Spring Farm

Spring Farm lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Spring Farm's resident count stands at approximately 11,791 as of May 2026, according to analysis by AreaSearch. Compared to the 2021 Census population of 9,539 people, this represents an expansion of 2,252 people (23.6%). This adjustment is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 11,767 alongside 236 validated new addresses identified since the Census. With these numbers, the local density ratio reaches 2,012 persons per square kilometer, outstripping the typical figure across nationwide locations analyzed by AreaSearch. The local growth rate of 23.6% since the 2021 census outpaced the state (7.1%) and the broader SA3 area, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Population increases were primarily driven by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 45.2% of the total gains, though natural growth and overseas migration also contributed positively.

Projections for each SA2 area released by the ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024, using 2022 as the base year, are adopted by AreaSearch. For any SA2 locations not covered, the NSW State Government's 2022 projections, using 2021 as the base year, are applied. The age group growth rates derived from these sources are also used for all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on these projected demographic shifts, population growth is expected to exceed the median for Australian statistical areas, with a projected rise of 2,126 persons to 2041 relative to the latest annual ERP figures, representing a 17.8% total increase over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Spring Farm was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Approximately 116 residential property approvals have been registered annually in Spring Farm, amounting to 582 homes over the last 5 financial years. In the current financial year of FY-26, 26 approvals have been documented. Since an average of 5.1 new residents arrived per completed home over the 5 financial years between FY-21 and FY-25, demand is outstripping new supply, which typically drives up prices and intensifies competition among buyers, even as new dwellings are built at a mean value of $202,000—below regional averages—offering relatively affordable choices. Meanwhile, commercial approvals stand at $477,000 this financial year, reflecting minimal non-residential development.

Spring Farm exhibits 172.0% higher construction activity (per person) than Greater Sydney, giving purchasers more opportunities, despite a recent slowdown in building pace. This level is substantially higher than the national average, showing strong developer interest. Of the recent building activity, standalone homes account for 77.0% and townhouses or apartments make up 23.0%, reinforcing the suburban character with a focus on detached homes that appeal to buyers wanting space. This is a clear shift from the current housing stock (94.0% houses), showing a declining volume of developable land and reflecting changing household needs for varied and affordable options. With approximately 184 people per residential approval, Spring Farm displays the typical markers of a growth area.

Looking forward, Spring Farm is projected to add 2,102 residents by 2041 (calculated from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch). At current construction paces, the supply of new housing should easily satisfy demand, creating favorable buyer conditions and potentially enabling growth to exceed current population forecasts.

Spring Farm has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 43rdth percentile nationally

Developments in local infrastructure, major construction, and planning programs can significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch has identified 7 projects likely to affect the area. Major developments include Evergreen Spring Farm, the Springs Road/Macarthur Roundabout Upgrade, Mirvac's Elderslie Estate, and Spring Farm Riverside, with details on the most relevant initiatives provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Spring Farm performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Spring Farm is characterized by a skilled labor force, strong representation in essential services, an unemployment rate of only 1.9%, and estimated job growth of 7.4% over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents total 7,584 while the unemployment rate is 2.3% below the 4.1% recorded in Greater Sydney, and workforce participation is exceptionally high at 90.8% compared to 69.1% in Greater Sydney. Census responses show that 30.8% of residents worked from home, although this may reflect Covid-19 lockdown circumstances.

The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The local workforce is heavily concentrated in construction, with its employment share reaching 1.5 times the regional proportion. Conversely, the professional & technical sector is underrepresented, employing just 4.2% of Spring Farm's workers compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. Comparing the Census working population against the resident population indicates that this largely residential area offers relatively few local jobs.

Analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch indicates that for the year ending March 2026, employment grew by 7.4% and the labor force expanded by 7.8%, leading to a 0.4 percentage point rise in the unemployment rate. Over the same period, Greater Sydney saw employment and labor force both grow by 1.9%, alongside a minor decrease in unemployment. National employment projections from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context on future demand in Spring Farm. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce profile to estimate future growth. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary widely by sector. Applying these national industry trends to Spring Farm's local workforce structure suggests employment could grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years (note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustration and does not incorporate local population forecasts).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Spring Farm SA2 has a median taxpayer income of $71,225 and an average of $85,944, based on the latest postcode ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These figures are very high on a national scale, comparing to a median of $60,817 and an average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, updated estimates suggest figures of about $78,575 (median) and $94,813 (average) as of March 2026. According to the Census, household, family, and individual incomes in Spring Farm all rank high, falling in the 86th to 87th percentiles nationally. The largest income group comprises 46.1% of residents (5,435 people) earning in the $1,500 - 2,999 range, which is similar to the wider region where 30.9% are in this range. Financial capacity is highlighted by the 31.0% of households with weekly incomes above $3,000, which supports strong local spending. High housing costs take up 20.7% of earnings, yet strong wages keep disposable income in the 80th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income score falls in the 7th decile.

Spring Farm is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The local housing profile at the latest Census consisted of 93.7% houses and 6.3% other types of housing (such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative dwellings), compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings in the Sydney metro area. Home ownership in Spring Farm lagged the Sydney metro average, standing at 10.7%, with the remaining properties occupied by mortgage holders (63.0%) or tenants (26.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $2,500 was higher than the Sydney metro average of $2,427, while the median weekly rent of $510 exceeded the metropolitan average of $470. Nationally, Spring Farm's mortgage costs are much higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are well above the national median of $375.

Spring Farm features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households represent the vast majority of local homes at 86.7%, consisting of couples with children (48.5%), couples without children (24.1%), and single parent families (13.1%). Non-family households account for the remaining 13.3%, with single person homes at 11.9% and group households at 1.5%. The median household size of 3.0 persons is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Spring Farm aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Educational attainment presents challenges locally, as university qualification rates of 23.0% are much lower than the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This gap highlights opportunities for targeted educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 15.8%, followed by postgraduate degrees (5.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational and technical training is very common, with 42.4% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.9%) and certificates (29.5%).

Participation in study is quite high, with 31.1% of local residents enrolled in an educational program. This student population includes 12.3% in primary schools, 6.4% in secondary schools, and 3.8% in tertiary institutions.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis identifies 33 active transit stops within Spring Farm, consisting of various bus options. These stops are served by 10 routes that provide a total of 462 passenger trips each week. Transport access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 261 meters from the nearest stop. Because the area is mostly residential, most workers commute out of the suburb, with cars remaining the main travel mode at 94%. Car ownership averages 1.7 vehicles per household, which is above the regional average. A high 30.8% of residents worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related conditions.

Service frequency averages 66 trips per day across the network, which translates to roughly 14 weekly trips at each transit stop.

The level of general health in Spring Farm is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Spring Farm shows strong public health outcomes based on AreaSearch's evaluation of death rates and long-term illnesses, with low rates of common health conditions in both youth and older cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is exceptionally high, covering about 62% of the population (7,310 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical diagnoses, affecting 8.3% and 7.9% of residents, respectively, while 76.5% reported no chronic medical conditions compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The working-age population is particularly healthy with low rates of chronic illness. Residents aged 65 and over make up 7.0% of the population (823 people), which is below the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. Senior health outcomes are above average, with national standings generally matching the broader community.

In terms of cultural diversity, Spring Farm records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Spring Farm is above average in cultural diversity, with 17.1% of residents born outside Australia and 15.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The primary religious affiliation is Christianity, representing 56.0% of residents, compared to 49.2% in Greater Sydney.

Looking at parental country of birth, the top three ancestries in Spring Farm are Australian at 28.4% of the population (much higher than the regional average of 17.8%), English at 23.8%, and Other at 11.1%. Certain backgrounds show notable differences from the regional averages: Maltese ancestry is overrepresented at 1.8% of the local population (compared to 1.0% regionally), Spanish is at 0.8% (compared to 0.6%), and Croatian is at 0.9% (compared to 0.7%).

Spring Farm hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Spring Farm's median age of 31 years is younger than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, the area has a high proportion of children aged 5 - 14 (17.0%) but fewer residents aged 55 - 64 (6.5%). The cohort aged 5 - 14 is significantly larger than the national average of 12.0%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age group has expanded from 17.1% to 20.0% of the population, and the 45 to 54 cohort grew from 9.2% to 10.2%. However, the 25 to 34 age bracket fell from 23.1% to 18.4% and the 0 to 4 group decreased from 13.0% to 10.6%. Demographic projections suggest the age structure will change by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort is expected to grow by 984 people (45%) from 2,166 to 3,151, while the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 groups are projected to decrease.