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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Casula is $1.31m, with units at $890k. House values have moved 7.0% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Casula has an estimated 17,157 residents, up from 16,584 at the 2021 Census — a change of 573 people, or 3.5%. 205 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 2,427 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining broader regional ABS population revisions with new addresses validated post-Census, the suburb of Casula records an estimated population of approximately 17,157 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 573 residents (3.5%) compared to the 16,584 persons recorded in the 2021 Census. Such movement is calculated from an estimated resident population base of 17,039 following the ABS June 2025 ERP release, alongside 205 validated new addresses identified since Census night. Population density stands at 2,426 persons per square kilometer, placing the suburb of Casula within the upper quartile among nationwide locations reviewed by AreaSearch.
Inbound overseas migration served as the primary demographic driver, generating roughly 61.0% of recent total population increases. SA2-level projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia (2024 release, 2022 base year) are utilized by AreaSearch, with remaining SA2 districts supplemented via NSW State Government projections (2022 release, 2021 base year). Age cohort growth rates across these models are applied through the years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projected demographic patterns, the suburb of Casula is tracking above median population growth relative to Australian statistical areas, anticipating an expansion of 2,635 persons by 2041 from aggregated SA2 figures, which amounts to a 14.7% total gain across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
390 new dwellings have been approved in Casula over the past five years, an average of 78 a year. That places the area in the 56th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 80 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 48% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 63, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Examining ABS residential building approval figures distributed from statistical area metrics, Casula has maintained an annual rate of approximately 78 new residential approvals, yielding around 390 total dwellings over the past 5 financial years. Within FY-25 to date, 63 approvals have been logged. With an average of only 0.9 new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, residential construction comfortably matches or outpaces local demand, providing extensive options for purchasers and headroom for demographic expansion past baseline projections. New residential builds average an expected construction cost of $402,000—sitting underneath regional averages to deliver accessible price points.
Furthermore, $16.5 million in commercial development approvals has been registered during this financial year, indicating a moderate volume of non-residential construction. On a per-capita basis, Casula generates roughly three-quarters the new home approvals seen across Greater Sydney, positioning it in the 61st percentile nationally. Recent residential construction comprises 48.0% detached houses and 52.0% townhouses or apartments. This pivot toward medium-and-higher density building offers cost-effective entry opportunities catering to first-home buyers, investors, and downsizers. It contrasts with the broader existing residential profile (presently 71.0% houses), signaling tighter land availability alongside evolving household preferences for accessible, varied housing formats. Planning metrics record around 221 people per dwelling approval, denoting a low-density development landscape. Demographic projections anticipate that Casula will add 2,517 residents through to 2041, relative to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current construction trajectories suggest incoming residential volume will easily satisfy buyer demand, maintaining favorable purchasing conditions and accommodating potential population increases above official forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Casula
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Casula, worth an estimated $314 million. A further 78 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $22.2 billion. 25 are already under construction and 31 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure upgrades, major civil works, and planning developments serve as fundamental drivers of local community growth. AreaSearch has pinpointed 20 key projects with direct local relevance. Prominent works include the Crossroads Homemaker Centre Asset Enhancement, the 60 Hill Road Lurnea Development, the DA Approved Child Care & Medical Centre, Casula, and the M5 Motorway Westbound Upgrade.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Casula Health and Childcare Centre
A significant mixed-use development featuring a 114-place childcare facility and a 620 m2 medical precinct. The medical component includes 17 consultation rooms and a dedicated pharmacy. The project occupies a prime 3,562 m2 site on the Hume Highway, designed to service the growing Liverpool and Edmondson Park catchments. The site has active development approval for the combined health and education use.
Crossroads Homemaker Centre Asset Enhancement
Large-format retail centre enhancement project on 14.3 hectare site featuring 38 homewares retailers. LaSalle Investment Management identified significant development upside with opportunities to expand and redevelop existing buildings. Recent $3 million refurbishment completed with new food and beverage precinct. Centre serves over 4 million customers annually and is the fifth largest large-format retail centre in Australia.
60 Hill Road Lurnea Development
Proposed residential development at 60 Hill Road Lurnea featuring modern housing options and community amenities
La Vie @ Casula
4-storey residential apartment building comprising 19 apartments (mix of 1 and 2 bedroom units, including 3 affordable rental housing units) with basement parking, landscaped gardens, and community facilities. Located in an established residential area near Liverpool CBD and transport links.
M5 Motorway Westbound Upgrade
Upgrade of the M5 Motorway westbound between Moorebank Avenue and the Hume Highway to reduce congestion and improve safety. Key features include a new three-lane bridge over the Georges River and rail corridors, removal of the traffic weave, additional lanes, improved freight access, and a new shared user path for pedestrians and cyclists.
Crossroads Hotel Redevelopment
Major 30.9-34 million redevelopment by Nelson Meers Group to modernize the historic Crossroads Hotel established 1833. Features new 39-room elevated accommodation wing increasing total to 54 rooms, expanded restaurant and cafe areas, revamped bistro, private dining areas, new outdoor spaces including lounge garden and beer garden, and flexible function spaces with operable walls. Development Application DA-26/2025 lodged with Liverpool City Council, currently under assessment by Sydney Western City Planning Panel.
599-601 Hume Highway Casula Multi-Dwelling Housing
Development of multi-dwelling housing comprising 20 units with strata subdivision at 599-601 Hume Highway, Casula. Includes demolition of existing structures and tree removal. The development application DA-577/2024 was deemed refused, and an appeal is ongoing in the Land and Environment Court.
Beech Road Multi-level Warehouse
State Significant Development to construct and operate a multi-level warehouse and distribution facility at 200 Beech Road, Casula. Key elements include a maximum building height of 22.5m, two vehicular access ramps, proposed 24/7 operations, removal of 26 trees and new soft landscaping.
8,619 residents of Casula are employed, from a labour force of 9,028. Unemployment sits at 4.5%, with participation at 66.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 14,677, about 86% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Casula sustains a skilled labour pool with strong participation in vital public and community services, registering an unemployment rate of 4.5% alongside a 4.9% increase in annual employment based on AreaSearch statistical aggregations. By March 2026, working residents numbered 8,619, with the jobless rate standing 0.4% higher than the Greater Sydney benchmark of 4.1%, and labour participation tracking slightly under standard levels at 66.6% versus 68.9% regionally. Census records showed 35.1% of workers operating from home, an outcome influenced by pandemic-related lockdown measures. Resident employment centers primarily around retail trade, manufacturing, and health care & social assistance.
Transport, postal & warehousing exhibits significant local concentration, capturing a workforce proportion 1.6 times that of Greater Sydney. Conversely, professional & technical roles are underrepresented, engaging just 5.7% of Casula's working population compared with 11.5% across Greater Sydney. The district's predominantly residential character supports fewer jobs internally, as highlighted by local working population counts against resident employee numbers. AreaSearch evaluations of SALM and ABS statistical records indicate that during the 12 months leading to March 2026, local employment expanded by 4.9% while the labor pool grew by 5.0%, nudging unemployment upward by 0.1 percentage points. Across Greater Sydney over the same timeframe, employment and labour force each rose by 1.9%, accompanied by a slight drop in joblessness. National employment outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide context for future workforce requirements in Casula. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though sector trajectories diverge substantially. When applied to Casula's industry distribution, these projections indicate potential local employment gains of 6.3% over five years and 13.3% over ten years (representing an illustrative weighting model that excludes localized demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Casula is $1,730 a week (about $90,000 a year), with median personal income at $645 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,429 a year against an average of $54,587. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode records for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch indicate that Casula's personal earnings sit below national benchmarks, showing a median income of $46,429 and an average of $54,587. These figures compare against Greater Sydney medians of $60,817 and averages of $83,003. Applying a 10.32% Wage Price Index rise since financial year 2023 places March 2026 income estimates at roughly $51,220 (median) and $60,220 (average). Individual Census earnings rank low at the 18th percentile ($645 weekly), whereas household metrics fare better at the 48th percentile. In terms of earnings brackets, the largest group contains 32.8% of residents (5,627 people) earning $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional proportion of 30.9%.
Disposable income retention is constrained at 80.0%, placing the area at the 45th percentile, while SEIFA socioeconomic metrics situate the suburb in the 4th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Casula had 4,979 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 71% detached houses and 4% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 33% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $450 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month, a total housing cost higher than 80% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 26.0% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.9%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census findings show that Casula's housing inventory consisted of 71.2% houses and 28.8% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, semi-detached properties, and alternative formats), compared to 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings across metropolitan Sydney. Outright home ownership matched Sydney metro levels at 27.7%, while 39.4% of homes were held under a mortgage and 32.9% were occupied by tenants. Typical monthly mortgage payments stood at $2,167, noticeably below the Sydney metro figure of $2,427, and median weekly rent was $450, under the metropolitan benchmark of $470. On a nationwide scale, local mortgage commitments exceed the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents surpass the broader national standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Casula counted 4,979 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 3.2 people each. 47% are couples with children, more than in 92% of areas nationally, against 18% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute the overwhelming majority of homes at 81.3%, consisting of couples with children (47.2%), couples without children (18.3%), and single parent families (14.7%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 18.7%, split between single-person households at 17.1% and group accommodations at 1.7%. Typical household occupancy is 3.2 people, exceeding the Greater Sydney norm of 2.7.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
24.8% of adults in Casula hold a university qualification, including 17.9% with a bachelor degree and 5.4% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 19.8% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,943 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 966 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels present specific challenges, with university degrees held by 24.8% of locals compared to 38.0% across Greater Sydney, highlighting potential targets for local educational development. Bachelor degrees comprise 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 5.4% and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational qualifications represent a key community strength, with 31.2% of residents aged 15+ possessing trade or technical credentials, including certificates (19.8%) and advanced diplomas (11.4%). Community learning engagement is elevated, with 33.0% of the local population actively participating in educational institutions. This comprises 11.0% attending primary schools, 9.6% in secondary schooling, and 6.0% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Casula reaches 131 stops on 58 routes, timetabled for about 5,500 services a week. The typical home sits about 150 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit networks in Casula include 131 active stops spanning rail and bus connections across 58 discrete transit routes, delivering 5,538 weekly passenger trips. Network access is strong, with typical walking distances to the closest stop averaging 148 meters. The majority of working residents commute outside the suburb, with private vehicles accounting for 87% of journeys and rail comprising 7%. Vehicle ownership sits above regional benchmarks at 1.6 vehicles per household, while 35.1% of residents worked from home during the 2021 Census under prevailing pandemic circumstances. Transit service schedules maintain an average of 791 trips per day across the network, translating to roughly 42 weekly trips per transport stop.
The accompanying mapping depicts the 100 closest stops relative to the center of the area.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
74.4% of residents in Casula report no long-term health condition. 7.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 48.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality and health metrics show general health outcomes for Casula closely matching national patterns, with chronic illness prevalence remaining subdued across the broad community, though elevated among senior, vulnerable cohorts. Private health insurance participation is low, encompassing roughly 49% of residents (~8,333 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and 55.7% across Australia. The primary reported chronic health conditions include arthritis (6.6%) and diabetes (6.1%), with 74.4% of the population reporting no long-term medical conditions, comparable to 74.6% throughout Greater Sydney. The working-age population exhibits strong overall health with minimal chronic ailments.
Residents aged 65 and over total 2,659 people (15.5%), and while senior health metrics face distinct challenges, they rank below broader population national percentiles.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
46.8% of Casula residents were born overseas and 59.7% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 91% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (11.9%) and English (10.1%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is pronounced in Casula, where 46.8% of citizens were born overseas and 59.7% speak a language other than English in their households. Christianity represents the primary religious affiliation at 51.7% of the populace. Islam exhibits a significant presence, accounting for 22.0% of residents compared to the Greater Sydney proportion of 6.8%. Regarding parental ancestry, the dominant categories within Casula include Other backgrounds at 27.5% (above the 16.0% regional rate), Australian heritage at 11.9% (below the regional 17.8%), and English lineage at 10.1% (under the regional 19.0%). Notable variations also appear across other specific backgrounds: Lebanese ancestry represents 7.3% (against 2.6% regionally), Serbian heritage accounts for 1.8% (against 0.5%), and Spanish ancestry constitutes 1.1% (against 0.6%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Casula is 36. 27.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic profile of Casula combines an extensive younger generation with mature-aged parents. As of August 2026, AreaSearch estimates indicate children and young adults (0 - 24) form 35.1% of the suburb, exceeding Greater Sydney's 30.4%, while adults aged 25 - 44 represent 25.8% compared to 31.4% regionally. The median age is estimated at 36 as of August 2026, remaining identical to the 2021 Census and 1 year younger than the Greater Sydney Census figure of 37. Retirees and senior citizens (65+) expanded from 13.6% at the Census to an estimated 15.5%, and this demographic is projected to drive future growth to 2041 by adding 1,275 residents (48%) to reach a total of 3,934.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Casula
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 4 months ago all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 205 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (16,584 at the 2021 Census → 17,157 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL10851). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.