Denham Court - Bardia

Denham Court - Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Denham Court - Bardia's population was around 21,441 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 6,573 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,868 people. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 21,375 as of June 2025 and an additional 404 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,375 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Denham Court - Bardia's population growth of 44.2% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (7.1%) and Greater Sydney averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 58.1% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where data is not available from ABS, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for Denham Court - Bardia, with an expected increase of 4,204 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 19.3% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Denham Court - Bardia was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Denham Court - Bardia has approved approximately 313 new homes annually. Between FY21 and FY25, a total of 1,567 homes were approved, with an additional 49 approved in FY26 to date. On average, 7.3 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed each year over the past five financial years.

This demand outpaces supply, potentially influencing prices and competition among buyers. The average construction value of new dwellings is $169,000, which is lower than regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, commercial approvals totalled $8.7 million, indicating limited focus on commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia has seen 259.0% more new home approvals per person since FY21, providing ample choice for buyers despite a recent slowdown in building activity. This high level of developer confidence is also evident when compared nationally.

The area's housing market consists of 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining its suburban character with a focus on family homes. With around 349 people per dwelling approval, Denham Court - Bardia indicates a developed market. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by approximately 4,138 residents based on current development patterns. Given this growth and current supply trends, new housing should readily meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Denham Court - Bardia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts performance. AreaSearch identified 69 potential influence projects. Major initiatives include Denham Court Road Upgrade, Stockland Willowdale Community Development, Willowdale Community Precinct, and Glenfield Parklands Revitalization. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Denham Court - Bardia performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Denham Court - Bardia has an educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.3% as of December 2025, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.1%.

There were 11,515 residents employed in December 2025 with an unemployment rate of 1.9%, and workforce participation was 74.8%, higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 41.6% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in health care & social assistance with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level, but has lower representation in professional & technical services at 8.6%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 7.1% while labour force increased by 7.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Denham Court - Bardia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Denham Court - Bardia SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $67,017 and an average income of $76,991. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Greater Sydney averages of $60,817 and $83,030 respectively. As of March 2026, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $73,933 and $84,936 based on Wage Price Index growth since June 2023. The 2021 Census showed household, family, and personal incomes in Denham Court - Bardia ranked between the 77th and 88th percentiles nationally. Income analysis revealed that 39.1% of residents (8,383 people) fell into the $1,500-$2,999 income bracket, consistent with broader regional trends at 30.9%. Economic strength was evident with 35.5% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting high consumer spending. High housing costs consumed 21.8% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 80th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Denham Court - Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

As per the latest Census evaluation, Denham Court - Bardia's dwelling structure comprised 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Denham Court - Bardia was at 12.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.1% and rented dwellings at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Denham Court - Bardia was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Denham Court - Bardia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Denham Court - Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.6% of all households, including 57.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.4%, with lone person households at 11.1% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Denham Court - Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Denham Court - Bardia shows significant superiority over broader benchmarks. As of the latest data, 40.3% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (16.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.9% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 36 active transport stops operating within Denham Court-Bardia. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 33 individual routes that provide 1816 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 418 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode at 84%, while train accounts for 12%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 41.6% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 259 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Denham Court - Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Denham Court - Bardia shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, particularly among younger cohorts with low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is high at approximately 57% of the total population (~12,221 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.3%) and diabetes (3.7%), while 83.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. The area has 8.0% of residents aged 65 and over (1,723 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Denham Court - Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Denham Court-Bardia is one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 48.0% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, making up 47.7% of people in Denham Court-Bardia. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 16.4% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (34.1%), Australian (11.6%), and Indian (9.5%). Notably, Serbian (1.5%), Samoan (1.5%), and Filipino (3.6%) ethnic groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5%, 0.5%, and 2.0% respectively.

Denham Court - Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Denham Court - Bardia's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (22.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.5%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.3%. According to data from the 2021 Census, Denham Court - Bardia's population has seen an increase in the 15 to 24 age group, from 10.2% to 11.9%, and a rise in the 5 to 14 cohort, from 16.1% to 17.7%. Conversely, there has been a decline in the 25 to 34 age group, from 19.7% to 14.6%, and a decrease in the 0 to 4 age group, from 11.2% to 8.6%. By the year 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Denham Court - Bardia's age profile will change significantly. The 15 to 24 cohort is projected to grow by 55%, adding 1,403 residents and reaching a total of 3,957. However, population declines are forecast for the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age cohorts.