Minto - St Andrews

Population growth drivers in Minto - St Andrews are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Minto - St Andrews' population, as of May 2026, is approximately 22,120, reflecting a growth of 785 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 3.7% rise from the previous population count of 21,335. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 22,009 as of June 2025 and an additional 171 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,782 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 69.6% to recent population gains in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are utilized, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas. By 2041, the area is expected to grow by 1,535 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 6.9% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Minto - St Andrews according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Minto - St Andrews has experienced approximately 58 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 294 homes. As of FY-26, 53 approvals have been recorded. The population decline in recent years has resulted in adequate development activity relative to other areas, benefiting buyers with new properties constructed at an average value of $215,000, below regional norms. This financial year has seen $79.4 million in commercial development approvals, indicating high local commercial activity.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Minto - St Andrews has significantly less development activity, 58.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, development activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New developments in the area consist of 54.0% detached houses and 46.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options across various price brackets. This shift from the current housing composition (86.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring more diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 317 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

By 2041, Minto - St Andrews is projected to grow by 1,420 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Minto - St Andrews has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that could impact this region. Notable initiatives include Minto Industry Park, Minto Multicultural Community Centre Enhancement, Minto Logistics Hub, and Greater Macarthur Growth Area - Glenfield to Macarthur Corridor. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Minto - St Andrews shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Minto - St Andrews has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 5.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 7.1%. As of December 2025, 11,299 residents were in work while the unemployment rate was 6.7%, above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 27.7% of residents worked from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area has a high specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.2% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. In the 12-month period ending May-25, employment increased by 7.1% alongside labour force growth of 7.2%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. This contrasts with Greater Sydney, where employment rose by 2.2%, the labour force grew by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Minto - St Andrews' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on 31 May 2023, Minto - St Andrews SA2's median income among taxpayers is $54,460. The average income is $59,909. This is below the national average. Comparing to Greater Sydney, Minto - St Andrews has a lower median income of $54,460 compared to Greater Sydney's $60,817 and a lower average income of $59,909 compared to Greater Sydney's $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Minto - St Andrews' median income would be approximately $60,080 and the average would be around $66,092 as of March 2026. Census data reveals that Minto - St Andrews' household income ranks at the 48th percentile with a weekly income of $1,727. Personal income sits at the 30th percentile. Distribution data shows that 37.5% of the community (8,295 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band, which is similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Minto - St Andrews, with only 80.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 46th percentile.

Minto - St Andrews is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Minto-St Andrews, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.5% houses and 14.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Minto-St Andrews was at 22.4%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (44.7%) or rented (32.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,035, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $370, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Minto-St Andrews' mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Minto - St Andrews features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.7% of all households, consisting of 45.6% couples with children, 18.2% couples without children, and 15.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.3%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households making up 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Minto - St Andrews aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (21.0%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.7% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Minto-St Andrews has 148 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 62 individual routes, facilitating 5,124 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is excellent, with residents typically situated 172 meters from the nearest stop. The area is primarily residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 81%, while train usage stands at 13%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 27.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 732 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Minto - St Andrews is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

AreaSearch's health assessment for Minto - St Andrews indicates significant health challenges. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is very low at approximately 49% of the total population (~10,816 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma (7.8%) and arthritis (7.4%). 71.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are broadly typical. The area has 13.7% of residents aged 65 and over (3,034 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Minto - St Andrews is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Minto-St Andrews has high cultural diversity, with 43.3% born overseas and 47.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 44.5%. Islam is overrepresented at 20.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 6.8%.

Top ancestry groups are Other (28.8%), Australian (17.4%), and English (15.2%). Samoan (3.0%) and Filipino (4.0%) are notably overrepresented, while Lebanese is slightly higher than the regional average at 2.1%.

Minto - St Andrews's population is younger than the national pattern

Minto-St Andrews has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group constitutes 15.1% of the population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. However, the 25-34 age group makes up only 12.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.5% to 13.8%, while the 75-84 cohort has risen from 2.9% to 4.0%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Minto-St Andrews. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially, with an increase of 655 people (74%) from 884 to 1,540. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 54% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.