Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Oran Park's population is approximately 26,797 as of May 2026. This figure represents a growth of 9,173 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 17,624. The increase is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 25,695 in June 2025 and an additional 1,826 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 2,022 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oran Park's growth rate of 52.0% from the 2021 Census exceeds both the state (7.1%) and Greater Sydney figures, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 67.5% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predict exceptional growth, with Oran Park expected to increase by 16,380 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 57.0% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Oran Park has recorded approximately 564 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 2,823 homes were approved, with a further 603 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 4.2 people have moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these years.

This suggests supply has substantially lagged demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $297,000, aligning with broader regional development trends. Commercial approvals have totalled $174.8 million in the current financial year, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has 59.0% more construction activity per person, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area despite a recent slowdown in building activity. New development consists of 59.0% detached houses and 41.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a notable shift from the area's existing housing mix, which is currently 87.0% houses. With around 54 people per dwelling approval, Oran Park exhibits characteristics of a growth area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Oran Park is projected to add approximately 15,278 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand in the future, potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Oran Park has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 40 such projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable ones include the North South Rail Line - Bradfield to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Atura Oran Park, Gledswood Hills Masterplanned Community, and Marian's Mana Urban Village. The following list provides details on those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Oran Park performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Oran Park has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.9% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.4% over the past year. As of that date, 14,906 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Oran Park was 83.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 32.7% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Oran Park has a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

In contrast, professional & technical services employed only 5.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.4%, while labour force increased by 5.4%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2%, labour force growth of 2.3%, and a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with significant variations between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Oran Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The median income among taxpayers in Oran Park SA2 was $65,131 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $78,590 during the same period. These figures compare to those for Greater Sydney, which were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $71,853 (median) and $86,700 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Oran Park rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 85th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 42.6% of locals (11,415 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, aligning with the metropolitan region where this cohort represents 30.9%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 32.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income in Oran Park. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Oran Park's dwelling structure in its latest Census evaluation showed 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oran Park was at 8.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.3% and rented ones at 36.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,626, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Oran Park was recorded at $530, higher than Sydney metro's figure of $470. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 54.5% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.0% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 29.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 21.4%. This reflects the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (22.9%). Educational participation is high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.0% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oran Park has 51 active public transport stops, all bus services. These are covered by 52 routes, offering 1,920 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is considered good, with residents typically located 268 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Oran Park's residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 89%, while train usage stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 32.7% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 274 trips per day, equating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Oran Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oran Park faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high for common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is very high at approximately 58% of the total population (~15,649 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 6.7 and 5.6% of residents respectively. 80.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016, 6.2% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,664 people), which is lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Oran Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park's cultural diversity is notable with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oran Park, comprising 54.6%. Hinduism is overrepresented, making up 10.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.7%), Australian (18.2%), and English (15.0%). Serbian (1.1%) Spanish (0.9%) and Maltese (2.1%) are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5%, 0.6% and 1.0% respectively.

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oran Park's median age at 30 years is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and significantly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (19.4%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.3%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is above the national average of 12.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the age group 35 to 44 has grown from 19.1% to 21.7%, while the 45 to 54 cohort increased from 8.9% to 10.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 20.5% to 14.5%, and the 0 to 4 age group dropped from 12.5% to 9.5%. Demographic projections suggest Oran Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 15 to 24 age cohort projected to expand substantially, increasing by 3,831 people (114%) from 3,352 to 7,184.