Milperra

An assessment of population growth drivers in Milperra reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Milperra's estimated population is around 4,602, showing an increase of 528 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Milperra by AreaSearch in June 2024 was 4,564. This growth reflects a density ratio of 857 persons per square kilometer, comparable with averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Since the 2021 Census, Milperra's population grew by 13.0%, outpacing the SA3 area (4.1%) and SA4 region, making it a growth leader in the area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Milperra is expected to increase by 351 persons to 2041, reflecting a decrease of 1.3% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Milperra when compared nationally

Milperra has received approximately 55 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years ending FY-25, totalling around 279 homes. As of FY-26, 30 approvals have been recorded. On average, about 0.4 people per year moved to Milperra for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25.

This indicates that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering more buyer choices while supporting potential population growth above projections. The average construction value of new homes in Milperra is $432,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. Compared to Greater Sydney, Milperra has 142% more development activity per person, indicating significant developer interest in the area. Recent construction comprises 33% standalone homes and 67% medium to high-density housing, shifting from the current 94% houses in the area. This change suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects evolving lifestyles requiring diverse, affordable housing options. Milperra has around 57 people per approval, reflecting a developing area with stable or declining population projections. Consequently, reduced housing demand pressures are expected to benefit potential buyers.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Milperra should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Milperra has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include Milperra Drain Widening - Stage 2, Canterbury-Bankstown Walking City Project, Bankstown Airport Retail Precinct, and 61 Milperra Road Industrial Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Milperra well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Milperra has a skilled workforce with notable representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.7%.

As of June 2025, 2,361 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include education & training, construction, and health care & social assistance, with education & training being particularly notable at 1.5 times the regional average. Professional & technical services employ only 6.3% of local workers, lower than Greater Sydney's 11.5%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 2.7% alongside labour force growth of 2.7%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6%, labour force growth of 2.9%, and a rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Milperra's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Milperra had a median taxpayer income of $57,458 and an average income of $70,415. Nationally, the median was $56,994 and the average was $80,856. By September 2025, estimates suggest Milperra's median income will be approximately $64,703 and average income $79,294, based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data ranks household income at the 73rd percentile ($2,117 weekly) and personal income at the 50th percentile. Income distribution shows 31.8% of Milperra's population (1,463 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, reflecting a regional trend where 30.9% fall within this bracket. Higher earners make up a substantial portion with 31.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 73rd percentile. Milperra's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Milperra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Milperra's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.5% houses and 5.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Milperra stood at 42.5%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (46.5%) or rented (11.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,240. Median weekly rent in Milperra was recorded at $538, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Milperra's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Milperra features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.3% of all households, including 44.5% that are couples with children, 25.8% that are couples without children, and 11.3% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.7%, with lone person households at 15.9% and group households comprising 1.1% of the total. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational attainment in Milperra aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 20.8%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 14.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 11.2% and certificates at 26.1%. Educational participation is high at 29.2%, including 9.7% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 4.9% in tertiary education.

The area has two schools serving 1,180 students: Milperra Public School and Mount St Joseph Milperra. The ICSEA score is 1042, indicating balanced educational opportunities. There are 25.6 school places per 100 residents, above the regional average of 16.8, attracting students from nearby communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Milperra shows that there are currently 46 active transport stops operating, all of which serve buses. These stops are serviced by a total of 36 individual routes. Together, these routes provide a combined weekly passenger trip count of 1,322 trips.

The accessibility of transport for residents is rated as excellent, with the average resident located just 175 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 188 trips made per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Milperra is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Milperra shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 55% (~2,520 people) have private health cover, higher than Greater Sydney's 48.6%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.0%) and asthma (7.3%), while 71.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 75.8% in Greater Sydney. Milperra has a larger senior population at 19.4% (892 people), versus Greater Sydney's 15.8%. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, mirroring the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Milperra was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Milperra's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 17.6% of its population born overseas and 20.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Milperra, making up 69.2% of people, compared to 46.5% across Greater Sydney. The top three represented ancestry groups were Australian (27.0%), English (22.8%), and Other (8.9%).

Notably, Lebanese (5.7%) was overrepresented in Milperra compared to the regional average of 14.9%, while Greek (3.7%) and Maltese (1.4%) had minor differences from their respective regional averages of 3.4% and 0.5%.

Milperra's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Milperra is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to Australia's national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group is over-represented in Milperra at 10.6%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.5%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.7% to 13.6% of Milperra's population, while the 25-34 age group has decreased from 11.2% to 10.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Milperra. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 16%, reaching 391 people from the current 335. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 66% of this growth. Conversely, the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.