Cobbitty

Cobbitty lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Cobbitty's population is estimated at around 5,367 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,161 people (27.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,206 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,242, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 765 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 102 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Cobbitty's 27.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.6%), along with the metropolitan area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, exceptional growth, placing in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation, is predicted over the period with the area expected to grow by 21,482 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 395.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Cobbitty was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Cobbitty recorded around 187 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years ending FY25. This totals an estimated 938 homes. So far in FY26, 40 approvals have been recorded.

Over these five years, an average of 1.5 new residents per dwelling constructed was observed. The average construction value for new homes is $460,000, which is moderately above regional levels. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cobbitty has 123.0% more development activity per person, indicating robust developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises 92.0% standalone homes and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character. With around 27 people per dwelling approval, Cobbitty shows characteristics of a growth area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Cobbitty is expected to grow by 21,234 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cobbitty has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Cobbitty by Mirvac, Arcadian Hills, Camden Valley Way Upgrade, and Catherine Park Estate. The following list details projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Cobbitty places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Cobbitty's workforce is skilled with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% in an unspecified past period.

Employment growth over the year ending September 2025 was estimated at 5.5%. As of that month, 3,222 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.6 percentage points below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Cobbitty was 66.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents included construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction employed a particularly high share of local workers at 1.7 times the regional level, while professional & technical services employed just 5.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data showing fewer working residents than expected based on population figures. In the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 5.5%, labour force grew by 5.2%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% with a slight rise in unemployment to 4.2%. State-level data for NSW as of 25-Nov-25 showed employment contracting by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) and the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cobbitty's current employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 6.2% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Cobbitty had a median income among taxpayers of $60,871 and an average level of $78,209. These figures are above national averages, which stood at $60,817 (median) and $83,003 (average) for Greater Sydney in the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $66,264 (median) and $85,138 (average). The 2021 Census data ranks Cobbitty's household, family, and personal incomes between the 77th and 83rd percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that 37.1% of Cobbitty residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (1,991 individuals), similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. High earners make up 33.0% of the community, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing costs consume 18.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 79th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Cobbitty is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Cobbitty's dwelling structure, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cobbitty stood at 26.9%, with the rest being mortgaged (51.7%) or rented (21.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Cobbitty's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cobbitty features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.1% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 15.9%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 1.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

The educational profile of Cobbitty exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (27.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.3% in primary education, 8.0% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cobbitty has 26 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 38 different routes that together facilitate 679 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 331 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 97 trips per day across all routes, equating to around 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Cobbitty is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Cobbitty exhibits superior health outcomes with a lower prevalence of common health conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, it has a higher prevalence among older and at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 58% (~3,103 people) have private health cover, which is higher than Greater Sydney's 53.8%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 8.8%) and mental health issues (6.9%). About 71.5% claim to be free of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 77.9%. Cobbitty has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.6% (~783 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Cobbitty records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Cobbitty's population is approximately in line with the broader area's average regarding cultural diversity, with 82.3% born in Australia, 91.4% being citizens, and 86.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Cobbitty, comprising 69.5%, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Cobbitty are Australian (27.5%), English (24.7%), and Other (8.0%).

These percentages differ from regional averages: Australian is substantially higher (14.8%), English is also higher (11.4%), while Other is notably lower (27.3%). Notably, Maltese (3.3%) and Lebanese (1.7%) are overrepresented in Cobbitty compared to regional averages of 2.0% and 4.0%, respectively. Italian representation stands at 6.2%.

Cobbitty's population is younger than the national pattern

Cobbitty's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cobbitty has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (8.1%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 11.7% to 13.1%, while the 35-44 age group increased from 13.7% to 15.0%. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has declined from 9.1% to 7.5%, and the 55-64 age group dropped from 9.6% to 8.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Cobbitty. The 15-24 age cohort is projected to grow by 498%, adding 3,501 residents to reach a total of 4,205.