Cobbitty

Cobbitty lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The suburb of Cobbitty's population was estimated at approximately 5,457 as of November 2025, according to an analysis of ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch. This figure represents a growth of 1,251 people (29.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,206. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 5,308, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 765 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is approximately 104 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. Cobbitty's growth rate of 29.7% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the state average (6.7%) and the metropolitan area average, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

However, all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth for Cobbitty, placing it within the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, the suburb is expected to grow by approximately 21,453 persons, reflecting an increase of 386.9% in total over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Cobbitty was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Cobbitty recorded around 187 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 938 homes. So far in FY-26, 27 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 1.5 new residents were associated with each dwelling constructed.

This suggests balanced supply and demand, stable market conditions, and consistent construction values around $460,000, aligning with regional patterns. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cobbitty has 123.0% more development activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers and indicating robust developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises 92.0% standalone homes and 8.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. With around 27 people associated with each dwelling approval, Cobbitty exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 21,115 residents through to 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cobbitty has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The influence of local infrastructure changes on an area's performance is significant. AreaSearch has identified 43 projects that could impact the region. Notable ones include Cobbitty by Mirvac, Camden Valley Way Upgrade, Arcadian Hills, and Sydney Metro West - Western Sydney Airport to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension). The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Cobbitty places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Cobbitty has a skilled workforce with the construction sector prominently represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.6% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.9%.

As of June 2025, 3,076 residents are employed at an unemployment rate of 2.6%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is higher at 66.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction stands out with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level, while professional & technical employs only 5.7% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 4.9%, labour force by 4.9%, with unemployment remaining stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising to 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cobbitty's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.2% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2022, Cobbitty had a median taxpayer income of $60,871 and an average income of $78,209. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. By September 2025, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $68,547 and an average income of $88,071 due to Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since June 30, 2022. The 2021 Census ranks Cobbitty's household, family, and personal incomes between the 77th and 83rd percentiles nationally. Income analysis shows that 37.1% of Cobbitty residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (2,024 individuals), similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. High earners (33.0% earning above $3,000/week) indicate strong economic capacity in Cobbitty. Housing costs consume 18.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 79th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Cobbitty is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Cobbitty, as per the latest Census, consisted of 96.3% houses and 3.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cobbitty was at 26.9%, with the remaining dwellings being mortgaged (51.7%) or rented (21.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Cobbitty was $2,700, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent figure for Cobbitty was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Cobbitty's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,700 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cobbitty features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.1% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 30.8% couples without children, and 9.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 15.9%, with lone person households at 14.6% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

The educational profile of Cobbitty exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 22.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.9% and certificates at 27.2%. Educational participation is high, with 28.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.3% in primary, 8.0% in secondary, and 4.1% in tertiary education.

The area has 4 schools with a combined enrollment of 1,712 students and above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1056). It includes 2 primary, 1 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. Functioning as an education hub, the area has 31.4 school places per 100 residents, higher than the regional average of 19.0, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cobbitty has 23 active public transport stops. These are served by buses only. There are 38 routes in total providing 647 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is good with residents typically located 340 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 92 trips per day across all routes, which equals approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Cobbitty is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Cobbitty exhibits above-average health outcomes with a low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population. However, this rate is higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 58% of Cobbitty's total population (3,155 people) has private health cover, which is higher than Greater Sydney's 52.5%. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.8% and 6.9% of residents respectively. Conversely, 71.5% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments compared to 77.9% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, Cobbitty has 14.6% of its population aged 65 and over (796 people), which is higher than Greater Sydney's 10.1%. Health outcomes among seniors in the area require more attention than those for the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Cobbitty records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Cobbitty's population, born in Australia, stands at 82.3%, with 91.4% being citizens, and 86.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Cobbitty, comprising 69.5%, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (27.5%), English (24.7%), and Other (8.0%).

Notably, Maltese representation is higher at 3.3% than the regional average of 2.0%. Lebanese and Italian representations are lower at 1.7% and 6.2% respectively, compared to regional averages of 4.0% and 6.6%.

Cobbitty's population is younger than the national pattern

Cobbitty's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cobbitty has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (8.1%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 11.7% to 13.1%, while the 35-44 age group increased from 13.7% to 15.0%. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has declined from 9.1% to 7.5%, and the 55-64 age group dropped from 9.6% to 8.1%. Population forecasts for Cobbitty in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the strongest projected growth in the 15-24 age cohort (488%), adding 3,487 residents to reach a total of 4,202.