Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Oran Park is around 26,797, reflecting a growth of 9,173 people since the 2021 Census. The population was recorded as 17,624 in 2021. This increase, amounting to a 52.0% rise, exceeds the state average of 7.1%. The suburb's growth is primarily attributed to interstate migration contributing approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. The population density ratio stands at 2,022 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. For future projections until 2041, Oran Park is expected to experience exceptional growth, placing it in the top 10 percent of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch.

By 2041, the suburb's population is projected to reach 43,177 persons, marking a 57.0% increase over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Oran Park has experienced around 564 dwellings receiving development approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 2,823 homes. So far in FY-26603 approvals have been recorded. This indicates an average of 4.2 people moving to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting demand significantly outpaces supply. New homes are being built at an average value of $486,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

In this financial year, $174.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park shows 59.0% higher new home approvals per person, which should provide buyers with ample choice. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. This is substantially higher than nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. Recent construction comprises 59.0% standalone homes and 41.0% medium and high-density housing, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points. With around 50 people per dwelling approval, Oran Park shows characteristics of a growth area.

Looking ahead, Oran Park is expected to grow by 15,278 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Oran Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 40 projects potentially affecting the region. Notable ones include the North South Rail Line - Bradfield to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Atura Oran Park, Gledswood Hills Masterplanned Community, and Marian's Mana Urban Village. The following list details those most likely relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Oran Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Oran Park has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.9% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.4% over the past year. There were 14,906 residents employed at that time, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Oran Park was higher at 83.2% compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 32.7% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Oran Park has a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services were under-represented at 5.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between the Census working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.4% while labour force grew by 5.4%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2%, labour force grow by 2.3%, and a marginal increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oran Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Oran Park's median income among taxpayers was $61,100 with an average of $74,902. These figures are high nationally compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Oran Park would be approximately $67,406 (median) and $82,632 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Oran Park rank highly nationally between the 81st and 85th percentiles. Income brackets indicate 42.6% of Oran Park's population falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, aligning with metropolitan regions where this cohort represents 30.9%. A significant 32.3% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Oran Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oran Park stood at 8.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.3% and rented ones at 36.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,626, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Oran Park was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 54.5% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.0% and group households comprising 1.7%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 29.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.2% and certificates for 22.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.0% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oran Park has 51 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 52 different routes that facilitate 1,920 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents usually located around 268 meters from their nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Oran Park being predominantly residential. Cars remain the primary mode of transport for 89% of residents, while trains are used by 7%. On average, each dwelling owns 1.7 vehicles, which is higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 32.7% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 274 trips per day, translating to approximately 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Oran Park is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Oran Park shows better-than-average health outcomes according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Approximately 57% (~15,145 people) have private health cover, which is high compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 6.7% and 5.6% of residents respectively. About 80.8% report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Oran Park has 6.3% (1,688 people) of its population aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Oran Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oran Park, accounting for 54.6% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented in Oran Park compared to Greater Sydney, making up 10.2% versus 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups in Oran Park are Other (25.7%), Australian (18.2%), and English (15.0%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Serbian is overrepresented at 1.1% compared to the regional average of 0.5%, Spanish at 0.9% versus 0.6%, and Samoan at 1.3% versus 0.5%.

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oran Park has a median age of 31 years, which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and significantly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (19.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.3%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 12.0%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 35 to 44 has grown from 19.1% to 21.7%, while the 45 to 54 age group increased from 8.9% to 10.8%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age cohort declined from 20.5% to 14.5% and the 0 to 4 age group dropped from 12.5% to 9.5%. Demographic projections suggest Oran Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 15 to 24 age cohort expected to expand substantially, increasing by 3,826 people (114%) from 3,349 to 7,176.