Ingleburn

Population growth drivers in Ingleburn are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Ingleburn's population is around 17,513 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 793 people (4.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,720 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,167 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 491 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,240 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 65.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Regarding demographic trends, an above-median population growth compared to national areas is projected, with the area expected to increase by 3,315 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 16.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ingleburn according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ingleburn has averaged around 54 new dwelling approvals annually, totalling 273 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 81 approvals have been recorded. With an average of only 0.1 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $262,000—below regional norms—reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. There have also been $11.4 million in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

When measured against Greater Sydney, Ingleburn records markedly lower building activity (51.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, though construction activity has intensified recently. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 49.0% detached dwellings and 51.0% townhouses or apartments. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shows a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 69.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 272 people per dwelling approval, Ingleburn shows characteristics of a low density area.

Looking ahead, Ingleburn is expected to grow by 2,969 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Ingleburn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 46 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Palmer Street Mixed-Use Development, Ingleburn Town Centre Transformation Project, Caledonia Estate, and Shrike Place Childcare Centre, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Ingleburn remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Ingleburn has a well-educated workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 5.6%, and 6.5% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 9,097 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.4% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation is on par with Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Based on Census responses, a high 32.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area shows particularly strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.4% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The ratio of 0.7 workers for each resident, as at the Census, indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 6.5% while the labour force increased by 7.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Ingleburn. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Ingleburn's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Ingleburn SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $50,279 and an average of $57,763 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is lower than average on a national basis, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $54,734 (median) and $62,881 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Ingleburn, between the 36th and 45th percentiles. The data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 35.0% of the community (6,129 individuals), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 43rd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Ingleburn displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Ingleburn, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 68.8% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Ingleburn was in line with that of Sydney metro, at 28.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (38.6%) or rented (33.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Sydney metro average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $380, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Ingleburn's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Ingleburn has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 76.8% of all households, comprising 40.2% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 2.6% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Ingleburn shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Educational qualifications in Ingleburn trail regional benchmarks, with 28.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 19.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (20.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.8% of residents enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 151 active transport stops operating within Ingleburn, comprising a mix of train and buses. These stops are serviced by 49 individual routes, collectively providing 4,898 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 189 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 75%, with 17% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.2 per dwelling. A high 32.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 699 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Ingleburn's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Ingleburn residents. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions shows results broadly in line with national benchmarks, with the prevalence of common health conditions being low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (~8,441 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.5% and 7.1% of residents, respectively, while 71.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 16.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,896 people), which is higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, though they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Ingleburn is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ingleburn scores highly on cultural diversity, with 44.2% of its population born overseas and 44.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Ingleburn is Christianity, which makes up 51.1% of the people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 13.4% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Ingleburn are Other, comprising 24.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, Australian, comprising 17.9% of the population, and English, comprising 16.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Samoan is notably overrepresented at 2.2% of Ingleburn (vs 0.5% regionally), Filipino at 4.8% (vs 2.0%) and Spanish at 0.8% (vs 0.6%).

Ingleburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

With a median age of 37, Ingleburn is equal to the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and remains comparable to Australia's 38 years. The 65 - 74 age group shows strong representation at 9.9% compared to Greater Sydney, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 13.0%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 3.7% to 5.1% of the population, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 8.8% to 9.9%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 13.1% to 11.8%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Ingleburn's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 45 to 54 group will grow by 54% (1,125 people), reaching 3,218 from 2,092. Meanwhile, both the 25 to 34 and 15 to 24 age groups will see reduced numbers.