Leumeah - Minto Heights
Statistical Area - sa2

Leumeah - Minto Heights is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Leumeah - Minto Heights' population is around 17,177 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 448 people from the 2021 Census figure of 16,729. The change was inferred from ABS estimates: 17,155 in June 2024 plus 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. Population density is 726 persons per square kilometer, comparable to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.2% of population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for SA2 areas, released in 2024 with a 2022 base year. For uncovered SA2 areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations apply to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is expected to expand by 720 persons based on current trends, reflecting a total increase of 4.1%.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Leumeah - Minto Heights according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Leumeah - Minto Heights has seen approximately 33 dwellings granted development approval annually. Between financial years FY21-FY25168 homes were approved, with a further 7 approved in FY26 to date. This averages out to about 1.3 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years. However, recent data shows this has increased to 6.6 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $310,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY26, commercial approvals totaling $260,000 have been registered, reflecting minimal commercial development activity in the area compared to Greater Sydney, where building activity is 70.0% higher per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. The area's development activity is also below national averages, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints. New building activity consists of 69.0% detached dwellings and 31.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a shift from the current pattern of 84.0% houses. This change may indicate diminishing developable land availability and a response to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 634 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts project Leumeah - Minto Heights will gain 698 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 36 projects likely affecting the area. Notable ones are Campbelltown Sport and Health Centre of Excellence, Leumeah Hollylea Road Mixed-Use Precinct, Leumeah Vertical Village - O'Sullivan Road, and Leumeah Hotel Vertical Village. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Leumeah - Minto Heights recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Leumeah-Minto Heights has a skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 6.1% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.3% over the past year.

There were 8,559 residents employed by June 2025, while the unemployment rate was 1.9% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in the area was somewhat lower at 55.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Manufacturing had a particularly high employment share, at 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 4.3% versus the regional average of 11.5%. Over a 12-month period, employment increased by 5.3%, while the labour force grew by 4.9%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6% and the labour force grow by 2.9%, with an increase in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 showed NSW employment contracting by 0.41% (a loss of 19,270 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 4.3%. This compared favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%, but lagged behind national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Leumeah-Minto Heights' employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Leumeah - Minto Heights had a median taxpayer income of $50,949 and an average income of $58,440 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures are lower than the national averages of $56,994 (median) and $80,856 (average). Based on a 10.6% growth since 2022, estimated incomes as of March 2025 would be approximately $56,350 (median) and $64,635 (average). Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights rank modestly, between the 32nd and 41st percentiles. The income bracket of $1,500 - $2,999 is dominant, with 35.2% of residents (6,046 people) falling into this category, mirroring the surrounding region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in the area, with only 81.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 40th percentile.

Leumeah - Minto Heights is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Leumeah - Minto Heights dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.5% houses and 15.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's figures of 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Leumeah - Minto Heights stood at 30.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.0% and rented ones at 31.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, below Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Leumeah - Minto Heights's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.3% of all households, including 35.3% couples with children, 23.6% couples without children, and 13.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.7%, with lone person households at 23.3% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational outcomes in Leumeah - Minto Heights fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 19.4%, significantly below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.4%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 36.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (26.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.4% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 3.9% in tertiary education. Leumeah-Minto Heights has 4 schools with a combined enrollment of 1,773 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 990) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 3 primary and 1 secondary school serving distinct age groups. School places per 100 residents are 10.3, below the regional average of 17.3, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Leumeah-Minto Heights has 141 active public transport stops. These include a mix of train and bus services. There are 41 individual routes operating in the area.

Collectively, these routes provide 3,590 weekly passenger trips. Residents' accessibility to transport is rated excellent, with an average distance of 146 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 512 trips per day across all routes, which equals approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Leumeah - Minto Heights is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Leumeah-Minto Heights faces significant health challenges. Common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 49% of the total population (~8,399 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 9.3 and 8.4% of residents respectively. 66.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. As of 2016 data, 18.0% of residents are aged 65 and over (3,097 people), which is higher than the 14.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Leumeah - Minto Heights was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Leumeah-Minto Heights has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 29.9% of its population born overseas and 27.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Leumeah-Minto Heights, comprising 55.5% of the population. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 8.5% of the population versus 12.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (23.9%), English (22.2%), and Other (15.4%), which is lower than the regional average of 21.6%. Notably, Samoan (1.9%) and Lebanese (1.8%) groups are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.4% and 1.9%, respectively, while Maori representation at 1.0% is slightly higher than the regional average of 0.9%.

Leumeah - Minto Heights's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Leumeah - Minto Heights has a median age of 37, which matches Greater Sydney's figure and is comparable to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group makes up 10.1% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort accounts for 13.0%. Between 2021 and now, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 4.9% to 6.3%, whereas the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 11.3% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Leumeah - Minto Heights' age structure. The 85+ group is expected to grow by 142%, reaching 668 people from a starting point of 276. This growth will contribute significantly to the overall increase in those aged 65 and above, who are projected to comprise 51% of population growth. Conversely, both the 5 to 14 and the 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.