Blair Athol (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Blair Athol reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Blair Athol (NSW) statistical area (Lv2)'s population is estimated at around 2,862. This reflects an increase of 137 people from the 2021 Census figure of 2,725, indicating a growth rate of 5.0%. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 2,781 in Jun 2024 and an additional validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,289 persons per square kilometer, placing Blair Athol (NSW) in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Over the past decade ending in 2021, Blair Athol (NSW)'s growth rate was 3.1% annually, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 43.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with interstate migration and natural growth also being positive factors.

AreaSearch's projections for Blair Athol (NSW) are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 using a 2022 base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government SA2-level projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year are used. By 2041, Blair Athol (NSW) is projected to increase its population by 1,034 persons, reflecting a total increase of 34.2% over the 17-year period, placing it in the top quartile of statistical areas nationally.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Blair Athol recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Blair Athol had around 11 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 55 homes. In FY26 so far, there has been 1 approval recorded. On average, 7 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand significantly exceeds supply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $322,000.

This financial year has seen $59.7 million in commercial approvals, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Blair Athol shows around 65% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 41st percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice. New development consists equally of standalone homes and attached dwellings, promoting affordability for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (98%). Blair Athol has around 396 people per dwelling approval, indicating a developed market.

Future projections estimate Blair Athol will add 979 residents by 2041 at current development rates, potentially leading to increased buyer competition and price increases due to supply struggles to match population growth.

Blair Athol has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are Western Sydney University Campbelltown Campus Vertical Expansion, Queen Square Campbelltown, Macarthur Heights, and Campbelltown City Centre Design Framework. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Blair Athol has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Blair Athol has an educated workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 5.8%, while estimated employment growth over the past year is 6.8%.

As of September 2025, 1,642 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 7.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 64.1%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for Blair Athol residents include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing is particularly specialized, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 5.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 6.8%, while labour force grew by 5.8%, resulting in a 0.9 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% over the same period. State-level data from NSW to November 2025 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Job and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts indicate growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blair Athol's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Blair Athol had an income level below the national average according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $57,767 and the average income stood at $66,299. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $62,885 (median) and $72,173 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household incomes ranked at the 87th percentile ($2,389 weekly), while personal income ranked lower at the 51st percentile. The largest income bracket comprised 40.1% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,147 residents). Higher earners represented a substantial presence with 34.8% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consumed 15.3% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 86th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Blair Athol is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated dwellings in Blair Athol as 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blair Athol stood at 25.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 54.3% and rented ones at 20.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Weekly rent in Blair Athol was $470, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Blair Athol's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Blair Athol features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.7% of all households, including 54.4% couples with children, 19.9% couples without children, and 12.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.3%, with lone person households at 10.4% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 3.4 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Blair Athol shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable within the region, with university qualification rates at 30.8% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 22.3%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 10.9% while certificates make up 18.1%.

Educational participation is notably high at 30.2%, including 9.5% in secondary education, 7.8% in primary education, and 7.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 14 active transport stops in Blair Athol. These are mixed bus stops serviced by 29 routes providing 2,166 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 209 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 309 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 154 weekly trips per individual stop.

Blair Athol's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Blair Athol. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,521 people), leading that of the average SA2 area, compared to 50.5% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and asthma, impacting 6.9 and 6.6% of residents respectively, while 73.4% declare themselves as completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 11.3% of residents aged 65 and over (323 people), which is lower than the 14.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Blair Athol is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Blair Athol has a high level of cultural diversity, with 47.7% of its population born overseas and 51.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Blair Athol, making up 55.5% of the population. Buddhism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 7.5% versus 2.9%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.7%), Australian (14.1%), and English (12.5%), all notably lower than regional averages. Filipino ethnicity is notably overrepresented at 10.6%, Spanish at 1.3%, and Samoan at 2.0%.

Blair Athol's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Blair Athol's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 14.1%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 10.8%. From 2021 to present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 14.2% to 15.3%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 11.7% to 10.8%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Blair Athol's age structure. The 45-54 group is projected to grow by 55%, adding 236 people and reaching 666 from its current figure of 429. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is expected to grow modestly by 9%, with an increase of 14 people.