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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Sales Detail
Population
An assessment of population growth drivers in Ambarvale reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends
The population of Ambarvale is estimated at around 7,654 as of May 2026, reflecting an increase of 400 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 7,254. This increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 7,281 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density ratio is 2,685 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ambarvale's growth of 5.5% since the census positions it within 1.6 percentage points of the state's growth rate of 7.1%. The primary driver of population growth was overseas migration contributing approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.
Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, exceptional growth is predicted over the period, placing Ambarvale in the top 10 percent of national statistical areas. The suburb is expected to increase by 5,599 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 68.3% in total over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Ambarvale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally
Ambarvale experienced approximately 17 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 86 homes were approved, with an additional 58 approved in FY-26. The population has declined recently but housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, indicating a balanced market with good buyer choice.
New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $417,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting emphasis on quality construction. This year, there have been $467,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Sydney, where Ambarvale records markedly lower building activity at 63.0% below the regional average per person. Development activity has picked up recently but remains below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 76.0% standalone homes and 24.0% attached dwellings, maintaining Ambarvale's suburban character with a focus on family homes. The location has approximately 285 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.
According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Ambarvale is projected to add 5,226 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Ambarvale
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Infrastructure
Ambarvale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally
Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may impact this area. Notable projects include Greater Macarthur Growth Area, Ambarvale Place Masterplan & Redevelopment, Kerridge Release Area (Ambarvale South), and Spring Farm Riverside Estate. Relevant details are listed below.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Greater Macarthur Growth Area
The Greater Macarthur Growth Area is a NSW state-led strategic planning project covering the Glenfield to Macarthur urban renewal corridor and major land release precincts at Gilead, Appin and North Appin. The plan targets up to 18,000 new homes in existing urban areas and up to 40,000 new homes in greenfield areas, plus around 40,000 local jobs over 30 years. As of late 2025, draft plans for the Appin (Part) Precinct (up to 12,900 homes by Walker Corporation) and North Appin Precinct (up to 3,000 homes by Ingham Property Group) were on public exhibition between 8 September and 6 October 2025. A dwelling cap of 2,499 homes applies across the Appin and North Appin precincts, tied to the staged delivery of wastewater, water and road infrastructure. At Glenfield, Landcom is preparing for civil works in 2026 on a precinct that will deliver more than 3,900 new homes near Glenfield Station, with site demolition and remediation already underway. The Warranmadhaa National Park, covering 962 hectares between Long Point and Appin, was gazetted in July 2025 to protect the largest koala population in the Sydney basin, with the park to grow to around 1,830 hectares as further public lands are transferred by September 2026.
Australian Botanic Garden Mount Annan Master Plan
A transformation of Australia's largest botanic garden into a world-class visitor destination. The Master Plan, released in July 2025, outlines a strategic vision to restore Dharawal Country and regenerate endangered Cumberland Plain vegetation. Key features include a new visitor core designed in the shape of a coolamon, a lakes precinct, world-class biomes, a First Nations Garden, and a research and innovation cluster expanding the Australian PlantBank and National Herbarium of NSW. The project includes over 10km of new walking and cycling trails, car-free zones utilizing e-mobility, and new visitor accommodation and environmental education facilities.
Reimagining Campbelltown City Centre Master Plan
A long-term strategic blueprint transforming 570 hectares of Campbelltown into the capital of the Western Parkland City by 2041. The plan focuses on high-density mixed-use development, a 40% tree canopy target, and the revitalization of the Queen Street precinct. Key projects include the 'Blue-Green' infrastructure network along Bow Bowing Creek, a new Civic and Justice Precinct, and the Leumeah Live sports and entertainment quarter. As of early 2026, major components including the Campbelltown Billabong Parklands are operational, and the associated Planning Proposal has progressed through Gateway determination to enable revised planning controls.
Lang Walker AO Medical Research Building - Macarthur
A new three-storey medical research facility located within the Campbelltown Hospital precinct, forming part of the broader Campbelltown Health and Education Precinct. The building is home to the Ingham Institute for Applied Medical Research - Macarthur and brings together researchers, clinicians and postgraduate students working on five priority research themes for the south-western Sydney population: mental health, diabetes and obesity, paediatrics and adolescent health, Indigenous health, and addiction medicine. Designed by BVN architects targeting a 5 Star Green Star rating, the facility includes purpose-built laboratories and bridge links to the Campbelltown Hospital Outpatients Department and the adjacent Western Sydney University Macarthur Clinical School. Officially opened in November 2025, it complements the NSW Government's $632 million Stage 2 redevelopment of Campbelltown Hospital that was completed in 2024. The project was delivered through a partnership between Western Sydney University, Walker Corporation, South Western Sydney Local Health District, the Ingham Institute for Applied Medical Research and UNSW Sydney, with the Lang Walker Family Foundation contributing more than 20 million dollars in philanthropic funding.
Queen Sq Campbelltown
Approved mixed-use urban renewal precinct by ALAND on the former Brands on Sale site at the northern gateway to Campbelltown CBD. The project is planned to deliver 558 apartments across five towers, ground-floor retail and commercial space, dining uses, open parkland, pedestrian links, community facilities and basement parking. Official project material now markets Queen Sq as coming in 2026 and identifies the development as a 500 million dollar residential, retail and commercial precinct.
Appin (Part) Precinct - Future Appin Communities
A 1,378-hectare masterplanned community in the Greater Macarthur Growth Area, rezoned on 15 December 2023. The precinct is planned to deliver up to 12,900 new homes over a 20-year horizon, alongside four new schools spanning kindergarten to Year 12, three new local centres, and the proposed 400-hectare, 1.9 billion AUD Macarthur Business Park, which is expected to support over 10,000 jobs. Walker Corporation lodged a Concept Plan and Stage 1 Development Application with Wollondilly Shire Council in August 2024 covering Release Areas 1, 3 and 4 for around 9,000 homes, with Stage 1 alone proposing 613 lots over 112 hectares. The draft Precinct Structure Plan and draft Development Control Plan were exhibited concurrently with the neighbouring North Appin Precinct in late 2025, with public submissions closing in early October 2025. About 470 hectares of the site is dedicated to environmental conservation to protect koala corridors, and the project is the first private development to commit to the Wilton Greenfield Housing Code. An interim dwelling cap of 2,499 homes across the Appin (Part) and North Appin precincts has been gazetted to align housing release with infrastructure delivery, including wastewater and road upgrades. More than 2 billion AUD in state and local infrastructure has been committed alongside the masterplan.
Spring Farm Riverside Estate
Spring Farm Riverside comprises 1,100 residential lots carefully planned around the Nepean River and existing 10-hectare Springs Lake. The development includes boardwalks, parks, BBQ areas, playgrounds, 185 hectares of bike paths and walkways, picnic areas by the water's edge, and blocks ranging from 390m2 to 800m2 with premium lakeside and riverside positions.
Campbelltown City Centre Design Framework
McGregor Coxall-led transformative masterplan for Campbelltown-Macarthur CBD commissioned by Campbelltown City Council with $2.62 million in NSW Government funding. The framework envisions a vibrant, sustainable city centre with mixed-use development, enhanced public spaces, improved connectivity, and integration with surrounding communities to position Campbelltown as a major regional centre. The masterplan includes three major precincts: Campbelltown Station, Health and Education, and Civic Centre, with 3D Digital Twin capabilities for urban planning.
Employment
Employment drivers in Ambarvale are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia
Ambarvale has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, representing diverse sectors. Its unemployment rate was 9.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.7%. As of December 2025, 2,981 residents are employed, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Sydney's at 5.1%.
Workforce participation is lower, at 58.7%. About 24.6% of residents work from home. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing, with a notable concentration in manufacturing, being 1.8 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, at 4.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%.
The area offers limited local employment opportunities. In the year ending December 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, while labour force grew by 3.6%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ambarvale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch
AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Ambarvale's median income among taxpayers is $44,985. The average income in the suburb is $51,630. Both figures are below the national average. Greater Sydney has a median income of $60,817 and an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Ambarvale's median and average incomes as of March 2026 are approximately $49,627 and $56,958 respectively. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 31st percentile ($1,431 weekly) in Ambarvale, while personal income sits at the 15th percentile. In terms of income distribution, 33.3% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week. This is similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represents 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Ambarvale, with only 79.5% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 25th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Ambarvale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region
The dwelling structure in Ambarvale, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.4% houses and 13.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ambarvale was at 22.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.2% and rented ones at 44.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,802, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Weekly rent in Ambarvale was recorded at $350, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Ambarvale's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Ambarvale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households compose 79.5% of all households, including 32.8% couples with children, 21.1% couples without children, and 23.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.5%, with lone person households at 18.2% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Ambarvale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally
The area's university qualification rate is 14.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.9%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.7%) and certificates (27.5%). Educational participation is high at 33.5%, comprising primary education (12.2%), secondary education (9.9%), and tertiary education (4.0%).
Educational participation is notably high, with 33.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.2% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Ambarvale has 59 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 29 different routes that collectively facilitate 2,138 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 154 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most Ambarvale residents commute outward. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport for 86% of residents, while 8% use trains. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling in the area.
According to the 2021 Census, 24.6% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 305 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Ambarvale is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts
AreaSearch's health assessment for Ambarvale shows significant health challenges. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at 47% (approx.
3629 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. Nationally, it averages 55.7%. The most prevalent conditions are asthma (9.7%) and mental health issues (9%). 64.8% report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. Ambarvale has 14.2% seniors (approx. 1086 people), slightly below Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Senior health outcomes present some challenges but generally align with national rankings.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ambarvale was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Ambarvale's population showed high cultural diversity, with 27.7% born overseas and 24.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Ambarvale, accounting for 55.8%. Islam comprised 5.9%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 6.8%.
The top three ancestry groups were Australian (24.0%), English (21.8%), and Other (15.6%). Notably, Samoan (2.3%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.5%. Spanish (1.0%) and Filipino (3.0%) also showed higher representation than their respective regional averages of 0.6% and 2.0%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Ambarvale hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide
Ambarvale's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ambarvale has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.6%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the percentage of the population aged 75-84 has increased from 3.2% to 4.5%. Conversely, the percentage of those aged 55-64 has decreased from 12.2% to 10.6%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes in Ambarvale's population. The 45-54 age cohort is projected to grow by 96%, adding 780 residents and reaching a total of 1,592 residents.