Leumeah - Minto Heights

Leumeah - Minto Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Leumeah-Minto Heights' population, as of Nov 2025, is approximately 17,180. This represents an increase of 451 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,729. The change is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 17,155 in June 2024 and 92 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 726 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages observed across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.2% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to increase by 720 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 4.0% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Leumeah - Minto Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Leumeah-Minto Heights has recorded approximately 33 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 168 homes. As of FY26, 9 approvals have been recorded. Between FY21 and FY25, an average of 1.3 new residents per year was noted per dwelling constructed. However, this figure has increased to 6.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing demand and tightening supply. The average construction value for new properties is $310,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

In FY26, there have been $260,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting minimal commercial development activity compared to the Greater Sydney region. Leumeah-Minto Heights shows substantially reduced construction (70.0% below regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. This level is also below national averages, suggesting possible planning constraints. New developments consist of 69.0% standalone homes and 31.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments providing options across different price points. This shift marks a departure from the current housing pattern of 84.0% houses, likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. The estimated population per dwelling approval in the area is 634 people, reflecting its quiet development environment.

Future projections estimate Leumeah-Minto Heights will add 695 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include Campbelltown Sport and Health Centre of Excellence, Leumeah Vertical Village - O'Sullivan Road, Leumeah Hotel Vertical Village, and Leumeah Hollylea Road Mixed-Use Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Leumeah - Minto Heights shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Leumeah-Minto Heights has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 5.3%.

As of June 2025, 8,559 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.9% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 55.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area specializes in manufacturing with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level, while professional & technical services have limited presence at 4.3% compared to the regional 11.5%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison of working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.3%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% with a slight increase in unemployment. State-level data from Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National unemployment was 4.3% during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Leumeah-Minto Heights' employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.2% in five years and 13.0% in ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Leumeah - Minto Heights SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $50,949 and an average income of $58,440 in the financial year 2022. This was lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney having a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. As of September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $57,374 (median) and $65,809 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights rank modestly, between the 32nd and 41st percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominated with 35.2% of residents (6,047 people), similar to regional levels where this cohort also represented 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 81.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Leumeah - Minto Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Leumeah-Minto Heights dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 84.5% houses and 15.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Leumeah-Minto Heights was 30.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.0% and rented ones at 31.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, below Sydney metro's $2,100. Median weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Leumeah-Minto Heights's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.3% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.3% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.3% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.0% and certificates at 26.3%. Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Leumeah-Minto Heights has 141 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of train and bus services. There are 41 individual routes serving these stops, collectively providing 3,590 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 146 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 512 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Leumeah - Minto Heights is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Leumeah-Minto Heights faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Approximately 49% of its total population (~8,401 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 9.3% of residents) and asthma (8.4%). About 66.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.0% (3,097 people), compared to the Greater Sydney average of 14.4%. Health outcomes among seniors present challenges broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Leumeah - Minto Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Leumeah-Minto Heights had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 29.9% of its population born overseas and 27.2% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Leumeah-Minto Heights, accounting for 55.5% of the population. Islam was notably overrepresented, comprising 8.5%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 12.5%.

The top three ancestral groups were Australian (23.9%), English (22.2%), and Other (15.4%), which was lower than the regional average of 21.6%. Some ethnic groups showed significant variations: Samoan (1.9% vs regional 2.4%), Lebanese (1.8% vs 1.9%), and Maori (1.0% vs 0.9%).

Leumeah - Minto Heights's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Sydney's figure and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The age group of 65-74 is strongly represented at 10.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's percentage. However, the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 4.9% to 6.3% of the population. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 11.3% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Leumeah - Minto Heights's age structure. The 85+ group is expected to grow by 142%, reaching 668 people from the current 276. This growth will contribute significantly to the overall increase of those aged 65 and above, who are projected to comprise 51% of the population growth. Meanwhile, the 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.