Wattle Grove (NSW)

Wattle Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Wattle Grove (NSW) is around 8,936 people. This figure reflects an increase of 50 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,886. The current estimate is inferred from AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and their analysis of the latest Estimated Residential Population (ERP) data release by the ABS in June 2024, showing an estimated resident population of 8,942. This level of population results in a density ratio of approximately 3,397 persons per square kilometer, placing Wattle Grove in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for this growth was overseas migration, which contributed around 59% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate that Wattle Grove is expected to grow at a rate just below the national median statistical area average. By 2041, the suburb's population is projected to increase by approximately 549 persons, reflecting an overall gain of around 7.7% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Wattle Grove is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Wattle Grove has seen approximately four new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Around 20 homes have been approved in the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with no approvals recorded so far in FY-26. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, which could benefit buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $487,000, aligning with regional trends. In the current financial year, there have been $50.5 million in commercial approvals, indicating high local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Sydney, Wattle Grove's building activity is 94.0% below the regional average per person, which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes.

This level is also lower than the national average, suggesting possible planning constraints due to the area's maturity. Population forecasts from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate indicate Wattle Grove will gain 692 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Wattle Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones are M5 Motorway Westbound Traffic Upgrade, La Vie @ Casula, 599-601 Hume Highway Casula Multi-Dwelling Housing, and Holsworthy Local Centre Mixed-Use Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Wattle Grove performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Wattle Grove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.0% as of June 2025.

Employment grew by an estimated 5.1% over the past year, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 6,063 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 3.2%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at 69.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Public administration & safety had particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 2.5 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services were under-represented at 8.2% of Wattle Grove's workforce compared to 11.5% in Greater Sydney. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 5.1% alongside labour force increasing by 5.1%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Wattle Grove. These projections estimate national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Wattle Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Wattle Grove had a median taxpayer income of $60,894 and an average income of $69,604 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is higher than the national average, compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $68,573 and an average income of $78,381, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. In the 2021 Census, incomes in Wattle Grove ranked between the 79th and 89th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income analysis showed that 37.8% of the community (3,377 individuals) earned between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to regional levels at 30.9%. A substantial proportion of high earners (37.3%) indicated strong economic capacity in the suburb. Housing expenses accounted for 15.1% of income, with residents ranking in the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

Wattle Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census evaluated dwelling structures in Wattle Grove as 97.4% houses and 2.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 63.3% houses and 36.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wattle Grove was 26.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.4% and rented ones at 30.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,200, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $500, compared to Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Wattle Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Wattle Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 86.5% of all households, including 52.4% couples with children, 20.6% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.5%, with lone person households at 12.6% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Wattle Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 30.4% among residents aged 15+, exceeding the SA4 region average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 21.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 22.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.7% in primary, 7.9% in secondary, and 5.8% in tertiary education. St Mark's Coptic Orthodox College and Wattle Grove Public School serve a total of 1,319 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1084) and offers one primary and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Wattle Grove shows that there are currently 52 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops cater to a mix of bus routes, with a total of 19 individual routes servicing them. Together, these routes facilitate 476 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing within 150 meters of their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 68 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Wattle Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Wattle Grove's health outcomes data shows excellent results, with younger cohorts experiencing a very low prevalence of common health conditions. The area has approximately 54% (around 4,865 people) of its population with private health cover, higher than Greater Sydney's 50.4%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions in Wattle Grove, affecting 7.4 and 6.0% of residents respectively. About 75.6% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 76.4% across Greater Sydney. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 10.5% (938 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 12.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Wattle Grove was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wattle Grove had a higher cultural diversity than most nearby markets, with 30.9% of its residents born overseas and 32.3% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Wattle Grove, accounting for 62.3% of the population, compared to 50.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (23.1%, substantially higher than the regional average of 14.1%), English (18.6%, also higher than the regional average of 11.5%), and Other (15.4%, notably lower than the regional average of 27.9%).

Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Lebanese were overrepresented at 2.1% in Wattle Grove compared to 5.2% regionally, Macedonian was slightly higher at 1.2% versus 1.3%, and Spanish was marginally lower at 0.7% compared to 0.8%.

Wattle Grove's population is younger than the national pattern

Wattle Grove's median age is 35 years, slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.4%, higher than Greater Sydney's percentage. The 25-34 cohort stands at 13.9%. From 2021 to present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 5.8% to 6.4%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 14.7% to 13.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Wattle Grove. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to rise by 218 people (74%), from 294 to 513. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 56% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.