Greenacre - South

Population growth drivers in Greenacre - South are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Greenacre - South's population is around 14,039 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 623 people (4.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,416 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,612 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 38 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 4,841 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought-after resource. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 59.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilizes the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, lower quartile growth of statistical areas analyzed by AreaSearch is anticipated, with the area expected to expand by 441 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 0.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Greenacre - South recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Greenacre - South has experienced around 73 dwellings receiving development approval each year, totalling 365 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 31 approvals have been recorded. At an average of just 0.3 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is meeting or surpassing demand, providing greater buyer choice and supporting potential for population growth above projections, while new homes are being built at an average value of $324,000. There have also been $345,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, demonstrating the area's residential nature.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Greenacre - South has similar development levels (per person), preserving market equilibrium consistent with surrounding areas. New building activity shows 46.0% detached houses and 54.0% attached dwellings. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 68.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 225 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Population forecasts indicate Greenacre - South will gain 14 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Greenacre - South has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 16 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Punchbowl Station Upgrade - Sydney Metro City & Southwest, Greenacre Community Place Precinct Framework, Lakemba Station Sydney Metro Upgrade, and Compass Centre Redevelopment, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Greenacre - South are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Greenacre - South possesses a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 10.6%, and 4.7% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,104 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 6.4% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (54.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 34.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in retail trade, with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Meanwhile, professional & technical services have a limited presence with 7.2% employment compared to 11.5% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.7% while the labour force increased by 5.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. This compares to Greater Sydney, where employment grew by 2.2%, the labour force expanded by 2.3%, and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Greenacre - South. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Greenacre - South's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Greenacre - South SA2 is below the national average, with the median assessed at $43,646 while the average income stands at $56,211. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $47,513 (median) and $61,191 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, individual incomes lag at the 4th percentile ($507 weekly), while household income performs better at the 33rd percentile. The earnings profile shows the largest segment comprises 29.2% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (4,099 residents), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 30.9% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 77.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 24th percentile.

Greenacre - South displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Greenacre - South, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 68.1% houses and 31.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Greenacre - South was well beyond that of Sydney metro, at 33.3%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (35.1%) or rented (31.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Sydney metro average at $2,330, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Greenacre - South's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greenacre - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 82.9% of all households, comprising 50.9% couples with children, 15.4% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.1%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households comprising 1.4% of the total. The median household size of 3.5 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Greenacre - South shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (24.2%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 26.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.3%) and certificates (16.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 38.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.9% in primary education, 11.1% in secondary education, and 6.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 68 active transport stops operating within Greenacre - South, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 19 individual routes, collectively providing 1,709 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 163 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 86%, with 6% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 34.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 244 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 25 weekly trips per individual stop.

Greenacre - South's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Health data indicates relatively positive outcomes for Greenacre - South residents, with AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions showing results broadly in line with national benchmarks. The prevalence of common health conditions is quite low among the general population, though higher than the national average across older, at-risk cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~6,668 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and arthritis, impacting 6.1% and 5.9% of residents, respectively, while 76.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,079 people), though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Greenacre - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greenacre - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 43.2% of its population born overseas and 73.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Greenacre - South is Islam, which makes up 51.6% of the population. This compares to 6.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Greenacre - South are Lebanese, comprising 32.3% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 2.6%, Other, comprising 26.5% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, and Australian, comprising 12.0% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Vietnamese is notably overrepresented at 3.2% of Greenacre - South (vs 1.8% regionally), Greek at 3.3% (vs 1.9%) and Korean at 0.9% (vs 1.1%).

Greenacre - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 33, Greenacre - South is materially younger than the Greater Sydney figure of 37 and is substantially under Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Greenacre - South has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (16.2%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (11.4%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 15.2% to 16.6% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 17.7% to 16.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Greenacre - South. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 50%, adding 348 residents to reach 1,049. Demographic aging continues as residents 65 and older represent 86% of anticipated growth. On the other hand, the 55 to 64 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.