Ingleburn

Population growth drivers in Ingleburn are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

According to the analysis conducted by AreaSearch, the resident count in Ingleburn stands at approximately 17,454 in May 2026. This represents an expansion of 734 people (4.4%) from the 16,720 people recorded during the 2021 Census. This adjustment is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 17,248 combined with 544 validated new addresses registered after the Census. Consequently, the local density reaches 1,236 persons per square kilometer, a figure that surpasses the typical density of national locations evaluated by AreaSearch. The area's 4.4% growth rate post-census trailing the state level (7.1%) by 2.7 percentage points shows it remains competitive. The primary driver of this population growth was overseas migration, which accounted for roughly 69.6% of the total demographic gains in recent times.

Projections sourced from the ABS and Geoscience Australia published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year are applied to each SA2 region. In instances where these are unavailable, AreaSearch relies on SA2 projections released by the NSW State Government in 2022 utilizing a 2021 baseline. Age structure growth patterns from these data sources are mapped to all regions for the span between 2032 and 2041. Future demographic movements point to an above median population growth compared to national locations, with the district predicted to add 3,201 persons by 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, translating to a total growth of 17.2% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ingleburn recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Dwelling approvals in Ingleburn have averaged roughly 54 annually, accumulating to 273 homes over the last 5 financial years. Thus far in FY-26, there have been 121 approvals registered. Because only 0.8 people on average moved to the locality for each constructed dwelling over the past 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25), the volume of new housing is matching or exceeding demand, giving buyers plenty of options and creating space for population growth beyond current projections. Meanwhile, newly built properties carry an average construction value of $262,000, which is below regional benchmarks and provides more budget-friendly alternatives for buyers. Furthermore, commercial approvals have reached $11.4 million this financial year, showing moderate commercial investment.

Relative to Greater Sydney, building activity in Ingleburn is significantly subdued, tracking at 50.0% below regional average per person. This constrained addition of new dwellings typically helps maintain demand and supports the valuation of established housing. This construction rate also falls below the national average, indicating a mature suburb and pointing to possible constraints in local planning. Recent building work consists of 49.0% standalone houses and 51.0% medium and high-density projects. Emphasizing higher-density homes offers more affordable buying opportunities and accommodates downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a clear departure from the historical housing composition of the suburb (which currently stands at 69.0% houses), signaling a decline in available development sites and reflecting changing lifestyle preferences and the demand for more varied, economical housing. With approximately 273 people per approval, Ingleburn behaves like a low density area.

Projecting forward, the population of Ingleburn is anticipated to expand by 2,995 residents by 2041, starting from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Real estate development is progressing at a reasonable rate relative to this anticipated growth, though purchasers may experience heightened competition as the local population increases.

Ingleburn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Local performance is heavily shaped by developments in regional infrastructure, major construction projects, and zoning policies. AreaSearch has identified a total of 46 projects expected to influence the local area. Prominent works include the Palmer Street Mixed-Use Development, the Ingleburn Town Centre Transformation Project, Caledonia Estate, and the Ingleburn Precinct Plan, with the following list detailing those of greatest significance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Ingleburn shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Ingleburn is characterized by a well-educated labor force employed across multiple industries, an unemployment rate of 5.8%, and an estimated job growth rate of 6.9% over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents total 9,255, while the jobless rate sits 1.6% above the 4.1% rate seen in Greater Sydney. Participation in the labor force aligns closely with the Greater Sydney average of 69.1%. Census records indicate that a notable 32.7% of working residents performed their jobs from home, though this figure should be interpreted alongside Covid-19 lockdown restrictions.

The local workforce is heavily represented in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The transport, postal & warehousing sector is particularly prominent, showing a concentration that is 1.8 times the regional standard. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, accounting for 6.4% compared to the regional figure of 11.5%. A ratio of 0.7 jobs per resident at the time of the Census indicates a higher-than-average availability of local work opportunities.

Analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that during the 12 months ending March 2026, employment grew by 6.9% and the labor force expanded by 7.8%, which resulted in an increase in the unemployment rate of 0.8 percentage points. For comparison, Greater Sydney recorded a 1.9% rise in employment and a 1.9% rise in the labor force, with a minor decrease in unemployment. Future local employment demand can be evaluated using national job forecasts from May-25 published by Jobs and Skills Australia. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential expansion. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though rates vary by sector. Applying these sectoral models to the local industry mix suggests Ingleburn's job count should grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (note this is a simple weighted calculation for demonstration purposes and does not incorporate localized population shifts).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to postcode-level ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, the median income of taxpayers in the Ingleburn SA2 is $50,279, with an average of $57,763. This is below the national average and contrasts with the Greater Sydney median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated figures for March 2026 would be roughly $55,468 for the median and $63,724 for the average. Census data places household, family, and individual incomes in Ingleburn in modest brackets, sitting between the 36th and 45th percentiles. The $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income bracket contains 35.0% of the population (6,108 individuals), which matches regional trends where 30.9% fall into this category. Housing cost pressures are pronounced, with residents retaining only 81.8% of their income, ranking in the 43rd percentile, while the SEIFA index for income places the area in the 4th decile.

Ingleburn displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

According to the latest Census, the housing stock in Ingleburn consisted of 68.8% detached houses and 31.1% other dwellings (including semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative structures), compared to the Sydney metro profile of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ingleburn matched the Sydney metro rate of 28.2%, with the remaining properties being mortgaged (38.6%) or rented (33.2%). The median monthly mortgage payment of residents was $2,000, which is considerably lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,427, while the weekly rent median was $380, compared to $470 in the broader metro region. Nationally, mortgage costs in Ingleburn exceed the Australian median of $1,863, and rents are higher than the national figure of $375.

Ingleburn has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Families make up the majority of households at 76.8%, consisting of couples with children at 40.2%, couples without children at 20.9%, and single parent households at 14.5%. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, consisting of single-person households at 20.6% and group living situations at 2.6%. The median household occupancy of 2.9 individuals exceeds the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Ingleburn shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The proportion of residents with tertiary qualifications in Ingleburn is lower than the regional baseline, with 28.9% of inhabitants aged 15+ holding a university degree, compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney. This difference points to opportunities for future educational growth and training. Among university graduates, bachelor degrees are most common at 19.1%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 8.2% and graduate diplomas at 1.6%. Vocational and technical qualifications are well represented, with 30.7% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications such as advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (20.2%).

Enrolment in education is quite strong, with 30.8% of the local population actively participating in academic studies. This group includes 10.6% attending primary schools, 7.9% in secondary schools, and 5.5% undertaking tertiary programs.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport networks include 151 active transit stops in Ingleburn, comprising both rail and bus services. These stops are utilized by 49 separate routes, delivering a combined total of 4,898 passenger departures each week. Access to transport is categorized as excellent, with residents living an average of 189 meters from their nearest stop. Being primarily residential, most workers commute out of the suburb, with private vehicles remaining the primary choice at 75% and train travel at 17%. Household car ownership averages 1.2 per home. A high proportion of residents, 32.7%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may be linked to pandemic conditions.

Service frequency averages 699 departures daily across all transit routes, which represents roughly 32 weekly runs for each individual stop. The associated map indicates the 100 closest stops relative to the central point of the location.

Ingleburn's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health profiles for the residents of Ingleburn are generally positive, with AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality indices and chronic conditions showing outcomes that align closely with national averages. Chronic illnesses are relatively rare among the general population, though they are more frequent within older, vulnerable age groups. The rate of private health insurance coverage is low, standing at roughly 48% of the total population (~8,412 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent health issues recorded in the region were arthritis and asthma, which affect 7.5 and 7.1% of the population, respectively. Meanwhile, 71.6% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Health status among working-age locals is typical for the country. The area is home to 2,850 people aged 65 and over, representing 16.3% of the community. Senior health presents some difficulties, though it ranks more favorably on a national scale than the overall population.

Ingleburn is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ingleburn displays a high degree of multiculturalism, with 44.2% of its residents born outside of Australia and 44.7% communicating in a language other than English when at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 51.1% of local residents. The most pronounced religious variation is the Islamic community, which accounts for 13.4% of the population, a share that is significantly larger than the Greater Sydney average of 6.8%.

Regarding parental birthplaces, the largest ancestry groups in Ingleburn are Other at 24.5% of the population (exceeding the regional benchmark of 16.0%), Australian at 17.9%, and English at 16.6%. Furthermore, there are distinct variations in smaller ancestral cohorts, with Samoan background representing 2.2% of the local population (compared to 0.5% regionally), Filipino at 4.8% (compared to 2.0%), and Spanish at 0.8% (compared to 0.6%).

Ingleburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median resident age in Ingleburn is 37, matching the Greater Sydney median of 37 and sitting close to the national median of 38. The 65 - 74 age bracket is highly represented at 9.8% relative to the metropolitan region, while the 25 - 34 bracket is less common at 13.7%. Since 2021, the cohort aged 75 to 84 has expanded from 3.7% to 5.0% of the population. In contrast, the group aged 55 to 64 has shrunk from 13.1% to 11.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic models project notable changes in the age profile. Leading the changes, the 45 to 54 demographic will increase by 54% (1,124 people), rising from 2,073 to 3,198. Conversely, the cohorts aged 25 to 34 and 15 to 24 are set to decline.