Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Oran Park's population was around 27,447 as of February 2026. This reflected an increase of 9,823 people from the 2021 Census figure of 17,624 people. The growth was inferred from ABS estimates; Oran Park had 24,055 residents in June 2024 and gained 1,787 validated new addresses since then. This resulted in a population density ratio of 2,071 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Oran Park's growth rate of 55.7% from 2021 exceeded both the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney figures. Interstate migration contributed approximately 75.6% to this growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 using a base year of 2021 are applied. Growth rates by age group are used for all areas from 2032 to 2041. Future projections indicate exceptional growth, placing Oran Park in the top 10% of statistical areas nationally. By 2041, Oran Park's population is expected to increase by 17,411 persons, reflecting a total increase of 51.1%.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Oran Park has recorded approximately 564 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 2823 homes were approved, with an additional 439 approved so far in FY26. On average, 4.2 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years, indicating substantial demand outstripping supply, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $297,000, in line with broader regional development trends. This financial year has seen $174.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting robust local business investment. Oran Park's construction activity is 76.0% higher than the Greater Sydney average when measured per person, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area despite a recent slowdown in building activity. New development consists of 59.0% detached houses and 41.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a notable shift from the area's existing housing stock, which is currently 87.0% houses. This change may reflect decreasing availability of developable sites and evolving lifestyles requiring more diverse and affordable housing options. With around 54 people per dwelling approval, Oran Park exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Oran Park is projected to add 14,019 residents by 2041. Assuming current development patterns continue, new housing supply should readily meet demand, potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Oran Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 39 projects likely affecting this region. Notable initiatives include Sydney Metro West - Western Sydney Airport to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Oran Park Health Precinct Stage 3, Atura Oran Park, and Marian's Mana Urban Village. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Oran Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Oran Park's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.8% as of September 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.3%.

As of September 2025, 14,707 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, and workforce participation at 87.7%, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses indicated that 32.7% of residents worked from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Oran Park has a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employed only 5.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 5.3%, while labour force grew by 5.3%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and an unemployment increase of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Oran Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Oran Park SA2 has a high national income level according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers is $65,131 and the average income stands at $78,590. This compares to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $70,902 (median) and $85,553 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Oran Park, between the 81st and 85th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 42.6% of locals (11,692 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 30.9%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 32.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 75th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Oran Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This differs from Sydney metro which had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oran Park was at 8.2%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (55.3%) or rented (36.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oran Park was $2,626, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Oran Park was recorded at $530, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 54.5% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.0% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 29.7% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 22.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 14.0% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oran Park has 51 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 52 different routes that collectively facilitate 1,920 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as good, with residents typically located about 268 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's predominantly residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport for most residents at 89%, while train usage stands at 7%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Oran Park, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents, specifically 32.7%, work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages about 274 trips per day, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Oran Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oran Park faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~16,029 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 6.7% and 5.6% of residents respectively. 80.8% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. As of June 20XX (the exact year is not provided), the area has 6.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,797 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Oran Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park's cultural diversity ranks high with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oran Park, comprising 54.6% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented in Oran Park at 10.2%, compared to 5.2% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.7%), Australian (18.2%), and English (15.0%). Some ethnic groups have notable differences: Serbian is higher at 1.1% in Oran Park versus 0.5% regionally, Spanish at 0.9% compared to 0.6%, and Maltese at 2.1% versus 1.0%.

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oran Park's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (19.4%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.5%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly above the national average of 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 35 to 44 has increased from 19.1% to 21.7%, while those aged 45 to 54 have risen from 8.9% to 10.8%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 20.5% to 14.0%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 12.5% to 9.6%. By 2041, Oran Park's demographic profile is projected to change significantly. The population aged 15 to 24 is expected to expand by 3,622 people (105%), growing from 3,433 to 7,056. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to grow by a modest 4%, adding 267 people.