Ingleburn

Ingleburn has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Ingleburn's population is approximately 17,885 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,165 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,720. The growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 17,184 in June 2024 and validated new addresses totaling 491 since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,266 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Ingleburn's growth rate of 7.0% since the 2021 census is higher than the state average of 6.7%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.7% of overall population gains during recent periods in Ingleburn.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, Ingleburn is projected to experience above median population growth nationally, increasing by 3,315 persons to reach a total of approximately 21,195 by 2041. This reflects an overall gain of 14.5% over the 17-year period from 2025 to 2041.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ingleburn according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ingleburn has averaged approximately 54 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 273 homes. As of FY-26, 50 approvals have been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of only 0.1 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built, indicating that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand. This offers ample buyer choice and creates capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $382,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY-26, there have been $11.4 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. When measured against Greater Sydney, Ingleburn records markedly lower building activity, with 51.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, though construction activity has intensified recently. Recent construction comprises 49.0% detached dwellings and 51.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 69.0% houses. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 272 people per dwelling approval, Ingleburn shows a developing market.

Looking ahead, Ingleburn is expected to grow by 2,597 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Ingleburn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 46 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Palmer Street Mixed-Use Development, Ingleburn Town Centre Transformation Project, Caledonia Estate, and Ingleburn Precinct Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Ingleburn remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Ingleburn's workforce is well-educated with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 5.5% as of a certain period, with an estimated employment growth of 4.8% in the past year.

As of June 2025, 8,901 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was somewhat lower at 57.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing. The area shows strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The ratio of workers to residents indicates a higher level of local employment opportunities than usual. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 4.8%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, keeping unemployment broadly stable. In comparison, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising slightly. State-level data from Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years for Ingleburn, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The Ingleburn SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $46,867 and an average of $55,016 in the financial year 2022. This was lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median being $56,994 and average being $80,856. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $52,777 and an average of $61,954, accounting for Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. Ingleburn's incomes rank modestly, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 36th and 45th percentiles. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band includes 35.0% of the community (6,259 individuals), similar to regional levels at 30.9%. Housing affordability is severe, with only 81.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 43rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Ingleburn displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ingleburn's dwellings, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 68.8% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ingleburn stood at 28.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.6% and rented ones at 33.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Weekly rent in Ingleburn was recorded at $380, matching Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, Ingleburn's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents surpassed the national figure of $375.

Ingleburn has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 76.8% of all households, consisting of 40.2% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which matches the Greater Sydney average.

Ingleburn shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Ingleburn's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's regional benchmarks. As of 2021, 28.9% of Ingleburn residents aged 15 and over held university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. The most common qualification was bachelor degrees at 19.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials were also prominent, with 30.7% of residents aged 15 and over holding them – advanced diplomas accounted for 10.5% and certificates for 20.2%.

Educational participation was notably high in Ingleburn, with 30.8% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2021. This included 10.6% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ingleburn has 127 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 49 different routes that facilitate 4,325 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 191 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 617 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ingleburn's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Ingleburn residents show relatively positive health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions among the general population, but higher than national averages among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is very low, at approximately 48% (around 8,513 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.5% and 7.1% of residents respectively. About 71.6% claim no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 70.3%. Ingleburn has a larger senior population, with 15.9% aged 65 and over (2,838 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 14.4%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Ingleburn is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ingleburn has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.2% of its population born overseas and 44.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Ingleburn is Christianity, accounting for 51.1% of the population. Islam is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 13.4% of Ingleburn's population versus 12.5%.

The top three ancestry groups based on country of birth of parents are Other (24.5%), Australian (17.9%), and English (16.6%). There are significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups, with Samoan at 2.2% compared to 2.4% regionally, Filipino at 4.8% versus 3.3%, and Spanish at 0.8% against 0.7%.

Ingleburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ingleburn's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 11.9% of Ingleburn's population, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up 13.5%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 4.8%. During this period, the 55 to 64 cohort decreased from 13.1% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Ingleburn's age structure. Notably, the 45 to 54 group is expected to grow by 51%, reaching 3,218 people from its current total of 2,135. Meanwhile, both the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 age groups are projected to decrease in number.