Bradbury (NSW)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Bradbury reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, as of November 2025, Bradbury (NSW) statistical area (Lv2)'s estimated population is around 10,044. This reflects an increase of 611 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,433. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 9,587 in June 2024 and 210 additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,837 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch assessments. Bradbury's growth rate of 6.5% since the Census is within 1.1 percentage points of the state's (7.6%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Natural growth contributed approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate an increase just below the median of national statistical areas, with the area expected to grow by 715 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 4.3% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Bradbury when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Bradbury averaged approximately 47 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 238 homes. As of FY-26, 20 approvals have been recorded. On average, each new dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25 accommodated about 1.2 new residents per year.

This suggests a balanced supply and demand in the market, with stable conditions for new dwellings valued at an average of $364,000. In FY-26, commercial approvals reached $1.2 million, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bradbury records about three-quarters the building activity per person and ranks among the 71st percentile nationally.

Recent construction comprises 85% standalone homes and 15% medium to high-density housing, maintaining Bradbury's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited for buyers seeking space. The area has approximately 182 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Bradbury will grow by 431 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bradbury has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 12 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the Newbrook Shopping Village Redevelopment, Airds-Bradbury Renewal Project, Gordon Fetterplace Aquatic Centre Upgrades, and Raith Bradbury Development. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Bradbury are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Bradbury's workforce comprises skilled individuals with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate stood at 8.7% as of the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

Employment growth was estimated at 5.3% during this period. As of September 2025, 4,504 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%, higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Bradbury lagged at 54.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Dominant employment sectors among residents included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

Transport, postal & warehousing showed a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services had lower representation at 4.3% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Limited local employment opportunities were indicated by the Census working population count versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels in Bradbury increased by 5.3%, while labour force grew by 5.1%, resulting in a 0.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 showed NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compared favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 estimated a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for national employment. Applying these projections to Bradbury's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Bradbury had a median taxpayer income of $52,197 and an average income of $59,908 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This was below Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year 2023 to September 2025, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $56,822 and an average income of $65,216 in Bradbury as of that date. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes all ranked modestly in Bradbury, falling between the 34th and 38th percentiles. Income distribution showed that 34.2% of Bradbury's population (3,435 individuals) earned within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, which was consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures were severe in Bradbury, with only 79.7% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 34th percentile.

Bradbury is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Bradbury, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 88.9% houses and 11.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metropolitan area had 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bradbury was at 25.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 40.1% and rented dwellings at 34.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, below Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent figure in Bradbury was recorded at $385, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Bradbury's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Bradbury has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.8% of all households, including 33.3% couples with children, 21.7% couples without children, and 18.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.2%, with lone person households at 21.8% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational attainment in Bradbury aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 37.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (27.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 8.3% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bradbury has 69 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 28 different routes that together facilitate 810 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 141 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 115 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Bradbury is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Bradbury faces significant health challenges with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent across the board, but at a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~5,087 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 9.5 and 8.7% of residents respectively, while 65.0% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. As of June 2021, 15.8% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,586 people), which is higher than the 14.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Bradbury was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Bradbury's population showed a higher level of cultural diversity compared to most local markets, with 25.6% born overseas and 22.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Bradbury, making up 53.8% of its population. However, Islam was overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 7.9% versus 12.5%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (24.8%), English (22.9%), and Other (13.1%), which was lower than the regional average of 21.6%. Notably, Samoan, Lebanese, and Spanish ethnic groups showed higher representation in Bradbury compared to regional averages: Samoan at 1.9% versus 2.4%, Lebanese at 2.1% versus 1.9%, and Spanish at 0.7% versus 0.7%.

Bradbury hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Bradbury's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and considerably younger than Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bradbury has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (15.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (14.1%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population of residents aged 75-84 has grown from 4.9% to 5.6%. Conversely, the population of residents aged 25-34 has declined from 15.0% to 14.1%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes for Bradbury's population. The cohort aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 151%, adding 212 residents to reach a total of 353. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 65% of the population growth, highlighting trends towards demographic aging. Conversely, population declines are projected for the cohorts aged 0-4 and 25-34.