Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Oran Park's population was around 26,157 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 8,533 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,624. The growth is inferred from the ABS estimated resident population of 24,055 in June 2024 and an additional 1,558 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,974 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oran Park's growth rate of 48.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 75.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, with Oran Park expected to increase by 17,411 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 58.5% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Oran Park has recorded approximately 564 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, 2,823 homes were approved, with a further 409 approved in FY-26 as of now. On average, 4.2 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years, indicating substantial demand outpacing supply and likely leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $297,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. This year has seen $174.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has 76.0% more construction activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers despite a recent slowdown in building activity. This activity is well above the national average, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New development consists of 59.0% detached houses and 41.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the area's current housing composition, which is 87.0% houses. With around 54 people per dwelling approval, Oran Park exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

Future projections estimate that Oran Park will add 15,309 residents by 2041, with new housing supply expected to readily meet demand based on current development patterns, potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Oran Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 39 projects that could impact the area, with key ones including Sydney Metro West - Western Sydney Airport to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Oran Park Health Precinct Stage 3, Atura Oran Park, and Marian's Mana Urban Village. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Oran Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Oran Park has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 1.8%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year is estimated at 5.3%. As of September 2025, 14,707 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4% and workforce participation of 70.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Oran Park has a specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services employ only 5.8% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 5.3%, while labour force increased by 5.3% with unemployment remaining stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%. As of 25-Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%, lower than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts indicate a projected expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oran Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Oran Park SA2's median income among taxpayers was $61,100 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $74,902 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated current median income is approximately $68,805 as of September 2025, with average income estimated at $84,347 during the same period. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Oran Park rank between the 81st and 85th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 42.6% of locals (11,142 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income category. This aligns with the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 30.9%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence in Oran Park, with 32.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Oran Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oran Park was at 8.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (55.3%) or rented (36.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,626, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,475. Median weekly rent stood at $530, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3 percent of all households, including 54.5 percent couples with children, 19.7 percent couples without children, and 12.3 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.7 percent, with lone person households at 11.0 percent and group households making up 1.7 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate, at 29.7%, exceeds the SA4 region average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common, with 20.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ possessing them.

Advanced diplomas account for 12.2%, while certificates make up 22.9%. Educational participation is high, with 34.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.0% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oran Park has 43 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 50 different routes that together facilitate 1,862 weekly passenger trips. The transport system in Oran Park is considered good, with residents on average being located 276 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 266 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oran Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oran Park's health outcomes show notable results with common conditions found across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 57% (~14,935 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 52.5%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (6.7%) and mental health issues (5.6%). Around 80.8% of residents reported no medical ailments, compared to 77.9% in Greater Sydney. Oran Park has 6.1% (1,600 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Oran Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park's cultural diversity is notable, with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Oran Park, comprising 54.6% of the population. However, Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 10.2% of Oran Park's population versus 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.7%), Australian (18.2%), and English (15.0%). There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Serbian is overrepresented at 1.1% compared to 1.9% regionally, Spanish at 0.9% versus 1.0%, and Maltese at 2.1% compared to 2.0%.

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oran Park has a median age of 30 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and significantly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (19.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.3%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is notably above the national average of 12.2%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the age group of 35 to 44 has grown from 19.1% to 21.6%, while the 5 to 14 cohort increased from 17.5% to 19.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 20.5% to 15.2% and the 0 to 4 age group dropped from 12.5% to 10.1%. Demographic projections suggest that Oran Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 15 to 24 age cohort expected to expand substantially, growing from 3,157 to 7,056 people (an increase of 3,898 people or 123%).