Ingleburn

Population growth drivers in Ingleburn are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Ingleburn's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 17,454 people. This figure represents a 4.4% increase from the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,720 people. The estimated resident population in June 2025 was 17,248, with an additional 544 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 1,236 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ingleburn's population growth rate since the census (4.4%) is within 2.7 percentage points of the state's growth rate (7.1%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 69.6% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, Ingleburn is projected to experience above median population growth nationally. By 2041, the area's population is expected to increase by 3,201 persons, reflecting a total gain of 17.2% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ingleburn according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ingleburn has averaged approximately 54 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 273 homes. In FY-26 so far, 107 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of only 0.1 person moved to the area per dwelling built annually. New supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $262,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. In FY-26, there have been $11.4 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ingleburn records markedly lower building activity, 50.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 49.0% standalone homes and 51.0% medium and high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 69.0% houses. Ingleburn reflects a low density area, with approximately 272 people per approval. Looking ahead, Ingleburn is expected to grow by 2,995 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Ingleburn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 46 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Palmer Street Mixed-Use Development, Ingleburn Town Centre Transformation Project, Caledonia Estate, and Ingleburn Precinct Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Ingleburn shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Ingleburn has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 5.6% as of December 2025, and estimated employment growth of 6.5% over the past year. It has 9,097 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 68.8%.

A high 32.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing, with particularly strong specialization in the latter at 1.8 times the regional level. Professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating above-average local employment opportunities.

Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 6.5%, while labour force grew by 7.1%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded lower growth rates of 2.2% for employment and 2.3% for labour force. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ingleburn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Ingleburn SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $50,279 and an average of $57,763 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This was lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median income being $60,817 and average income being $83,003. By March 2026, current estimates project the median taxpayer income to be approximately $55,468 and the average to be around $63,724, based on a 10.32% growth in wages since financial year 2023. Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Ingleburn rank modestly, between the 36th and 45th percentiles. The income band of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 35.0% of the community (6,108 individuals), which aligns with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 43rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Ingleburn displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Ingleburn's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.8% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ingleburn was at 28.2%, similar to Sydney metro, with the rest being mortgaged (38.6%) or rented (33.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ingleburn was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Ingleburn was $380, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Ingleburn's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Ingleburn has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.8% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households making up 2.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Ingleburn shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

In Ingleburn, 28.9% of residents aged 15 and above have university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. The most common qualification is bachelor degrees at 19.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding them. Advanced diplomas account for 10.5%, while certificates make up 20.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ingleburn has 151 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 49 individual routes, collectively facilitating 4,898 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents' homes to the nearest transport stop is 189 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward, with cars being the primary mode of transport at 75%. Train usage stands at 17%. On average, there are 1.2 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 32.7% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 699 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Ingleburn's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Ingleburn's health data shows positive outcomes overall. Mortality rates and health conditions are largely in line with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are relatively low among the general population but higher among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% of the total population (around 8,412 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.5 and 7.1% of residents respectively. About 71.6% of residents report being free from medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Health outcomes among working-age residents are typical. Ingleburn has 16.3% of residents aged 65 and over (around 2,850 people). Seniors face some health challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Ingleburn is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ingleburn has high cultural diversity, with 44.2% born overseas and 44.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion, comprising 51.1%. Islam is overrepresented at 13.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's average of 6.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.5%), Australian (17.9%), and English (16.6%). Notably, Samoan (2.2%) and Filipino (4.8%) populations exceed regional averages of 0.5% and 2.0%, respectively. Spanish representation is also higher at 0.8%.

Ingleburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ingleburn's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age group constitutes 9.8% in Ingleburn compared to Greater Sydney. The 25-34 cohort makes up 13.7%, which is lower than the Greater Sydney figure. Between 2021 and the present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 5.0%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 13.1% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Ingleburn's age structure. The 45-54 group is projected to grow by 54%, adding 1,124 people and reaching a total of 3,198 from the current figure of 2,073. Meanwhile, both the 25-34 and 15-24 age groups are expected to decrease in number.