participation is high, with 35.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 12.7% in primary, 11.0% in secondary, and 5.6% in tertiary education.

Six schools operate within Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, educating approximately 4,011 students. The area's ICSEA score is 1015, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. There are three primary, two secondary, and one K-12 school in the area. School capacity exceeds residential needs (28.6 places per 100 residents vs regional average of 19.1), suggesting the area serves as an educational hub for the broader region. Note: schools with 'n/a' enrolments should be referred to their parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has 45 active public transport stops. These are served by buses on 74 different routes. Together, these routes provide a total of 2,401 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 214 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 343 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park, with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover stands at approximately 51% of the total population (~7,182 people), slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (affecting 5.9% of residents) and diabetes (5.3%), while 79.6% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 77.9% in Greater Sydney. The area has 10.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,433 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average but require more attention than the broader population.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Hoxton Park-Carnes Hill-Horningsea Park has a culturally diverse population, with 46.0% born overseas and 59.5% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in this area, accounting for 58.1%. However, Islam is overrepresented, comprising 14.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 12.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (33.9%), Australian (10.8%), and English (8.2%). Notably, Serbian (2.6% vs regional 1.9%), Spanish (1.2% vs 1.0%), and Samoan (1.8% vs 1.5%) groups are overrepresented.

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, this area has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 15.1% to 16.3%, while the 65-74 cohort has grown from 5.6% to 6.8%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 17.4% to 16.3%. By 2041, significant demographic changes are projected for Hoxton Park - Carnes Hill - Horningsea Park. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 165%, adding 621 residents to reach a total of 997. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 67% of the anticipated population growth. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 0-4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.