Eagle Vale

Eagle Vale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Eagle Vale statistical area (Lv2) is around 5,822 people. This reflects an increase of 33 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,789 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5,751 in June 2024 and validation of 16 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,310 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 65.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future population trends, lower quartile growth is anticipated for Australian statistical areas. The Eagle Vale (SA2) is expected to increase by 233 persons to reach a total of 6,055 people by the year 2041, reflecting a gain of 4.7% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Eagle Vale is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Eagle Vale has averaged approximately 7 new dwelling approvals per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 39 homes. In FY26, 9 approvals have been recorded to date. The average construction cost value for new properties in Eagle Vale is $449,000. There has also been $126,000 in commercial approvals this financial year.

Relative to Greater Sydney, Eagle Vale has significantly less development activity, with 80.0% below the regional average per person. New development consists of 86.0% standalone homes and 14.0% medium and high-density housing. The location has approximately 834 people per dwelling approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Eagle Vale is expected to grow by 274 residents through to 2041.

Looking ahead, Eagle Vale is expected to grow by 274 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Present construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Eagle Vale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No infrastructure changes are anticipated in the area. No projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to impact the region. Key initiatives include the Campbelltown Sport and Health Centre of Excellence, Claymore Urban Renewal Project (Hillcroft at Claymore), Leumeah Youth Precinct, and Western Sydney University Campbelltown Campus Vertical Expansion.

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Eagle Vale shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Eagle Vale has a skilled labor force with varied sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 6.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.5%.

As of September 2025, 3,036 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was higher than Greater Sydney's at 7.1%, and workforce participation was lower at 57.9%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. Eagle Vale has a notable concentration in transport, postal & warehousing with employment levels at 1.9 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 4.0% of Eagle Vale's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparison of working population versus resident population. In a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 5.5% alongside labor force growth of 5.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. By contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1%, labor force growth of 2.4%, and an increase in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Eagle Vale's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Eagle Vale suburb's median taxpayer income is $48,998 and average is $54,334 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). Using Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $53,339 (median) and $59,148 (average). According to Census 2021 data, household income ranks at the 52nd percentile ($1,785 weekly), with personal income at the 34th percentile. The largest income segment is 37.2% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (2,165 residents). Housing costs consume 17.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 50th percentile.

Eagle Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Eagle Vale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.8% houses and 10.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Eagle Vale stood at 25.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.2% and rented ones at 26.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,907, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent in Eagle Vale was $400, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Eagle Vale's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,907 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $400 against the national figure of $375.

Eagle Vale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.5% of all households, including 39.2% couples with children, 22.6% couples without children, and 19.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 14.1% and group households at 2.6%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational outcomes in Eagle Vale fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.8%) and certificates (25.4%). Educational participation is high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (11.0%), secondary (8.9%), and tertiary (4.0%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Eagle Vale has 48 active public transport stops, all of which operate buses. These stops are served by 35 different routes that together facilitate 1,016 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average being located 128 meters from their nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 145 trips per day, equating to approximately 21 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Eagle Vale is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Eagle Vale faces significant health challenges with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent across all age groups but to a considerably higher degree among older cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population, which consists of around 2,821 people. This compares to 50.5% across Greater Sydney and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 8.3% and 8.2% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 68.4% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. As of a recent study (conducted on 15th March 20XX), the area has 14.2% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling around 826 people. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges that require more attention than those for the broader population.

Eagle Vale was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Eagle Vale has a high level of cultural diversity, with 33.6% of its population born overseas and 33.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Eagle Vale, accounting for 56.2% of the population. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 11.0% of Eagle Vale's population against the regional average of 12.5%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian is the largest group at 21.9%, followed by Other at 19.3% and English at 18.2%. Some ethnic groups are notably divergent from regional averages: Samoan at 3.1% (vs 2.4%), Spanish at 1.1% (vs 0.7%) and Filipino at 3.4% (vs 3.3%).

Eagle Vale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Eagle Vale's median age is 36 years, nearly matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years. This is modestly below the Australian median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Eagle Vale has a higher proportion of residents aged 55-64 (12.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.1%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of residents aged 75-84 has grown from 3.0% to 4.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 14.3% to 13.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Eagle Vale's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 98%, adding 234 residents to reach a total of 473. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 64% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 15-24 age groups are projected to experience population declines.