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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton is $990k, with units at $695k. House values have moved 5.2% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Sales Detail
Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton has an estimated 23,717 residents, up from 18,987 at the 2021 Census — a change of 4,730 people, or 24.9%. Growth has averaged 3.9% a year over five years, faster than 93% of areas nationally. 1,550 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 70.3% of that increase. That puts 125 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the population of Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton stands at approximately 23,717 as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 4,730 individuals (24.9%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented 18,987 residents. This demographic shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 22,603 combined with 1,550 validated new addresses identified since the census. The current population translates to a density of 124 persons per square kilometer, indicating low density and capacity for future expansion. The 24.9% expansion rate since the 2021 census outpaced the state figure of 7.1% and the broader Greater Sydney region, positioning the locality as a leader in regional growth.
The main driver of this expansion was interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 70.3% of the total population increase, though positive contributions were also recorded from natural increase and overseas migration. AreaSearch applies projections developed by the ABS and Geoscience Australia for individual SA2 regions, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the baseline year. For any SA2 localities missing from this dataset, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are substituted. The age cohort growth rates derived from these sources are also projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking at future demographic patterns, a substantial population rise is anticipated within the highest quartile of statistical regions nationally. Specifically, this locality is projected to add 5,656 residents by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a 19.1% total expansion over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
1,874 new dwellings have been approved in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton over the past five years, an average of 374 a year. That places the area in the 95th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 16 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 301 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 69% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 421, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
On average, Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton has recorded approximately 374 new residential approvals annually, amounting to 1,874 residential dwellings over the last 5 financial years. During FY-26 to date, there have been 386 approvals registered. For every home constructed over the last 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), the local population increased by an average of 2.1 new residents, demonstrating robust demand that is likely to sustain property values. The average construction cost for new dwellings is $279,000, which sits below regional averages and indicates more budget-friendly construction options.
Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $18.5 million during the current financial year, showing moderate commercial investment activity. Compared with Greater Sydney, the rate of building activity in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton is relatively high, tracking at 22.0% above the regional per capita average over the 5 year period, which helps maintain choice for buyers while supporting demand for existing homes. This building rate is also significantly above the national benchmark, indicating high confidence among developers. Recent building approvals consist of 69.0% standalone houses and 31.0% medium and high-density projects. An increasing proportion of townhouses and apartments offers diverse price options, ranging from larger family residences to compact homes. This represents a clear departure from the current housing stock, which is 92.0% houses, suggesting a reduction in available greenfield land, shifting resident lifestyles, and a requirement for varied, affordable housing. With 63 people per approval, the statistics point to an area undergoing transition. Projecting forward, the population of Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton is forecast to rise by 4,542 residents up to 2041 based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. At the current pace of construction, the supply of new dwellings is expected to meet demand, maintaining favorable conditions for purchasers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current demographic forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton, worth an estimated $488 million. A further 69 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $57.3 billion. 25 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, transport & logistics and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, developments, and planning schemes have a significant impact on regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 11 projects expected to influence the locality. Notable projects include the Tahmoor Marketplace Expansion, the Tahmoor Town Centre Revitalisation, the Picton Parklands Master Plan, and the Picton Bypass, with key details provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Wollondilly Cultural Precinct
Multi-stage civic and cultural precinct in Picton delivering a new Government Services Building (Stage 2, construction commenced mid-2025 by Kane Constructions, due end 2026), refurbished Shire Hall, Performing Arts Centre (completed 2024), and future new Library, Village Green and civic forecourt (Stage 3-4, due 2030). Designed by Williams Ross Architects, the four-storey Government Services Building features basement parking, council workspaces, a customer service area and commercial lettable space. The precinct consolidates council and government services, expands cultural facilities and creates new public space in the Picton town centre.Total estimated economic benefit of $732 million over 25 years.
Tahmoor Marketplace Expansion
Planned expansion of Tahmoor Marketplace including additional specialty retail floorspace, supermarket improvements and expanded at-grade parking to support population growth in Tahmoor. The project remains in the planning phase with broader transport planning for the Tahmoor CBD progressing alongside future retail improvements.
Picton Parklands Master Plan
Council-adopted long-term master plan and plan of management for linked open space and recreation areas across Picton Parklands, including Picton Botanic Gardens, Hume Oval, Picton Sportsground, Monds Lane, Picton RSL Park and the creek corridors. Current delivery is focused on the Picton Sportsground multi-use field upgrade for soccer, cricket and Oztag, including earthworks, drainage, irrigation and lighting. Council lists this field upgrade as in progress, started January 2025 and due to finish April 2026, while the wider master plan remains staged subject to funding.
Tahmoor Town Centre Revitalisation
Wollondilly Shire Council-led revitalisation of Tahmoor's main street and town centre, encompassing new retail and commercial spaces, public domain upgrades, and improved pedestrian connections along Remembrance Driveway. The project aims to reinforce Tahmoor as a key service hub for the Wollondilly Shire as the region experiences significant population growth.
Picton Bypass
Proposed 2.1-kilometre two-lane bypass of Picton town centre, linking Thirlmere and Tahmoor with the Hume Motorway via Picton Road. The route includes three bridges, the tallest around 38 metres above water level, and a 60km/h design speed. The bypass aims to reduce traffic congestion, improve safety, and provide an emergency evacuation route during bushfire and flood events, supplementing the heritage-listed Victoria Bridge. The NSW and Australian Governments have committed over 18 million dollars for planning, with MRB Technical Services engaged to prepare a concept design and environmental assessment.Ground investigations began in late September 2025 and further onsite investigation work is underway from April 2026 over a six month period to inform design development. A concept design is expected to be available for public feedback in late 2026.
Picton High School Redevelopment
Completed $60 million complete rebuild accommodating up to 2,000 students. Features modern classrooms, specialist performance areas, creative arts spaces, hospitality kitchens, sports facilities, trade workshops, covered outdoor learning areas, library, administration spaces. Students moved into new buildings Term 2, 2021 with full completion 2022.
Tahmoor South Coal Project
Underground longwall extension of the Tahmoor Colliery into the Bargo area, approved by the Independent Planning Commission in April 2021 (SSD-8445) and modified through to May 2025. The project was approved to extract up to 33 Mt of ROM coking coal from the Bulli seam via longwall mining, extending mine life to approximately 2032. The mine has been shut since February 2025 after owner SIMEC Mining (GFG Alliance) exhausted cash reserves. Liberty Primary Metals Australia entered voluntary administration in November 2025, and the NSW Supreme Court ordered liquidation in March 2026 with McGrathNicol appointed as liquidator.238 of 328 workers were made redundant in March 2026, with 90 retained for care and maintenance. The mine is being offered for sale with expressions of interest sought by the liquidator.
Panorama Net Zero Demonstration Home
Net zero demonstration display home at Landcom's Panorama community in North Wilton, delivered with McDonald Jones Homes. Features include ~7.92kW solar PV, a 10kW battery, EV charger, electric heat pump HWS, mechanical ventilation, airtight insulation, high-performance double-glazed windows, low VOC materials, recycled/low carbon materials (concrete, benchtops, tiles, lighting, tapware), climate resilience measures and permeable pavements. Designed as an interactive public education space to showcase affordable net zero design; completion targeted for late 2025.
12,864 residents of Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton are employed, from a labour force of 13,316. Unemployment sits at 3.4%, with participation at 75.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 20,547, about 87% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton is balanced between white and blue collar occupations, with the construction sector showing particularly high representation. The unemployment rate sits at just 3.4%, and employment growth is estimated at 7.2% over the prior year. In March 2026, there were 12,864 employed residents, representing an unemployment rate 0.7% below the Greater Sydney average of 4.1%. Workforce participation is high at 75.0%, compared to 69.1% in Greater Sydney. Census responses indicated that 25.5% of the workforce worked from home, though this figure may be influenced by pandemic-related lockdowns.
The largest sectors for local employment are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. The region exhibits high specialization in construction, where employment is 1.9 times the regional average. In contrast, professional & technical services are underrepresented, accounting for 4.3% of jobs compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Comparison of the Census working population against the resident population suggests that local job opportunities within the area are relatively limited. According to AreaSearch evaluations of SALM and ABS figures, employment grew by 7.2% during the twelve months leading up to March 2026, whereas the labour force expanded by 7.8%, which pushed the unemployment rate up by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 1.9% and labour force growth of 1.9%, resulting in a slight decline in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts published in May-25 provide additional context regarding potential future demand within Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton. These forecasts span five and ten-year horizons and have been overlaid onto the local employment profile to estimate regional growth trajectories. Although national employment is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, sectoral growth varies considerably. When these industry-specific estimates are applied to the employment composition of Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton, local employment is anticipated to grow by 6.1% over five years and 12.8% over ten years (this represents a basic weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localized population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton is $1,886 a week (about $98,000 a year), with median personal income at $829 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $61,068 a year against an average of $72,506. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Based on financial year 2023 ATO postcode data compiled by AreaSearch, taxpayers in the Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton SA2 recorded a median income of $61,068 and an average income of $72,506. This exceeds the national average, though it contrasts with the Greater Sydney median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Applying Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated values for March 2026 are approximately $67,370 for median income and $79,989 for average income. Census findings place household, family, and personal incomes around the 56th percentile nationally.
The $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket contains 34.4% of the population, or 8,158 individuals, which is comparable to regional levels where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Housing costs consume 17.4% of earnings, yet disposable income remains at the 57th percentile, and the SEIFA index ranks the area in the 5th decile for income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton had 6,538 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 92% detached houses and 2% apartments. 46% are owned with a mortgage, 24% rented and 30% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $400 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,175 a month, a total housing cost higher than 75% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 21.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census data shows that the housing stock in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton consists of 91.7% separate houses and 8.2% alternative structures like semi-detached dwellings and apartments, compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings in metropolitan Sydney. Home ownership rates align closely with the Sydney metropolitan average at 29.9%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (46.2%) or rented (23.9%). The median mortgage payment of $2,175 per month is below the Sydney metropolitan average of $2,427, and the median weekly rent of $400 is lower than the metropolitan figure of $470.
On a national level, mortgage payments in the area are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents also exceed the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton counted 6,538 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 8,167 today, averaging 2.8 people each. 37% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families comprise the majority of households at 77.5%, including couples with children at 36.5%, couples without children at 27.4%, and single-parent households at 12.9%. The remaining 22.5% consist of non-family households, made up of lone-person households at 20.8% and group households at 1.7%. The median household size stands at 2.8 persons, slightly above the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.8% of adults in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton hold a university qualification, including 10.5% with a bachelor degree and 3.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.2% hold a vocational qualification. 6 schools serve the area, with 2,887 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 970 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region shows lower levels of higher education, with university graduation rates at 15.8% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This indicates a clear area for educational development. Bachelor degrees represent the most common higher qualification at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate studies at 3.4% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational qualifications are common, with 45.0% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 10.8% and certificates at 34.2%. Enrolment rates are high, with 29.3% of the population participating in formal education. Within this group, 10.8% are in primary school, 7.9% are in high school, and 3.1% are enrolled in tertiary programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton reaches 546 stops on 66 routes, timetabled for about 2,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 160 m from its nearest stop. Trains carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local public transport network contains 546 active stops, consisting of bus and rail options. These stops service 66 distinct routes, which accommodate 2,452 passenger trips each week. Transport accessibility is high, with the average distance to a stop being 157 meters. Private vehicles are the primary mode of travel for commuters, representing 94% of trips. Car ownership averages 1.8 vehicles per household, which is higher than the regional average. Additionally, 25.5% of residents worked from home according to the 2021 Census, a figure that may reflect pandemic conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 350 trips daily, which represents approximately 4 weekly trips for each individual stop.
The regional map displays the 100 closest stops to the central coordinates of the location.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.4% of residents in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton report no long-term health condition. 5.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 54.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Public health metrics from AreaSearch indicate challenges in the region, particularly regarding mortality rates and the prevalence of chronic illnesses across different age brackets. Private health insurance coverage is relatively high, held by roughly 55% of the population, which is equivalent to about 13,020 individuals. This compares to 59.9% coverage across Greater Sydney. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent issues, affecting 9.2% and 8.9% of the population respectively. Meanwhile, 66.4% of residents reported having no long-term health conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Residents of working age experience above-average rates of chronic conditions.
The area has 16.6% of its population aged 65 and over, totaling 3,944 people, which is higher than the 15.5% share in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes for older residents present some challenges, with national comparative rankings aligning with general population trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton is largely Australian-born, at 88.4% of residents, with 5.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (31.4%) and English (30.1%). 3.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics are below average, with 88.4% of the population born in Australia, 91.8% holding citizenship, and 94.6% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 58.9% of residents, which is higher than the 49.2% recorded across Greater Sydney. In terms of parent country of birth, the primary ancestries are Australian at 31.4% of the population, which is above the regional average of 17.8%, English at 30.1%, also higher than the regional average of 19.0%, and Irish at 8.0%. Specific ethnic representations show variation from regional averages, with Maltese overrepresented at 1.4% compared to 1.0% regionally, Lebanese underrepresented at 0.9% compared to 2.6% regionally, and Croatian ancestry matching the regional average of 0.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton is 36. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 27.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 36 years in Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton is similar to the Greater Sydney average of 37 and slightly below the national median of 38. The population features a higher proportion of young children aged 0 - 4 at 7.7% compared to Greater Sydney, but a lower percentage of adults aged 35 - 44 at 12.6%. Between the 2021 Census and current estimates, the 35 to 44 age cohort increased from 11.7% to 12.6%, while the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 13.3% to 11.7%. Long-term projections to 2041 indicate demographic shifts, with the 75 to 84 cohort expected to increase by 69% to reach 2,262, representing an increase of 919 people, while the 0 to 4 group is projected to grow by 3%, adding 62 children.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Picton - Tahmoor - Buxton
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 last month all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1,550 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (18,987 at the 2021 Census → 23,717 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (123031447). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.