Gregory Hills

Gregory Hills lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the population of the Gregory Hills statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 12,485. This reflects an increase of 3,343 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,142. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 11,477 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 545 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,679 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Gregory Hills (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 36.6% since the 2021 census, exceeding the state's growth rate of 7.6%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecast for the Gregory Hills (SA2) until 2041, with an expected increase of 3,601 persons, reflecting a gain of 26.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Gregory Hills was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Gregory Hills shows around 173 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 868 homes from FY-20 to FY-25. So far, in FY-26, 40 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25 is 6.1.

This indicates that demand significantly outpaces supply, potentially putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $553,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In FY-26, commercial approvals totalling $13.3 million have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Recent construction comprises 83.0% standalone homes and 17.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Gregory Hills' traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes. As of around 147 people per approval, Gregory Hills reflects a developing area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Gregory Hills is expected to grow by 3,279 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Gregory Hills has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely to impact the region. Notable projects include Gregory Hills Corporate Park, The Yards - Heritage Village Gledswood Hills, Gledswood Hills High School, and Oran Park Film Studios Precinct. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Gregory Hills rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Gregory Hills has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.2%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.9%. As of September 2025, 7,930 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.0% and workforce participation at 73.0%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level, but has lower representation in professional & technical services at 6.0% compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 5.9%, labour force by 5.7%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and a rise in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, lower than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but sector-specific projections suggest Gregory Hills' employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending 30 June 2023, Gregory Hills had a median income among taxpayers of $59,942 and an average income of $68,613. These figures are slightly above the national averages of $57,075 (median) and $70,444 (average). In Greater Sydney, the median income was $60,817 and the average was $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year ending 30 June 2023 to September 2025, current estimates for Gregory Hills would be approximately $65,253 (median) and $74,692 (average). From the 2021 Census, incomes in Gregory Hills ranked highly nationally. Household incomes were at the 85th percentile, family incomes at the 86th percentile, and personal incomes at the 88th percentile. Income analysis showed that 44.4% of the population (5,543 individuals) had weekly incomes between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fell into this bracket. Higher earners were also prominent in Gregory Hills, with 32.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consumed 21.6% of income in Gregory Hills, but despite this, disposable income remained at the 79th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 7th decile.

Gregory Hills is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile

The dwelling structure in Gregory Hills, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 96.4% houses and 3.6% other dwellings including semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. Home ownership stood at 7.9%, with 60.0% of dwellings mortgaged and 32.1% rented out. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,554, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $520. Nationally, Gregory Hills' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gregory Hills features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.2 people

Family households constitute 86.4% of all households, broken down into couples with children (51.5%), couples without children (22.6%), and single parent families (11.6%). Non-family households account for the remaining 13.6%, with lone person households at 11.5% and group households comprising 1.9%. The median household size stands at 3.2 people.

The educational profile of Gregory Hills exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Gregory Hills has 29.1% of its residents aged 15 and above with university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. This indicates potential for further educational development and skill enhancement in the region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 36.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding them – advanced diplomas account for 13.2% and certificates for 23.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 7.0% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 35 operational transport stops in Gregory Hills, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 61 distinct routes, facilitating 1,413 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically situated 294 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 201 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 40 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gregory Hills's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Gregory Hills shows excellent health outcomes with common conditions affecting both younger and older age groups somewhat equally.

Approximately 54% (~6,749 people) of the population has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.0%) and mental health issues (5.4%), while 80.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 0% in Greater Sydney overall. Only 5.4% (674 people) of residents are aged 65 and over. Health outcomes for seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

Gregory Hills was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Gregory Hills has a significant cultural diversity, with 33.0% of its population born overseas and 38.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Gregory Hills, making up 57.5% of its people, while Islam comprises 8.6%, which is higher compared to None% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Other (22.3%), Australian (20.0%), and English (14.7%).

Notably, Samoan (2.0%) Serbian (1.4%), and Spanish (1.1%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Gregory Hills compared to None% regionally for each group.

Gregory Hills hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Gregory Hills has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 years and the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Gregory Hills has a higher percentage of residents aged 0-4 (11.4%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (3.9%). The concentration of residents aged 0-4 in Gregory Hills is above the national average of 5.7%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 has increased from 17.8% to 20.2%, while the percentage of residents aged 5 to 14 has risen from 15.4% to 17.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 24.2% to 18.7%, and the percentage of residents aged 0-4 has dropped from 13.1% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Gregory Hills' age profile will change significantly. The number of residents aged 55 to 64 is projected to increase substantially, rising by 826 people (102%) from 811 to 1,638. Conversely, the populations of residents aged 0-4 and 35 to 44 are expected to decline.