Bardia

Bardia lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area around the suburb of Bardia, its population is estimated at around 8571 as of February 2026. This reflects an increase of 2824 people, representing a 49.1% rise since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5747 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7479, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 128 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 4062 persons per square kilometer, placing Bardia within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, indicating high demand for land in the area. The suburb's growth rate of 49.1% since the 2021 Census exceeded both the state average (7.8%) and that of Greater Sydney, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all demographic drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year; for areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation, with the suburb expected to grow by 425 persons to reach an estimated total of 9076 by 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a reduction of 7.8% in growth over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Bardia among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Bardia has seen approximately 58 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 294 homes were approved, with an additional 12 approved so far in FY26. This results in an average of 15.1 people moving to the area per dwelling built annually over these five years.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically exerts upward pressure on prices and intensifies competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $582,000, indicating developers' focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY26, $4.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardia has 81.0% more building activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. However, building activity has slowed in recent years.

This activity is substantially higher than the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New building activity comprises 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% medium and high-density housing, sustaining Bardia's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. With around 414 people per dwelling approval, Bardia shows a developed market. Population projections indicating stability or decline suggest reduced housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Bardia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 16 projects expected to impact the area. Notable ones include Glenfield Parklands Revitalization, Ed.Square, Denham Court Road Upgrade, and Croatia Avenue Apartments. The following list details those most likely relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Bardia ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Bardia has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.5% in December 2024, with estimated employment growth of 7.0%. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 1.7% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%, and workforce participation is high at 90.5%.

A significant portion, 36.1%, of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Health care & social assistance shows notable concentration, with levels at 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, education & training has lower representation at 5.7%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by working population vs resident population counts. Between December 2024 and 2025, employment levels increased by 7.0%, labour force by 7.5%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.2% and marginal unemployment rate change. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May-25) project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows median income in Bardia suburb is $62,785 and average income is $73,702. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated current incomes are approximately $68,348 (median) and $80,232 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, Bardia's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 77th and 88th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 42.7% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, aligning with surrounding region at 30.9%. Notably, 33.0% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 22.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 78th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Bardia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Bardia, as per the latest Census evaluation, 83.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 17.0% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan areas, where 55.9% of dwellings are houses and 44.1% are other types. Home ownership in Bardia stood at 5.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 59.4% and rented ones at 35.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Weekly rent median was recorded at $550, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bardia's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.6% of all households, including 62.6% couples with children, 14.8% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 10.4%, with lone person households at 9.1% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.5 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bardia shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Bardia's educational attainment is notably high, with 45.9% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to 22.3% in the broader SA4 region and 24.6% in the SA3 area. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.0% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 12.4%. Educational participation is high, with 37.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 15.6% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 37.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.6% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardia has six operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by ten different routes, collectively offering 772 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents typically located 527 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Bardia's residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 78%, while trains account for 17%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 36.1% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 110 trips per day, equating to approximately 128 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardia's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bardia's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Approximately 56% (~4,804 people) of Bardia's total population has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.1%) and diabetes (3.3%). 86.6% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Bardia has 3.9% (334 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Seniors' health outcomes are strong, aligning with national rankings similar to the general population.

Bardia is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardia, one of the country's most culturally diverse areas, has a population where 54.7% were born overseas and 65.7% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bardia, with 32.5%. Hinduism, however, is significantly overrepresented at 25.6%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (39.8%), Indian (10.5%), and Australian (10.1%). The Other group is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, while Indian is higher than the regional average of 3.6% but lower for Australian compared to the regional average of 17.8%. Notable divergences exist in the representation of certain ethnic groups, such as Samoan at 3.0% (vs regional 0.5%), Spanish at 0.9% (vs regional 0.6%), and Serbian at 0.9% (vs regional 0.5%).

Bardia hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Bardia's median age at 30 years is notably younger than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and significantly below Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardia has a higher proportion of residents aged 35-44 (25.2%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (4.8%). This concentration of 35-44 year-olds is substantially above the national average of 14.3%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the proportion of Bardia's population aged 35 to 44 has increased from 22.5% to 25.2%, while the 5-14 age group has risen from 18.9% to 21.1%. Conversely, the 25-34 age cohort has decreased from 20.0% to 14.8%, and the 0-4 age group has fallen from 12.4% to 10.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Bardia's age profile. The 15-24 age cohort is expected to grow steadily, increasing by 231 people (26%) from 891 to 1,123. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 45-54 and 25-34 age cohorts.