Camden - Ellis Lane

An assessment of population growth drivers in Camden - Ellis Lane reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Camden - Ellis Lane's population was 13,295 as of the 2021 Census. By May 2026, it had increased to around 13,392, a rise of 97 people (0.7%). This increase is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data and address validation since the Census date. The population density was 511 persons per square kilometer as of June 2025. Overseas migration contributed approximately 91.3% of recent population gains in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Based on these projections, the area is expected to increase by 822 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 5.9% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Camden - Ellis Lane, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has seen approximately 37 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 189 homes. As of FY26, 24 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, yet development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which is positive for buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $380,000.

In the current financial year, there have been $5.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Camden - Ellis Lane shows around 63% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 27th percentile nationally, suggesting relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This level is also below the national average, implying the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises approximately 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% medium and high-density housing, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments offering options across different price points. This indicates a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 86.0% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The estimated population density stands at 602 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Camden - Ellis Lane is projected to grow by 795 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Camden - Ellis Lane has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Spring Farm Riverside, Camden Community Nursery, Camden Lakeside Stage 3 & 4 (Elderslie), and Camden Town Centre Enhancements. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Camden - Ellis Lane rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.4%, having seen an estimated employment growth of 7.2% over the past year as of December 2025. At this time, 7,706 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.8% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 72.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 34.4% of residents work from home. Key employment industries include construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance. The area has a notable specialisation in construction, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented at 5.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 7.2% while labour force grew by 7.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Camden - Ellis Lane's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Camden - Ellis Lane SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $55,609 and an average of $67,100 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This was similar to national averages but lower than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $61,348 (median) and $74,025 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023. Census data showed that household, family, and personal incomes in Camden - Ellis Lane were around the 65th percentile nationally. The earnings profile indicated that the largest segment was 30.7% earning $1,500-$2,999 weekly (4,111 residents), which aligned with the surrounding region where this cohort also represented 30.9%. Camden - Ellis Lane exhibited considerable affluence with 31.5% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consumed 15.5% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 69th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Camden - Ellis Lane is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Camden - Ellis Lane dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.6% houses and 14.4% other dwellings. In contrast, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Camden - Ellis Lane was 37.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.2% and rented ones at 17.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,336, lower than Sydney metro's $2,427. The median weekly rent was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Camden - Ellis Lane's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Camden - Ellis Lane has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 76.1% of all households, including 38.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 23.9%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Camden - Ellis Lane performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 22.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 28.3%. Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.7% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Camden - Ellis Lane has 116 active public transport stops offering bus services. These are covered by 98 routes, serving a total of 2,070 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 230 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 94%. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 34.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 295 trips per day across all routes, equating to around 17 weekly trips per stop. A map accompanies this data, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Camden - Ellis Lane is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Camden - Ellis Lane faces substantial health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment conducted on 26th March 2023. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~6,977 people), slightly lagging behind Greater Sydney's average of 59.9%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (10.0%) and mental health issues (7.4%). 65.9% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Under-65 population health outcomes are better than average. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 22.5% (3,015 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Camden - Ellis Lane ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Camden-Ellis Lane, as per the census conducted on 28 August 2016, showed a low level of cultural diversity with 86.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 71.3%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. Among parental birth countries, the top three groups were English (30.0%), Australian (29.1%), and Irish (8.7%).

Notably, Maltese (1.7%) Polish (0.9%), and Italian (4.5%) populations were higher than regional averages of 1.0%, 0.6%, and 3.4% respectively.

Camden - Ellis Lane's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Camden - Ellis Lane is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group constitutes 8.4% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.1%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.1% to 13.1%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 7.3% to 8.4%. Conversely, the 85+ cohort has decreased from 4.6% to 3.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Camden - Ellis Lane, with the 75 to 84 group expected to grow by 42%, reaching 1,596 people from 1,123. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 76% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.