Bardia

Population growth drivers in Bardia are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Bardia's population is estimated at around 5,767 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 20 people (0.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,747 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,743 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 132 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,733 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Bardia has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 15.9%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb's population expected to contract by 595 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 15 to 24 age group, which is projected to increase by 105 people.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Bardia among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Bardia averaged around 58 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 294 homes. So far in FY-26, 14 approvals have been recorded. This averages out to approximately 13.2 new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically drives up prices and intensifies competition among buyers. The average construction cost value of new homes is $582,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In this financial year, $4.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardia has 58.0% more development activity per person, offering greater choice for buyers despite recent easing of construction activity. New building activity comprises 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 393 people per approval, Bardia indicates a mature market.

Given expected population stability or decline, pressure on housing should reduce, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Bardia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones include Glenfield Parklands Revitalization, Ed.Square, Denham Court Road Upgrade, and Croatia Avenue Apartments. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Bardia ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Bardia has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 2,698 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 72.2%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census responses indicate that 36.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Major employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Notably, health care & social assistance employs 1.6 times the regional average, while education & training employs just 5.7%, below Greater Sydney's 8.9%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending in May-25, labour force decreased by 6.1% and employment declined by 6.9%, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardia's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Bardia had a median taxpayer income of $62,785 and an average income of $73,702 in the financial year 2023, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is higher than the national average median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 for Greater Sydney. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $69,264 (median) and $81,308 (average). The 2021 Census figures show that household, family, and personal incomes in Bardia rank highly nationally, between the 77th and 88th percentiles. In terms of income ranges, 42.7% of Bardia's population (2,462 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, which is similar to the regional average of 30.9%. Economic strength in Bardia is evident with 33.0% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, indicating strong consumer spending power despite high housing costs consuming 22.8% of income. Despite this, disposable income ranks at the 78th percentile nationally, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Bardia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.1% houses and 17.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardia was at 5.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.4% and rented ones at 35.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure in Bardia was $550, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bardia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.6% of all households, including 62.6% couples with children, 14.8% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.4%, with lone person households at 9.1% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Bardia's educational attainment exceeds broader standards, with 45.9% of residents aged 15+ possessing university qualifications compared to 22.3% in the SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. This significant educational advantage favours the area for knowledge-driven opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.0% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (12.4%) being the most common.

Educational participation is notably high, with 37.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.6% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardia has six operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by ten unique routes, offering a total of 772 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed moderate, with residents situated an average of 527 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most Bardia residents travel outward for work. Cars remain the primary commuting mode at 78%, while 17% use trains. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 36.1% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 110 trips daily, equating to around 128 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bardia's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Approximately 56% of Bardia's total population (~3,232 people) has private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.1%) and diabetes (3.3%). About 86.6% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 74.6% rate in Greater Sydney. Bardia has 2.8% of its population aged 65 and over (161 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardia, one of the country's most culturally diverse areas, has a population where 54.7% were born overseas and 65.7% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bardia, with 32.5% of its inhabitants identifying as such. Hinduism, however, is significantly overrepresented, comprising 25.6% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other at 39.8%, Indian at 10.5%, and Australian at 10.1%. These figures differ substantially from regional averages: Other (16.0%), Indian (3.6%), and Australian (17.8%). Notable divergences also exist in the representation of Samoan (Bardia: 3.0% vs Regional: 0.5%), Spanish (Bardia: 0.9% vs Regional: 0.6%), and Serbian (Bardia: 0.9% vs Regional: 0.5%) ethnic groups.

Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Bardia has a median age of 29, which is younger than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and substantially under Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardia has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (26.6%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (3.8%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is well above the national figure of 14.3%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 has grown from 22.5% to 26.6%, while those aged 5 to 14 increased from 18.9% to 20.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has declined from 20.0% to 15.8%, and the 55 to 64 age group has dropped from 5.2% to 3.8%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Bardia's age structure. The 15 to 24 age cohort is projected to increase by 94 people (17%) from 565 to 660. However, population declines are projected for the 25 to 34 and 45 to 54 age cohorts.