Elderslie (Camden - NSW)

Elderslie lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Elderslie (Camden - NSW) is around 7,987, reflecting a 1.4% increase since the 2021 Census which reported 7,878 people. This increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,956 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 81 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1,521 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Elderslie has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.0%, outpacing the SA3 area. Natural growth contributed approximately 67.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 1,657 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 20.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Elderslie when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Elderslie has received around 30 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 154 homes were approved, with an additional 10 approved in FY-26. This results in roughly 5.3 people moving to the area per dwelling built over the past five financial years.

Supply is lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average value of $635,000, targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26, there have been $528,000 in commercial approvals, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Elderslie has 13.0% less new development per person and ranks among the 49th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice.

New building activity consists of 64.0% detached houses and 36.0% medium and high-density housing, expanding affordable options. Population forecasts indicate Elderslie will gain 1,626 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Elderslie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 16 projects that could influence the area. Notable ones include Elderslie Estate by Mirvac, Elderslie Release Area (Greater Macarthur Growth Area), Elderslie Village Centre, and Studley Park House Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Elderslie positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Elderslie's workforce is skilled with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.8% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.8%.

This rate is lower than Greater Sydney's employment growth of 4.2%. As of December 2025, 5,029 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 1.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Elderslie was 84.0%, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 32.7% of residents worked from home.

Leading employment industries were construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction showed strong specialization with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 5.5% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census working population vs resident population counts. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 6.8%, labour force by 7.1%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% with a slight increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Elderslie. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Elderslie's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Elderslie's median income among taxpayers was $60,772, with an average of $73,733. Nationally, the median was lower at $54,891 and the average was $79,626. In Greater Sydney, the median was $60,817 and the average was $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $66,156 (median) and $80,266 (average). Census 2021 income data shows Elderslie's incomes cluster around the 74th percentile nationally. The largest income segment in Elderslie comprises 34.0% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, mirroring the metropolitan region at 30.9%. High earners (above $3,000/week) make up 30.7%, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing costs consume 18.6% of income, but disposable income remains at the 71st percentile nationally. Elderslie's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Elderslie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Elderslie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.9% houses and 14.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Elderslie was at 23.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 29.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,383, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent was $480, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Elderslie's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Elderslie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.0% of all households, including 40.4% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 21.0%, with lone person households at 19.5% and group households comprising 1.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Elderslie performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 21.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.1% and certificates for 29.1%. Educational participation is high at 31.4%, including 11.7% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Elderslie has 50 operational public transport stops, all offering bus services. These stops are served by 57 unique routes, facilitating a total of 1,349 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents' average proximity to the nearest stop being 248 meters. Predominantly residential, Elderslie sees most commuters traveling outwards, with cars remaining the primary mode of transport at 94%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. Notably, 32.7% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions).

Across all routes, an average of 192 trips are made daily, translating to roughly 26 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Elderslie are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Elderslie's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment, with mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence higher than average for older cohorts. The area has a high private health cover rate of approximately 56% (~4,477 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Common medical conditions include arthritis (8.2%) and mental health issues (7.9%), with 71.0% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age population health outcomes are typical. Elderslie has 16.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,285 people), with seniors experiencing some health challenges but ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Elderslie ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Elderslie had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 85.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.0% being citizens, and 91.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Elderslie, comprising 61.7% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (29.1%), English (29.0%), and Scottish (7.6%).

There were notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Maltese at 1.6%, Serbian at 0.4%, and Samoan at 0.4%.

Elderslie hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Elderslie's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Elderslie has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.0%). Between the 2021 Census and the latest figures, the 75-84 age group grew from 4.3% to 5.9%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 12.5% to 13.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort decreased from 14.1% to 12.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Elderslie. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 69%, adding 326 residents to reach a total of 798. Conversely, population declines are forecasted for the 0-4 and 35-44 cohorts.