Cobbitty

Cobbitty lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area around the suburb of Cobbitty, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the estimated population as of Feb 2026 is approximately 5,444 people. This reflects an increase of 1,238 people (29.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,206 people in the suburb of Cobbitty. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,242 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on June 2024 and an additional 802 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 104 persons per square kilometer in the suburb of Cobbitty, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. The suburb of Cobbitty's growth rate of 29.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth in the suburb of Cobbitty was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the suburb of Cobbitty expected to grow by 22,031 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 401.0% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Cobbitty was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Cobbitty shows approximately 187 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 937 homes from FY-20 to FY-25. As of FY-26, 46 approvals have been recorded.

On average, 1.5 people move to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand dynamic. The average construction value of new dwellings is $460,000, higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cobbitty has 124.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. This high activity level also exceeds national averages, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. The dwelling mix is 92.0% detached houses and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes.

There are approximately 27 people per dwelling approval in Cobbitty, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the location is projected to add 21,829 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cobbitty has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Cobbitty by Mirvac, Arcadian Hills, Camden Valley Way Upgrade, and Catherine Park Estate. The following details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Cobbitty rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Cobbitty has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate is 1.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 5.5% over the past year, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 3,260 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 2.4%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Cobbitty is high at 80.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 34.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment among residents is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area specializes in construction employment, with a share 1.7 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.7% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5% and labour force increased by 5.4%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points, while Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is expected to expand by 6.6%, with Cobbitty projected to increase by 6.2% based on its current employment mix. Over ten years, national employment is forecasted to grow by 13.7%, with Cobbitty estimated to grow by 12.8%. These projections are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Cobbitty's median taxpayer income is $60,871 and average is $78,209. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. With an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $66,264 (median) and $85,138 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Cobbitty's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 77th and 83rd percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 37.1% of residents earn $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, mirroring the metropolitan region at 30.9%. A substantial proportion, 33.0%, earns above $3,000 weekly, indicating strong economic capacity. High housing costs consume 18.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 79th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Cobbitty is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Cobbitty's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cobbitty was at 26.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 51.7% and rented ones at 21.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Cobbitty was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Cobbitty's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cobbitty features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.1% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.9%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7 people.

The educational profile of Cobbitty exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.9% and certificates at 27.2%. Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.3% in primary, 8.0% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cobbitty has 26 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 38 different routes that together facilitate 679 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents on average living 331 meters away from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Cobbitty being primarily residential. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling in Cobbitty, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 34.9% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 97 trips per day, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Cobbitty is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Cobbitty demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low among the general population but higher than the national average among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is very high in Cobbitty, with approximately 58% of the total population (~3,147 people) having it, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.8 and 6.9% of residents respectively. A total of 71.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.9% of residents aged 65 and over (811 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Cobbitty records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Cobbitty's population, born in Australia, stands at 82.3%, with a citizenship rate of 91.4% and English spoken exclusively at home by 86.9%. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 69.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (27.5%), English (24.7%), and Other (8.0%).

Notably, Maltese ancestry is overrepresented at 3.3% in Cobbitty versus the regional average of 1.0%, Lebanese at 1.7% compared to 2.6%, and Italian at 6.2% against a regional average of 3.4%.

Cobbitty's population is younger than the national pattern

Cobbitty's median age was 35 years in the period since 2021, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The age group of 5-14 years showed strong representation at 14.3%, compared to Greater Sydney. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort was less prevalent at 8.4%. Between 2021 and the present day, the population aged 15 to 24 grew from 11.7% to 13.4%, while the 35 to 44 age group increased from 13.7% to 14.9%. However, the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 9.1% to 7.7%, and the 25 to 34 age group dropped from 16.1% to 14.9%. Population forecasts for Cobbitty in the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 15 to 24 age cohort projected to grow exceptionally by 3,587 people (an increase of 492%), from 729 to 4,317.