Camden - Ellis Lane

An assessment of population growth drivers in Camden - Ellis Lane reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Camden - Ellis Lane's population is around 13,703 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 408 people (3.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,295 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,397 from the ABS as of June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 523 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 65.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 988 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 5.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Camden - Ellis Lane, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane has seen around 37 new homes approved each year, totalling 189 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 20 approvals have been recorded. Given population has fallen over the past period, development activity has been adequate in relative terms, a positive for buyers, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $380,000. There have also been $5.6 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Camden - Ellis Lane shows approximately 62% of the construction activity per person while it places among the 27th percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice, supporting interest in existing properties. This level is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% medium and high-density housing, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 86.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated count of 602 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Looking ahead, Camden - Ellis Lane is expected to grow by 682 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Camden - Ellis Lane has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 17 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Spring Farm Riverside, Camden Community Nursery, Camden Lakeside Stage 3 & 4 (Elderslie), and Camden Town Centre Enhancements, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Camden - Ellis Lane rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Camden - Ellis Lane possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of just 1.4%, and 7.2% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 7,706 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.8% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Based on Census responses, a high 34.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are construction, education & training, and health care & social assistance. The area has a particular employment specialization in construction, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 5.7% of Camden - Ellis Lane's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 7.2% while the labour force increased by 7.0%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Camden - Ellis Lane. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Camden - Ellis Lane's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The Camden - Ellis Lane SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $55,609 and an average of $67,100 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is in line with national averages, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,536 (median) and $73,045 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Camden - Ellis Lane cluster around the 65th percentile nationally. The earnings profile shows the largest segment comprises 30.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (4,206 residents), aligning with the surrounding region where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. Camden - Ellis Lane demonstrates considerable affluence with 31.5% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 69th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Camden - Ellis Lane is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Camden - Ellis Lane, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 85.6% houses and 14.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Camden - Ellis Lane was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 37.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (45.2%) or rented (17.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Sydney metro average at $2,336, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $420, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Camden - Ellis Lane's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Camden - Ellis Lane has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 76.1% of all households, comprising 38.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.9%, with lone person households at 22.3% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size of 2.7 people matches the Greater Sydney average.

Camden - Ellis Lane performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (22.5%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 15.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (28.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 116 active transport stops operating within Camden - Ellis Lane, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 98 individual routes, collectively providing 2,070 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 230 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 34.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 295 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 17 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Camden - Ellis Lane is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Camden - Ellis Lane, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover slightly lags that of the average SA2 area at approximately 52% of the total population (~7,139 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.0% and 7.4% of residents, respectively, while 65.9% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 23.2% of residents aged 65 and over (3,174 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Camden - Ellis Lane ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Camden - Ellis Lane was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 86.2% of its population born in Australia, 93.4% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Camden - Ellis Lane is Christianity, which makes up 71.3% of the population. This compares to 49.2% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Camden - Ellis Lane are English, comprising 30.0% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian, comprising 29.1% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, and Irish, comprising 8.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maltese is notably overrepresented at 1.7% of the population (vs 1.0% regionally), Polish at 0.9% (vs 0.6%) and Italian at 4.5% (vs 3.4%).

Camden - Ellis Lane's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 42-year median age in Camden - Ellis Lane is significantly above Greater Sydney's average of 37 and similarly considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The 75 - 84 age group shows strong representation at 8.7% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 8.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.1% to 13.1% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 7.3% to 8.7%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 9.8% to 8.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Camden - Ellis Lane. Leading the demographic shift, the 85+ group will grow by 96% (499 people), reaching 1,019 from 519. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 82% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.