Gregory Hills

Gregory Hills lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of May 2026, the population of Gregory Hills is estimated to be around 11,679. This reflects an increase of 2,537 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,142. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 11,501 following their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 646 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,506 persons per square kilometer, placing Gregory Hills in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 27.8% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (7.1%) and Greater Sydney averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former data. Considering these projections, Gregory Hills is forecast to experience significant population increase, with an expected rise of 3,184 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 25.7% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Gregory Hills was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Gregory Hills has recorded approximately 176 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 880 homes from FY-21 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 60 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.6 new residents are associated with each home built in the past five financial years, suggesting that demand outpaces supply, which can put upward pressure on prices and increase competition among buyers.

The average construction value of new homes is $554,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $13.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Recent construction comprises 83% standalone homes and 17% attached dwellings, maintaining Gregory Hills' traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes. With approximately 131 people per approval, Gregory Hills reflects a developing area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Gregory Hills is expected to grow by 3,006 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Gregory Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 30 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Gregory Hills Corporate Park, The Yards - Heritage Village Gledswood Hills, Gledswood Hills High School, and The Ranges Estate Gledswood Hills. Below is a list of those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Gregory Hills rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Gregory Hills has a well-educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 1.5%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.1% over the past year, as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of December 2025, 6,619 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.7% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 80.9%, surpassing Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A significant 35.1% of residents work from home, although Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows particularly strong specialization with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.0% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 1.1%, and labour force grew by 1.2%, maintaining a relatively stable unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide further insight into potential future demand within Gregory Hills. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Gregory Hills' employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Gregory Hills had a median income among taxpayers of $59,942. The average income stood at $68,613, which was just above the national average. In Greater Sydney, the median and average incomes were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Gregory Hills would be approximately $66,128 (median) and $75,694 (average) as of March 2026. From the 2021 Census, incomes in Gregory Hills rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 88th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis shows that 44.4% of the population (5,185 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 32.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 21.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 79th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Gregory Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Gregory Hills, as per the latest Census evaluation, 96.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 3.6% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's dwelling structure of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gregory Hills stood at 7.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 60.0% and rented ones at 32.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,554, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent in Gregory Hills was $520, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Gregory Hills' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gregory Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 86.4% of all households, including 51.5% couples with children, 22.6% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 13.6%, with lone person households at 11.5% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Gregory Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Gregory Hills trail regional benchmarks with 29.1% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney as of the latest data. Bachelor degrees lead at 19.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.1% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. Trade and technical skills feature prominently with 36.6% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 13.2% and certificates at 23.4%. Educational participation is notably high with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest count.

This includes 11.9% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 34 active transport stops operating within Gregory Hills. These stops are served by a mix of buses along 61 individual routes, collectively providing 1,413 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 294 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 90%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 35.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 201 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 41 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Gregory Hills is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Gregory Hills shows better-than-average health outcomes, as per AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low overall but higher than the national average for older, at-risk groups.

Private health cover is high, with approximately 54% (~6,313 people) having it, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 7.0% and 5.4% of residents respectively. 80.4% declare themselves completely free from medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 5.7% (665 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Gregory Hills was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gregory Hills has a high level of cultural diversity, with 33.0% of its population born overseas and 38.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Gregory Hills, comprising 57.5% of the population. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 8.6% of Gregory Hills' population versus 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (22.3%), Australian (20.0%), and English (14.7%). Notably, Samoan (2.0%) Serbian (1.4%), and Spanish (1.1%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Gregory Hills hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gregory Hills has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gregory Hills has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (17.3%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 5-14 has increased from 15.4% to 17.3%, while those aged 15-24 have risen from 10.4% to 12.1%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25-34 has decreased from 24.2% to 18.7%, and the 0-4 age group has dropped from 13.1% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Gregory Hills' age profile. The 55-64 age cohort is expected to grow by 684 people (an increase of 87%), from 782 to 1,467. Meanwhile, the 35-44 age group is projected to decline by 496 people.