Denham Court - Bardia

Denham Court - Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Denham Court - Bardia's population was around 20,883 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 6,015 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,868. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 20,619 in June 2024 and an additional 395 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,339 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Denham Court - Bardia's growth rate of 40.5% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for national areas, with Denham Court - Bardia expected to grow by 4,731 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 21.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Denham Court - Bardia was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Denham Court - Bardia has seen approximately 313 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 1,567 homes were approved, with an additional 36 approved in FY26 so far. This results in about 7.3 new residents arriving per year for each dwelling constructed over these five years.

Consequently, demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $169,000, which is lower than regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY26, $8.7 million worth of commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited focus on commercial development. Comparatively, Denham Court - Bardia records 351.0% more new home approvals per capita relative to Greater Sydney, which should provide ample choice for buyers despite a recent slowdown in building activity. This figure is substantially higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location.

The area's new building activity comprises 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining its traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 349 people per dwelling approval, Denham Court - Bardia exhibits signs of a developed market. Looking ahead, the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate projects that Denham Court - Bardia will grow by approximately 4,467 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Denham Court - Bardia has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 69 such projects expected to impact the region. Notable ones include Denham Court Road Upgrade, Willowdale Community Precinct, Glenfield Parklands Revitalization, and Stockland Willowdale Community Development. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Denham Court - Bardia performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Denham Court - Bardia has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.4% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 5.9%.

As of September 2025, 11,262 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is 64.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Health care & social assistance has a strong presence at 1.3 times the regional level, while professional & technical services show lower representation at 8.6% versus the regional average of 11.5%.

Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data. Over one year, employment increased by 5.9%, labour force by 6.5%, raising unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Denham Court - Bardia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

In financial year 2022, AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data indicates that Denham Court - Bardia SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $62,468 and an average income of $73,330. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Greater Sydney levels of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, estimated median income is approximately $70,345 and average income is around $82,577. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Denham Court - Bardia rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 88th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket dominates with 39.1% of residents (8,165 people), slightly higher than the regional average of 30.9%. Economic strength is evident with 35.5% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 80th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Denham Court - Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Denham Court - Bardia, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Denham Court - Bardia was at 12.0%, with the rest mortgaged (63.1%) or rented (24.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's $2,100 and national average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Denham Court - Bardia was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $380 and national figure of $375.

Denham Court - Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.6% of all households, including 57.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.4%, with lone person households at 11.1% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Denham Court - Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Denham Court - Bardia shows a significant advantage with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.8% and certificates for 16.4%. Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.9% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.9% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 32 active transport stops operating within Denham Court-Bardia, consisting of a mix of buses. These stops are served by 33 individual routes, collectively providing 1,263 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 405 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Denham Court - Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Denham Court - Bardia. Both younger and older age groups have a low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover rate is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~11,694 people), compared to 49.3% across Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 5.3 and 3.7% of residents respectively. 83.5% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than the 70.3% reported in Greater Sydney. Denham Court - Bardia has 7.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,637 people), lower than the 14.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Denham Court - Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Denham Court-Bardia, one of Australia's most culturally diverse areas, has 48.0% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, with 47.7%. Hinduism, however, is significantly overrepresented at 16.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 7.5%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' tops at 34.1%, higher than the regional average of 21.6%. Australian ancestry stands at 11.6%, lower than the regional average of 20.0%. Indian ancestry is 9.5%. Notable ethnic group divergences include Serbian (1.5% vs 0.5%), Samoan (1.5% vs 2.4%) and Filipino (3.6% vs 3.3%).

Denham Court - Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Denham Court - Bardia's median age is 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (22.7%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.7%). This 35-44 concentration is well above the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the percentage of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 20.8% to 22.7%, while the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has increased from 16.1% to 17.7%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 19.7% to 15.0%, and the percentage of residents aged 0-4 has dropped from 11.2% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Denham Court - Bardia's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 15-24 cohort (62%), adding 1,428 residents to reach a total of 3,736. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.