Elderslie (Camden - NSW)

Elderslie lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Elderslie (Camden - NSW) is around 8,318, reflecting a 5.6% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 7,878 people. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 8,308 in June 2025 and an additional 82 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1,584 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Elderslie has shown a compound annual growth rate of 3.4%, driven primarily by natural growth contributing approximately 67.0% of overall population gains. For projections until 2041, AreaSearch is utilising ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas covered and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas. By 2041, the suburb is projected to increase by 1,833 persons, reflecting a gain of 21.9% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to increase by 1,833 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting recording a gain of 21.9% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Elderslie recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis reveals Elderslie has around 30 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21-FY25, approximately 154 homes were approved, with 12 more in FY26 so far. Over the past five financial years, an average of two new residents per new home was observed, suggesting balanced supply and demand. However, this moderated to one person per dwelling over the past two years.

The average value of new homes is $635,000, indicating a focus on premium market segments. This year, there have been $528,000 in commercial approvals, predominantly residential. Compared to Greater Sydney, Elderslie has 13.0% less new development per person and ranks at the 50th percentile nationally. New developments consist of 64.0% standalone homes and 36.0% medium-high density housing, offering choices across price ranges.

This shift from the area's current 86.0% houses indicates decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles preferences. Elderslie has approximately 325 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. Population forecasts suggest Elderslie will gain 1,823 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Elderslie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 15 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Elderslie Estate by Mirvac, Elderslie Release Area (Greater Macarthur Growth Area), Elderslie Village Centre, and Studley Park House Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Elderslie demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Elderslie has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.8% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 6.4%. As of December 2025, 4944 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 1.4% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation was higher at 78.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 32.7% of residents worked from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Dominant employment sectors were construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction had particularly high concentration at 1.7 times the regional average, while professional & technical services employed only 5.5% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 6.4%, labour force grew by 6.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2% and unemployment increase marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 estimated national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Elderslie's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Elderslie had a median taxpayer income of $60,772 and an average income of $73,733. Nationally, the averages were $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $67,044 (median) and $81,342 (average), based on a 10.32% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data indicates Elderslie's household, family, and personal incomes are at the 74th percentile nationally. Income distribution shows 34.0% (2,828 individuals) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, similar to surrounding regions at 30.9%. The suburb's affluence is evident with 30.7% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 18.6% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 71st percentile nationally. Elderslie's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Elderslie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Elderslie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.9% houses and 14.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Elderslie was at 23.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 29.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Elderslie was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Elderslie's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Elderslie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.0% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.0%, with lone person households at 19.5% and group households comprising 1.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Elderslie performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 21.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (29.1%). Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.7% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Elderslie has 50 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 57 different routes that together facilitate 1,349 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically living within 248 meters of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards from Elderslie, and cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 94%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling in Elderslie, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion (32.7%) of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency across all routes averages 192 trips per day, resulting in approximately 26 weekly trips per stop.

Health outcomes in Elderslie are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Elderslie's health indicators show below-average results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical but higher than the national average in older cohorts.

Private health cover is very high, at approximately 56% of the total population (~4,663 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.2% and 7.9% of residents respectively. 71.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 16.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,355 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Elderslie ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Elderslie's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 85.2% born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 91.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 61.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (29.1%), English (29.0%), and Scottish (7.6%).

Notably, Maltese (1.6%) were overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.0%, while Serbian (0.4%) and Samoan (0.4%) also showed higher percentages than their respective regional averages of 0.5%.

Elderslie hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Elderslie's median age is 34 years, lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and considerably younger than Australia's 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Elderslie has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.2%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population of those aged 75-84 has grown from 4.3% to 5.9%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 12.5% to 13.7%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort declined from 14.1% to 12.2%, and the 0-4 group dropped from 8.8% to 7.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Elderslie. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 76%, adding 371 residents to reach 862. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 5-14 and 0-4 cohorts.