Denham Court - Bardia
Statistical Area - sa2

Denham Court - Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Denham Court - Bardia's population is around 20,883 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 6,015 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,868 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,619 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 395 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,339 persons per square kilometer. Denham Court - Bardia's growth rate of 40.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on latest population numbers, an above median growth is projected for Denham Court - Bardia, expected to grow by 4,731 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 21.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Denham Court - Bardia was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Denham Court - Bardia has seen approximately 313 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, a total of 1,567 homes were approved, with an additional 35 approved in FY-26 so far. This results in around 7.3 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The demand for housing significantly outpaces supply, which can put upward pressure on prices and increase competition among buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average value of $169,000, under regional levels, indicating more affordable housing choices for buyers. This year, $8.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited focus on commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia records 351.0% more new home approvals per person, offering ample choice for buyers despite a slowdown in building activity in recent years. This is substantially higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location.

New building activity consists of approximately 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 349 people per dwelling approval, Denham Court - Bardia shows a developed market. Looking ahead, Denham Court - Bardia is expected to grow by approximately 4,467 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Denham Court - Bardia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 69 projects potentially impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Denham Court Road Upgrade, Willowdale Community Precinct, Glenfield to Campbelltown Infrastructure Upgrade, and Stockland Willowdale Community Development. The following list details those most likely relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Denham Court - Bardia ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Denham Court - Bardia has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.5% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%. In June 2025, 10,479 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% below Greater Sydney's rate and workforce participation at 64.7%, close to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in health care & social assistance with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level but has lower representation in professional & technical services at 8.6% compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population counts. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Denham Court - Bardia's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Denham Court - Bardia had a median income among taxpayers of $62,468. The average level stood at $73,330. Nationally, these figures were high compared to the Greater Sydney levels of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Denham Court - Bardia would be approximately $70,345 (median) and $82,577 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Denham Court - Bardia ranked highly nationally, between the 78th and 89th percentiles. Income analysis revealed that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominated with 39.1% of residents (8,165 people), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength was evident through 35.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consumed 21.8% of income, though strong earnings still placed disposable income at the 81st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Denham Court - Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Denham Court - Bardia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Denham Court - Bardia stood at 12.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.1% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent in the area was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Denham Court - Bardia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,700 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Denham Court - Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.6% of all households, including 57.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.4%, with lone person households at 11.1% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Denham Court - Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Denham Court - Bardia is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. 40.3% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 16.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.9% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education. The area has two public schools serving 1,815 students: Bardia Public School and Denham Court Public School. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with ICSEA scores indicating above-average socio-educational conditions (1070). School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average at 8.8, suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 32 active stops operating in Denham Court - Bardia area, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 33 different routes that together facilitate 1,263 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents located an average of 405 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 180 trips per day, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Denham Court - Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows significant results across Denham Court - Bardia, with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 56% (~11,694 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.3%.

Asthma and diabetes are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 5.3% and 3.7% of residents respectively. About 83.5% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 7.8% (1,637 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 14.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Denham Court - Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Denham Court-Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 48.0% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Denham Court-Bardia, comprising 47.7% of people. Hinduism, however, is overrepresented at 16.4%, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 7.5%.

The top three represented ancestry groups are Other (34.1%), Australian (11.6%), and Indian (9.5%). Notably, Serbian (1.5%) and Lebanese (2.9%) are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 1.9%, respectively.

Denham Court - Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Denham Court - Bardia's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (22.7%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.7%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the percentage of residents aged 35-44 has grown from 20.8% in 2016 to 22.7% in 2021, while the percentage of residents aged 5-14 increased from 16.1% to 17.7%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 19.7% to 15.0%, and the percentage of residents aged 0-4 has dropped from 11.2% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Denham Court - Bardia's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 15-24 cohort is projected to grow by 62%, adding 1,428 residents to reach a total of 3,736. However, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.