Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Oran Park statistical area (Lv2) had an estimated population of around 26,691, reflecting a 51.4% increase since the 2021 Census when it reported a population of 17,624 people. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 24,055 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 1,558 validated new addresses since the Census date. The Oran Park (SA2) had a population density ratio of 2,014 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. This growth exceeded both state (7.6%) and metropolitan area figures, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors. AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, utilising NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Oran Park (SA2) is predicted to increase by 17,411 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 55.4% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Oran Park has seen approximately 564 new homes approved annually, with a total of 2,823 homes approved between financial years FY-21 to FY-25. As of FY-26439 homes have been approved. On average, 4.2 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

This indicates substantial demand outpacing supply, potentially leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction value for new homes is $486,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $174.8 million, reflecting robust commercial development momentum in Oran Park. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park records 76.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice while recent periods show moderated development activity. This activity is significantly above the national average, indicating strong developer interest in the area. New development consists of 59.0% standalone homes and 41.0% medium to high-density housing, expanding affordable alternatives alongside traditional family housing.

With around 50 people per dwelling approval, Oran Park exhibits growth area characteristics. Future projections estimate an addition of 14,775 residents by 2041, with current construction levels expected to meet demand adequately, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potential growth exceeding forecasts.

Oran Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 39 projects likely affecting the area. Notable projects include Sydney Metro West - Western Sydney Airport to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Oran Park Health Precinct Stage 3, Atura Oran Park, and Marian's Mana Urban Village. The following list details those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Oran Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Oran Park has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.8%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%.

In the year up to September 2025, employment growth was estimated at 5.3%. As of this date, 14,707 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4% and workforce participation at 70.2%, both higher than Greater Sydney's rates. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Oran Park has a particular specialization in construction, with employment share being 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence, accounting for only 5.8% of employment compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.3%, while labour force also grew by 5.3% with unemployment remaining largely unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% during the same period. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted slightly by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate is 4.3%. Job and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oran Park's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, assuming no significant changes in population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Oran Park has an income level above average nationally based on latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Oran Park is $61,100 and the average income stands at $74,902. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 respectively. Using Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimates for September 2025 would be approximately $66,513 (median) and $81,538 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Oran Park rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 85th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 42.6% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. Oran Park demonstrates affluence with 32.3% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile nationally and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Oran Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oran Park was at 8.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.3% and rented ones at 36.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oran Park was $2,626, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,475. The median weekly rent figure in Oran Park was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 54.5% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.0% and group households making up 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 29.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (22.9%).

Educational participation is high at 34.1%, including 14.0% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oran Park has 52 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 52 different routes that together facilitate 1,920 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents on average located 268 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 274 trips across all routes, which translates to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oran Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oran Park's health outcomes data shows notable results with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 57% of Oran Park's total population (~15,085 people) has private health cover, compared to 53.8% in Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (6.7%) and mental health issues (5.6%). Around 80.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 77.9% in Greater Sydney. Oran Park has 6.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,628 people), lower than the 10.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

Oran Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oran Park, accounting for 54.6% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 10.2% of Oran Park's population versus 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.7%), Australian (18.2%), and English (15.0%). Some ethnic groups have notable differences in representation: Serbian is overrepresented at 1.1%, Spanish at 0.9%, and Samoan at 1.3% compared to regional figures of 1.9%, 1.0%, and 1.5% respectively.

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oran Park has a median age of 30 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and significantly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (19.3%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.3%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 12.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 19.1% to 21.6%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has risen from 17.5% to 19.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 20.5% to 15.2%, and the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 12.5% to 10.1%. Demographic projections indicate that Oran Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 15 to 24 age cohort expected to expand substantially, growing by 3,827 people (119%) from 3,229 to 7,057.