Denham Court - Bardia

Denham Court - Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Denham Court - Bardia's population is around 23,998 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 9,130 people (61.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,868 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,639 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 400 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,539 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Denham Court - Bardia's 61.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth of national areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 4,731 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 5.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Denham Court - Bardia was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Denham Court - Bardia has seen around 313 new homes approved each year, with 1,567 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 41 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 7.3 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $169,000—under regional levels—indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. Additionally, $8.7 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating a limited commercial development focus.

Relative to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia records 351.0% more new home approvals (per person), which should provide buyers with ample choice, though building activity has slowed in recent years. This is substantially higher than nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New building activity shows 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 349 people per dwelling approval, Denham Court - Bardia shows a developed market.

Looking ahead, Denham Court - Bardia is expected to grow by 1,352 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Denham Court - Bardia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 69 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Denham Court Road Upgrade, Willowdale Community Precinct, Stockland Willowdale Community Development, and Glenfield Parklands Revitalization, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Denham Court - Bardia performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Denham Court - Bardia has a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 2.3%, and 7.1% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 11,515 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.9% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (77.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 41.6% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical. The area shows particularly strong specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical shows lower representation at 8.6% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 7.1% alongside labour force increasing by 7.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Denham Court - Bardia. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Denham Court - Bardia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Denham Court - Bardia SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $67,017 with the average level standing at $76,991. This is very high nationally and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $72,955 (median) and $83,812 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Denham Court - Bardia, between the 77th and 88th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 39.1% of residents (9,383 people), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength emerges through 35.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.8% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 80th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Denham Court - Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Denham Court - Bardia, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Denham Court - Bardia was lagging that of Sydney metro, at 12.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (63.1%) or rented (24.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Sydney metro average at $2,700, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $550, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Denham Court - Bardia's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Denham Court - Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 87.6% of all households, comprising 57.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.4%, with lone person households at 11.1% and group households comprising 1.2% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Denham Court - Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Denham Court - Bardia significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 28.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (16.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.9% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 36 active transport stops operating within Denham Court - Bardia, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 33 individual routes, collectively providing 1,816 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 418 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 84%, with 12% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 41.6% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 259 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Denham Court - Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Denham Court - Bardia, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~13,678 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be asthma and diabetes, impacting 5.3% and 3.7% of residents, respectively, while 83.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 8.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,018 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Denham Court - Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Denham Court - Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 48.0% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Denham Court - Bardia is Christianity, which makes up 47.7% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 16.4% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Denham Court - Bardia are Other, comprising 34.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Australian, comprising 11.6% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%, and Indian, comprising 9.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 3.6%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Serbian is notably overrepresented at 1.5% of Denham Court - Bardia (vs 0.5% regionally), Samoan at 1.5% (vs 0.5%) and Filipino at 3.6% (vs 2.0%).

Denham Court - Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 33, Denham Court - Bardia is materially younger than the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and is substantially under Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia has a higher concentration of 35 - 44 residents (22.6%) but fewer 55 - 64 year-olds (6.8%). This 35 - 44 concentration is well above the national 14.3%. Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 20.8% to 22.6% of the population, while the 5 to 14 cohort increased from 16.1% to 17.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 19.7% to 14.0% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 11.2% to 8.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Denham Court - Bardia. The 55 to 64 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 69%, adding 1,128 residents to reach 2,763. On the other hand, both 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups will see reduced numbers.