Ingleburn

Ingleburn has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Ingleburn is around 15,976. This figure represents an increase of 712 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,264. The recent resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 15,783, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 544 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,294 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ingleburn's population growth of 4.7% since the census is within 2.4 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 7.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on projected demographic shifts and aggregated SA2-level projections, an above median population growth is expected for the suburb, with a projected increase of 2,952 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 17.3% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ingleburn according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Ingleburn has had around 54 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 272 homes were approved, with a further 106 approved in FY26 so far. The average number of new residents per year per dwelling constructed over these years is 0.1.

Supply appears to be meeting or exceeding demand, offering more buyer choices and supporting potential population growth above projections. The average construction value of new dwellings is $382,000. This financial year has seen $11.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ingleburn records roughly half the building activity per person. Nationally, it ranks among the 62nd percentile of areas assessed, suggesting an established nature and potential planning limitations. Building activity shows a trend towards denser development, with 50% standalone homes and 50% attached dwellings.

This shift reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. Ingleburn has approximately 239 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Population forecasts estimate Ingleburn will gain 2,759 residents by 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Ingleburn has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Palmer Street Mixed-Use Development, Ingleburn Town Centre Transformation Project, Caledonia Estate, and Shrike Place Childcare Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Ingleburn has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Ingleburn's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate as of December 2025 was 5.9%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.5%.

There are 8,182 residents currently employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7% higher than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A high proportion of residents, 31.2%, work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level, while professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.9% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. There are 0.7 workers for each resident, indicating ample local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 6.5%, while labour force grew by 7.1%, leading to an unemployment rate rise of 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ingleburn's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Ingleburn's median income is $45,598 and average income is $53,527. This is lower than national averages of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). By March 2026, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $50,304 and average income $59,051, based on a 10.32% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Ingleburn's incomes rank modestly according to the 2021 Census, between the 32nd and 41st percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The largest earnings segment comprises 35.4% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (5,655 residents). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Ingleburn displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Ingleburn's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 66.8% houses and 33.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ingleburn was at 28.3%, similar to Sydney metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (37.0%) or rented (34.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $380, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Ingleburn's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Ingleburn has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 75.6% of all households, including 38.8% couples with children, 20.7% couples without children, and 14.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 24.4%, with lone person households at 21.7% and group households comprising 2.8%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Ingleburn shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 27.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.4% and certificates at 20.7%. Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.8% in primary education, 7.6% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ingleburn has 141 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 46 routes, providing a total of 4,773 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 156 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. As a predominantly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 73%, with trains accounting for 18%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 31.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 681 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 33 weekly trips per stop. The map accompanies shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health outcomes in Ingleburn are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Ingleburn's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~7,694 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (7.7%) and asthma (7.1%). A majority, 71.4%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. Ingleburn has 16.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,699 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Ingleburn is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ingleburn has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.5% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ingleburn, making up 50.6% of its population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 10.5%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.6%), Australian (18.1%), and English (16.8%). Samoan, Filipino, and Spanish ethnicities are also significantly represented in Ingleburn at 2.4%, 4.7%, and 0.8% respectively, compared to regional averages of 0.5%, 2.0%, and 0.6%.

Ingleburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ingleburn has a median age of 37, which is equal to Greater Sydney's figure and comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 10.0% of Ingleburn's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 14.1%, which is less prevalent compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.8% to 5.2%. During this period, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 12.7% to 11.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ingleburn's age structure. Notably, the 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 54%, reaching 2,848 people from its current figure of 1,853. Meanwhile, both the 25-34 and 15-24 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.