Leumeah - Minto Heights

Leumeah - Minto Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, the population of Leumeah - Minto Heights is around 17,261 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 532 people (3.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,729 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,155 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 729 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 53.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, lower quartile growth of national statistical areas is anticipated, with the area expected to increase by 720 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 3.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Leumeah - Minto Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Leumeah - Minto Heights has recorded around 33 residential properties granted approval each year, totalling 168 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 19 approvals have been recorded. Given an average of 1.3 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, with recent figures showing this has accelerated to 6.6 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $279,000‚—under regional levels—indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. There have also been $260,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating minimal commercial development activity.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Leumeah - Minto Heights shows substantially reduced construction (70.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. New development consists of 69.0% standalone homes and 31.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points, from family homes to more affordable compact living. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 84.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The estimated count of 634 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Future projections show Leumeah - Minto Heights adding 614 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 39 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Campbelltown Sport and Health Centre of Excellence, Leumeah Vertical Village - O'Sullivan Road, Leumeah Hotel Vertical Village, and Leumeah Hollylea Road Mixed-Use Precinct, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Leumeah - Minto Heights shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Leumeah - Minto Heights possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of 6.1%, and 6.6% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 8,769 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.9% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (68.0% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 29.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area has a particular employment specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 4.3% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 6.6% and the labour force increased by 7.1%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Leumeah - Minto Heights. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Leumeah - Minto Heights's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The Leumeah - Minto Heights SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $55,144 and an average of $62,259 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is lower than average on a national basis, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $60,030 (median) and $67,775 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Leumeah - Minto Heights, between the 32nd and 41st percentiles. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 35.2% of residents (6,075 people), aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Leumeah - Minto Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Leumeah - Minto Heights, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 84.5% houses and 15.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Leumeah - Minto Heights was higher than that of Sydney metro, at 30.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (38.0%) or rented (31.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $360, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Leumeah - Minto Heights's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are lower than the national figure of $375.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 74.3% of all households, comprising 35.3% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.3% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (19.4%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (26.3%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 157 active transport stops operating within Leumeah - Minto Heights, comprising a mix of trains and buses. These stops are serviced by 42 individual routes, collectively providing 4,192 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 146 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 84%, with 10% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 29.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 598 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Health indicators suggest below-average outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical, though higher than the national average among older cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~8,699 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.3% and 8.4% of residents, respectively, while 66.0% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (3,160 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Leumeah - Minto Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Leumeah - Minto Heights is more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 29.9% of its population born overseas and 27.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Leumeah - Minto Heights is Christianity, which makes up 55.5% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 8.5% of the population, compared to 6.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Leumeah - Minto Heights are Australian, comprising 23.9% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%, English, comprising 22.2% of the population, and Other, comprising 15.4% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Samoan is notably overrepresented at 1.9% of Leumeah - Minto Heights (vs 0.5% regionally), Lebanese at 1.8% (vs 2.6%) and Maori at 1.0% (vs 0.4%).

Leumeah - Minto Heights's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

With a median age of 37, Leumeah - Minto Heights is equal to the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and remains comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 65 - 74 age group shows strong representation at 10.0% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 12.7%. In the period since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 4.9% to 6.7% of the population. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 11.1% to 10.0% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 11.3% to 10.3%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in the age structure of Leumeah - Minto Heights. Leading the demographic shift, the 85+ group will grow by 135% (383 people), reaching 668 from 284. Meanwhile, both the 0 to 4 and 65 to 74 age groups will see reduced numbers.