Camden - Ellis Lane

An assessment of population growth drivers in Camden - Ellis Lane reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Camden - Ellis Lane's population was 13,295 as of the 2021 Census. By Nov 2025, it is estimated to be around 13,023, a decrease of 272 people (2.0%). This change is inferred from the ABS's estimated resident population of 13,450 in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. The population density as of Nov 2025 is 497 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 988 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 10.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Camden - Ellis Lane, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has seen approximately 37 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 189 homes. As of FY-26, 15 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, yet development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which is positive for buyers. New dwellings are developed at an average construction cost value of $380,000.

This financial year has seen $5.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Camden - Ellis Lane shows around 62% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 27th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This level is below the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity comprises 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% medium and high-density housing, with an increasing mix of townhouses and apartments offering options across different price points. This marks a significant change from the current housing mix, which is currently 86.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 602 people, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Camden - Ellis Lane is expected to grow by 1,362 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Camden - Ellis Lane has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones are Spring Farm Riverside, Camden Community Nursery, Camden Lakeside Stage 3 & 4 (Elderslie), and Camden Town Centre Enhancements. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Camden - Ellis Lane rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 5.4% over the past year as of September 2025.

In this period, 7,541 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.8% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance. Construction employment is particularly high at 1.8 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical employment is lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 11.5%, at just 5.7% in Camden - Ellis Lane. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data analysis. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 5.4% while labour force grew by 5.0%, reducing unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and a slight rise in unemployment. State-level data from NSW shows employment contracted slightly at -0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts suggest growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors over five and ten-year periods. Applying these projections to Camden - Ellis Lane's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Camden - Ellis Lane SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $52,167 and an average of $63,951 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is just below the national average of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average). By September 2025, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $58,745 and average income $72,015, accounting for a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data indicates that incomes in Camden - Ellis Lane cluster around the 65th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that 30.7% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort also represents 30.9%. Notably, 31.5% of residents earn over $3,000 per week, reflecting considerable affluence that supports premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 69th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Camden - Ellis Lane is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Camden - Ellis Lane's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 85.6% houses and 14.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 92.7% houses and 7.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Camden - Ellis Lane stood at 37.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.2% and rented dwellings at 17.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,336, below Sydney metro's average of $2,383. Median weekly rent in the area was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, Camden - Ellis Lane's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Camden - Ellis Lane has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.1% of all households, including 38.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.9%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Camden - Ellis Lane performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 22.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (28.3%). Educational participation is high at 29.2%, with 10.7% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Camden-Ellis Lane operates 101 active public transport stops. These are served by 98 bus routes offering a total of 1,847 weekly passenger trips. Residents have good accessibility to these services, with an average distance of 230 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency is 263 trips per day across all routes, translating to about 18 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Camden - Ellis Lane is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Camden - Ellis Lane faces significant health challenges. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across all age groups but to a considerably higher degree among older cohorts.

Private health cover is slightly lower than average at approximately 51% of the total population (~6,667 people), compared to 55.2% in Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 10.0% and 7.4% of residents respectively. 65.9% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 71.6% in Greater Sydney. There are 22.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,965 people), higher than the 12.9% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Camden - Ellis Lane ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Camden-Ellis Lane had a cultural diversity index below average, with 86.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 71.3%, compared to 64.3% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (30%), Australian (29.1%), and Irish (8.7%).

There were notable differences in the representation of Maltese (1.7% vs regional 1.8%), Polish (0.9% vs 0.8%), and Italian (4.5% vs 4.7%) groups.

Camden - Ellis Lane's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Camden - Ellis Lane is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group constitutes 8.4% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.1% to 12.9%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has risen from 7.3% to 8.4%. Conversely, the 85+ cohort has decreased from 4.6% to 3.7%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Camden - Ellis Lane. Notably, the 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 53%, adding 578 people and reaching a total of 1,667 from its current figure of 1,088. By 2041, the combined age groups of 65+ are expected to account for 69% of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.