Wattle Grove (NSW)

Wattle Grove is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Wattle Grove (NSW) statistical area (Lv2) is around 9,066 people. This figure reflects an increase of 180 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 8,886 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 8,951 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,447 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for this population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 59.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, population projections indicate that the Wattle Grove (NSW) (SA2) is expected to grow by approximately 548 persons by 2041. This reflects a gain of around 6.2% in total over the 17-year period, which is just below the median growth rate for statistical areas across the nation.

The level of residential development activity in Wattle Grove is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates approximately 5 new homes approved annually in Wattle Grove. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 29 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, which could benefit buyers.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $487,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year, there have been $725,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Wattle Grove has significantly lower building activity, 92.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes, with levels also below national averages, indicating maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent building activity consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a focus on family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With approximately 2591 people per dwelling approval, Wattle Grove demonstrates a highly mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 561 residents through to 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Wattle Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 8 such projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable among these are the M5 Motorway Westbound Traffic Upgrade, La Vie @ Casula, the multi-dwelling housing project at 599-601 Hume Highway Casula, and the Holsworthy Local Centre Mixed-Use Development. The following list provides details on those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Wattle Grove rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Wattle Grove has a well-educated workforce. Its unemployment rate is 1.0% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 4.4% over the past year.

There are 5,983 residents in work, and the unemployment rate is 3.2% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is at 69.6%, exceeding Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a particular specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 2.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services show lower representation at 8.2% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.4%, and labour force increased by 4.3%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a rise in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Wattle Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Wattle Grove had a median taxpayer income of $60,894 and an average of $69,604. These figures are slightly above the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 in Greater Sydney respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $66,289 (median) and $75,771 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Wattle Grove's household, family, and personal incomes between the 79th and 89th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 37.8% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (3,426 people), similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. The suburb's affluence is evident with 37.3% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail and services. Housing expenses account for 15.1% of income, while strong earnings place residents in the 89th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Wattle Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Wattle Grove, as per the latest Census evaluation, 97.4% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 2.5% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is in contrast to Sydney metro's 63.3% houses and 36.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Wattle Grove stood at 26.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.4% and rented ones at 30.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Wattle Grove was $500, higher than Sydney metro's $400. Nationally, Wattle Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Wattle Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 86.5% of all households, including 52.4% couples with children, 20.6% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 13.5%, consisting of 12.6% lone person households and 1.0% group households. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.0.

Wattle Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate of 30.4%, among residents aged 15+, exceeds the SA4 region average of 21.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 21.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.0%). Vocational credentials are held by 35.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 22.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.9% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 7.9% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 56 active stops operating within Wattle Grove, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 18 individual routes, collectively facilitating 491 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 150 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 70 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per stop.

Wattle Grove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Wattle Grove's health outcomes data shows excellent results, with younger age groups having a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 54% (~4,936 people) have private health cover, higher than Greater Sydney's 51.8%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (7.4%) and mental health issues (6.0%). A total of 75.6% report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 76.4%. Wattle Grove has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 10.5% (951 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 12.8%. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Wattle Grove was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Wattle Grove's population showed higher cultural diversity compared to most nearby markets, with 30.9% born overseas and 32.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Wattle Grove, accounting for 62.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 50.1%. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (23.1%), English (18.6%), and Other (15.4%).

Notably, Lebanese (2.1%) and Macedonian (1.2%) groups were overrepresented in Wattle Grove, while Spanish (0.7%) was slightly underrepresented compared to regional averages of 5.2%, 1.3%, and 0.8% respectively.

Wattle Grove's population is younger than the national pattern

Wattle Grove has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and somewhat younger than the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.4%, higher than Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 13.9%. From 2021 to present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 5.8% to 6.4% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 14.7% to 13.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Wattle Grove's population. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to rise substantially by 213 people (71%), from 299 to 513. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 61% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.