Raby

Raby has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Raby is around 5,969, reflecting an increase of 26 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 0.4% increase from the previously reported population of 5,943. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5,913 following examination of the ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024, along with validation of three new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,244 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 65.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Raby are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered areas, and NSW State Government SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas until 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate lower quartile growth, with the suburb expected to expand by 199 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 2.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Raby is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis indicates approximately five new homes approved annually in Raby based on statistical area data over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 28 homes. By FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. Population decline during this period suggests supply has likely met demand, offering buyers good choice. Average construction value stands at $449,000, moderately above regional levels, indicating quality construction emphasis.

Commercial approvals in FY-26 totalled $217,000, reflecting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Raby has significantly less development activity, 86.0% below the regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This is also lower than national levels, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development comprises 80.0% detached dwellings and 20.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Raby's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to space-seeking buyers. With around 1204 people per approval, Raby exhibits a mature, established area.

AreaSearch projects Raby's population to grow by 143 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current projections.

Raby has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified two projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Emerald Hills Estate, Kirkham Lane Improvements, Claymore Urban Renewal Project (Hillcroft at Claymore), and South West Rail Link Extension Study. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Raby maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Raby has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.5% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 7.4%.

As of December 2025, 3,374 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Raby was 75.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 31.9% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area had a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services had limited presence with only 5.5% of employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 7.4% and labour force grew by 7.5%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2%, labour force grow by 2.3%, and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Raby. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Raby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that median income in Raby is $54,652 and average income is $60,604. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2023 to September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $59,494 (median) and $65,974 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Raby's household, family, and personal incomes fall around the 55th percentile nationally. Income brackets reveal that 38.8% of Raby's population earn between $1,500 - $2,999 annually, aligning with surrounding regions at 30.9%. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 60th percentile nationally.

Raby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluation found that 92.5% of dwellings in Raby were houses, with the remaining 7.5% consisting of semi-detached properties, apartments, and other types. This differs from Sydney metro's composition of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Raby stood at 31.7%, compared to mortgaged dwellings at 48.1% and rented ones at 20.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Raby was recorded as $410, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Raby's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375 by $35.

Raby features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 82.7% of all households, including 41.7% couples with children, 25.5% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 17.3%, with lone person households at 15.5% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Raby fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 38.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 27.8%. Educational participation is high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 11.1% in primary, 8.1% in secondary, and 3.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.1% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Raby has 38 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 35 different routes, collectively facilitating 932 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 134 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode at 92%, while train usage stands at 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 31.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 133 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 24 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Raby is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Raby faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population, which consists of around 3,040 people. This compares to a rate of 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.5 and 7.6% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 69.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents show an above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over, which totals around 978 people. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Raby was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Raby's population showed high cultural diversity, with 28.4% born overseas and 28.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Raby, comprising 59.3%. Islam had an overrepresentation of 9.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 6.8%.

Ancestry-wise, Australian (23.7%), English (21.3%), and Other (16.6%) were the top groups. Notable differences existed in Samoan representation at 1.3% vs regional 0.5%, Lebanese at 2.6% vs 2.6%, and Serbian at 0.8% vs 0.5%.

Raby's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Raby's median age is 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years. This is modestly below Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Raby has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (10.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 2.7% to 4.3%, while the 65-74 cohort increased from 9.5% to 10.8%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort declined from 14.5% to 12.9%, and the 25-34 group dropped from 13.2% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Raby's age profile will significantly evolve. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 77%, adding 198 residents to reach 455. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 65% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.