Greenacre - South
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Greenacre - South are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Greenacre - South's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 13,606, indicating a growth of 190 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 1.4% rise from the previous population count of 13,416. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 13,613 in June 2024 and an additional 42 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 4,691 persons per square kilometer, placing Greenacre - South among the top 10% of locations assessed by AreaSearch, highlighting its land as highly sought-after. The area's 1.4% growth since the census is within 2.6 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.0%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 59.1% to overall population gains during recent periods in Greenacre - South.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with Greenacre - South expected to expand by 441 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 3.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Greenacre - South recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Greenacre - South has consistently received around 73 dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) records show a total of 365 approvals over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with an additional six approved in FY26 so far. On average, approximately 0.3 new residents have arrived per new home each year during these five years, indicating that new supply has been keeping pace with or exceeding demand. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $504,000.

This financial year has seen commercial approvals valued at $345,000, reflecting the area's residential nature. Comparatively, Greenacre - South maintains similar development levels per capita to Greater Sydney, preserving market equilibrium with surrounding areas. Currently, new building activity comprises 46.0% detached houses and 54.0% attached dwellings, showing a trend towards denser development that caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This shift contrasts with the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 68.0% houses. The location has an approximate population density of 225 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market.

Population forecasts project Greenacre - South will gain 447 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Greenacre - South has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely affecting the region. Notable projects include Sydney Metro City and Southwest - Punchbowl Station Upgrade, Greenacre Community Place Precinct Framework, Lakemba Station Sydney Metro Upgrade, and Eden Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Greenacre - South face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Greenacre - South has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 10.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3%.

As of June 2025, 5,077 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 5.9%, above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 41.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade has notable concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Professional & technical services have limited presence at 7.2%, compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1.3% while labour force grew by 2.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6%, labour force expansion of 2.9%, and an unemployment increase of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.41% (losing 19,270 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Greenacre - South's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.6%% over five years and 13.5% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 30, 2022 shows median income in Greenacre - South at $39,476 and average income at $53,384. In comparison, Greater Sydney had a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856 for the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.6% from July 1, 2022 to June 30, 2022, estimated current incomes are approximately $43,660 (median) and $59,043 (average) as of March 2025. According to the 2021 Census, individual income was at the 4th percentile ($507 weekly), while household income was at the 34th percentile. The earnings profile indicates that 29.2% of residents earn $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (3,972 residents). Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 77.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 25th percentile.

Greenacre - South displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Greenacre - South had 68.1% houses and 31.8% other dwellings in its dwelling structure at the latest Census, compared to Sydney metro's 61.5% houses and 38.4% other dwellings. Home ownership stood at 33.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.1% and rented ones at 31.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,330, above Sydney metro's $2,240. Median weekly rent was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $425. Nationally, Greenacre - South's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Greenacre - South features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.9% of all households, including 50.9% couples with children, 15.4% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.1%, with lone person households at 15.7% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

Greenacre - South shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 24.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 26.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 10.3% and certificates at 16.1%. Educational participation is high, with 38.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 13.9% in primary, 11.1% in secondary, and 6.8% in tertiary education.

Seven schools operate within Greenacre - South, educating approximately 4,823 students. The area functions as an education hub with 35.5 school places per 100 residents, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Greenacre - South has 59 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 19 different routes that collectively facilitate 1,614 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located just 163 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 230 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 27 weekly trips per individual stop.

Greenacre - South's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance throughout Greenacre - South, particularly among younger cohorts who exhibit a very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 47% of the total population (6,394 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

Diabetes and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 6.1% and 5.9% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 76.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 75.8%. The area has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over at 14.2% (1,937 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.8%.

Greenacre - South is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greenacre - South has a population where 43.2% were born overseas, and 73.9% speak a language other than English at home. Islam is the predominant religion in Greenacre - South, with 51.6%, which is higher compared to Greater Sydney's 27.9%. The top three ancestry groups are Lebanese at 32.3%, Other at 26.5%, and Australian at 12.0%.

Notably, Vietnamese (3.2% vs regional 8.5%), Greek (3.3% vs 3.4%), and Korean (0.9% vs 0.7%) groups are overrepresented in Greenacre - South compared to the regional averages.

Greenacre - South's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

Greenacre - South has a median age of 33, which is lower than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Greenacre - South has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (16.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.7%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population share of those aged 15-24 has increased from 15.2% to 16.2%, while the proportion of those aged 5-14 has decreased from 17.7% to 16.8%. By 2041, significant demographic shifts are projected for Greenacre - South. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 60%, adding 394 residents and reaching a total of 1,049. This growth will contribute to an overall aging population, with residents aged 65 and older accounting for 70% of the projected growth. Conversely, the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.