Bow Bowing

Bow Bowing is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Bow Bowing's population is estimated at around 1,655 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 49 people (3.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,606 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,644, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on Jun 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,177 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to increase by 141 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 8.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Bow Bowing is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Bow Bowing had virtually no dwelling approvals in recent years. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, an estimated four homes were approved, with none so far in FY26.

Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, benefiting buyers due to new homes averaging $285,000 in construction cost value, below regional norms. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bow Bowing had significantly less development activity, 93.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. However, building activity has accelerated recently. Nationally, this activity is also lower, indicating market maturity and possible development constraints.

Bow Bowing has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No changes can significantly affect an area's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, or planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Minto Multicultural Community Centre Enhancement, Minto Industry Park, Greater Macarthur Growth Area - Glenfield to Macarthur Corridor, and Kirkham Lane Improvements, with the following list specifying those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Bow Bowing demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Bow Bowing has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 4.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.1%.

As of June 2025947 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 0.2% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 63.9%, slightly above Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading industries include transport, postal & warehousing, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Transport, postal & warehousing has a particularly high employment share, at 2.2 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 7.3% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 5.1%, while labour force grew by 5.2%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a slight rise in unemployment to 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bow Bowing's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Bow Bowing had a median income among taxpayers of $57,418 and an average level of $64,131. These figures align with national averages and compare to $56,994 and $80,856 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated median income is approximately $64,658 and average income is around $72,218 as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household income ranks at the 73rd percentile ($2,108 weekly) while personal income sits at the 50th percentile. Distribution data shows that 38.4% of locals (635 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but disposable income ranks at the 73rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Bow Bowing is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Bow Bowing, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.2% houses and 1.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bow Bowing was at 27.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.3% and rented ones at 16.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, below Sydney metro's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Bow Bowing's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bow Bowing features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.3% of all households, including 48.9% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 15.7%, with lone person households at 13.9% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Bow Bowing shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 23.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 32.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (20.5%). Educational participation is high at 29.5%, with 9.5% in secondary education, 9.0% in primary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows 13 active public transport stops in Bow Bowing, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 16 different routes, offering a total of 290 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 120 meters from the nearest stop.

The average service frequency across all routes is 41 trips per day, equating to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bow Bowing's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Bow Bowing with a low prevalence of common health conditions among the general population, although this is higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~865 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 49.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, affecting 7.6% and 6.7% of residents respectively, while 73.0% report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has 12.6% of residents aged 65 and over (208 people), which is lower than the 14.4% in Greater Sydney but still requires more attention than the broader population.

Bow Bowing is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bow Bowing has a high level of cultural diversity, with 38.7% of its population born overseas and 38.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bow Bowing, comprising 53.8% of people, while Islam makes up 13.4%, which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 12.5%. The top three ancestry groups are Other (19.6%), Australian (17.4%), and English (14.7%).

Notably, Samoan, Spanish, and Filipino ethnicities have higher representations in Bow Bowing compared to regional averages: Samoan at 2.8% versus 2.4%, Spanish at 1.7% versus 0.7%, and Filipino at 6.3% versus 3.3%.

Bow Bowing's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 36 years, Bow Bowing's median age is nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37. It is modestly under the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bow Bowing has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 at 15.9%, but fewer residents aged 25-34 at 12.0%. Between the 2021 Census and present day, the 75-84 age group has grown from 2.2% to 3.3% of the population. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 13.2% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Bow Bowing's age profile will evolve significantly. The 75-84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 89%, adding 48 residents to reach 103. In contrast, both 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.