Camden - Ellis Lane

An assessment of population growth drivers in Camden - Ellis Lane reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Camden - Ellis Lane's population was 13,295 as of the 2021 Census. By February 2026, it had increased to approximately 13,703, a rise of 408 people (3.1%). This increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,397 in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. The population density as of February 2026 was around 523 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Camden - Ellis Lane is expected to increase by approximately 988 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of around 5.0% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Camden - Ellis Lane, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has seen approximately 37 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years, totalling 189 homes. As of FY26, 18 approvals have been recorded. The average value for new dwellings is $380,000. In this financial year, there have been $5.6 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's primarily residential nature.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Camden - Ellis Lane shows around 62% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 27th percentile nationally, suggesting relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. The national average for new building activity is higher, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Currently, 67.0% of dwellings are detached houses, with the remaining 33.0% being medium or high-density housing, including townhouses and apartments. This mix provides options across different price points, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The area has an estimated 602 people per dwelling approval, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Camden - Ellis Lane is expected to grow by 682 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Camden - Ellis Lane has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are Spring Farm Riverside, Camden Community Nursery, Camden Lakeside Stage 3 & 4 (Elderslie), and Camden Town Centre Enhancements. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Camden - Ellis Lane rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.4% in September 2025, which is 2.8% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.4%.

As of September 2025, 7,541 residents were employed, with workforce participation matching Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high proportion of residents, 34.4%, worked from home according to Census responses, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries of employment among residents are construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance. The area has a strong specialization in construction with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 5.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 5.4% while labour force grew by 5.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a slight rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industries. Applying these projections to Camden - Ellis Lane's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Camden - Ellis Lane SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $55,609 and an average of $67,100 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These figures align with national averages, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $60,536 (median) and $73,045 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Camden - Ellis Lane cluster around the 65th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows that the largest segment comprises 30.7% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a total of 4,206 residents falling into this category. This aligns with the surrounding region where this cohort also represents 30.9%. Camden - Ellis Lane demonstrates considerable affluence with 31.5% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 69th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Camden - Ellis Lane is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Camden - Ellis Lane's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 85.6% houses and 14.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Camden - Ellis Lane stood at 37.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.2% and rented ones at 17.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,336, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $420, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Camden - Ellis Lane's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Camden - Ellis Lane has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 76.1% of all households, including 38.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 23.9%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which matches the Greater Sydney average.

Camden - Ellis Lane performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 22.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 15.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 11.7% and certificates at 28.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.7% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Camden - Ellis Lane has 116 active public transport stops serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are used by 98 different routes that facilitate 2,070 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically living within 230 meters of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transportation, used by 94% of residents. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 34.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 295 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies this data, displaying the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in Camden - Ellis Lane is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Camden - Ellis Lane faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notable across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is lower than the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~7,139 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most common conditions are arthritis (10.0%) and mental health issues (7.4%). 65.9% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than the 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Under-65s have better-than-average health outcomes. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 23.2%, higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Camden - Ellis Lane ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Camden-Ellis Lane, as per the census data from June 2016, showed lower cultural diversity with 86.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 71.3% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.0%), Australian (29.1%), and Irish (8.7%), all higher than their respective regional averages of 19.0%, 17.8%, and 5.6%.

Notably, Maltese (1.7%) and Polish (0.9%) populations were overrepresented compared to the regional averages of 1.0% and 0.6% respectively, while Italians made up 4.5% of the population, slightly higher than the regional average of 3.4%.

Camden - Ellis Lane's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Camden - Ellis Lane is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age group makes up 8.7% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort represents 8.7%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.1% to 13.1%, and the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 7.3% to 8.7%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 9.8% to 8.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Camden - Ellis Lane. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 96%, reaching 1,019 people from 519. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 82% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.