Leumeah - Minto Heights

Leumeah - Minto Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Leumeah - Minto Heights' population is approximately 17,364 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 635 people, a 3.8% rise from the 2021 Census count of 16,729. The growth is inferred from ABS's June 2025 estimate of 17,328 and 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 734 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other areas assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, the area is expected to increase by 684 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 3.7% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Leumeah - Minto Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Leumeah - Minto Heights has seen approximately 33 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 168 homes. As of FY-26, 23 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.3 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were observed between FY-21 and FY-25, suggesting balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this figure has increased to 6.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing demand and tightening supply. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $279,000, which is below regional levels, offering more affordable housing options for buyers.

This year, there have been $260,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting minimal commercial development activity in the area compared to Greater Sydney, where construction is 69.0% higher per person. The current new construction level is also below national average, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints in Leumeah - Minto Heights. New developments consist of 69.0% standalone homes and 31.0% attached dwellings, marking a shift from the existing housing pattern of 84.0% houses. This change may indicate diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The area has an estimated 634 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet development environment. By 2041, Leumeah - Minto Heights is projected to add 648 residents, with current development rates expected to comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Future projections show Leumeah - Minto Heights adding 648 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

AreaSearch identified 38 infrastructure projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Campbelltown Sport and Health Centre of Excellence, Leumeah Vertical Village - O'Sullivan Road, Leumeah Hotel Vertical Village, and Leumeah Hollylea Road Mixed-Use Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Leumeah - Minto Heights shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.1% as of an unspecified past year. Employment growth over the previous year is estimated at 6.6%.

As of December 2025, 8,769 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 6.1%, which is 1.9% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Leumeah - Minto Heights is broadly similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. According to Census responses, 29.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Major employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area specializes in manufacturing with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services have limited presence at 4.3%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 6.6% while labour force grew by 7.1%, resulting in a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is expected to expand by 6.6%, and by 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Leumeah - Minto Heights' employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, although these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

Leumeah - Minto Heights SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $55,144 and an average of $62,259 in financial year 2023. This was lower than the national average, with Greater Sydney having a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. As of March 2026, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth suggest median incomes would be approximately $60,835 and averages at $68,684. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights ranked modestly, between the 32nd and 41st percentiles. Income analysis showed that the majority of residents, 35.2% or 6,112 people, fell into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, aligning with regional levels where this cohort represented 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe in the area, with only 81.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Leumeah - Minto Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Leumeah-Minto Heights dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.5% houses and 15.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Leumeah-Minto Heights was at 30.4%, with the rest being mortgaged (38.0%) or rented (31.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Leumeah-Minto Heights mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.3% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.3% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (26.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.4% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

A total of 157 active public transport stops operate within Leumeah - Minto Heights. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 42 individual routes servicing these stops, providing a combined total of 4,192 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 146 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its primarily residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 84%, while train accounts for 10%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high 29.7% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 598 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 26 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Leumeah - Minto Heights shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among its general population is somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low, with approximately 50% of the total population (~8,751 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (impacting 9.3% of residents) and asthma (8.4%), while 66.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.2% of residents aged 65 and over (3,155 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Leumeah - Minto Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Leumeah-Minto Heights was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 29.9% of its population born overseas and 27.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Leumeah-Minto Heights, comprising 55.5% of people. However, Islam is overrepresented, making up 8.5% compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (23.9%), English (22.2%), and Other (15.4%). Notably, Samoan (1.9%) and Maori (1.0%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Leumeah - Minto Heights's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a median age of 37 years, which is equal to Greater Sydney's figure and comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group comprises 9.9% of the population in Leumeah - Minto Heights, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. However, the 25-34 age cohort makes up only 13.0%, lower than the Greater Sydney figure. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.9% to 6.6%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 11.3% to 10.0%, and the 65 to 74 age group has dropped from 11.1% to 9.9%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Leumeah - Minto Heights' age structure. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 134%, reaching 688 people from the current 293. Meanwhile, both the 0-4 and 65-74 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.