Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Oran Park's population is around 27,447 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 9,823 people (55.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,624 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 24,055 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 1,787 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,071 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oran Park's 55.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration, which contributed approximately 75.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including natural growth and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation, is predicted over the period, with the area expected to increase by 17,411 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 51.1% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Oran Park has recorded around 564 residential properties granted approval each year, with 2,823 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 457 so far in FY-26. With an average of 4.2 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is substantially lagging demand, which generally means heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, while new homes are being built at an average value of $297,000, aligned with broader regional development. There have also been $174.8 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting robust local business investment.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Oran Park has 76.0% more construction activity (per person), creating greater choice for buyers, though building activity has slowed in recent years. This activity is well above average nationally, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New development consists of 59.0% detached houses and 41.0% townhouses or apartments, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 87.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. With around 54 people per dwelling approval, Oran Park shows characteristics of a growth area.

Future projections show Oran Park adding 14,019 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Oran Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 39 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Sydney Metro West - Western Sydney Airport to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Oran Park Health Precinct Stage 3, Atura Oran Park, and Marian's Mana Urban Village, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Oran Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Oran Park possesses a well-educated workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.9%, and 5.4% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 14,906 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.3% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (88.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 32.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. In contrast, professional & technical services employ just 5.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.4% while the labour force increased by 5.4%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Oran Park. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Oran Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Oran Park SA2's income level is very high nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Oran Park SA2's median income among taxpayers is $65,131 and the average income stands at $78,590, which compares to figures for Greater Sydney's of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $70,902 (median) and $85,553 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Oran Park, between the 81st and 85th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate the predominant cohort spans 42.6% of locals (11,692 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 32.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 75th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Oran Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Oran Park was lagging that of Sydney metro, at 8.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (55.3%) or rented (36.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Sydney metro average at $2,626, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $530, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 87.3% of all households, comprising 54.5% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.0% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (29.7% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the SA4 region average of 21.4%, reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (22.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.0% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 51 active transport stops operating within Oran Park, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 52 individual routes, collectively providing 1,920 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 268 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 89%, with 7% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 32.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 274 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Oran Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oran Park faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~16,029 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 6.7% and 5.6% of residents, respectively, while 80.8% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 6.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,797 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Oran Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park scores highly on cultural diversity, with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Oran Park is Christianity, which makes up 54.6% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Hinduism, which comprises 10.2% of the population, compared to 5.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Oran Park are Other, comprising 25.7% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Australian, comprising 18.2% of the population, and English, comprising 15.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Serbian is notably overrepresented at 1.1% of Oran Park (vs 0.5% regionally), Spanish at 0.9% (vs 0.6%) and Maltese at 2.1% (vs 1.0%).

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

At 31 years, Oran Park's median age is notably under the Greater Sydney average of 37 and is significantly lower than the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (19.4%) but fewer 55 - 64 year-olds (5.5%). This 5 - 14 concentration is well above the national 12.1%. In the period since 2021, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 19.1% to 21.7% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort increased from 8.9% to 10.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 20.5% to 14.0% and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 12.5% to 9.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Oran Park's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 15 to 24 age cohort is projected to expand substantially, increasing by 3,622 people (105%) from 3,433 to 7,056. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 cohort grows by a modest 4% (267 people).