Blair Athol (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Blair Athol reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Blair Athol's population is estimated at around 2,815 people, reflecting a 90 person increase (3.3%) since the 2021 Census which reported 2,725 residents. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 2,794 residents using ABS ERP data release from Jun 2024 and an additional validated new address since the Census date. The suburb's population density stands at 3,235 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Over the past decade (2015-2025), Blair Athol has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 3.1%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 43.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, though all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth were positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former data.

For years 2032 to 2041, growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas. By 2041, Blair Athol is forecasted to increase its population by 1,061 persons, reflecting a total increase of 37.4% over the 17 years based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Blair Athol when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Blair Athol shows approximately 12 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 61 homes. So far in FY-26, two approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 6.3 people moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating demand significantly exceeds new supply.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $322,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. Blair Athol shows approximately 75% of Greater Sydney's construction activity per person and ranks among the 52nd percentile nationally. New development consists of 50% standalone homes and 50% attached dwellings, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 98% houses. Blair Athol has around 308 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low density area.

Population forecasts indicate Blair Athol will gain 1,053 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Blair Athol has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects likely to impact the region. Notable initiatives include Western Sydney University's Campbelltown Campus vertical expansion, Queen Square Campbelltown, Macarthur Heights, and the Campbelltown City Centre Design Framework. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Blair Athol has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Blair Athol has a well-educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.2%. Compared to Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, Blair Athol's is 1.8% higher, while workforce participation stands at 64.1%, slightly above Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly specialized, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services employ only 5.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 6.2%, while labour force grew by 5.2%, resulting in a 1.0 percentage point fall in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Blair Athol. These projections estimate national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates varying significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Blair Athol's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Blair Athol's median income among taxpayers was $57,767 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $66,299 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes would be approximately $65,051 (median) and $74,659 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, Blair Athol's household incomes rank at the 87th percentile ($2,389 weekly), while personal incomes rank lower at the 51st percentile. The largest income bracket comprises 40.1% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,128 residents). Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 34.8% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 86th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Blair Athol is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Blair Athol, as per the latest Census data, 98.2% of dwellings were houses with 1.8% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blair Athol stood at 25.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.3% and rented ones at 20.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, above Sydney metro's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent in Blair Athol was $470 compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Blair Athol's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blair Athol features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.7% of all households, including 54.4% couples with children, 19.9% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.3%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households making up 2.2%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Blair Athol shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 30.8% for residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 22.3%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (18.1%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes secondary education (9.5%), primary education (7.8%), and tertiary education (7.8%). Educational facilities appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blair Athol has 13 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 29 different routes that together facilitate 1,986 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average being located 209 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 283 trips per day, which equates to approximately 152 weekly trips per individual stop.

Blair Athol's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Blair Athol, with both younger and older age groups experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 53%, affecting around 1,496 people, which is higher than the average SA2 area rate of 49.3% across Greater Sydney.

Diabetes and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in Blair Athol, impacting 6.9 and 6.6% of residents respectively. Around 73.4% of residents declare themselves completely free from medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016, 11.4% of Blair Athol's population is aged 65 and over (320 people), lower than the 14.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Blair Athol is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blair Athol has a high level of cultural diversity, with 47.7% of its population born overseas and 51.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Blair Athol, comprising 55.5% of the population. However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 7.5% of Blair Athol's population versus the regional average of 2.9%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (24.7%), Australian (14.1%), and English (12.5%). The Australian and English groups are lower than the regional averages of 20.0% and 18.1%, respectively. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, with Filipino at 10.6% compared to the regional average of 3.3%, Spanish at 1.3% versus 0.7%, and Samoan at 2.0% compared to 2.4%.

Blair Athol's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Blair Athol has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 55-64 is notably strong in Blair Athol at 14.1%, compared to Greater Sydney. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent in Blair Athol at 10.8%. Between 2021 and the present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 14.2% to 15.4% of Blair Athol's population, while the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 11.7% to 10.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Blair Athol's age structure, with the 45-54 group expected to grow by 58%, reaching 669 people from its current figure of 422.