Holsworthy

An assessment of population growth drivers in Holsworthy reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the population of the suburb of Holsworthy is estimated to be around 5,540, reflecting a decrease of 117 people since the 2021 Census. This decrease represents approximately 2.1% of the total population during that period. The resident population was estimated at 5,529 by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 24 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 29 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 59% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth, with the suburb of Holsworthy expected to expand by 197 persons to reach a total of approximately 5,737 by 2041. This reflects an increase of around 3.3% over the 16-year period from 2025 to 2041.

The level of residential development activity in Holsworthy is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Holsworthy has recorded around 10 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years ending June 26. This totals an estimated 54 homes. As of July 26, 16 approvals have been recorded in the current financial year. The population has declined in recent years, but housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $487,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. There have been $16.0 million in commercial approvals this financial year, showing steady commercial investment activity. Recent construction comprises 50% standalone homes and 50% attached dwellings, a departure from existing housing patterns (currently 80% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and affordability needs. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 582 people in the area.

Holsworthy is expected to grow by 184 residents through to 2041, based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Holsworthy has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 166 projects that could impact the region. Notable initiatives include the M5 Motorway Westbound Traffic Upgrade, Holsworthy Local Centre Mixed-Use Development, Georges Cove Residences, and La Vie @ Casula. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Holsworthy performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Holsworthy has a well-educated workforce with professional services showing strong representation. The unemployment rate is 1.2%. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 5.2%, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

As of December 2025, 4,084 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 93.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A significant proportion of residents work from home, with 43.4% indicating this arrangement in Census responses. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and professional & technical sectors.

The area has a particularly strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share 4.0 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services have limited presence, with 8.2% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 5.2%, while labour force also increased by 5.2%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2% and labour force expand by 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Holsworthy. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Holsworthy's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023. In Holsworthy, median income among taxpayers was $66,501 and the average was $76,014. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $73,364 (median) and $83,859 (average). Census 2021 income data shows Holsworthy's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 85th and 91st percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 38.9% of residents earn between $1,500-$2,999 weekly, reflecting broader area patterns where 30.9% fall within this range. Holsworthy demonstrates affluence with 39.9% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Holsworthy is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Holsworthy's dwellings, as per the latest Census data, consisted of 79.6% houses and 20.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Holsworthy was 18.5%, with the rest either mortgaged (48.0%) or rented (33.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,188, below Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent was $515, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Holsworthy's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Holsworthy features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 88.6% of all households, including 57.7% couples with children, 17.8% couples without children, and 11.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 11.4%, with lone person households at 10.1% and group households comprising 1.3% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Holsworthy shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 36.3% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 19.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.8% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Holsworthy has 29 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 23 individual routes, offering a total of 3,484 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically living 258 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 69%, followed by walking at 15% and train at 10%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 43.4% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 497 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

Holsworthy's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Holsworthy. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low across both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover was found to be very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~3,153 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.1 and 5.4% of residents respectively. 78.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 7.2% of residents aged 65 and over (398 people), which is lower than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors were above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Holsworthy is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Holsworthy has a high level of cultural diversity, with 36.9% of its population born overseas and 39.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Holsworthy, making up 47.9% of the population. Notably, Hinduism is overrepresented in Holsworthy compared to Greater Sydney averages, with 13.2% of the population identifying as Hindu.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (20.7%), Other (18.3%), and English (17.9%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences in representation: Indian at 8.9%, Filipino at 2.8%, and Russian at 0.5%.

Holsworthy hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Holsworthy's median age at 31 years is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Holsworthy has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (18.0%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (4.8%). This concentration of 15-24-year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.7%. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of Holsworthy's population aged 65-74 has increased from 3.6% to 4.8%, while the 45-54 age group has decreased from 13.7% to 12.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Holsworthy's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to grow by 68 people (59%) from 116 to 185. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decrease in population.