Chart Color Schemes
This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
Find a Recent Sale
Sales Detail
Population
An assessment of population growth drivers in Bargo reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends
Bargo's population is around 6,307 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase from the 5,934 people recorded in the 2021 Census, indicating a growth of 373 people (6.3%). The ABS estimated resident population for June 2025 was 6,278, with an additional 55 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this increase. This results in a population density ratio of 93 persons per square kilometer, offering significant space per person and potential room for development. Bargo's growth rate since the census is 6.3%, which is within 0.8 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 7.1%. Natural growth contributed approximately 43.7% to overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including interstate and overseas migration being positive factors.
AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth, with the area expected to increase by 63 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 0.5% over the 16-year period.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bargo, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally
Bargo has received around 26 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 131 homes. As of FY26, there have been 7 approvals recorded. On average, 1.1 new residents per year per dwelling were constructed between FY21 and FY25. However, this figure increased to 5.2 people per dwelling over the past two financial years. New properties are constructed at an average value of $369,000.
This financial year has seen $8.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating Bargo's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bargo has significantly less development activity, 72.0% below the regional average per person. Recent construction comprises 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density character. The estimated population count is 585 people per dwelling approval.
According to AreaSearch, Bargo is expected to grow by 34 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Bargo
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Infrastructure
Bargo has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally
Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely to impact this area: Tahmoor South Coal Project, Tahmoor Marketplace Expansion, Tahmoor Town Centre Revitalisation, and Maldon to Dombarton Freight Rail Line. The following details those most relevant.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Greater Macarthur Growth Area
The Greater Macarthur Growth Area is a NSW state-led strategic planning project covering the Glenfield to Macarthur urban renewal corridor and major land release precincts at Gilead, Appin and North Appin. The plan targets up to 18,000 new homes in existing urban areas and up to 40,000 new homes in greenfield areas, plus around 40,000 local jobs over 30 years. As of late 2025, draft plans for the Appin (Part) Precinct (up to 12,900 homes by Walker Corporation) and North Appin Precinct (up to 3,000 homes by Ingham Property Group) were on public exhibition between 8 September and 6 October 2025. A dwelling cap of 2,499 homes applies across the Appin and North Appin precincts, tied to the staged delivery of wastewater, water and road infrastructure. At Glenfield, Landcom is preparing for civil works in 2026 on a precinct that will deliver more than 3,900 new homes near Glenfield Station, with site demolition and remediation already underway. The Warranmadhaa National Park, covering 962 hectares between Long Point and Appin, was gazetted in July 2025 to protect the largest koala population in the Sydney basin, with the park to grow to around 1,830 hectares as further public lands are transferred by September 2026.
Wilton Growth Area
A massive NSW Government Priority Growth Area transforming Wilton into a sustainable new town of approximately 19,000 homes. Major residential precincts including Wilton Greens and Landcom's Panorama (North Wilton) are in active construction. Key infrastructure projects are well advanced in early 2026, including the new Hume Motorway entry/exit ramps and the three-lane bridge replacing Niloc Bridge, scheduled for completion in early 2027. Educational facilities, including Wilton High School and Wilton Ridge Public School, have commenced major construction with Stage 1 opening dates set for Term 1, 2027. The Wilton Industrial Park and Town Centre precincts are progressing through the final neighborhood planning and master planning phases.
Sydney Metro Program
Australia's largest public transport program, comprising multiple metro lines across Greater Sydney. The M1 City and Southwest line is operating to Sydenham, while the Sydenham to Bankstown conversion is in final testing with weekend closures scheduled from May to July 2026 as the project moves toward trial running and a second-half 2026 opening. Sydney Metro West is a 24 kilometre underground line between Westmead and Hunter Street targeting a 2032 opening, with confirmed stations at Westmead, Parramatta, Sydney Olympic Park, North Strathfield, Burwood North, Five Dock, The Bays, Pyrmont and Hunter Street. Sydney Metro Western Sydney Airport is under construction between St Marys, the new Western Sydney International Airport and Bradfield, with the objective of opening when the airport starts passenger services.
Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy
Comprehensive NSW state planning reforms designed to increase housing density in well-located areas. The policy mandates mid-rise apartment buildings (3-6 storeys) and low-rise multi-dwelling housing (terraces, townhouses, and dual occupancies) within 800m of 171 high-frequency transport hubs and town centres. As of May 2026, the policy is fully operational following the phased rollout of dual occupancy provisions in July 2024 and mid-rise apartment provisions in early 2025. Recent updates include refined floor space ratios (FSR) and non-refusal standards to streamline local council assessments.
Mariyung Fleet (New Intercity Fleet)
The Mariyung Fleet is a 610-carriage double-deck electric train fleet (D sets) replacing the ageing V-set and Oscar fleets across the NSW intercity network. Delivered by the RailConnect NSW consortium (UGL, Hyundai Rotem, Mitsubishi Electric Australia), the trains feature wider 2x2 seating with arm rests, tray tables and cup holders, charging ports, dedicated luggage, pram and bicycle spaces, accessible toilets, dedicated wheelchair spaces, CCTV, digital information screens and Automatic Selective Door Operation. The fleet operates in 4, 6, 8 or 10-car formations. Passenger services commenced on the Central Coast & Newcastle Line on 3 December 2024, on the Blue Mountains Line on 13 October 2025, and on the South Coast Line on 14 April 2026. The South Coast Line rollout begins with seven 4 and 6-car sets, scaling to 16 trains by 2027 with 8-car sets later in 2026 and 10-car configurations in 2027. The project includes the Kangy Angy Maintenance Facility (operated by UGL on a 15-year contract) and extensive corridor upgrades including platform extensions, signalling modifications, balise installation and overhead wiring works.
Maldon to Dombarton Freight Rail Line
The Maldon to Dombarton Railway is a proposed 35-kilometre single-track freight rail link intended to connect the Main South Line at Maldon with the Moss Vale to Unanderra line at Dombarton. This corridor aims to enhance freight access to Port Kembla and bypass Sydney's passenger network congestion. While 25 kilometres of earthworks were completed in the 1980s, the project remains in the investigative stage. Recent strategic planning, including the 2026 Draft Illawarra Shoalhaven Strategic Regional Integrated Transport Plan, continues to list it as a long-term investigative initiative, though Infrastructure Australia has previously noted that costs currently outweigh the economic benefits.
Panorama - North Wilton Precinct
Panorama is Landcom's 874-hectare flagship greenfield masterplanned community in the North Wilton Growth Area, delivering up to 5,600 all-electric homes across approximately 10 stages over 25 years. Australia's first 6 Star Green Star Community, the precinct includes a future 11-hectare lakeside activity hub, two new schools (preschool, primary and high school opening 2027), seven sports fields, 52 hectares of open space, free daily bus services to Macarthur Station, and new Hume Motorway on/off ramps and bridge due in early 2027. First residents moved in during 2025 with Stages 1-4 civil works complete or underway.
Outer Sydney Metropolitan Correctional Precinct
NSW Government concept for a new correctional precinct to address metropolitan prison capacity. A previously examined option in Wollondilly (south-west Sydney) was ruled out by the government in 2018 following site investigations and community opposition. Subsequent government materials and media reporting indicate the state has continued assessing metropolitan capacity solutions and alternative precinct locations (including areas around Greater Parramatta/Camellia), but as of August 2025 no confirmed site, scope or delivery timeline has been announced. The project therefore remains an uncommitted concept under assessment rather than an approved build.
Employment
Employment conditions in Bargo demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets
Bargo has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 2.5% and estimated growth of 7.4% in the past year. As of December 2025, 3596 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.7%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%.
Workforce participation is 72.4%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Home workership is moderate at 22.7%. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction stands out with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level.
Conversely, professional & technical jobs are lower at 4.0% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparison. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 7.4%, labour force by 7.1%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. Greater Sydney's employment grew by 2.2% during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bargo's industry mix, local employment is expected to increase by 5.9% in five years and 12.5% in ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment
The Bargo SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,065 and an average of $68,800 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This was slightly above the national average, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $61,851 (median) and $75,900 (average) as of March 2026. Census data indicates household, family and personal incomes in Bargo rank modestly, between the 41st and 55th percentiles. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 31.8% of the community (2,005 individuals), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.8% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 55th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Bargo is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
The dwelling structure in Bargo, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.3% houses and 8.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bargo was at 35.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.3% and rented ones at 16.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Bargo was $415, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bargo's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Bargo features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households account for 78.3% of all households, including 37.6% couples with children, 28.8% couples without children, and 11.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.7%, with lone person households at 20.4% and group households comprising 1.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Educational outcomes in Bargo fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment
The area's university qualification rate is 12.7%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 34.5%. Educational participation is high, with 28.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.4% in primary, 9.0% in secondary, and 2.4% in tertiary education.
Educational participation is notably high, with 28.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 9.0% in secondary education, and 2.4% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Bargo has 214 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 39 individual routes, facilitating 2,054 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 157 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, with car being the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, higher than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 22.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.
Service frequency averages 293 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Bargo's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts
Bargo's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among Bargo residents is somewhat typical of the general population, but higher than the national average among older cohorts.
Private health cover stands at approximately 53% of the total population (~3,361 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 10.0% and 8.5% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 65.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 20.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,280 people), higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, ranking lower nationally than the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Bargo is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics
Bargo's population shows low cultural diversity, with 88.3% born in Australia, 92.3% being citizens, and 94.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 63.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (32.7%), English (29.0%), and Irish (7.0%).
Notably, Maltese (2.7%) and Hungarian (0.5%) populations exceed regional averages of 1.0% and 0.3%, respectively.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Bargo's population is slightly older than the national pattern
Bargo has a median age of 40, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's 38 years. The 65-74 cohort is notably over-represented in Bargo at 10.6%, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 9.3%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.0% to 7.6%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has increased from 12.8% to 14.2%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 14.6% to 13.4%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 10.3% to 9.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Bargo's age profile. The 85+ age cohort is projected to surge dramatically, expanding by 183 people (137%) from 133 to 317. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 85% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 45 to 54 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.