The Oaks - Oakdale

Population growth drivers in The Oaks - Oakdale are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, The Oaks - Oakdale's population is around 10,692 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 884 people (9.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,808 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,370 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 108 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 33 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. The Oaks - Oakdale's 9.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (7.8%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 49.7% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including interstate and overseas migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 1,527 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 11.3% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within The Oaks - Oakdale when compared nationally

The Oaks - Oakdale has experienced around 57 dwellings receiving development approval each year, totalling 286 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 20 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 2.1 new residents per year gained for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), reflecting robust demand that underpins property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $341,000. Additionally, $827,000 in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

Relative to Greater Sydney, The Oaks - Oakdale records markedly lower building activity (64.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New building activity consists of 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low-density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 307 people per dwelling approval, The Oaks - Oakdale shows a developing market.

Population forecasts indicate The Oaks - Oakdale will gain 1,205 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

The Oaks - Oakdale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 10 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the West Camden Water Recycling Plant Upgrade (servicing Gledswood Hills), Arcadian Hills, Cobbitty by Mirvac, and the Western Sydney Pumped Hydro Project, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees The Oaks - Oakdale performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

The Oaks - Oakdale possesses a skilled workforce, with the construction sector a particular standout in terms of representation, an unemployment rate of just 1.7%, and 7.2% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,373 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.4% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (79.0% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 28.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area shows particularly strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 2.4 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.9% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 7.2% while the labour force increased by 7.2%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within The Oaks - Oakdale. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to The Oaks - Oakdale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, The Oaks - Oakdale SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $63,930, with the average level standing at $77,141. This is very high nationally and compares to levels of $60,817 and $83,003 across Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $69,594 (median) and $83,976 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 83rd percentile ($2,296 weekly). Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 32.8% of residents (3,506 people), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Economic strength emerges through 34.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.3% of income, while strong earnings rank residents within the 84th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

The Oaks - Oakdale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within The Oaks - Oakdale, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 97.8% houses and 2.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within The Oaks - Oakdale was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 37.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (51.4%) or rented (11.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Sydney metro average at $2,383, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $410, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, The Oaks - Oakdale's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

The Oaks - Oakdale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 85.3% of all households, comprising 47.1% couples with children, 29.0% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.7%, with lone person households at 13.0% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size of 3.1 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The Oaks - Oakdale shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (16.6%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 43.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (33.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 158 active transport stops operating within The Oaks - Oakdale, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 32 individual routes, collectively providing 380 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 390 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.4 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 28.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 54 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

The Oaks - Oakdale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across The Oaks - Oakdale, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~6,094 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 8.1 and 7.2% of residents, respectively, while 71.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 16.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,795 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The Oaks - Oakdale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

The Oaks - Oakdale was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 88.3% of its population born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 93.6% speaking English only at home. The main religion in The Oaks - Oakdale is Christianity, which makes up 68.6% of people in The Oaks - Oakdale, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in The Oaks - Oakdale are Australian, comprising 32.0% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, English, comprising 27.0% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 19.0%, and Irish, comprising 7.4% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maltese is notably overrepresented at 4.4% of The Oaks - Oakdale (vs 1.0% regionally), Croatian at 1.0% (vs 0.7%) and Italian at 5.4% (vs 3.4%).

The Oaks - Oakdale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 38-year median age in The Oaks - Oakdale is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 and equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Sydney, The Oaks - Oakdale has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (14.8%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (9.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.5% to 15.3% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 4.5% to 5.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 14.0% to 12.5% and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 11.3% to 9.9%. By 2041, The Oaks - Oakdale is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 43% (266 people), reaching 880 from 613. The aging population dynamic is clear, with those 65+ comprising 51% of projected growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 cohorts.