Minto - St Andrews

Population growth drivers in Minto - St Andrews are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Minto - St Andrews, according to AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 22,197 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 862 people, a rise of 4.0%, since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 21,335. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 21,956 in June 2024 and the addition of 129 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,788 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Minto - St Andrews has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outperforming the state's growth rate. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.8% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median of national statistical areas, with the area expected to grow by 1,760 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 6.8% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Minto - St Andrews according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Minto-St Andrews averaged approximately 58 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 294 homes. As of FY-26, 40 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average construction cost of new properties is $215,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $79.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Minto-St Andrews has significantly less development activity (59.0% below the regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 54.0% detached dwellings and 46.0% townhouses or apartments, offering choices across price ranges from spacious family homes to more accessible compact options. This shows a considerable shift from the current housing mix (currently 86.0% houses), likely due to reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Minto-St Andrews reflects a low density area with around 317 people per approval.

Future projections estimate an addition of 1,515 residents by 2041 (latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Minto - St Andrews has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Minto Industry Park, Minto Multicultural Community Centre Enhancement, Minto Logistics Hub, and Greater Macarthur Growth Area - Glenfield to Macarthur Corridor. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Minto - St Andrews recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Minto - St Andrews has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 5.9% in September 2021. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.3%.

As of September 2025, 11,030 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.7%, 1.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.9%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's at 70.0%. According to Census responses in September 2025, 27.7% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

Transport, postal & warehousing has particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have limited presence with 5.2% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 5.3% while labour force increased by 5.3%, leaving unemployment broadly flat at 6.7%. In Greater Sydney, employment rose by 2.1%, the labour force grew by 2.4%, and unemployment rose to 5.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Minto - St Andrews' employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Minto-St Andrews SA2's median income among taxpayers was $54,460 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $59,909 during the same period. These figures are below Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $59,285 (median) and $65,217 (average). According to census data, household income ranks at the 48th percentile ($1,727 weekly), while personal income sits at the 30th percentile. In terms of income distribution, 37.5% of the population falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 46th percentile.

Minto - St Andrews is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Minto - St Andrews' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Minto - St Andrews was at 22.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.7% and rented ones at 32.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,035, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $370, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Minto - St Andrews' mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Minto - St Andrews features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.7 percent of all households, including 45.6 percent couples with children, 18.2 percent couples without children, and 15.3 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.3 percent, with lone person households making up 17.1 percent and group households comprising 2.1 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Minto - St Andrews aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (21.0%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (12.7%), secondary education (9.0%), and tertiary education (5.6%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Minto-St Andrews has 148 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 62 routes, facilitating 5,124 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 172 meters to the nearest stop. As a mainly residential area, most residents commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 81%, while trains account for 13%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 27.7% of residents work from home, a figure potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 732 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop. The provided map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Health performance in Minto - St Andrews is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data for Minto - St Andrews shows significant health challenges. AreaSearch's assessment found high prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. The area has a low private health cover rate of approximately 49% (around 10,854 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most common conditions, affecting 7.8% and 7.4% of residents respectively. However, 71.0% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are generally typical. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.6% (3,014 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.3%. However, health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Minto - St Andrews is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Minto-St Andrews has notable cultural diversity, with 43.3% of its population born overseas and 47.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Minto-St Andrews, comprising 44.5% of people. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented, making up 20.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (28.8%), Australian (17.4%), and English (15.2%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Samoan at 3.0% compared to the regional average of 0.5%, Filipino at 4.0% versus 2.0%, and Lebanese at 2.1% compared to 2.6%.

Minto - St Andrews's population is younger than the national pattern

Minto - St Andrews has a median age of 35 years, slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. The 5-14 age group is strongly represented at 15.4%, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.1%. Between 2021 and the present, the 75-84 age group has grown from 2.9% to 3.9% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 13.6% to 12.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Minto - St Andrews. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 743 people (an 85% increase), from 870 to 1,614. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 57% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in number.