Ingleburn
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Ingleburn are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Ingleburn's population is approximately 17,851 as of August 2025. This reflects a growth of 1,131 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,720. The increase is inferred from ABS estimates: 17,185 in June 2024 and an additional 479 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,264 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ingleburn's growth rate of 6.8% since the 2021 census exceeds the state's growth rate of 6.4%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.7% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, demographic trends project an above median population growth for the area, with an expected increase of 3,315 persons, resulting in a total gain of 14.7% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ingleburn according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ingleburn has averaged approximately 37 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, with 188 dwellings approved over the past five financial years, from FY20 to FY25 inclusive, and 26 approvals so far in FY26. On average, only 0.1 people have moved to the area per dwelling built annually over the past five financial years. New supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $382,000, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers compared to regional norms. There have been $11.4 million in commercial approvals this financial year, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. When measured against Greater Sydney, Ingleburn records notably lower building activity, at 54.0% below the regional average per person, suggesting possible planning constraints and supporting stronger demand and values for established properties. Recent construction comprises 49.0% detached dwellings and 51.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing mix of 69.0% houses. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points, suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Ingleburn shows a developing market with around 272 people per dwelling approval. Looking ahead, Ingleburn is expected to grow by 2,631 residents through to 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Ingleburn has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 42 projects potentially affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Palmer Street Mixed-Use Development, Caledonia Estate, Ingleburn Town Centre Transformation Project, and Shrike Place Childcare Centre. Relevant projects are listed below for further detail.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Ingleburn remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Ingleburn's workforce is highly educated with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 5.5% as of June 2021.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.8%. As of June 2025, 8,901 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 6.3%, 1.4% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.9%. Workforce participation is lower at 57.0% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing sectors.

Transport, postal & warehousing shows strong specialization with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 6.4% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating higher local employment opportunities. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 4.8%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, keeping unemployment broadly flat at 6.3%. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and a slight increase in unemployment to 5.2%. State-level data to Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41%, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, slightly better than the national rate of 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but sector-specific projections vary. Applying these projections to Ingleburn's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Ingleburn had a median taxpayer income of $46,867 and an average of $55,016 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was lower than national averages, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By March 2025, estimates suggest the median would be approximately $51,835 and the average $60,848, based on a 10.6% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Ingleburn rank modestly, between the 37th and 46th percentiles. The income band of $1,500 - $2,999 captures 35.0% of the community (6,247 individuals), which is consistent with broader regional trends showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 44th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Ingleburn displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ingleburn's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.8% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ingleburn was higher at 28.2%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (38.6%) or rented (33.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, lower than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent in Ingleburn was recorded at $380, matching Sydney metro's figure but higher than the national average of $375. Nationally, Ingleburn's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 compared to Australia's average of $1,863.

Ingleburn has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 76.8% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 20.9% couples without children, and 14.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 2.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Ingleburn shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

Ingleburn's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's benchmarks. 28.9% of Ingleburn residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (19.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 30.7% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 20.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.8% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (10.6%), secondary (7.9%), tertiary (5.5%). Ingleburn has 5 schools with a combined enrollment of 2,050 students, serving distinct age groups with balanced educational opportunities (ICSEA: 991). School places per 100 residents (11.6) fall below the regional average (17.3), indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ingleburn has 127 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 49 routes that facilitate 4,325 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents located an average of 191 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 617 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 34 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ingleburn's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Ingleburn's health data shows a relatively positive picture with low prevalence rates for common health conditions among its general population compared to national averages. However, certain cohorts such as older residents and those at risk have higher prevalence rates.

Private health cover is quite low in Ingleburn, standing at approximately 48% of the total population (~8,497 people), which is lower than the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.5% and 7.1% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 71.6%, report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to Greater Sydney's 70.3%. Ingleburn has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.9% (2,832 people) compared to Greater Sydney's 14.4%. Health outcomes among these seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population.

Ingleburn is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ingleburn has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.2 percent of its population born overseas and 44.7 percent speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Ingleburn, making up 51.1 percent of people there. However, Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 13.4 percent of Ingleburn's population versus 12.5 percent regionally.

The top three ancestry groups are Other at 24.5 percent, Australian at 17.9 percent, and English at 16.6 percent. Some ethnic groups have notable differences in representation: Filipino is overrepresented at 4.8 percent (versus 3.3 percent regionally), Samoan at 2.2 percent (versus 2.4 percent), and Spanish at 0.8 percent (versus 0.7 percent).

Ingleburn's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Ingleburn's median age is 37 years, matching Greater Sydney's figure of 37 years and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 11.9% of Ingleburn's population, higher than the Greater Sydney percentage. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.5%, lower than Greater Sydney's figure. Between 2021 and present day, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.7% to 4.8%. During this period, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 13.1% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ingleburn's age structure. Notably, the 45 to 54 age group is projected to grow by 51%, adding 1,086 people to reach a total of 3,218 from its current figure of 2,131. Meanwhile, both the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.