Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Oran Park's population is estimated at around 26,157. This reflects an increase of 8,533 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,624. The change was inferred from the resident population of 24,055, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), and an additional 1,558 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,974 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oran Park's growth rate of 48.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area rates, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 76.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, with the suburb expected to expand by 17,411 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 58.5% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis shows Oran Park recorded around 564 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 2823 homes were approved, with a further 359 approved in FY26 so far. This results in an average of 4.2 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed annually over these years.

Given this demand outpaces supply, it typically exerts upward pressure on prices and increases buyer competition. The average construction cost value for new properties is $486,000, aligning with regional patterns. In FY26, Oran Park has recorded $174.8 million in commercial development approvals, indicating robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has 76.0% more development activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods. This high level of activity is substantially higher than the national average, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location.

New development in Oran Park consists of 59.0% detached dwellings and 41.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 87.0% houses. This change suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 50 people per approval, Oran Park reflects a developing area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Oran Park is expected to grow by 15309 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Oran Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 39 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Sydney Metro West - Western Sydney Airport to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Oran Park Health Precinct Stage 3, Atura Oran Park, and Marian's Mana Urban Village. The following list details those most relevant.

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The exceptional employment performance in Oran Park places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oran Park has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.9% as of June 2025, with estimated employment growth of 4.8% over the past year.

This figure is lower than Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation stands at 70.2%, higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Major industries employing residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 5.8% compared to the regional average of 11.5%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.8%, labour force grew by 4.9%, resulting in a slight unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6% over the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in Sep-22, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oran Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Oran Park is above average nationally. The median income is $61,100 and the average income stands at $74,902. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Oran Park would be approximately $68,805 (median) and $84,347 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Oran Park rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 85th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income distribution shows that 42.6% of the population (11,142 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to regional levels where 30.9% occupy this range. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 32.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Oran Park's housing structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oran Park stood at 8.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.3% and rented ones at 36.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,626, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,475. Median weekly rent was recorded at $530, compared to Sydney metro's $490. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.3 percent of all households, including 54.5 percent couples with children, 19.7 percent couples without children, and 12.3 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 12.7 percent, consisting of lone person households at 11.0 percent and group households comprising 1.7 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.4.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable with university qualification rates at 29.7% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.0% and graduate diplomas at 1.7%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 22.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 14.0% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education. Oran Park operates a robust network of 6 schools educating approximately 7,187 students, demonstrating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1042). The educational mix includes 3 primary, 2 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs at 27.5 places per 100 residents versus the regional average of 19.0, indicating Oran Park serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oran Park has 43 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 50 different routes that together facilitate 1862 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in Oran Park is rated as good, with residents on average being located 276 meters from the nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 266 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oran Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Health outcomes data shows notable results across Oran Park. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent among both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover rate is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~14,783 people), compared to 52.5% across Greater Sydney. Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.7 and 5.6% of residents respectively. 80.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.9% across Greater Sydney. Oran Park has 6.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,595 people), lower than the 10.1% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, requiring more attention than the broader population.

Oran Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Oran Park, comprising 54.6% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented in Oran Park compared to Greater Sydney, making up 10.2% versus 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.7%), Australian (18.2%), and English (15.0%). Notably, Serbian (1.1%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 1.9%, while Spanish (0.9%) and Samoan (1.3%) show slight divergences from their respective regional percentages of 1.0% and 1.5%.

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oran Park has a median age of 30 years, which is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and lower than the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (19.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.3%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 19.1% to 21.6%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has risen from 17.5% to 19.3%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 20.5% to 15.2%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 12.5% to 10.1%. Demographic projections suggest that Oran Park's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 15 to 24 age cohort expected to expand substantially, growing from 3,164 to 7,057 people, an increase of 3,892 (123%).