Leumeah - Minto Heights
Statistical Area - sa2

Leumeah - Minto Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Leumeah-Minto Heights' population, as of August 2025, is approximately 17,177. This figure represents an increase of 448 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,729. The growth is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 17,155 in June 2024 and 91 new addresses validated after the Census date. This results in a population density of 726 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 53.2% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas covered by this data. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Age-specific growth rates from these aggregations are applied to all areas until 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth nationally. Based on the latest numbers, Leumeah-Minto Heights is expected to grow by 720 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 4.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Leumeah - Minto Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Leumeah-Minto Heights has had approximately 33 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY21-FY25168 homes were approved, with 7 more in FY26 so far. Over the past five financial years, an average of 1.3 new residents per year per dwelling was recorded. However, this figure has increased to 6.6 people per dwelling over the last two years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $310,000, which is below the regional average. Commercial approvals totalled $260,000 in FY26, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Leumeah-Minto Heights has 70.0% lower building activity per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. The area's building activity is also below the national average, reflecting its maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity comprises 69.0% detached dwellings and 31.0% medium and high-density housing, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options.

This marks a significant shift from the current housing pattern, which is predominantly houses (84.0%). The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 634 people. Population forecasts project Leumeah-Minto Heights to gain 698 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects potentially affecting the region. Notable projects include Campbelltown Sport and Health Centre of Excellence, Leumeah Vertical Village - O'Sullivan Road, Leumeah Hollylea Road Mixed-Use Precinct, and Leumeah Hotel Vertical Village. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Leumeah - Minto Heights recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.1% in June 2025, which is 1.9% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.3%. There are 8,559 residents currently employed, with workforce participation at 55.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area specializes in manufacturing, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.3% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Analysis of SALM and ABS data for a 12-month period shows employment increasing by 5.3%, alongside labour force growth of 4.9%, leading to a fall in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6%, labour force grow by 2.9%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Leumeah - Minto Heights' employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Leumeah - Minto Heights had a median taxpayer income of $50,949 and an average of $58,440 in the 2022 financial year, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was below Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 in the same period. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,374 (median) and $65,809 (average), based on a 12.61% increase since financial year 2022. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights rank modestly, between the 32nd and 41st percentiles. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 35.2% of residents (6,046 people), similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Leumeah - Minto Heights, with only 81.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 40th percentile.

Leumeah - Minto Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Leumeah-Minto Heights dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 84.5% houses and 15.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metropolitan's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Leumeah-Minto Heights was at 30.4%, with the rest being mortgaged (38.0%) or rented (31.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Leumeah-Minto Heights' mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.3% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.3% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (26.3%). Educational participation is high at 28.9%, with 10.4% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

The area has 4 schools serving a total of 1,773 students, with an ICSEA score of 990 indicating typical Australian school conditions. There are 3 primary and 1 secondary school, providing balanced educational opportunities. However, the school places per 100 residents (10.3) is below the regional average (17.3), suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Leumeah-Minto Heights has 141 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 41 individual routes that facilitate 3,590 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located just 146 meters from the nearest stop.

Services average 512 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 25 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Leumeah - Minto Heights is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Leumeah-Minto Heights faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 49% of its total population (~8399 people) have private health cover, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 9.3% of residents) and asthma (8.4%). Notably, 66.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 18.0% (3097 people), compared to the Greater Sydney average of 14.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Leumeah - Minto Heights was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Leumeah-Minto Heights has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 29.9% of its population born overseas and 27.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Leumeah-Minto Heights, comprising 55.5% of the population. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 8.5% versus 12.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (23.9%), English (22.2%), and Other (15.4%), which is lower than the regional average of 21.6%. Notably, Samoan (1.9%) and Maori (1.0%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.4% and 0.9%, respectively, while Lebanese (1.8%) is slightly underrepresented compared to the region's 1.9%.

Leumeah - Minto Heights's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Leumeah-Minto Heights has a median age of 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 65-74 is strongly represented at 10.1%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.9% to 6.3% of the population. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 11.3% to 10.2%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Leumeah-Minto Heights's age structure. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 142%, reaching 668 people from the current 276. This growth reflects an aging population trend, with those aged 65 and above comprising 51% of the projected growth. Conversely, the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.