Warwick Farm

Population growth drivers in Warwick Farm are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Warwick Farm statistical area's population is estimated at around 6,717, reflecting an increase of 582 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 6,135. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 6,708 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), and an additional 91 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1,460 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warwick Farm's 9.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both state (7.6%) and metropolitan area averages, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 68.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected, with Warwick Farm (SA2) expected to grow by 675 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 10.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Warwick Farm according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Warwick Farm has recorded approximately three residential properties granted approval annually. Between financial years 2021 and 2025, around 17 homes were approved, with six more approved in the current financial year 2026. This results in an average of about 3.4 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed each year over these five financial years.

Given this demand outpaces supply, it typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. The average construction value for new properties is approximately $371,000. This financial year has seen around $86,000 in commercial approvals, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warwick Farm shows substantially reduced construction, with 93% below the regional average per person. This limited supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, which is also below national averages, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent construction comprises 67% standalone homes and 33% medium to high-density housing, offering a mix of opportunities across price brackets. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests at Census, indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Warwick Farm has around 2197 people per approval, showing a mature, established area. Looking ahead, Warwick Farm is expected to grow by approximately 676 residents through to 2041, with housing supply potentially lagging population growth if current construction levels persist, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Warwick Farm has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 20 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Liverpool Health and Academic Precinct, Liverpool Civic Place, Liverpool Innovation Precinct, and Light Horse Park Redevelopment. The following list details projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Warwick Farm shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Warwick Farm has an educated workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate in the area was 7.1% last year.

Employment growth was estimated at 6.1%. As of September 2025, 3,235 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.9% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Warwick Farm lags behind Greater Sydney, with 46.7% compared to 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and manufacturing.

Health care & social assistance is particularly specialized, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 5.1% of Warwick Farm's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The ratio of workers to residents indicates a higher than average level of local employment opportunities. Over the past year, employment increased by 6.1%, while labour force grew by 4.7%, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase slightly. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National projections suggest total employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industries. Applying these projections to Warwick Farm's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows income in Warwick Farm is below national average. Median income stands at $48,663 with average income at $57,213. Greater Sydney has median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $52,975 (median) and $62,282 (average). Census 2021 income data places Warwick Farm between 9th and 11th percentiles nationally. Largest income segment is 29.9% earning $800 - $1,499 weekly with 2,008 residents. Metropolitan region leads in $1,500 - $2,999 bracket at 30.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 73.9% of income remaining, ranking at 5th percentile nationally.

Warwick Farm features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warwick Farm's latest Census data showed 19.9% houses and 80.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 63.3% houses and 36.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warwick Farm was 11.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 16.6% and rented ones at 71.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,577, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Warwick Farm was $327, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Warwick Farm's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warwick Farm features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 58.4% of all households, consisting of 25.3% couples with children, 16.2% couples without children, and 14.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 41.6%, with lone person households at 37.3% and group households making up 4.6%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Educational outcomes in Warwick Farm fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

Warwick Farm's residents aged 15+ have 28.4% with university degrees, compared to Greater Sydney's 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 30.6%, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (18.7%). Educational participation is high, with 33.3% currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (9.9%), secondary (6.9%), and tertiary (6.4%) levels.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warwick Farm has 31 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 12 different routes that together facilitate 5,209 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents on average located 131 meters from the nearest stop.

Each route operates an average of 744 trips per day, resulting in approximately 168 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warwick Farm's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Warwick Farm's health data shows a relatively positive picture. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among its general population but higher than the national average for older and at-risk cohorts. Approximately 50% (~3,331 people) have private health cover, which is lower compared to Greater Sydney's 51.8% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues affect 7.1% of residents, while arthritis impacts 6.5%. About 73.6% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Sydney's 76.4%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 14.1% (947 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 12.8%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Warwick Farm is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Warwick Farm has a population where 68.0% speak a language other than English at home, with 62.0% born overseas. Christianity is the dominant religion, comprising 44.6%. Islam makes up 17.9%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 17.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (34.8%), English (10.0%), and Australian (9.6%). Notably, Serbian (4.0%) and Vietnamese (6.4%) populations exceed regional averages of 2.4% and 3.6%, respectively. Samoan representation is also notable at 1.4%.

Warwick Farm's population is younger than the national pattern

Warwick Farm's median age is nearly 36 years, close to Greater Sydney's average of 37, which is slightly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warwick Farm has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (18.0%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (10.9%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 65-74 has increased from 6.9% to 8.1%, while the proportion of those aged 35-44 has decreased from 17.2% to 16.0%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest Warwick Farm's age profile will change significantly. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 24%, adding 187 residents to reach 967. Conversely, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in number.