Ingleburn

Ingleburn has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Ingleburn's population was approximately 17,885 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 1,165 people, a 7.0% rise from the 2021 Census count of 16,720 residents. The growth is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 17,184 in June 2024 and validated new addresses totalling 491 since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,266 persons per square kilometer, exceeding national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Ingleburn's growth rate surpassed the state average of 6.7%, indicating it as a region leader. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 65.7% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 using a 2021 base year are employed. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected until 2041, with the area expected to gain 3,315 persons, reflecting a total increase of 14.5% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ingleburn according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ingleburn has averaged approximately 54 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 273 homes. As of FY26, 62 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 0.1 person per year moves to the area for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of these dwellings is $262,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms.

In the current financial year, there have been $11.4 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. However, when measured against Greater Sydney, Ingleburn records markedly lower building activity, with 51.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, though construction activity has intensified recently. Recent construction comprises 49.0% detached dwellings and 51.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a shift from the current housing mix of 69.0% houses. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points and suits downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. With around 272 people per dwelling approval, Ingleburn shows a developing market. Looking ahead, Ingleburn is expected to grow by approximately 2,597 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate.

Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Ingleburn has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 46 projects that could impact the region. Notable projects include Palmer Street Mixed-Use Development, Ingleburn Town Centre Transformation Project, Caledonia Estate, and Ingleburn Precinct Plan. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Ingleburn shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Ingleburn's workforce is well-educated with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate in September 2025 was 5.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.9%. As of that date, 8,890 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.6% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Ingleburn was 57.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.4% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating a higher level of local employment opportunities than usual. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.9%, while labour force grew by 5.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points during this period. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ingleburn's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Ingleburn SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $46,867 and an average of $55,016 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was lower than national averages, with Greater Sydney's median being $56,994 and average income at $80,856. By September 2025, estimated incomes in Ingleburn would be approximately $52,777 (median) and $61,954 (average), based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes all rank modestly in Ingleburn, between the 36th and 45th percentiles. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 35.0% of the community (6,259 individuals), similar to regional trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 43rd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Ingleburn displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ingleburn's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.8% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ingleburn stood at 28.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.6% and rented ones at 33.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent in Ingleburn was $380, matching Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, Ingleburn's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Ingleburn has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 76.8% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 2.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Ingleburn shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

In Ingleburn, 28.9% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. This indicates a gap that suggests potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 19.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.2% and graduate diplomas at 1.6%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 20.2%.

Educational participation is notably high in Ingleburn, with 30.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ingleburn has 127 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 49 individual routes that collectively facilitate 4,325 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 191 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 617 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ingleburn's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Ingleburn's health data shows a relatively positive picture with low prevalence rates for common health conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, certain cohorts such as older and at-risk residents have higher prevalence rates.

The area has approximately 8,513 people, with only about 48% having private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (7.5%) and asthma (7.1%), while around 71.6% of residents claim to be free from any medical ailments compared to Greater Sydney's 70.3%. Ingleburn has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 15.9% or about 2,838 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 14.4%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Ingleburn is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ingleburn has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.2% of its population born overseas and 44.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ingleburn, comprising 51.1% of the population. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, making up 13.4% of Ingleburn's population versus 12.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.5%), Australian (17.9%), and English (16.6%). Notably, Samoan, Filipino, and Spanish ethnic groups have higher representation in Ingleburn compared to regional averages: Samoan at 2.2% versus 2.4%, Filipino at 4.8% versus 3.3%, and Spanish at 0.8% versus 0.7%.

Ingleburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ingleburn's median age is 37, matching Greater Sydney's figure of 37, and it remains comparable to Australia's median age of 38. The 55-64 age group constitutes 11.9% of Ingleburn's population compared to Greater Sydney's percentage. The 25-34 cohort makes up 13.5% of the population in Ingleburn. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 4.8%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 13.1% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ingleburn's age structure. Notably, the 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 51%, adding 1,082 people and reaching a total of 3,218 from its current figure of 2,135. Meanwhile, both the 15-24 and 25-34 age groups are expected to decrease in number.