Oran Park

Oran Park lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Oran Park's population was estimated at 27,447 by Feb 2026 based on ABS updates and AreaSearch validation. This showed an increase of 9,823 people from the 2021 Census figure of 17,624, marking a growth rate of 55.7%. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 24,055 in June 2024 and an additional 1,787 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a population density ratio of 2,071 persons per square kilometer, higher than national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Oran Park's growth exceeded both state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney levels since the 2021 census, making it a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 76.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is projected to increase by 17,411 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 51.1% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Oran Park was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Oran Park has seen around 564 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 2823 homes were approved, with another 439 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 4.2 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed annually over these years.

This indicates supply is lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average value of $486,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $174.8 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating strong commercial development momentum. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park records 76.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice, though recent periods show development activity has moderated. This activity is significantly above the national average, reflecting robust developer interest in the area. New development consists of 59.0% standalone homes and 41.0% medium and high-density housing, showing an expanding range of medium-density options creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets.

This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 87.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 50 people per dwelling approval, Oran Park shows characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate Oran Park will add 14,019 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Oran Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 39 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Sydney Metro West - Western Sydney Airport to Macarthur Corridor (South West Rail Link Extension), Oran Park Health Precinct Stage 3, Atura Oran Park, and Marian's Mana Urban Village. The following list details those most relevant.

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Employment conditions in Oran Park rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Oran Park has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.8% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 5.3%. As of September 2025, 14,707 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 2.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was high at 87.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 32.7% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Oran Park has a significant employment specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have limited presence at 5.8%, compared to the regional level of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.3% while unemployment remained essentially unchanged. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oran Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, assuming constant population growth for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Oran Park suburb's median income among taxpayers was $61,100 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $74,902 during the same period. These figures are higher than Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $66,513 and average income $81,538, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data shows Oran Park's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 81st and 85th percentiles nationally. The largest income bracket comprises 42.6% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (11,692 residents). This is similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% fall into this range. Oran Park demonstrates affluence with 32.3% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 22.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 75th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oran Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Oran Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 87.2% houses and 12.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oran Park was at 8.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 55.3% and rented ones at 36.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,626, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Oran Park was $530, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Oran Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Oran Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, consisting of 54.5% couples with children, 19.7% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 11.0% and group households accounting for 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Oran Park exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 29.7% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the SA4 region average of 21.4%. This indicates a strong emphasis on higher education in the community. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 35.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.2%) and certificates (22.9%). Educational participation is notably high, with 34.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.0% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oran Park has 51 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 52 different routes, collectively facilitating 1,920 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically situated 268 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Oran Park's residential nature. Car remains the primary mode of transport at 89%, while train usage stands at 7%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, surpassing the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a significant 32.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 274 trips daily, equating to roughly 37 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Oran Park is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Oran Park shows better-than-average health results based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is very high, with approximately 57% of Oran Park's total population (~15,513 people) having it, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.7% and 5.6% of residents respectively. 80.8% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Oran Park has 6.5% of its population aged 65 and over (1,784 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes for seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Oran Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oran Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 35.4% of its population born overseas and 40.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Oran Park, comprising 54.6% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented in Oran Park compared to Greater Sydney, making up 10.2% versus 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (25.7%), Australian (18.2%), and English (15.0%). Serbian, Spanish, and Samoan ethnicities are notably overrepresented in Oran Park compared to regional averages: Serbian at 1.1% versus 0.5%, Spanish at 0.9% versus 0.6%, and Samoan at 1.3% versus 0.5%.

Oran Park hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oran Park's median age is 31 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Oran Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 at 19.3%, but fewer residents aged 55-64 at 5.5%. This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.1%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 has increased from 19.1% to 21.7%, while those aged 45 to 54 have risen from 8.9% to 10.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 20.5% to 14.0%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 12.5% to 9.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Oran Park's age profile. The 15 to 24 age cohort is expected to expand substantially, growing by 3,626 people (106%) from 3,430 to 7,057. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to grow modestly by 4% (263 people).