Minto - St Andrews

Population growth drivers in Minto - St Andrews are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the resident population of Minto - St Andrews is approximately 22,120 in May 2026. This indicates a growth of 785 residents (3.7%) from the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 21,335 individuals. The variation is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 22,009 plus an extra 171 validated new addresses registered after the Census. This population level translates to a density of 1,782 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the typical ratio found across national markets evaluated by AreaSearch. The demographic expansion was chiefly powered by arrivals from overseas, who made up roughly 69.6% of the total population gains in recent times.

AreaSearch adopts the 2024 projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia using 2022 as a baseline for each SA2. In instances where such statistics are unavailable, projections at the SA2 level from the NSW State Government released in 2022 using 2021 as a baseline are applied. Demographic growth projections by age cohort from these datasets are extended to all regions for the span from 2032 to 2041. Future demographic changes are projected to rise at a rate slightly underneath the national median, with expectations that the region will add 1,535 residents by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP data, representing a total rise of 6.4% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Minto - St Andrews according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Dwelling approvals in Minto - St Andrews have run at an annual average of about 58, resulting in 294 new residential builds over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, there have been 74 registered approvals. Given that only 0.5 new residents have arrived per newly built home on average over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), the volume of construction is keeping pace with or outstripping local demand. This scenario provides purchasers with a broader selection of properties and permits population growth to potentially outpace current forecasts, with new homes constructed at an average cost of $215,000—below the average of the broader region—which indicates more budget-friendly purchasing options. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $79.4 million this financial year, pointing to a high degree of local business investment.

Minto - St Andrews displays a low level of building activity relative to Greater Sydney, tracking at 58.0% below the regional per capita average. This limited addition of new stock typically supports the valuation and demand for existing houses. Development intensity is also lower compared to national figures, indicating a mature market and prospective planning constraints. The mix of new construction consists of 54.0% detached houses and 46.0% townhouses or apartments, showing a growing diversity of attached housing formats that offer choices across various price points, from large family residences to more compact properties. This is a distinct departure from the current housing stock (where houses make up 86.0%), reflecting a scarcity of development land and responding to changing lifestyle choices and cost considerations. With a ratio of approximately 319 people per approval, Minto - St Andrews is characterized as a low-density zone.

Long-term projections indicate that Minto - St Andrews will gain 1,420 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations by AreaSearch. If development continues at its current pace, the supply of new housing should easily accommodate demand, supporting favorable conditions for home buyers and potentially helping the population expand beyond current forecasts.

Minto - St Andrews has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

Few elements shape the trajectory of an area as much as local infrastructure upgrades, major building projects, and planning changes. A total of 21 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a likely local impact. Key initiatives include the Minto Industry Park, the Minto Multicultural Community Centre Enhancement, the Minto Logistics Hub, and the Greater Macarthur Growth Area - Glenfield to Macarthur Corridor, with the details of the most significant works listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Minto - St Andrews shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

The local workforce is characterized by a solid presence of workers in essential service industries, alongside an unemployment rate of 5.9% and an estimated annual employment expansion of 7.4%. In March 2026, 11,490 local residents were employed, while the rate of unemployment sat at 1.8% above the 4.1% recorded for Greater Sydney. The rate of participation in the labor force is largely comparable to the 69.1% seen across Greater Sydney. Census records show that a substantial 27.7% of the working population operated from home, though this figure may be affected by pandemic-related lockdowns.

Most working residents are employed in health care & social assistance, retail trade, or transport, postal & warehousing. The local area has a particularly strong concentration of workers in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment rates matching 1.9 times the regional standard. On the other hand, the professional & technical sector is underrepresented, employing only 5.2% of residents compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Given the comparison between the Census working population and resident population, this heavily residential sector seems to provide relatively few jobs within its borders.

According to an analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch, the 12 months ending March 2026 saw a 7.4% rise in employed residents and a 7.8% growth in the active workforce, which led to a 0.4 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. This trend diverged from Greater Sydney, where employment increased by 1.9%, the labor force expanded by 1.9%, and unemployment contracted slightly. Anticipated national employment trends published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional perspective on prospective employment needs in Minto - St Andrews. These five-year and ten-year forecasts have been aligned with local employment sectors to project growth patterns. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but these rates fluctuate widely depending on the industry. Applying these sectoral forecasts to the employment profile of Minto - St Andrews suggests local employment will rise by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (note that this is a simple weighted calculation for demonstration purposes and does not incorporate local population forecasts).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Aggregated ATO data from AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year indicates that income levels in the Minto - St Andrews SA2 are lower than the national average. The median taxpayer income in the SA2 is $54,460, and the average income is $59,909, contrasting with Greater Sydney averages of $60,817 and $83,003. Adjusting for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year, current figures are estimated to be roughly $60,080 for the median and $66,092 for the average as of March 2026. According to the Census, household income sits at the 48th percentile ($1,727 weekly), while personal income is at the 30th percentile. Income distribution details show that 37.5% of the population (8,295 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring the wider regional trend where 30.9% of residents fall into this bracket. Household budgets face significant pressure, leaving only 80.8% of income after housing costs, which ranks at the 46th percentile.

Minto - St Andrews is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The mix of housing in Minto - St Andrews at the time of the latest Census consisted of 85.5% houses and 14.5% other housing styles (such as apartments, semi-detached properties, and alternative dwellings), compared to the Sydney metropolitan split of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Minto - St Andrews lagged behind the metropolitan average at 22.4%, with the remaining properties being purchased with a mortgage (44.7%) or occupied by tenants (32.9%). The median monthly cost for mortgaged properties was $2,035, well below the Sydney metro average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent was $370, compared to $470 across metropolitan Sydney. On a national scale, mortgage repayments in Minto - St Andrews exceed the Australian average of $1,863, whereas rental costs remain below the national median of $375.

Minto - St Andrews features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households represent the vast majority of local homes at 80.7%, consisting of couples with children (45.6%), couples without children (18.2%), and single parent households (15.3%). The remaining 19.3% are non-family households, which include single person households at 17.1% and group share houses at 2.1% of the total. The median size of a household is 3.1 persons, which is larger than the Greater Sydney median of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Minto - St Andrews aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The locality presents educational disparities, with university degree holders accounting for 26.0% of residents, a figure substantially lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This situation outlines both a difficulty and a pathway for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 17.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Practical and vocational qualifications are common, with 31.0% of the population aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (21.0%).

The rate of enrollment in education is notably high, with 33.3% of the local population currently undertaking formal study. Within this group, 12.7% are in primary school, 9.0% are in secondary school, and 5.6% are enrolled in tertiary programs.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

An analysis of public transport reveals that Minto - St Andrews is serviced by 148 active stops, utilizing a combination of trains and buses. These transit stops are linked to 62 distinct routes, which together provide 5,124 weekly passenger journeys. Accessibility to public transit is rated as excellent, with residents living an average of 172 meters from their nearest stop. Being predominantly residential, most workers travel outside the suburb, with private cars remaining the primary travel mode at 81%, followed by trains at 13%. Car ownership stands at an average of 1.4 vehicles per household, which is higher than the regional average. A high proportion of 27.7% of residents work from home (based on the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 pandemic conditions).

Transit service frequency averages 732 journeys per day across all routes, which is equivalent to about 34 weekly runs per individual stop. The corresponding map highlights the location of the 100 closest transit stops relative to the center of the suburb.

Health performance in Minto - St Andrews is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health statistics demonstrate significant difficulties in Minto - St Andrews based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality patterns and chronic disease rates, with the occurrence of common illnesses being notable in both youth and senior groups. Additionally, private health insurance uptake is very low, covering only about 49% of the population (~10,816 people), which compares to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions locally, affecting 7.8% and 7.4% of residents. Meanwhile, 71.0% of the population reported no long-term medical conditions, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health indicators for the working-age cohort are generally average. Residents aged 65 and over make up 13.7% of the population (3,034 people), below the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. Health status among older residents presents some difficulties, with national performance metrics aligning closely with the broader community.

Minto - St Andrews is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Minto - St Andrews registers high levels of cultural diversity, with 43.3% of its residents born outside Australia and 47.9% using a language other than English at home. The main religious affiliation is Christianity, accounting for 44.5% of the local population. The most prominent statistical variance is the representation of Islam, which is practiced by 20.1% of the population, a figure significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

Regarding parent birthplaces, the three most common backgrounds in Minto - St Andrews are Other at 28.8% of the population (well above the regional average of 16.0%), Australian at 17.4%, and English at 15.2%. There are also distinct variations in the proportions of other communities, with Samoan backgrounds overrepresented at 3.0% (compared to 0.5% across the region), Filipino at 4.0% (compared to 2.0%), and Lebanese at 2.1% (compared to 2.6%).

Minto - St Andrews's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age of 35 years in Minto - St Andrews is slightly below the Greater Sydney average of 37 years and also younger than the national average of 38 years. The 5 - 14 cohort is well represented at 15.1% compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25 - 34 cohort is less common at 12.0%. Since 2021, the cohort aged 15 to 24 grew from 12.5% to 13.8% of the population, and the group aged 75 to 84 increased from 2.9% to 4.0%. In contrast, the 25 to 34 age bracket decreased from 13.6% to 12.0%. Population projections for 2041 suggest major demographic shifts. The cohort aged 75 to 84 is projected to expand significantly, rising by 655 individuals (74%) from 884 to 1,540. The combined age brackets of 65 and over will account for 54% of all population growth, demonstrating the aging trend of the local population. Conversely, both the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts will contract.