Denham Court - Bardia
Statistical Area - sa2

Denham Court - Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

AreaSearch's analysis indicates Denham Court - Bardia's population is approximately 20,734 as of August 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 5,866 people, representing a 39.5% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 14,868. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,619 in June 2024 and an additional 350 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,330 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Denham Court - Bardia's growth of 39.5% since the 2021 census surpassed the state's growth rate of 6.4%, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, though all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth, with Denham Court - Bardia expected to grow by 4,731 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 22.3% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Denham Court - Bardia was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Denham Court - Bardia has seen approximately 772 new home approvals each year. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, showing 3,863 homes approved over the past five financial years, from FY-20 to FY-25, with 30 approvals recorded so far in FY-26. On average, 7.3 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years. This high demand often leads to price growth and increased buyer competition, while new properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $582,000.

Commercial approvals this financial year totalled $8.7 million, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to residential. Relative to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia records 520.0% more new home approvals per person, which should provide buyers with ample choice, although building activity has slowed in recent years. This is substantially higher than the national average, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New building activity shows 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 349 people per dwelling approval, Denham Court - Bardia indicates a developed market.

By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 4,616 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Denham Court - Bardia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area performance is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 65 such projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Willowdale Community Precinct, Glenfield to Campbelltown Infrastructure Upgrade, Stockland Willowdale Community Development, and Glenfield Parklands Revitalization. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denham Court - Bardia ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Denham Court - Bardia has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.5% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 4.2%.

As of June 2025, 10,479 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is 64.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Health care & social assistance has a strong presence at 1.3 times the regional level, while professional & technical services have lower representation at 8.6% versus the regional average of 11.5%.

Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population data. Between June 2024 and July 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, labour force by 4.9%, raising unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, losing 19,270 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, compared to the national rate of 4.5% and national employment growth of 0.26%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Denham Court - Bardia's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9%% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022, Denham Court - Bardia had a median income among taxpayers of $62,468 and an average income of $73,330. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% from financial year ending June 2022 to March 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $69,090 (median) and $81,103 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Denham Court - Bardia rank highly nationally, between the 78th and 89th percentiles. Income analysis shows that 39.1% of residents (8,106 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 income bracket, consistent with broader regional trends where 30.9% are in the same category. Economic strength is evident with 35.5% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 81st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Denham Court - Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Denham Court - Bardia, as per the latest Census, 86.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 13.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differed from Sydney metro's composition of 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Denham Court - Bardia stood at 12.0%, with mortgaged properties at 63.1% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent in Denham Court - Bardia was $550, higher than Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, mortgage repayments and rents were significantly higher compared to Australia's averages of $1,863 and $375 respectively.

Denham Court - Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.6% of all households, including 57.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. The remaining 12.4% are non-family households, consisting of lone person households at 11.1% and group households at 1.2%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Denham Court - Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Denham Court - Bardia shows significant superiority over broader benchmarks. 40.3% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.8% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational credentials are prominent, with 28.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 16.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.9% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. The area's schools include Bardia Public School and Denham Court Public School, serving a total of 1,815 students. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 8.8, below the regional average of 17.3, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent regions. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1070.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows that as of September 2015, there were 32 active transport stops operating within Denham Court - Bardia. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totaling 33 individual routes. Collectively, they provide 1,263 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as moderate; residents are typically located 405 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Denham Court - Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Denham Court-Bardia, with both younger and older age groups having low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 56% (~11,611 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.3%) and diabetes (3.7%), while 83.5% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.3%. There are 1,625 residents aged 65 and over (7.8%), lower than Greater Sydney's 14.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to being above average compared to the broader population.

Denham Court - Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Denham Court-Bardia, located in Australia, has a culturally diverse population with 48.0% born overseas and 58.1% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Denham Court-Bardia, comprising 47.7% of its population. Notably, Hinduism is overrepresented, making up 16.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 7.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are Other (34.1%), Australian (11.6%), and Indian (9.5%). There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups like Serbian (1.5% vs regional 0.5%), Samoan (1.5% vs regional 2.4%), and Lebanese (2.9% vs regional 1.9%).

Denham Court - Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Denham Court - Bardia's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (22.7%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.7%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the Census conducted on August 10, 2021, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 20.8% to 22.7%, while the proportion of residents aged 5-14 has increased from 16.1% to 17.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 19.7% to 15.0%, and the proportion of residents aged 0-4 has dropped from 11.2% to 9.1%. Demographic projections suggest that Denham Court - Bardia's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 15-24 cohort is projected to grow strongly, increasing by 63% to reach a total of 3,736 residents. However, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts.