Camden - Ellis Lane
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Camden - Ellis Lane reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Camden - Ellis Lane's population was 13,295 as of the 2021 Census. By Nov 2025, it is estimated to be around 13,023, a decrease of 272 people (2.0%). This decline is inferred from the ABS' June 2024 estimate of 13,450 and address validation since the Census date. The population density in Nov 2025 was 497 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.6% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, Camden - Ellis Lane is expected to increase by 988 persons to 2041, a total increase of 10.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Camden - Ellis Lane, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has seen approximately 37 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years, totalling 189 homes. So far in FY26, 13 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, but development activity has remained adequate relative to population changes, which is positive for buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average construction cost value of $380,000.

In the current financial year, there have been $5.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Camden - Ellis Lane shows around 62% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 28th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This level is below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% medium to high-density housing, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points. This shows a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 86.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The estimated population density in the area is 602 people per dwelling approval, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. Looking ahead, Camden - Ellis Lane is expected to grow by 1,362 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Camden - Ellis Lane has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could affect this region. Notable ones include Spring Farm Riverside, Camden Community Nursery, Camden Lakeside Stage 3 & 4 (Elderslie), and Camden Town Centre Enhancements. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Camden - Ellis Lane rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 1.4% as of June 2025. This is lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

The area has seen employment growth of 5.3% over the past year. As of June 2025, 7,577 residents are employed. Workforce participation in Camden - Ellis Lane is similar to Greater Sydney's at 60.0%. Key industries for employment among residents include construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance.

Construction is particularly prominent with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 5.7% of Camden - Ellis Lane's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. Employment opportunities may be limited locally as indicated by Census data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 5.3%, while labour force grew by 4.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and a rise in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Camden - Ellis Lane. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Camden - Ellis Lane's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Camden - Ellis Lane had a median taxpayer income of $52,167 and an average of $63,951 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below the national average for that year, which was $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average). By September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%, median income is estimated to be approximately $58,745 and average income around $72,015. Census data shows that incomes in Camden - Ellis Lane cluster around the 66th percentile nationally. The largest earnings segment comprises 30.7% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a total of 3,998 residents falling into this category. This aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort also represents 30.9%. The area demonstrates affluence with 31.5% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 70th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Camden - Ellis Lane is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Camden - Ellis Lane, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 85.6% houses and 14.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 92.7% houses and 7.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Camden - Ellis Lane was 37.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.2% and rented dwellings at 17.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,336, below the Sydney metro average of $2,383. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, Camden - Ellis Lane's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Camden - Ellis Lane has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.1% of all households, including 38.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.9%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Camden - Ellis Lane performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 22.5%, significantly below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 15.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (28.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.7% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary education. Camden - Ellis Lane's four schools have a combined enrollment of 2,587 students, serving distinct age groups with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 1022).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Camden's public transport system comprises 101 active stops along Ellis Lane, all offering bus services. These stops are served by 98 distinct routes, facilitating a total of 1,847 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents being located an average of 230 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 263 trips per day, translating to approximately 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Camden - Ellis Lane is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Camden - Ellis Lane faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent among its population of approximately 6,667 people. The rate of private health cover is slightly lower than the average SA2 area at around 51%, compared to 55.2% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 10.0% and 7.4% of residents respectively. However, 65.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, which is lower than the 71.6% reported across Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 22.8% or approximately 2,965 people, compared to 12.9% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to the challenges they face.

Camden - Ellis Lane ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Camden-Ellis Lane has a population with 86.2% born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, accounting for 71.3%, compared to 64.3% across Greater Sydney. Top ancestry groups are English (30%), Australian (29.1%), and Irish (8.7%).

Notably, Maltese representation is higher than regional averages at 1.7%. Polish and Italian representations are also slightly higher at 0.9% and 4.5%, respectively.

Camden - Ellis Lane hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Camden-Ellis Lane is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group comprises 8.4% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 11.1% to 12.9%, and the 75-84 cohort has risen from 7.3% to 8.4%. Conversely, the 85+ cohort has decreased from 4.6% to 3.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Camden-Ellis Lane. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 53%, adding 578 people and reaching a total of 1,667 from the previous figure of 1,088. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 69% of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.