Rosemeadow

Rosemeadow has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of Rosemeadow, as estimated by AreaSearch using ABS data and new addresses validated since the 2021 Census, was around 8,828 in November 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 821 people from the previous census count of 8,007, indicating a 10.3% increase over four years. The estimated resident population (ERP) for Rosemeadow was 8,120 as of June 2024, according to ABS data analyzed by AreaSearch. This ERP estimate includes an additional 220 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density in Rosemeadow is therefore approximately 2,932 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally. Rosemeadow's growth rate of 10.3% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area averages, positioning it as a growth leader in the region.

Overseas migration contributed approximately 56% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predict exceptional growth for Rosemeadow, with projections placing it in the top 10 percent of Australian statistical areas. By 2041, the suburb is expected to expand by 7,971 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 85.1% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Rosemeadow when compared nationally

Rosemeadow has seen approximately 49 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 245 homes were approved, with another 39 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, 0.9 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This suggests supply meets or exceeds demand, offering buyers more choice while supporting potential population growth above projections. The average construction cost of new properties is $417,000, below regional norms, indicating affordable housing options. In FY-26, commercial approvals totalled $15.5 million, reflecting steady commercial investment activity.

Rosemeadow's construction rates per person are similar to Greater Sydney's, maintaining market balance. Recent periods have seen increased development activity. New developments consist of 75% detached houses and 25% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban character and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 101 people per dwelling approval, Rosemeadow exhibits growth area characteristics. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Rosemeadow will grow by 7,516 residents. If current construction levels continue, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Rosemeadow has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects that may impact this area: Greater Macarthur Growth Area, Kerridge Release Area (Ambarvale South), Gilead Stage Two, and Greater Macarthur Transit Corridor. The following list details those likely most relevant.

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Rosemeadow shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Rosemeadow has a balanced mix of white and blue collar jobs with varied industry representation. Its unemployment rate was 6.5% as of an unspecified period, with estimated employment growth of 6.0%.

As of June 2025, the unemployment rate was 6.8%, which is 2.3 percentage points higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Rosemeadow was 56.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing. Manufacturing had a particularly high share at 1.9 times the regional level, while professional & technical services showed lower representation at 3.6% versus the regional average of 11.5%.

Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment in Rosemeadow increased by 6.0%, while the labour force grew by 5.1%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate of 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with an increase in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in Sep-22, project national employment to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rosemeadow's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Rosemeadow's median taxpayer income is $50,198 and average income is $57,612 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, current estimates project Rosemeadow's median income to be approximately $56,528 and average income $64,877, factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 47th percentile ($1,708 weekly), while personal income is at the 29th percentile. Income distribution shows 39.4% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (3,478 residents). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 46th percentile.

Rosemeadow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Rosemeadow's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 84.4% houses and 15.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rosemeadow was 23.6%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.2% and rented dwellings at 34.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,933, below the Sydney metro average of $2,100. The median weekly rent was $380, matching the Sydney metro figure of $380. Nationally, Rosemeadow's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Rosemeadow features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 80.0% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 19.6% couples without children, and 19.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 18.0% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational outcomes in Rosemeadow fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Rosemeadow faces educational challenges with university qualification rates at 14.6%, significantly below Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 36.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 26.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.4% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education. Rosemeadow's five schools have a combined enrollment reaching 2,848 students. The area demonstrates typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 982) with balanced educational opportunities. The educational mix includes two primary, two secondary, and one K-12 school. Rosemeadow functions as an education hub with 32.3 school places per 100 residents – significantly above the regional average of 17.1 – attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rosemeadow has 29 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 34 different routes that together facilitate 1,046 weekly passenger trips. The transport system in Rosemeadow is considered good, with residents located an average of 209 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are approximately 149 trips per day, resulting in about 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Rosemeadow is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Rosemeadow faces significant health challenges with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent across the board, but to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~4392 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 9.6% and 9.0% of residents respectively. Sixty-six point one percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.3% across Greater Sydney. Fourteen point zero percent of residents are aged 65 and over (1235 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

Rosemeadow was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Rosemeadow's population showed higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 27.7% born overseas and 27.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Rosemeadow, accounting for 57.0%. Buddhism, however, was more prevalent here at 4.4%, exceeding Greater Sydney's average of 2.9%.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (24.3%), English (20.4%), and Other (17.0%). Some ethnic groups had notable differences: Samoan at 2.6% in Rosemeadow versus 2.4% regionally, Spanish at 1.0% versus 0.7%, and Lebanese at 1.3% versus 1.9%.

Rosemeadow hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Rosemeadow's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Rosemeadow has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (15.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.4%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75-84 has increased from 3.0% to 4.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 55-64 has decreased from 12.1% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic forecasts indicate significant changes in Rosemeadow's population. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 115%, adding 1,181 residents to reach a total of 2,206.