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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Oran Park is $1.20m, with units at $772k. House values have moved 7.7% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Oran Park has an estimated 26,797 residents, up from 17,624 at the 2021 Census — a change of 9,173 people, or 52.0%. Growth has averaged 11.6% a year over five years, faster than 98% of areas nationally. 1,826 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 76.0% of that increase. That puts 2,022 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Drawing from ABS population indicators for the surrounding region alongside fresh address data verified by AreaSearch subsequent to the Census, the suburb of Oran Park is home to roughly 26,797 residents as of May 2026. This indicates a rise of 9,173 residents (52.0%) from the 2021 Census, when the count stood at 17,624 individuals. This shift is calculated from a local population base of 25,695, which AreaSearch estimated after evaluating the ABS release of ERP statistics in June 2025 in combination with 1,826 new verified addresses post-Census. Such a population size yields a density of 2,022 persons per square kilometer, outstripping the typical density across regions examined by AreaSearch.
The expansion rate of 52.0% in the suburb of Oran Park since the 2021 census outpaced the state standard of 7.1% as well as the Greater Sydney region, placing it at the forefront of local growth. The primary catalyst for this demographic expansion was domestic relocation from other states, which accounted for roughly 76.0% of the overall population increases lately, even though all other contributors, such as natural increases and international arrivals, remained positive. Projections established by ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 regions, published in 2024 utilizing 2022 as the baseline, are utilized by AreaSearch. For SA2 territories lacking this coverage, AreaSearch incorporates SA2 projections from the NSW State Government published in 2022 with a 2021 baseline. Projected growth rates segmented by age categories from these datasets are applied to all locations for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic modeling points to remarkable growth that sits in the highest 10 percent of all locations evaluated by AreaSearch, with the suburb of Oran Park expected to grow by 16,380 residents by 2041 according to combined SA2 projections, representing a total surge of 57.0% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
2,823 new dwellings have been approved in Oran Park over the past five years, an average of 564 a year. That places the area in the 99th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 21 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 482 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 59% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 728, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of ABS building permit data assigned from regional statistics indicate that Oran Park sees approximately 564 home approvals annually, with a total of 2,823 dwellings approved over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 668 during the current FY-26. Given that 3.8 individuals have relocated to the district for every new home built over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), the level of demand is outpacing incoming supply, which typically drives up values and intensifies buyer rivalry. Concurrently, new residential builds carry an average value of $486,000, revealing that building firms are targeting the upper tier of the market with premium projects.
Additionally, commercial building approvals have reached $174.8 million this financial year, pointing to solid corporate investment locally. In comparison to Greater Sydney, Oran Park registers 59.0% more residential construction approvals per head, which should give purchasers plenty of alternatives, even though construction momentum has decelerated recently. This rate is far higher than the nationwide norm, demonstrating strong builder commitment to the district. Recent residential building permits consist of 59.0% standalone houses and 41.0% townhouses or units, with the rising proportion of medium and high-density options offering choices across various budgets, ranging from houses for families to compact, low-cost options. This indicates a distinct departure from the local established market, which is presently made up of 87.0% houses, showing a reduction in developable land options alongside evolving preferences and the demand for more varied, economical housing. The area has roughly 54 individuals for every approved residential permit, pointing to a growing market size. Long-term forecasts indicate that Oran Park will add 15,278 people by 2041, based on the most recent quarterly projections by AreaSearch. Given current building paces, residential supply is expected to satisfy demand, creating positive dynamics for purchasers while potentially paving the way for expansion that goes beyond current expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Oran Park
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 26 current infrastructure and development projects inside Oran Park, worth an estimated $11.8 billion. A further 95 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $49.1 billion. 43 are already under construction and 46 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and education & training. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning initiatives, and major developments have a significant influence on regional performance. In total, 40 projects have been tracked by AreaSearch that are expected to impact the local community. Major initiatives include the North South Rail Line - Bradfield to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Atura Oran Park, the Gledswood Hills Masterplanned Community, and the Marian's Mana Urban Village, with the provided list highlighting those of greatest interest.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Marian's Mana Urban Village
A prestigious master-planned urban village within Oran Park developed by Greenfields Development Company. The precinct features architecturally designed homes, townhouses, and land lots centered around community parks, landscaped pedestrian pathways, and Ron's Creek. Designed for a tranquil lifestyle, the village offers walkable access to the Oran Park Town Centre and its expanding retail and civic amenities.
Atura Oran Park
Atura Oran Park is a 6-level urban lifestyle hotel currently under construction in Sydney's South West. The development features 184 design-led guest rooms, extensive conference and meeting facilities, and an outdoor pool with a terrace. The ground floor will house nine retail tenancies along with a restaurant and bar. Developed by Greenfields Development Company in partnership with EVT, the hotel is a key component of the Oran Park Podium precinct expansion, designed to serve the rapid population growth and the future Western Sydney Airport.As of early 2026, internal fit-outs and facade installations are well advanced.
Oran Park Health Precinct Stage 3
Stage 3 of the Oran Park Integrated Health Hub, a 6,000sqm purpose-built medical facility forming the final stage of the $200 million health precinct. Stages 1 and 2 are complete, delivering GPs, community health, Karitane, allied health and pathology services. Stage 3 will add day surgery, chemotherapy, oncology and specialist consulting suites delivered through public health. A separate full-service private hospital campus is also in the initial planning stages. The precinct serves Sydney's fastest-growing South West Growth Area, with Oran Park forecast to reach a population of 50,000 by 2041.
Gledswood Hills Masterplanned Community
A 320-hectare masterplanned community by Sekisui House Australia based on the Japanese 'satoyama' concept of harmony between people and nature. The development features high-end SHAWOOD homes, the premium Norman Estates precinct in partnership with Greg Norman, and a future 7.5-hectare heritage-inspired retail village named The Yards. The project includes 40 hectares of parkland, 50km of pedestrian and cycle pathways, and the Gledswood Hills Primary School. While many residential stages are complete and occupied, final precincts and the mixed-use retail hub remain under construction or in detailed planning as of 2026.
Oran Park Town
Oran Park Town is a premier masterplanned community in Sydney's South West, transforming 1,100 hectares into a hub for 35,000 residents. 2026 milestones include the opening of the 184-room Atura Hotel and the significant expansion of The Podium retail precinct to include a 12-storey residential tower and new commercial spaces. The project includes 10,000 dwellings, a multi-stage medical precinct with Stage 3 development underway, and integrated transport links to the Western Sydney Airport.
Residential Land Release Tranche 41-3
Tranche 41-3 is a residential land release in the Oran Park masterplanned community, featuring lots integrated with open spaces and public reserves. The development provides family-friendly housing options with modern infrastructure, located within walking distance of Jack Brabham Reserve and approximately 1km from local primary and high schools. It is part of a larger growth precinct designed to offer sustainable urban living with easy access to the Oran Park Town Centre.
The Greens Gledswood Hills
A $100 million, 40-hectare recreation, hospitality and tourism precinct being developed by Wests Group Macarthur on the former El Caballo Blanco site at Gledswood Hills. The Greens will feature a 56-bay, two-level golf driving range, a nine-hole par-3 course designed by Greg Norman, a 27-hole mini-golf course, a 1,200-seat dining precinct with bars, restaurants and dessert parlour, and a 400 square metre children's arcade and play centre. Design references honour the site's El Caballo Blanco heritage and include Indigenous cultural elements.The venue is expected to create close to 200 jobs and open in late 2027.
Western Sydney Studios
A major film and television studio facility proposed by Greenfields Development Company to address the shortage of soundstage capacity in Sydney. Formerly known as Oran Park Studios and rebranded as Western Sydney Studios, the project has secured development approval from Camden Council. Located in the Oran Park Employment Zone in Western Sydney, the facility will feature three world-class soundstages (each with 14m internal height clearance), production offices, workshops, lockups, a 340-space multideck carpark, EV charging stations, and a 2-hectare backlot located approximately 10 minutes away.The project is awaiting a funding selection process before proceeding to construction, with a 2027 opening targeted. Designed by Nettleton Tribe architects.
15,059 residents of Oran Park are employed, from a labour force of 15,370. Unemployment sits at 2.0%, with participation at 84.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 21,315, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Oran Park has a highly qualified labor force, strong representation in basic service industries, an unemployment rate of only 2.0%, and a yearly jobs growth rate estimated at 4.8% based on regional data compiled by AreaSearch. By March 2026, there are 15,059 employed residents, and the unemployment rate is 2.1% lower than the Greater Sydney benchmark of 4.1%, while labor force participation is exceptionally high at 84.1% compared to 69.1% across Greater Sydney. Census records show that a high proportion of residents, at 32.7%, worked from their homes, though this may reflect temporary pandemic restrictions.
The main sectors employing local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The workforce shows a highly concentrated presence in construction, with staffing levels reaching 1.5 times the broader regional benchmark. Conversely, the professional & technical sector accounts for only 5.8% of the working population, which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 11.5%. This heavily residential neighborhood appears to provide few local employment options, as shown by the comparison of the Census working population against the resident workforce. According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader geographical divisions, employment rose by 4.8% while the local labor force expanded by 5.0% over the 12 months to March 2026, leading to a rise in the unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney, where employment increased by 1.9%, the labor force expanded by 1.9%, and unemployment decreased slightly. Employment forecasts released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 provide additional context on prospective demand in Oran Park. These forecasts, which span five and ten-year intervals, have been matched with the local workforce structure to project growth. While national jobs are projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of change differ widely across industries. Applying these sector-specific forecasts to the local industry mix suggests employment among residents should grow by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a basic weighted calculation for demonstration purposes and does not incorporate local population growth estimates.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Oran Park is $2,349 a week (about $122,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,026 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,100 a year against an average of $74,902. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer income levels in Oran Park are substantially higher than the country's average according to ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Taxpayers in the area earn a median income of $61,100 and an average income of $74,902, contrasting with Greater Sydney levels of $60,817 and $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to roughly $67,406 for the median and $82,632 for the average as of March 2026. Based on 2021 Census data, household, family, and individual earnings in Oran Park are positioned in the top brackets, between the 81st and 85th percentiles nationwide.
The income profile reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly bracket accounts for 42.6% of the local population, or 11,415 people, which aligns with wider regional figures showing 30.9% in this bracket. High-income earners constitute a large portion, with 32.3% earning more than $3,000 weekly, reflecting significant spending power. High shelter costs absorb 22.5% of earnings, yet strong wages keep disposable income levels at the 75th percentile, and the local SEIFA income score falls in the 8th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Oran Park had 5,164 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 87% detached houses and 1% apartments. 55% are owned with a mortgage, 37% rented and 8% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $530 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,626 a month, a total housing cost higher than 99% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 22.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.8%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing in Oran Park at the time of the latest Census consisted of 87.2% detached houses and 12.8% alternative dwellings such as townhouses, apartments, or other formats, compared to the Sydney metro ratio of 55.9% detached houses and 44.1% alternative formats. At the same time, the rate of outright home ownership in Oran Park was lower than the Sydney metro average, sitting at 8.2%, with the bulk of homes being paid off under a mortgage (55.3%) or occupied by tenants (36.5%). The median monthly home loan payment in the area was higher than the Sydney metro average at $2,626, while the median weekly rental cost was $530, compared to regional levels of $2,427 and $470.
On a national level, mortgage commitments in Oran Park are far higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are also much higher than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Oran Park counted 5,164 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 7,852 today, averaging 3.3 people each. 55% are couples with children, more than in 97% of areas nationally, against 20% couples without children. 11% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the vast majority of households at 87.3%, consisting of couples with children at 54.5%, couples without children at 19.7%, and single parents with children at 12.3%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 12.7%, with single-person households representing 11.0% and shared group households making up 1.7% of the total. The median household occupancy of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.7% of adults in Oran Park hold a university qualification, including 20.0% with a bachelor degree and 8.0% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 22.9% hold a vocational qualification. 6 schools serve the area, with 7,187 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,042 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The educational profile of the population is distinct within the region, with tertiary qualification rates at 29.7% of residents aged 15 and over, exceeding the SA4 regional average of 21.4% and highlighting a local focus on higher education. Undergraduate degrees are the most common at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate study at 8.0% and graduate diplomas at 1.7%. Practical and vocational skills are also highly represented, with 35.1% of residents aged 15 and over holding trade certifications, consisting of advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 22.9%. Enrolment in study is high, with 34.1% of the population actively participating in academic programs.
This comprises 14.0% of residents in primary schooling, 7.4% in high schools, and 4.6% attending higher education courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Oran Park reaches 51 stops on 52 routes, timetabled for about 1,900 services a week. The typical home sits about 270 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport networks include 51 active transit stops in Oran Park, which consist of bus services. These stops support 52 distinct routes, which together provide 1,920 weekly passenger journeys. Accessibility is rated favorably, with residents generally living within 268 meters of their nearest transport stop. As a commuter-focused residential suburb, the majority of workers travel outside the area, with private cars remaining the primary option at 89% and trains used by 7%. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.7 cars per home, which is higher than the regional average. A high proportion of workers, 32.7%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 rules.
The average daily frequency of services is 274 runs across all routes, which corresponds to roughly 37 weekly services at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
80.8% of residents in Oran Park report no long-term health condition. 3.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 56.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Oran Park records positive health statistics based on AreaSearch evaluations of mortality patterns and the presence of chronic illnesses, with common ailments showing a low frequency in the general population, although they exceed national averages in older, high-risk brackets. Additionally, private health insurance uptake is high, covering approximately 57% of the local population, which is around 15,145 individuals, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most frequent health issues reported by residents are asthma and mental health concerns, which affect 6.7% and 5.6% of the population respectively, while 80.8% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 6.3% of the community, or 1,688 individuals, which is lower than the Greater Sydney proportion of 15.5%. Medical outcomes for senior citizens present some difficulties, ranking lower nationally than the younger cohorts of the local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
35.4% of Oran Park residents were born overseas and 40.8% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 80% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (18.2%) and English (15.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Oran Park demonstrates a diverse cultural profile, with 35.4% of residents born outside Australia and 40.8% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 54.6% of the population. However, the most pronounced difference is the concentration of Hinduism, which accounts for 10.2% of residents compared to 5.2% across Greater Sydney. Regarding family backgrounds based on parents' birthplaces, the three largest ancestral cohorts in Oran Park are Other at 25.7%, which is much higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Australian at 18.2%, and English at 15.0%.
There are also distinct concentrations of other backgrounds, with Serbian heritage accounting for 1.1% of Oran Park, compared to 0.5% in the wider region, Spanish heritage at 0.9% compared to 0.6%, and Samoan background at 1.3% compared to 0.5%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Oran Park is 31, younger than 96% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 27.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of Oran Park is 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Sydney median of 37 and the national median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher proportion of young people aged 5 to 14, at 19.3%, but a smaller proportion of older adults aged 55 to 64, at 5.3%. This concentration of children aged 5 to 14 is higher than the national figure of 12.0%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 19.1% to 21.7% of the population, and the 45 to 54 cohort grew from 8.9% to 10.8%.
In contrast, the 25 to 34 age bracket decreased from 20.5% to 14.5%, and the 0 to 4 group declined from 12.5% to 9.5%. Demographic projections indicate the local age profile will shift by 2041, with the 15 to 24 cohort expected to grow by 3,826 people (114%) from 3,349 to 7,176.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Oran Park
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 26 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1,826 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (17,624 at the 2021 Census → 26,797 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL13102). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.