Yagoona - Birrong
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Yagoona - Birrong are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Yagoona-Birrong's population is approximately 23,391 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 907 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 22,484. The change is inferred from ABS estimates: 23,406 in June 2024 and an additional 139 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 4,207 persons per square kilometer, placing Yagoona-Birrong among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade (2015-2025), the area has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, outperforming its SA3 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.9% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 (base year: 2021) are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends suggest a population increase just below the national median by 2041, with an expected expansion of 2,304 persons, reflecting a total increase of 9.9% over 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Yagoona - Birrong among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Yagoona - Birrong has averaged approximately 116 new dwelling approvals per year. Between the financial years FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 582 homes were approved, with an additional 131 approved so far in FY-26. Over these five years, an average of 1.6 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built, suggesting balanced supply and demand conditions.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $286,000, which is lower than regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $27.2 million, showing balanced commercial activity in the area. Compared to Greater Sydney, Yagoona - Birrong has comparable new home approvals per person, maintaining market equilibrium with surrounding regions.

The current development mix consists of 56.0% standalone homes and 44.0% attached dwellings, including townhouses and apartments, catering to various price points. With around 226 people per dwelling approval, Yagoona - Birrong is considered a low-density area. Population forecasts project an increase of 2,318 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Yagoona - Birrong has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 33 projects that could affect the region. Notable initiatives include the Henry Lawson Drive Upgrade Program, Power Supply Upgrade at Yagoona Station, and developments at 25-29 Rookwood Road Yagoona and 283-289 Cooper Road Redevelopment. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

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The labour market performance in Yagoona - Birrong lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Yagoona-Birrong has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate was 8.7% as of June 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.1%. As of June 2025, 9,751 residents were in work, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%, which is above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lagged significantly at 44.3% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents comprised health care & social assistance, retail trade, and transport, postal & warehousing.

The area had a notably high concentration in transport, postal & warehousing, with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average. However, professional & technical services employed only 6.8% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 11.5%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1%, and labour force increased by 2.5%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May 2025, projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yagoona-Birrong's employment mix suggested local growth of approximately 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Yagoona - Birrong's median taxpayer income is $41,154 and average income is $52,450 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is lower than national averages. Greater Sydney has a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $46,344 (median) and $59,064 (average), considering Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. According to 2021 Census figures, individual income at the 5th percentile is $528 weekly, while household income is at the 33rd percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 30.9% of residents (7,227 people). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 78.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 26th percentile.

Yagoona - Birrong displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Yagoona-Birrong, as per the latest Census, consisted of 67.1% houses and 32.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas which had 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yagoona-Birrong stood at 30.1%, similar to the Sydney metro average. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (31.6%) or rented (38.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,131, lower than the Sydney metro average of $2,240. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Yagoona-Birrong's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Yagoona - Birrong features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 77.8% of all households, including 42.6% couples with children, 17.5% couples without children, and 16.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.2%, with lone person households at 19.8% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Educational outcomes in Yagoona - Birrong fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 23.5%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 27.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 16.8%. Educational participation is high, with 33.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 11.3% in primary, 9.3% in secondary, and 6.5% in tertiary.

Six schools operate within Yagoona - Birrong, educating approximately 2,310 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 972) and balanced educational opportunities. Four primary and two secondary schools serve distinct age groups, providing 9.9 school places per 100 residents, below the regional average of 16.8. Some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in the area comprising Yagoona and Birrong shows that there are 125 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a mix of train and bus services. In total, these stops are serviced by 35 individual routes which collectively provide a weekly passenger trip count of 6,466 trips.

The accessibility to public transport in the area is rated as excellent with residents typically located an average of 139 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 923 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 51 weekly trips per individual stop.

Yagoona - Birrong's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Yagoona-Birrong, with younger cohorts seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (around 10,806 people), compared to 48.6% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 6.0% and 6.0% of residents respectively.

76.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 75.8% across Greater Sydney. The area has 16.0% of residents aged 65 and over (3,747 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Yagoona - Birrong is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Yagoona-Birrong is among the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, with 47.4% of its population born overseas and 69.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Yagoona-Birrong, comprising 41.5% of the population. However, Islam is notably overrepresented, making up 33.0%, compared to the Greater Sydney average of 27.9%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Other (20.4%), Lebanese (18.4%), and Vietnamese (14.7%), with Vietnamese being substantially higher than the regional average of 8.5%. There are also notable divergences in the representation of Macedonian (3.1% vs 1.7%), Samoan (0.7% vs 0.5%), and Chinese (7.7% vs 7.6%) ethnic groups.

Yagoona - Birrong's population is younger than the national pattern

Yagoona-Birrong has a median age of 35 years, which is slightly younger than Greater Sydney's 37 years and the national average of 38 years. The 5-14 age group makes up 14.0% of the population compared to Greater Sydney, while the 35-44 age cohort comprises 12.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 4.1% to 5.0% of the population. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has decreased from 11.7% to 10.7%. By 2041, projections indicate significant demographic changes for Yagoona-Birrong. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to rise substantially by 884 people (75%), from 1,176 to 2,061. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 69% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.