Elderslie (Camden - NSW)

Elderslie lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, Elderslie's population is estimated at around 8,089 people. This reflects an increase of 211 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,878. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 8,109 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of 72 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,540 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Elderslie demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.6%, outpacing its SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 67.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase its population by 1,804 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 24.2% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Elderslie when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Elderslie had approximately 36 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 182 homes were approved, with an additional 9 in FY-26. Each year, about 4.4 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

This indicates supply is lagging demand, likely leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average value of $635,000, slightly above the regional average. In FY-26, there were $637,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Elderslie has similar development levels per person, maintaining market equilibrium with surrounding areas despite recent slowing of building activity.

New building activity consists of 56.0% detached houses and 44.0% medium-high density housing, expanding affordable alternatives. This shift from the area's existing 86.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles. With around 566 people per dwelling approval, Elderslie reflects a highly mature market. By 2041, Elderslie is forecasted to gain 1,961 residents. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to meet population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Elderslie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that could affect the region. Notable ones include Mirvac's Elderslie Estate project, the Elderslie Release Area within Greater Macarthur Growth Area, the proposed Elderslie Village Centre neighbourhood centre, and Studley Park House Redevelopment. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Elderslie significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Elderslie has a skilled workforce with 2.7% unemployment rate and 5.0% estimated employment growth in the past year (AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data). As of June 2025, 4881 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate 1.5% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is high at 68.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction shows strong specialization (1.7 times the regional level), while professional & technical has lower representation (5.5% vs regional average of 11.5%). The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population count versus resident population.

Over June 2024 to June 2025, employment increased by 5.0%, labour force by 4.8%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest Elderslie's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Elderslie's median income among taxpayers is $60,772, with an average of $73,733. Nationally, this is high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $68,435 (median) and $83,031 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. Census 2021 income data indicates Elderslie's household, family, and personal incomes cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 34.0% of residents earn between $1,500 to $2,999 weekly, mirroring the metropolitan region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Notably, 30.7% of Elderslie's residents earn above $3,000 weekly, indicating strong economic capacity in the suburb. High housing costs consume 18.6% of income, but despite this, disposable income ranks at the 71st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Elderslie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Elderslie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.9% houses and 14.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 92.7% houses and 7.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Elderslie was at 23.6%, similar to Sydney metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (47.0%) or rented (29.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Elderslie was $2,383, aligning with the Sydney metro average. The median weekly rent figure was $480, also matching the Sydney metro figure. Nationally, Elderslie's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Elderslie features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.0% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.0%, with lone person households at 19.5% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Elderslie performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 21.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (29.1%). Educational participation is high at 31.4%, comprising primary education (11.7%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (3.6%).

Elderslie's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,770 students, serving typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. The area has two primary and one secondary school, with capacity exceeding residential needs at 21.9 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.8, indicating it serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Elderslie has 39 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 57 different routes that together facilitate 1,099 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated good, with residents on average being located 249 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 157 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Elderslie's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Elderslie's health data shows a relatively positive picture for its residents.

The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average in older and at-risk groups. Approximately 56% (~4,534 people) of Elderslie's total population has private health cover, which is very high. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.2% and 7.9% of residents respectively. Around 71.0% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 71.6% across Greater Sydney. Elderslie has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.1% (1,221 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 12.9%. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring additional attention, overall the area's health profile is relatively positive.

Elderslie ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Elderslie, surveyed in June 2016, showed low cultural diversity with 85.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 91.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 61.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 64.3%. The top three ancestral groups were Australian (29.1%), English (29.0%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Notably, Maltese were overrepresented at 1.6% (vs regional 1.8%), Serbian at 0.4% (vs 0.5%), and Samoan at 0.4% (vs 0.5%).

Elderslie hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Elderslie's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Elderslie has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.4%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 4.3% to 5.6%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 12.5% to 13.6%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 14.1% to 12.4%. By 2041, Elderslie's population is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 87%, adding 396 residents to reach a total of 849. In contrast, populations aged 0-4 and 35-44 are projected to decline.