Bardia

Bardia lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Bardia's population, as of November 2025, is estimated at around 8,453 people. This reflects an increase of 2,706 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,747 people in the suburb. The change is inferred from the resident population of 8,363, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), and an additional 123 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 4,006 persons per square kilometer, placing Bardia in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 47.1% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area growth rates, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for Bardia was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of national areas is projected, with Bardia expected to grow by 1,510 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 11.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Bardia among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Bardia has seen around 61 new homes approved each year. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 309 homes were approved, with an additional 15 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 14.3 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This significant demand outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $582,000. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $312,000, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardia has 89.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. However, building activity has slowed in recent years.

Nationally, this activity is substantially higher, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New building activity consists of 87.0% detached dwellings and 13.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Bardia's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The area has approximately 294 people per dwelling approval, suggesting room for growth. Population forecasts indicate Bardia will gain 996 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bardia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Glenfield Parklands Revitalization, Ed.Square, Denham Court Road Upgrade, and Croatia Avenue Apartments. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bardia demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Bardia has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 2.6% as of June 2025, showing a 4.2% employment growth over the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

There were 4,100 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 1.6% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was high at 68.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment was concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area had a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

Conversely, education & training showed lower representation at 5.7% versus the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.2%, labour force by 4.9%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.6 percentage points, compared to Greater Sydney's 2.6% employment growth and 0.3 percentage point unemployment rate rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years for Bardia, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Bardia's median income among taxpayers is $62,785. The average income in Bardia for the same period is $73,702. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Bardia would be approximately $70,702 (median) and $82,996 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Bardia rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 88th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 42.7% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (3,609 residents), which is similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. A substantial proportion of high earners, at 33.0%, indicates strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. High housing costs consume 22.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 78th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Bardia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.1% houses and 17.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 83.1% houses and 21.5% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Bardia was 5.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.4% and rented dwellings at 35.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,100. The median weekly rent figure in Bardia was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $380. Nationally, Bardia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 89.6% of all households, including 62.6% couples with children, 14.8% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.4%, with lone person households at 9.1% and group households making up 1.4% of the total. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Bardia is notable, with 45.9% of residents aged 15+ having university qualifications compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.0%, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (12.4%). Educational participation is high, with 37.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 15.6% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.4% in tertiary education.

Bardia Public School serves the area, enrolling 998 students as of a certain date. The school focuses on primary education with an ICSEA score of 1071, indicating above-average socio-educational conditions. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average (11.8 vs. 17.1), suggesting some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows six active public transport stops in Bardia, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by seven different routes that together facilitate 463 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 505 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 66 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 77 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bardia shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 56% (~4,737 people) have private health cover, higher than Greater Sydney's 49.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.1%) and diabetes (3.3%), while 86.6% report no medical ailments, compared to 70.3% in Greater Sydney. Only 4.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (371 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 14.4%. Despite this, seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardia has a population where 54.7% were born overseas, with 65.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bardia, making up 32.5% of its population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 25.6%, which is significantly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 7.5%.

The top three ancestry groups in Bardia are Other (39.8%), Indian (10.5%), and Australian (10.1%). Compared to regional averages, Other and Indian groups are substantially overrepresented while Australian is notably underrepresented. There are also notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Samoan at 3.0% (vs 2.4%), Spanish at 0.9% (vs 0.7%), and Serbian at 0.9% (vs 0.5%).

Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Bardia's median age at 30 years is significantly younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardia has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (24.5%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (3.1%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.2%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35 to 44 age group grew from 22.5% to 24.5%, while the 5 to 14 cohort increased from 18.9% to 20.4%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort declined from 20.0% to 15.1%, and the 0 to 4 group decreased from 12.4% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling predicts significant changes in Bardia's age profile. The 15 to 24 age cohort is projected to expand significantly, increasing by 523 people (57%) from 912 to 1,436. Conversely, population declines are forecast for the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 cohorts.