Grasmere

Population growth drivers in Grasmere are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

By Nov 2025, the estimated population of the Grasmere statistical area (Lv2) was around 2,140, reflecting an increase of 35 people from the 2021 Census figure of 2,105. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,116 residents as of June 2024, following examination of ABS ERP data and address validation since the Census date. The population density was 393 persons per square kilometer by Nov 2025. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for this area. Population projections indicate a significant increase in the top quartile of national statistical areas, with the Grasmere (SA2) expected to expand by 569 persons to 2041, reflecting a 24.4% total increase over the 17 years from 2024 to 2041.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national statistical areas is forecast, with the area expected to expand by 569 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting with an increase of 24.4% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Grasmere is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Grasmere experienced around 2 dwellings receiving development approval each year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 14 homes. So far in FY-26, 3 approvals have been recorded. During this period, population has fallen while housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average value of $815,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment.

In FY-26, $509,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grasmere records markedly lower building activity, with 71.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. Activity is also lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New development consists of 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% attached dwellings, offering a mix of medium-density options across price brackets.

The estimated count of 833 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet development environment. Future projections show Grasmere adding 521 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Grasmere has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact the area. Key projects are Camden Community Nursery, West Camden Water Recycling Plant Upgrade (servicing Gledswood Hills), Spring Farm Riverside, and Camden Civic Centre Renewal. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Grasmere performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Grasmere has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. Its unemployment rate was 1.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.8%.

As of September 2025917 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 41.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors include construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance. Construction has particularly high representation, with levels at 2.2 times the regional average.

Conversely, finance & insurance shows lower representation at 2.0%, compared to the regional average of 7.3%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.8% and labour force increased by 5.2%, resulting in a unemployment rate decrease of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with an unemployment rate increase of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Grasmere's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Grasmere had a median taxpayer income of $32,336 and an average income of $39,640 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median income being $60,817 and average income $83,003. By September 2025, estimates based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $35,201 (median) and $43,152 (average). Census 2021 data shows individual incomes at the 6th percentile ($543 weekly), while household incomes are at the 44th percentile. The earnings profile in Grasmere is dominated by the $400 - $799 bracket, with 26.2% of residents (560 people). This differs from regional trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Income distribution shows polarization, with 36.2% in lower brackets (<$800/week) and 31.5% in higher brackets (>$3,000/week). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 44th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Grasmere is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Grasmere's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 70.1% houses and 29.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 92.7% houses and 7.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grasmere was at 50.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.3% and rented ones at 6.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Grasmere was $2,831, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,383. Median weekly rent in Grasmere was recorded at $116, lower than the Sydney metro figure of $480 and significantly below the national average of $375. Nationally, Grasmere's mortgage repayments were well above the Australian average of $1,863.

Grasmere has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.1% of all households, including 33.7% who are couples with children, 31.0% who are couples without children, and 5.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 28.4% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

The educational profile of Grasmere exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 21.0%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 33.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (24.0%). A total of 21.8% of the population is actively engaged in formal education, comprising 7.0% in secondary education, 6.6% in primary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

A substantial 21.8% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 7.0% in secondary education, 6.6% in primary education, and 4.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Grasmere has 13 operational public transport stops. All are bus stops. They are served by 15 different routes, offering a total of 174 weekly passenger trips.

Transport access is moderate; residents live an average of 480 meters from the nearest stop. Services run approximately 24 times daily across all routes, equating to about 13 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Grasmere is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Grasmere faces significant health challenges across various age groups. The prevalence of private health cover is notably low at approximately 43%, covering around 914 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and heart disease are the most common medical conditions in Grasmere, affecting 12.0% and 7.4% of residents respectively.

However, 55.4% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 71.6%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 43.3%, with around 926 people falling into this age bracket, compared to Greater Sydney's 12.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Grasmere generally align with the overall population's health profile.

Grasmere ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Grasmere had a cultural diversity below average, with 83.1% born in Australia, 94.0% being citizens, and 91.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 83.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 64.3%. Top ancestry groups were English (30.9%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (7.9%).

Maltese representation was notably higher at 3.3% versus regional 1.8%, Welsh at 0.9% versus 0.4%, and Serbian at 0.9% versus 0.5%.

Grasmere ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Grasmere's median age is 59, which is notably higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37, and significantly exceeds the national norm of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Grasmere has a higher proportion of residents aged 85 and over (15.9%), but fewer people aged 25-34 (5.0%). This concentration of those aged 85 and over is well above the national figure of 2.2%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 10.4% to 12.3%, while the proportion of those aged 85 and over has decreased from 17.2% to 15.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Grasmere's age structure. The number of people aged 85 and over is projected to grow by 104%, reaching 693 from the current figure of 340. This growth is largely driven by an aging population dynamic, with those aged 65 and over comprising 93% of the projected growth. Conversely, both the 25-34 age group and the 0-4 age group are projected to decrease in number.