Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Oran Park's population is estimated at around 27,447. This reflects an increase of 9,823 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,624. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 24,055 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024), and an additional 1,787 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,071 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oran Park's growth rate of 55.7% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney levels, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Oran Park is predicted to experience exceptional growth over the period, increasing by 17,416 persons to 2041 and reflecting an increase of 51.1% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Oran Park has seen approximately 564 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 2,823 homes were approved, with a further 457 approved in FY26 as of current data. This indicates an average of 4.2 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over these years.

However, supply is lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers are targeting the premium market segment, with new homes being built at an average expected construction cost value of $486,000. Additionally, $174.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered in FY26, indicating robust commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park records 76.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods. This activity is significantly above the national average, reflecting strong developer interest in the area.

Current development consists of 59.0% standalone homes and 41.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options across various price brackets. Oran Park currently has around 50 people per dwelling approval, characteristic of a growth area. Future projections estimate Oran Park to add 14,024 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Oran Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 39 projects that may affect this region. Notable ones include Sydney Metro West - Western Sydney Airport to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Oran Park Health Precinct Stage 3, Atura Oran Park, and Marian's Mana Urban Village. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment conditions in Oran Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Oran Park has an educated workforce with key services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% in December 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.4%.

Residents' participation in the workforce was high at 89.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Home workership stood at 32.7% based on Census responses, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction has a significant presence with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services have limited representation at 5.8%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.4% while unemployment remained essentially unchanged. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oran Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Oran Park's median income among taxpayers was $61,100 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $74,902 during the same period. These figures are above Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimates based on an 8.86% growth in wages suggest a median income of approximately $66,513 and an average income of around $81,538 for Oran Park. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Oran Park rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 85th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The largest income bracket comprises 42.6% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly. This is similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% fall into this range. Oran Park demonstrates affluence with 32.3% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Oran Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oran Park stood at 8.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.3% and rented ones at 36.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,626, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,427. The median weekly rent was $530, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.3% of all households, including 54.5% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.7%, consisting of 11.0% lone person households and 1.7% group households. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.7%, higher than the SA4 region average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 22.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.0% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oran Park has 51 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 52 different routes, collectively facilitating 1,920 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically residing 268 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward; cars remain the primary mode of transport at 89%, while trains account for 7%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. Notably, 32.7% of residents work from home (as recorded in the 2021 Census, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions).

Across all routes, service frequency averages 274 trips daily, translating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Oran Park is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Oran Park shows above-average health outcomes according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 57% (~15,513 people) have private health cover, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.7 and 5.6% of residents respectively. 80.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Oran Park has 6.5% (1,784 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than those for the broader population.

Oran Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park's cultural diversity ranks high with 35.4% of its residents born overseas, and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oran Park, accounting for 54.6% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented at 10.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, 'Other' comprises 25.7% of Oran Park's population, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 16.0%. Australian and English ancestry comprise 18.2% and 15.0% respectively. Certain ethnic groups show notable differences: Serbian at 1.1%, Spanish at 0.9%, and Samoan at 1.3%, each higher than their respective regional averages of 0.5%.

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oran Park's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Oran Park has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 at 19.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 16.2% and the national average of 12.1%. However, it has fewer residents aged 55-64 at 5.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 8.3%. Since 2021, Oran Park's population aged 35-44 has grown from 19.1% to 21.7%, while the 45-54 cohort increased from 8.9% to 10.8%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group declined from 20.5% to 14.0%, and the 0-4 age group dropped from 12.5% to 9.6%. By 2041, Oran Park's demographic profile is projected to change significantly. The 15-24 age cohort is expected to expand substantially by 3,624 people (106%), from 3,430 to 7,055. Meanwhile, the 35-44 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 4%, adding 265 people.