Ingleburn
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Ingleburn are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Ingleburn's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, stood at approximately 17,885 by November 2025. This figure indicates a rise of 1,165 individuals, representing a 7.0% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,720. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,184 in June 2024 and an additional 491 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,266 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ingleburn's growth rate of 7.0% since the 2021 census surpassed the state's growth rate of 6.7%, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.7% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, an above-median population growth is projected for the area, with an expected increase of 3,315 persons by 2041 based on the latest population numbers, representing a total gain of 14.5% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ingleburn according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ingleburn has averaged approximately 54 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 273 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 50 approvals have been recorded. The average population growth per year for each dwelling built in Ingleburn between FY-21 and FY-25 has been around 0.1 people. This pace of new supply meets or exceeds demand, providing ample buyer choice and room for future population growth beyond current projections.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $262,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options. In FY-26, there have been $11.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Ingleburn has markedly lower building activity, at 51.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, although construction activity has recently intensified. Nationally, this level is also below average, suggesting possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 49.0% detached dwellings and 51.0% townhouses or apartments, a shift from the current housing mix of 69.0% houses. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

With around 272 people per dwelling approval, Ingleburn indicates a developing market. By 2041, Ingleburn is projected to grow by approximately 2,597 residents. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Ingleburn has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 46 projects potentially impacting the area. Notable ones include Palmer Street Mixed-Use Development, Caledonia Estate, Ingleburn Town Centre Transformation Project, and Ingleburn Precinct Plan. Below is a list detailing those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Ingleburn remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Ingleburn's workforce is well-educated with diverse sector representation. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate was 5.5%.

Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 4.8%. Ingleburn had 8,901 residents in work while its unemployment rate was 1.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was lower at 57.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

Ingleburn shows strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical has lower representation at 6.4% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The ratio of 0.7 workers per resident indicates above-normal local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 4.8%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ingleburn's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Ingleburn's median taxpayer income is $46,867 and average income is $55,016 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney having a median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, estimated median income in Ingleburn would be approximately $52,777 and average income $61,954, accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly in Ingleburn, between the 37th to 46th percentiles. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 35.0% of the community (6,259 individuals), similar to regional trends at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 44th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Ingleburn displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ingleburn's dwellings, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 68.8% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ingleburn stood at 28.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.6% and rented ones at 33.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, below Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent in Ingleburn was $380, matching Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, Ingleburn's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Ingleburn has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 76.8% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 2.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which matches the Greater Sydney average.

Ingleburn shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Ingleburn's educational qualifications trail regional benchmarks, with 28.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This gap indicates potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 19.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 30.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (20.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education. Ingleburn has 5 schools with a combined enrollment of 2,050 students, demonstrating typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 991) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 3 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups. School places per 100 residents (11.5) fall below the regional average (17.3), suggesting some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ingleburn has 127 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 49 unique routes, collectively facilitating 4,325 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated excellent, with residents on average being located 191 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 617 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ingleburn's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Ingleburn's health data shows a relatively positive picture with low prevalence of common conditions among its general population, although this rate is higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Only approximately 48% (~8,513 people) have private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.5% and 7.1% of residents respectively. Conversely, 71.6% of residents report being free from medical ailments, compared to 70.3% in Greater Sydney. Ingleburn has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.9% (2,838 people), compared to the 14.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those for the broader population.

Ingleburn is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ingleburn has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.2% of its population born overseas and 44.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ingleburn, comprising 51.1% of the population. Islam is notably overrepresented in Ingleburn compared to Greater Sydney, making up 13.4% of the population versus 12.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.5%), Australian (17.9%), and English (16.6%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Filipino is overrepresented at 4.8%, Samoan at 2.2%, and Spanish at 0.8% compared to regional percentages of 3.3%, 2.4%, and 0.7% respectively.

Ingleburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ingleburn's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and remaining close to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 11.9% of Ingleburn's population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 4.8% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 13.1% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ingleburn's age structure. The 45-54 group is expected to grow by 51%, adding 1,082 people and reaching a total of 3,218 from the current 2,135. Meanwhile, both the 15-24 and 25-34 age groups are projected to decrease in number.