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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Kearns is $1.15m, with units at $825k. House values have moved 8.3% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Kearns has an estimated 2,679 residents. The population has thinned by an average 1.0% a year over five years, slower than 94% of areas nationally. That puts 1,135 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS broader regional figures and newly validated addresses following the Census, the suburb of Kearns has an estimated population of around 2,679 as of Aug 2026. Compared with the 2021 Census count of 2,693 people, this represents a reduction of 14 people (0.5%). This adjustment is based on an estimated resident population of 2,630 calculated from the ABS June 2025 ERP release, alongside 1 validated new addresses registered post-Census. Consequently, the suburb of Kearns records a population density of 1,135 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with standard metrics across AreaSearch locations.
Natural increase accounted for the majority of local population expansion, generating approximately 65.0% of recent population additions. Projections published by ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 (using 2022 as a base year) are incorporated for SA2 areas, while NSW State Government SA2 projections from 2022 (using 2021 as a base year) are applied where needed. Age cohort growth rates from these datasets are projected forward for 2032 to 2041 across all areas. Based on these demographic models, the suburb of Kearns is projected to experience population expansion slightly below the median of AreaSearch statistical regions, expanding by 147 persons to 2041 via aggregated SA2 projections—an overall rise of 3.7% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
37 new dwellings have been approved in Kearns over the past five years, an average of 7 a year. That is 1.5 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 4, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals by AreaSearch indicates that Kearns averages approximately 7 residential approvals annually, totaling roughly 37 approved dwellings across the last 5 financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), with 4 recorded to date in FY-25. In the context of recent population contraction, this level of residential construction remains sound for prospective purchasers, with an average construction value of $398,000 per dwelling sitting below regional benchmarks to deliver relatively attainable housing. Non-residential activity remains subdued, with commercial building approvals totaling $177,000 recorded in the current financial year. Per capita residential development in Kearns trails Greater Sydney substantially, sitting 77.0% below the regional average per person, as well as falling behind national benchmarks due to local planning constraints and market maturity.
This constrained pipeline often bolsters pricing and competition across existing dwellings. Approvals are composed of 75.0% standalone homes and 25.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving traditional low-density suburban neighbourhoods while gradually diversifying from the existing stock of 96.0% houses to address land availability and evolving affordability demands. A ratio of roughly 755 people per approval underscores Kearns's established profile. According to the latest quarterly estimate from AreaSearch, Kearns is slated to add 98 residents through to 2041. Existing rates of residential building activity appear well-positioned to satisfy this anticipated demand, supporting balanced buying conditions and creating potential capacity should population growth outpace baseline forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Kearns
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 54 current infrastructure and development projects close to Kearns, worth an estimated $33.8 billion. 16 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, transport & logistics and residential development. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure investment and planning projects play a major role in regional performance. AreaSearch has highlighted 2 primary projects with potential local influence, with prominent developments encompassing the Emerald Hills Estate, Raby Road Upgrade, Stockland Lakeside - Gledswood Hills, and Rosemeadow Marketplace Expansion.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
The Ranges Estate Gledswood Hills
The Ranges is a premium 40-hectare residential community by Legacy Property located in the Scenic Hills region. The project delivers 320 lots featuring a diverse mix of standard residential, larger lifestyle, and rural-residential options. It includes over 3 hectares of dedicated open space, new parks, walking trails, and cycling paths, while managing complex site constraints including high-pressure gas mains and the heritage-listed WaterNSW Upper Canal boundary.
Fitzgibbon Rise
Fitzgibbon Rise is a boutique townhouse and apartment project of around 78 dwellings in Fitzgibbon Circuit, Rosemeadow. Developed and built by Deicorp, the project adds medium density housing close to Rosemeadow Marketplace, local schools and public transport.
The Yards - Heritage Village Gledswood Hills
A heritage-inspired mixed-use village precinct featuring boutique shopping, cafes, restaurants, a full-line supermarket, cinema, gymnasium, and childcare center. The development includes 358 residential apartments across 10 buildings with basement parking, public domain works, and extensive landscaping based on the Japanese satoyama concept of connecting people with nature.
Stockland Lakeside Gledswood Hills
Stockland Lakeside is a large masterplanned residential community in Gledswood Hills delivered in partnership with Sekisui House. The project includes approximately 448 residential lots alongside parks, open space, and proximity to Lakeside Golf Club and Emerald Hills Shopping Village. Recent stages have been registered allowing home construction to proceed, while new park infrastructure including all abilities play areas and landscaping is under development.
Minto Logistics Hub
State Significant Development delivering approximately 112,000 sqm of warehouse and logistics facilities across staged development at Minto. The project includes high-clearance warehouses, offices, external hardstand storage, B-double access and sustainability initiatives including rooftop solar, EV charging and smart metering. Construction continues in stages responding to tenant demand, with planning modifications still being assessed for later stages.
Gledswood Hills High School
New permanent public high school serving the growing communities of Gledswood Hills and Gregory Hills in south-west Sydney. The school is master planned for up to 2,000 students (Years 7-12), opening initially with capacity for 1,000 students on Day 1 Term 1 2027. Facilities include modern and specialist classrooms, a multipurpose hall, specialist workshops for science, wood and metalwork, food technology, music and visual arts, sports courts, playing fields, a covered outdoor learning area, library, canteen and administration.A purpose-built temporary campus opened Term 1 2025 at the corner of Long Reef Circuit, Gregory Hills, accommodating up to 300 Year 7 and 8 students while the permanent school is constructed by Richard Crookes Constructions. Bulk excavation, piling and foundation works are complete as of late 2025.
Gledswood Hills High School
Construction is progressing on the permanent Gledswood Hills High School campus on Gregory Hills Drive. The temporary campus opened for Year 7 in Term 1 2025 and now caters for Years 7 and 8. The permanent campus remains on schedule to open on Day 1, Term 1 2027 and will include modern classrooms, specialist learning spaces, a library, canteen, administration facilities, multipurpose hall, sports facilities and outdoor learning areas. Public domain road and pedestrian works continued during 2026.
Minto Multicultural Community Centre Enhancement
An upgrade to the South West Multicultural and Community Centre (SWMACC) in Minto, funded by the NSW Government through the Western Sydney Infrastructure Grants Program. The project delivers new and improved amenities to support a range of social programs targeting youth suicide prevention, homelessness, food insecurity, family and domestic violence, and social or cultural isolation. Key features include shower and laundry facilities, upgraded toilets, kitchen enhancements with new freezer, cold storage and pantry, two small interview and meeting rooms, a loading bay, storage room, landscaped garden seating, and an outdoor pergola for cultural artefacts.
1,656 residents of Kearns are employed, from a labour force of 1,721. Unemployment sits at 3.8%, with participation at 81.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 1,894, about 71% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Kearns features an active labour market marked by an unemployment rate of just 3.8%, strong representation across industrial and manufacturing trades, and an estimated 7.4% annual employment growth based on AreaSearch statistical area aggregations. As of March 2026, 1,656 residents are employed, local unemployment sits 0.4% below the Greater Sydney mark of 4.1%, and participation stands at an elevated 81.1% compared to 68.9% regionally. Furthermore, 30.7% of employed locals indicated working from home at the Census, noting the influence of pandemic restrictions at that time. Resident employment centers primarily on health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.
Notably, local manufacturing participation is 1.6 times the regional average, whereas professional & technical roles account for only 4.8% of the local workforce compared to 11.5% across Greater Sydney. Comparing the resident labour base against the Census daytime working population indicates that local job opportunities within the immediate area remain relatively limited. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM records indicates that in the year to March 2026, local employment grew by 7.4% while the labour force expanded by 7.6%, yielding a 0.2 percentage points increase in the jobless rate. By comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 1.9% and the labour force expand by 1.9%, alongside a slight dip in unemployment. Applying Jobs and Skills Australia's Mar-26 industry growth models (projecting national job gains of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years) to the local industrial base points to potential employment gains of 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years in Kearns (calculated as a baseline industry weighting without localized population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Kearns is $2,147 a week (about $112,000 a year), with median personal income at $908 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,113 a year against an average of $67,769. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxpayer records for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch indicate that the suburb of Kearns recorded a median income of $61,113 and an average of $67,769, aligning with national figures and comparing to Greater Sydney benchmarks of $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average). Factoring in 10.32% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023 places updated estimates at roughly $67,420 (median) and $74,763 (average) as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household measures, Census incomes sit near the 71st percentile nationally, with 39.5% of locals (1,058 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999 (compared to 30.9% regionally).
Mortgage and rent absorb 15.5% of earnings, leaving disposable income at the 75th percentile and placing the suburb in the 6th decile for SEIFA income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Kearns had 852 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 96% detached houses and 0% apartments. 57% are owned with a mortgage, 15% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $420 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,037 a month, a total housing cost higher than 76% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 19.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records show that separate houses comprise 95.9% of dwellings in Kearns, with semi-detached, units, and other formats accounting for 4.1%, contrasting with Sydney metro where standalone houses represent 55.9% and attached dwellings 44.1%. Full homeownership matches the Sydney metro rate at 27.8%, while mortgaged properties make up 57.1% and rental accommodation represents 15.1%. Typical monthly mortgage payments stand at $2,037 and weekly rents average $420, both below Sydney metro benchmarks ($2,427 and $470). Compared against national figures, local mortgage costs exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and rents remain higher than the $375 national standard.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Kearns counted 852 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.1 people each. 48% are couples with children, more than in 93% of areas nationally, against 22% couples without children. 13% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 85.2% of local households, encompassing couples with children at 48.0%, couples without children at 21.9%, and single parent families at 13.8%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 14.8%, consisting of lone person households (13.4%) and group households (1.4%). Average household occupancy sits at 3.1 people, exceeding the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
18.4% of adults in Kearns hold a university qualification, including 13.0% with a bachelor degree and 3.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 27.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 163 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 983 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education qualifications in the area sit below metropolitan levels, with 18.4% of residents holding university degrees compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney. Bachelor degrees constitute 13.0%, postgraduate qualifications represent 3.6%, and graduate diplomas account for 1.8%. Vocational and technical qualifications are widespread, with 38.7% of the population aged 15+ possessing trade credentials, including 27.6% with certificates and 11.1% holding advanced diplomas. A substantial 28.4% of local residents participate in formal study. By level of schooling, this encompasses 10.6% attending primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 4.1% enrolled in tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Kearns reaches 15 stops on 15 routes, timetabled for about 760 services a week. The typical home sits about 170 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.9 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Kearns is served by 15 bus stops providing active public transport links, connected by 15 separate bus routes that deliver 762 weekly passenger trips. Stop proximity is rated as excellent, averaging 170 meters from local residences. Commuting outward remains standard for this residential area, with private vehicles serving 94% of trips and car ownership averaging 1.9 per dwelling (above regional averages). Additionally, 30.7% of workers reported working from home during the 2021 Census under prevailing pandemic conditions. Bus routes across Kearns provide an average frequency of 108 trips per day, which translates to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.6% of residents in Kearns report no long-term health condition. 5.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 53.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments by AreaSearch based on chronic conditions and mortality show a notable prevalence of common ailments, especially across older demographics. Private health insurance membership covers approximately 54% of residents (~1,439 people), sitting marginally ahead of typical SA2 benchmarks but trailing the Greater Sydney level of 59.9%. Asthma and arthritis represent the most prevalent health conditions locally, diagnosed in 7.4% and 7.1% of residents respectively, whereas 72.6% reported no long-term illnesses compared to 74.6% regionally. Health metrics across working-age residents align with broader norms. Seniors aged 65 and over account for 13.5% of the population (361 people), below Greater Sydney's 15.5%, displaying some specific health considerations while maintaining a favorable standing against nationwide senior cohorts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Kearns is largely Australian-born, at 75.2% of residents, with 24.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (26.4%) and English (20.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Kearns is higher than in most local areas, with 24.8% of residents born abroad and 24.5% using a primary language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant faith, practiced by 60.7% of residents. In addition, Islamic affiliation is prominent, accounting for 9.3% of locals compared to 6.8% across Greater Sydney. In terms of ancestral background, the three most common ancestries are Australian (26.4%, notably higher than the regional 17.8%), English (20.7%), and Other (13.6%). Several cultural backgrounds demonstrate distinct local concentrations relative to regional shares, including Lebanese at 2.9% (vs 2.6% regionally), Maltese at 2.0% (vs 1.0%), and Samoan at 1.0% (vs 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Kearns is 36. 26.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age profile of the suburb of Kearns is weighted toward younger demographics. AreaSearch estimates for August 2026 indicate that children and young adults (0 - 24) comprise 34.3% of the community (compared to 30.4% across Greater Sydney), while young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) make up 26.6% (against 31.4% regionally). The median age is an estimated 36 as at August 2026, remaining unchanged from the 2021 Census and sitting 1 year below the Greater Sydney Census median of 37. Since the Census, the retiree and elderly cohort (65+) has risen from 9.6% to an estimated 13.5%, and this group is forecast to drive future growth by adding 177 residents (49%) to reach 539 by 2041, alongside slight contractions across younger age brackets.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Kearns
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 5 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (2,693 at the 2021 Census → 2,679 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12087). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.