Minto - St Andrews

Population growth drivers in Minto - St Andrews are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Minto-St Andrews' population, as of November 2025, is approximately 22,110. This figure reflects a growth of 775 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 21,335. The increase is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 21,952 in June 2024 and an additional 129 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,781 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Minto-St Andrews has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outperforming the state's average. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.8% to the area's population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are utilized, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Minto-St Andrews is expected to grow by approximately 1,760 persons, reflecting a total gain of 7.2% over the 17-year period, based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Minto - St Andrews according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Minto - St Andrews has averaged approximately 58 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 294 homes. As of FY-26, 24 approvals have been recorded. Despite a decrease in population during this period, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. The average construction cost value of new properties is $285,000, which is below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $79.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Minto - St Andrews has significantly less development activity, with 59.0% fewer approvals per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and potential development constraints. New developments consist of 54.0% detached dwellings and 46.0% townhouses or apartments, offering choices across price ranges from spacious family homes to more compact options. This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, differing from the current housing mix which is predominantly houses (86.0%). Minto - St Andrews has a low density population with approximately 317 people per approval.

Future projections estimate an increase of 1,602 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Minto - St Andrews has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure can significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects that may affect the area. Notable projects include Minto Industry Park, Minto Multicultural Community Centre Enhancement, Minto Logistics Hub, and Greater Macarthur Growth Area - Glenfield to Macarthur Corridor. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Minto - St Andrews recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Minto - St Andrews has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.0% as of June 2025.

There was an estimated employment growth of 4.7% over the past year. As of June 2025, 10,962 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was lower at 56.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing sectors was concentrated.

Notably, employment in transport, postal & warehousing was at 1.9 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services had limited presence with only 5.2% of employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 4.7%, while labour force increased by 4.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. State-level data for NSW as of Nov-25 showed employment had contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. This compared favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 projected a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Minto - St Andrews' employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Minto - St Andrews SA2 was $50,659 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $56,582 during the same period. In Greater Sydney, the median income was $56,994 and the average was $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $57,047 (median) and $63,717 (average). According to census data, household income ranked at the 48th percentile ($1,727 weekly), while personal income sat at the 30th percentile. In terms of income distribution, 37.5% of the population fell within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which was consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 80.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 46th percentile.

Minto - St Andrews is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Minto - St Andrews, as per the latest Census findings, 85.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 14.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments and other types of accommodation. This distribution differed slightly from Sydney's metropolitan area, where 78.5% of dwellings were houses. Home ownership in Minto - St Andrews stood at 22.4%, lower than Sydney metro's rate. The majority of dwellings were mortgaged (44.7%) or rented (32.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,035, below the Sydney metro average of $2,100. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent was $370, compared to Sydney's $380. Nationally, Minto - St Andrews' mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Minto - St Andrews features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.7% of all households, including 45.6% couples with children, 18.2% couples without children, and 15.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.3%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational attainment in Minto - St Andrews aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent, at 17.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 31.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (21.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.7% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 130 active public transport stops in Minto - St Andrews area. These include both train and bus services. There are 61 individual routes operating, collectively facilitating 4,464 weekly passenger trips.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 172 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 637 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 34 weekly trips per stop.

Minto - St Andrews's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Minto's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions among its general population are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~10,612 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 7.8 and 7.4% of residents respectively. 71.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 13.6% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,002 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Minto - St Andrews is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Minto-St Andrews has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.3% of its population born overseas and 47.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Minto-St Andrews, comprising 44.5% of the population. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented compared to the Greater Sydney average, making up 20.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (28.8%), Australian (17.4%), and English (15.2%). Notably, Samoan, Filipino, and Lebanese ethnicities are also overrepresented in Minto-St Andrews compared to regional averages.

Minto - St Andrews's population is younger than the national pattern

Minto - St Andrews has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.4% of the population, higher than in Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 age group makes up 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 2.9% to 3.9% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Minto - St Andrews. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to rise substantially by 747 people (an increase of 86%), from 866 to 1,614. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 56% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are projected to see reduced numbers.