Denham Court - Bardia
Statistical Area - sa2

Denham Court - Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of August 2025, Denham Court - Bardia's population is approximately 20,734. This figure represents a 39.5% increase since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 14,868. The growth was inferred from ABS estimates: 20,619 in June 2024 and an additional 350 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a population density of 1,330 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Denham Court - Bardia's growth exceeded both state (6.4%) and metropolitan averages, making it a regional growth leader. Interstate migration drove primary population gains, contributing approximately 73.9%.

All demographic factors were positive contributors to growth. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Future trends project an above-median population growth, with Denham Court - Bardia expected to grow by 4,731 persons by 2041, a 22.3% increase over the 17-year period based on current numbers.

The level of residential development activity in Denham Court - Bardia was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Denham Court - Bardia has seen approximately 313 new homes approved annually. Between financial years FY21 and FY25, around 1,567 homes were approved, with another 33 so far in FY26. On average, around 7.3 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed over these five years.

This high demand outpaces supply, potentially driving up prices and increasing buyer competition. The average construction cost of new dwellings is approximately $582,000. In the current financial year (FY26), Denham Court - Bardia has seen $8.7 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting its primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia exhibits 351.0% higher building activity per person, suggesting ample choice for buyers despite a recent slowdown in building activity. This high level of developer confidence is significantly above the national average.

The area's new building activity comprises approximately 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving its suburban character and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 349 people per dwelling approval, Denham Court - Bardia indicates a developed market. By the year 2041, Denham Court - Bardia is projected to grow by approximately 4,616 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Denham Court - Bardia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts local performance. AreaSearch identified 64 potential impact projects. Key initiatives include Willowdale Community Precinct, Glenfield to Campbelltown Infrastructure Upgrade, Stockland Willowdale Community Development, and Glenfield Parklands Revitalization. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denham Court - Bardia ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Denham Court - Bardia has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.5%, with estimated employment growth of 4.2% in the year ending June 2025.

As of that month, 10,479 residents are employed, with a 1.7% lower unemployment rate than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 64.7%, close to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Health care & social assistance has a strong representation with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 8.6% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. In the year ending June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. As of Sep-25, NSW's employment contracted by 0.41%, with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Denham Court - Bardia's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Denham Court - Bardia had a median income among taxpayers of $62,468. The average level stood at $73,330. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Denham Court - Bardia would be approximately $69,090 (median) and $81,103 (average) as of March 2025. According to the Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes in Denham Court - Bardia rank highly nationally, between the 78th and 89th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 39.1% of residents (8,106 people). This is consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength emerges through 35.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.8% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 81st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Denham Court - Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Denham Court - Bardia, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Denham Court - Bardia was at 12.0%, with the rest being mortgaged (63.1%) or rented (24.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,700, above Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent was recorded at $550, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Denham Court - Bardia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Denham Court - Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.6% of all households, including 57.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.4%, comprising 11.1% lone person households and 1.2% group households. The median household size is 3.3 people, higher than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Denham Court - Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Denham Court-Bardia shows 40.3% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 28.2% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (16.4%). Current educational participation is high at 32.6%, with 12.9% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Educational provision includes Bardia Public School and Denham Court Public School, serving a total of 1,815 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1070). Both schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. School places per 100 residents are 8.8, below the regional average of 17.3. Some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the area between Denham Court and Bardia shows that there are currently 32 active transport stops operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 33 individual routes providing service to the area. This results in a combined weekly passenger trip count of 1,263.

The accessibility of transport services is rated as moderate, with residents on average located approximately 405 meters away from their nearest transport stop. The frequency of service averages around 180 trips per day across all routes, which equates to roughly 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Denham Court - Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows notable results across Denham Court - Bardia. Both younger and older age groups exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover rate stands at approximately 56%, affecting around 11,611 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.3%. The most frequent medical conditions are asthma (5.3%) and diabetes (3.7%), with 83.5% reporting no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.3%. As of 2021, 7.8% of residents are aged 65 and above (1,625 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 14.4%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention despite being above average compared to the broader population.

Denham Court - Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Denham Court-Bardia, as per the 2016 Census, is one of Australia's most culturally diverse areas with 48.0% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 47.7% of the population. However, Hinduism is notably overrepresented at 16.4%, significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 7.5%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' is the largest group at 34.1%, substantially higher than the regional average of 21.6%. Australian ancestry comprises 11.6% and Indian 9.5%. Serbian (1.5%) and Lebanese (2.9%) are notably overrepresented compared to their respective regional averages of 0.5% and 1.9%. Samoan, however, is underrepresented at 1.5%, compared to the regional average of 2.4%.

Denham Court - Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Denham Court - Bardia's median age is 32 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (22.7%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.7%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, Denham Court - Bardia's population has seen an increase in the proportion of residents aged 35-44, from 20.8% to 22.7%, and a rise in the 5-14 age group, from 16.1% to 17.7%. Conversely, there has been a decline in the proportion of residents aged 25-34, from 19.7% to 15.0%, and a decrease in the 0-4 age group, from 11.2% to 9.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Denham Court - Bardia's age profile. The strongest projected growth is for the 15-24 age cohort, with an increase of 63%, adding 1,444 residents to reach a total of 3,736. However, population declines are projected for both the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.