Elderslie (Camden - NSW)

Elderslie lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The Elderslie (Camden - NSW) statistical area (Lv2)'s population is estimated at around 7,969 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 91 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,878 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,956 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 72 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,517 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Elderslie has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.6%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to increase by 1,806 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 26.1% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Elderslie when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Elderslie has experienced around 30 dwellings receiving development approval each year. An estimated 152 homes were approved over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with 9 so far in FY-26. On average, 5.3 people moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years.

This indicates substantial lagging supply behind demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average value of $635,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $528,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Comparatively, Elderslie has 14.0% less new development per person than Greater Sydney and ranks among the 48th percentile of areas assessed nationally.

This results in relatively constrained buyer choice, supporting interest in existing dwellings. New building activity shows 64.0% detached houses and 36.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options across price brackets. Elderslie currently has 86.0% houses, showing a notable shift towards more diverse housing options with decreasing availability of developable sites reflecting changing lifestyles. With around 342 people per dwelling approval, Elderslie is characterized as a low density area. Population forecasts indicate Elderslie will gain 2,083 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Elderslie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that may impact this region. Notable ones include Mirvac's Elderslie Estate project, the Elderslie Release Area within Greater Macarthur Growth Area, Elderslie Village Centre, and Studley Park House Redevelopment. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Elderslie significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Elderslie has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate in the area is 2.9%, lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.0%. As of September 2025, there are 4,903 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below Greater Sydney's rate and workforce participation at 68.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction is particularly strong in Elderslie, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 5.5% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 5.0%, while labour force increased by 5.2%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Elderslie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Elderslie's median income among taxpayers is $60,772. The average income in the suburb was $73,733 during this period. Nationally, the median income was lower at $59,841 with an average of $82,988. In Greater Sydney, the median income was $60,817 and the average was $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Elderslie would be approximately $66,156 (median) and $80,266 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Elderslie cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 34.0% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, with 2,709 residents falling into this bracket. This is similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this income bracket. A substantial proportion of high earners (30.7%) in Elderslie have incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. High housing costs consume 18.6% of income, but despite this, disposable income is at the 71st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Elderslie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Elderslie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.9% houses and 14.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 92.7% houses and 7.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Elderslie was at 23.6%, similar to Sydney metro, with the rest being mortgaged (47.0%) or rented (29.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $480, also matching Sydney metro figures. Nationally, Elderslie's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,383 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Elderslie features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.0% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.0%, with lone person households at 19.5% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Elderslie performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 21.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (29.1%). Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.7% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 3.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Elderslie has 50 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 57 different routes, offering a total of 1,349 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average being located 248 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 192 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Elderslie's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Elderslie's health data shows positive results overall.

Common health conditions are relatively low among its general population but higher than national averages for older, at-risk groups. Approximately 56% (~4,467 people) have private health cover, a very high rate. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.2 and 7.9% of residents respectively. 71.0% report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 71.6% in Greater Sydney. Elderslie has 15.1% (1,203 people) aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Sydney's 12.9%. Health outcomes for seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Elderslie ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Elderslie, surveyed in June 2016, had below average cultural diversity. 85.2% of its population were born in Australia, 93.0% were citizens, and 91.6% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 61.7%, compared to 64.3% across Greater Sydney.

Ancestry wise, Australian (29.1%), English (29.0%), and Scottish (7.6%) were the top groups. Notable differences existed in Maltese representation at 1.6% (vs regional 1.8%), Serbian at 0.4% (vs 0.5%), and Samoan at 0.4% (vs 0.5%).

Elderslie hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Elderslie's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and considerably younger than Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Elderslie has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.4%). Between the 2021 Census and the current time, the population share of those aged 75-84 has increased from 4.3% to 5.6%, while the 15-24 age group has risen from 12.5% to 13.6%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has decreased from 14.1% to 12.4%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Elderslie. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 90%, adding 402 residents and reaching a total of 849. Conversely, population declines are forecast for the 0-4 and 35-44 age cohorts.