Leumeah - Minto Heights

Leumeah - Minto Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Leumeah - Minto Heights' population is approximately 17,255 as of Nov 2025. This figure represents an increase of 526 people (3.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,729. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 17,155 as of June 2024 and an additional 92 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 729 persons per square kilometer, similar to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are utilised, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, the area is expected to increase by 720 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 3.6% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Leumeah - Minto Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Leumeah - Minto Heights has recorded approximately 33 residential property approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 168 homes. As of FY26, 17 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.3 new residents per year per dwelling were constructed between FY21 and FY25. However, this figure has increased to 6.6 people per dwelling over the past two years, indicating growing demand. The average construction value of new properties is $279,000, which is below regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options for buyers.

This year, there have been $260,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Leumeah - Minto Heights has 70.0% less construction per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties. The area's new developments consist of 69.0% standalone homes and 31.0% attached dwellings, marking a shift from the current 84.0% houses, possibly due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. With an estimated 634 people per dwelling approval, Leumeah - Minto Heights is projected to add 620 residents by 2041, suggesting that at current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably.

Future projections show Leumeah - Minto Heights adding 620 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 39 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Campbelltown Sport and Health Centre of Excellence, Leumeah Vertical Village - O'Sullivan Road, Leumeah Hotel Vertical Village, and Leumeah Hollylea Road Mixed-Use Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Leumeah - Minto Heights shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.3% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.1%.

There were 8,559 residents employed by September 2025, with an unemployment rate of 2.2% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in the area was lower at 66.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. According to Census responses, 29.7% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

The area had a significant specialization in manufacturing, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services had limited presence at 4.3%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.1% and labour force grew by 5.2%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, and a slight rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Leumeah - Minto Heights' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Leumeah - Minto Heights SA2 is $55,144 according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The average income is $62,259. Nationally, the median income is higher at $60,817 and the average is $83,003. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income will be approximately $60,030 and the average will be around $67,775, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. Income analysis from the 2021 Census shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights rank modestly, between the 32nd and 41st percentiles. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 35.2% of residents (6,073 people), similar to regional levels where this cohort represents 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in the area, with only 81.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 39th percentile.

Leumeah - Minto Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Leumeah - Minto Heights had 84.5% houses and 15.6% other dwellings in its dwelling structure as of the latest Census, compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Leumeah - Minto Heights stood at 30.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.0% and rented ones at 31.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in the area was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Leumeah - Minto Heights had higher mortgage repayments at $2,000 against Australia's average of $1,863, and lower rents at $360 compared to the national figure of $375.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.3% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.3% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 19.4%, considerably lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (26.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (10.4%), secondary education (8.2%), and tertiary education (3.9%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Leumeah-Minto Heights has 157 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are covered by 42 routes, serving 4,192 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 146 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 84%, while trains account for 10%. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.4 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 29.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 598 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 26 weekly trips per stop. The provided map illustrates the 100 nearest stops to the location's centerpoint.

Health outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights are marginally below the national average with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Leumeah - Minto Heights shows below-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The level of common health conditions among the general population is somewhat typical but higher than the national average in older cohorts. Approximately 50% of the total population (~8,696 people) has private health cover, compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (9.3%) and asthma (8.4%). 66.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.0% of residents aged 65 and over (3,111 people), higher than the 15.3% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Leumeah - Minto Heights was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Leumeah-Minto Heights has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 29.9% of its population born overseas and 27.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, making up 55.5% of the population. Islam is notably overrepresented, comprising 8.5%, compared to 6.8% in Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (23.9%), English (22.2%), and Other (15.4%) are the top groups, with Australian being substantially higher than the regional average of 17.8%. Samoan is overrepresented at 1.9%, compared to 0.5% regionally, while Lebanese is slightly underrepresented at 1.8% versus 2.6%, and Maori is also overrepresented at 1.0% versus 0.4%.

Leumeah - Minto Heights's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 10.1% of the population in Leumeah - Minto Heights, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Meanwhile, the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.0%, which is lower compared to Greater Sydney. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 4.9% to 6.3%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 11.3% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Leumeah - Minto Heights' age structure. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 140%, reaching 668 people from the current 277. This growth will contribute significantly to the overall population increase, with those aged 65 and above comprising 52% of the projected growth. However, the 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.