Minto - St Andrews

Population growth drivers in Minto - St Andrews are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Minto - St Andrews' population, as of November 2025, is approximately 22,110, indicating an increase of 775 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS estimated resident population in June 2024 was 21,952, with an additional 129 validated new addresses recorded since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,781 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Minto - St Andrews has shown resilient growth patterns, with a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outperforming the state's average. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.8% to overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Minto - St Andrews is expected to grow by approximately 1,760 persons, reflecting a total gain of 7.2% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Minto - St Andrews according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Minto - St Andrews averaged approximately 58 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 294 homes. In FY-26 so far, 35 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost of $215,000, below the regional average, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $79.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Minto - St Andrews has significantly less development activity (59.0% below regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 54.0% detached dwellings and 46.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an increasing blend of attached housing types offering choices across price ranges. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 86.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Minto - St Andrews has around 317 people per approval, indicating a low density area.

Future projections estimate an addition of 1,602 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Minto - St Andrews has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Minto Industry Park, Minto Multicultural Community Centre Enhancement, Minto Logistics Hub, and Greater Macarthur Growth Area - Glenfield to Macarthur Corridor. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Minto - St Andrews recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Minto - St Andrews has a skilled workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate as of September 2025 was 5.9%.

There was an estimated employment growth of 5.3% over the past year. As of that date, 11,030 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.8% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was somewhat lower at 56.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area has a particularly notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. Professional & technical services have limited presence, with only 5.2% of employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 5.3%, while labour force also increased by 5.3%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points during this period. State-level data from NSW to 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Minto - St Andrews's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Minto - St Andrews SA2 was $50,659 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $56,582 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Sydney's median and average incomes were $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated median income is approximately $57,047 and average income is around $63,717 as of September 2025. According to census data, household income ranks at the 48th percentile ($1,727 weekly) while personal income sits at the 30th percentile. In terms of income distribution, 37.5% of the population (8,291 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 46th percentile.

Minto - St Andrews is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Minto - St Andrews, as per the latest Census, 85.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 14.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments and other types. This compares to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Minto - St Andrews stood at 22.4%, with mortgaged properties at 44.7% and rented ones at 32.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,035, lower than Sydney metro's $2,100. The median weekly rent was $370 compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Minto - St Andrews' mortgage repayments were higher at $2,035 versus the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower at $370 compared to the national figure of $375.

Minto - St Andrews features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.7% of all households, including 45.6% couples with children, 18.2% couples without children, and 15.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.3%, with lone person households at 17.1% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational attainment in Minto - St Andrews aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (21.0%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.7% in primary, 9.0% in secondary, and 5.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.7% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Minto-St Andrews has 130 active public transport stops, served by a mix of trains and buses. These stops are covered by 61 individual routes, offering a total of 4,464 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 172 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 637 trips per day across all routes, resulting in about 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Minto - St Andrews's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Minto's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, with common health conditions among its general population being somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover is very low in Minto, at approximately 48% of the total population (~10,612 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.8 and 7.4% of residents respectively. A total of 71.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. Minto has 13.6% of its population aged 65 and over (3,002 people), with health outcomes among seniors requiring more attention than the broader population.

Minto - St Andrews is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Minto-St Andrews has a high level of cultural diversity, with 43.3% of its population born overseas and 47.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Minto-St Andrews, comprising 44.5% of the population. However, Islam is significantly overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 20.1% of the population.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (28.8%), Australian (17.4%), and English (15.2%). Notably, certain ethnic groups have higher representation than regional averages: Samoan at 3.0%, Filipino at 4.0%, and Lebanese at 2.1%.

Minto - St Andrews's population is younger than the national pattern

Minto - St Andrews has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group constitutes 15.4% of the population, higher than in Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 age group makes up 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 2.9% to 3.9% of the population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.1%. By 2041, forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Minto - St Andrews. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 747 people (an increase of 86%) from 866 to 1,614. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 56% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.