Denham Court - Bardia

Denham Court - Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Denham Court - Bardia's population was around 20,883 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 6,015 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,868 people. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,619 in June 2024 and an additional 395 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,339 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 40.5% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for national areas, with Denham Court - Bardia expected to grow by 4,731 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 21.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Denham Court - Bardia was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Denham Court - Bardia has seen approximately 313 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 1,567 homes were approved, with an additional 35 approved in FY26 as of current data. On average, each dwelling constructed over these years accommodates about 7.3 new residents per year.

This high demand has outpaced supply, potentially exerting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. The average construction value for new dwellings is around $582,000. In FY26, commercial development approvals totaled approximately $8.7 million, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia exhibits 351.0% higher building activity per capita, offering ample choice for buyers despite recent slowdowns in building activity. This high level of developer confidence is notably higher than national averages.

New building activity in Denham Court - Bardia comprises approximately 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban character while attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 349 people per dwelling approval, it indicates a developed market. By 2041, Denham Court - Bardia is projected to grow by approximately 4,467 residents, based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Denham Court - Bardia has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Area infrastructure significantly impacts local performance. AreaSearch identified 69 potential impact projects. Major ones are Denham Court Road Upgrade, Willowdale Community Precinct, Glenfield Parklands Revitalization, and Stockland Willowdale Community Development. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Denham Court - Bardia ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Denham Court - Bardia has a highly educated workforce. Professional services are well represented, with an unemployment rate of 2.5% as of June 2025.

The area experienced estimated employment growth of 4.2% in the past year. In June 2025, 10,479 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at 64.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services.

Health care & social assistance shows strong specialization, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 8.6% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force increased by 4.9%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Denham Court - Bardia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Denham Court - Bardia SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $62,468 and an average of $73,330. These figures are high compared to national levels of $56,994 and Greater Sydney's $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $70,345 (median) and $82,577 (average). The 2021 Census indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Denham Court - Bardia rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 88th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 39.1% of residents (8,165 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, consistent with broader regional trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength is evident through 35.5% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 21.8% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 80th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Denham Court - Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Denham Court - Bardia, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Denham Court - Bardia stood at 12.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 63.1% and rented ones at 24.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent in the area was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Denham Court - Bardia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,700 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Denham Court - Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 87.6% of all households, including 57.6% couples with children, 20.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.4%, with lone person households at 11.1% and group households making up 1.2% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Denham Court - Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Denham Court - Bardia shows a significant advantage with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to the SA4 region's 22.3% and the SA3 area's 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (16.4%). Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.9% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.9% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 32 active transport stops operating within Denham Court - Bardia. These stops service a mix of buses along 33 individual routes, collectively providing 1,263 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated moderate, with residents typically located 405 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 180 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 39 weekly trips per stop.

Denham Court - Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Denham Court - Bardia, with both young and elderly cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 56% of the total population (~11,694 people) has private health cover, compared to 49.3% in Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.3%) and diabetes (3.7%), with 83.5% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 70.3% in Greater Sydney. The area has 7.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,637 people), lower than the 14.4% in Greater Sydney. While health outcomes among seniors are above average, they require more attention than the broader population.

Denham Court - Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Denham Court-Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 48.0% of its population born overseas and 58.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Denham Court-Bardia, comprising 47.7% of people there. Hinduism makes up 16.4%, which is substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 7.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (34.1%), Australian (11.6%), and Indian (9.5%). Serbian (1.5%) is notably overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.5%. Samoan representation is 1.5%, lower than the regional average of 2.4%. Filipino representation is 3.6%, slightly higher than the regional average of 3.3%.

Denham Court - Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Denham Court - Bardia has a median age of 32 years, which is younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and also lower than Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Denham Court - Bardia has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (22.7%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.7%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.2%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the percentage of residents aged 35-44 has increased from 20.8% in the previous census to 22.7%, while the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has also risen from 16.1% to 17.7%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 19.7% to 15.0%, and the percentage of residents aged 0-4 has dropped from 11.2% to 9.1%. Demographic projections suggest that Denham Court - Bardia's age profile will change significantly by the year 2041. The 15-24 age group is projected to grow at a rate of 62%, adding 1,428 residents to reach a total of 3,736. However, population declines are expected for both the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.