Bardia

Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

The population of the Bardia statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 8,572 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 2,825 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,747 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,479 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 123 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 4,062 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Bardia (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 49.2% since the 2021 Census, exceeding the state's growth rate of 7.6%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, the Bardia (SA2) is expected to grow by 1,354 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall gain of 8.4% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Bardia among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Bardia has seen around 58 new homes approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 294 homes were approved, with an additional 12 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 15 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these years, indicating demand outpacing supply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $582,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $4.9 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting Bardia's residential character. Comparatively, Bardia has 83.0% more building activity per person than Greater Sydney, offering buyers greater choice. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. Nationally, the location's building activity is substantially higher, indicating strong developer confidence in the area.

New building activity comprises 89.0% detached dwellings and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Bardia's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. Bardia has approximately 414 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Population forecasts indicate it will gain 721 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bardia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Glenfield Parklands Revitalization, Ed.Square, Denham Court Road Upgrade, and Croatia Avenue Apartments. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Bardia ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Bardia has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate is 2.6% and there was an estimated 5.7% employment growth in the past year according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 4383 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.6% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 68.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in health care & social assistance with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level but has lower representation in education & training at 5.7% versus the regional average of 8.9%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.7% and labour force grew by 6.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. State-level data from NSW up to 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs) with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National unemployment rate is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardia's employment mix, local employment could increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023 indicates that Bardia's median income among taxpayers is $62,785. The average income in this suburb is $73,702. Nationally, the median income is lower at $59,147 and the average is $82,767. In Greater Sydney, the median income is $60,817 with an average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, current estimates for Bardia's median and average incomes would be approximately $68,348 and $80,232 respectively. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Bardia rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 88th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the largest segment in Bardia comprises 42.7% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, mirroring the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. A substantial proportion, 33.0%, earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. High housing costs consume 22.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 78th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Bardia, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 83.1% houses and 17.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Sydney metro's dwelling structure of 78.5% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardia was at 5.3%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (59.4%) or rented (35.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Bardia was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent in Bardia was recorded at $550, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Bardia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.6% of all households, including 62.6% couples with children, 14.8% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 10.4%, with lone person households at 9.1% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Bardia's educational attainment is notably high with 45.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, exceeding the SA4 region's 22.3% and the SA3 area's 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.0% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 12.4%. Educational participation is high, with 37.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 15.6% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 37.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.6% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Bardia shows six operational public transport stops, all offering bus services. These stops are served by ten distinct routes, together facilitating 772 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is assessed as moderate, with residents generally situated 527 meters away from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 110 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 128 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bardia shows excellent health outcomes across all ages. Common health conditions have a very low prevalence.

Private health cover is high at approximately 56% of the total population (~4,804 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 50.5%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and diabetes, affecting 5.1% and 3.3% of residents respectively. 86.6% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.3%. Only 4.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (377 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 14.4%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardia, one of the most culturally diverse areas in the country, has a population where 54.7% were born overseas and 65.7% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bardia, comprising 32.5% of its population. However, Hinduism is significantly overrepresented with 25.6%, substantially higher than the Greater Sydney average of 7.5%.

The top three represented ancestry groups are Other (39.8%), Indian (10.5%), and Australian (10.1%). Notably, Samoan ethnicity is overrepresented at 3.0% compared to the regional average of 2.4%, Spanish at 0.9% versus 0.7%, and Serbian at 0.9% against a regional average of 0.5%.

Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Bardia's median age at 30 years is notably younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and significantly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardia has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (24.6%) but fewer individuals aged 65-74 (3.1%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is substantially above the national average of 14.2%. Post-2021 Census data indicates that the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 22.5% to 24.6%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has risen from 18.9% to 20.5%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 20.0% to 15.1%, and the 0 to 4 group has fallen from 12.4% to 10.2%. Demographic projections suggest significant changes in Bardia's age profile by 2041, with the 15 to 24 age cohort expected to expand considerably, growing by 480 people (51%) from 934 to 1,415. Conversely, population declines are projected for both the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 cohorts.