Greenacre - North

Population growth drivers in Greenacre - North are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Greenacre - North's population is around 16,154 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,517 people (10.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,637 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 15,221 from the ABS as of June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 3,959 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought resource. Greenacre - North's 10.4% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (7.6%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 64.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a population increase just below the median of national areas is expected, with the area expected to expand by 1,550 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 3.8% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Greenacre - North when compared nationally

Greenacre - North has recorded around 66 residential properties granted approval per year, with 331 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 23 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 1.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, with recent figures showing this has accelerated to 5 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply. Development projects average $294,000 in construction value, in line with regional trends. Additionally, $8.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating a limited commercial development focus.

Relative to Greater Sydney, Greenacre - North records about three-quarters the building activity per person and places within the 51st percentile of areas assessed nationally. New development consists of 43.0% detached houses and 57.0% medium and high-density housing. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 60.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. The location has approximately 317 people per dwelling approval, indicating room for growth.

Looking ahead, Greenacre - North is expected to grow by 617 residents through to 2041 (based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Greenacre - North has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 16 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Kevin Hill Roberts Park Community Hub, Allum Park New Sports Amenities Building, Palms Hotel Redevelopment (Palms Village), and Chullora Marketplace Redevelopment, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Greenacre - North are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Greenacre - North has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 9.8%, and 5.5% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,001 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 5.6% above Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (55.7% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 35.4% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area shows particularly strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 7.7% versus the regional average of 11.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.5% and the labour force increased by 5.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%, with a marginal rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Greenacre - North. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Greenacre - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The Greenacre - North SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $43,582 and an average of $56,316 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is lower than average on a national basis, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $47,443 (median) and $61,306 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows individual incomes lag at the 3rd percentile ($496 weekly), while household income performs better at the 31st percentile. Distribution data shows the predominant cohort spans 29.2% of locals (4,716 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 77.5% of income remaining, ranking at the 22nd percentile.

Greenacre - North displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Greenacre - North, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 59.7% houses and 40.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Greenacre - North was in line with that of Sydney metro, at 29.8%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (34.3%) or rented (35.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Sydney metro average at $2,253, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $400, compared to Sydney metro's $2,427 and $470. Nationally, Greenacre - North's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are exceeding the national figure of $375.

Greenacre - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 77.4% of all households, comprising 45.8% couples with children, 14.9% couples without children, and 15.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 20.6% and group households comprising 1.9% of the total. The median household size of 3.3 people is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational attainment in Greenacre - North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (25.8%) substantially below the Greater Sydney average of 38.0%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 18.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.5%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 25.8% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.7%) and certificates (16.1%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 37.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 11.2% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 124 active transport stops operating within Greenacre - North, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 28 individual routes, collectively providing 1,832 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 129 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 84%, with 8% by train. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A high 35.4% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 261 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop. The accompanying map shows the 100 nearest stops to the location centrepoint.

Health performance in Greenacre - North is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Greenacre - North faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~7,673 people). This compares to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are diabetes and arthritis, impacting 6.3% and 6.1% of residents, respectively, while 75.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,652 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Greenacre - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Greenacre - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country, with 43.5% of its population born overseas and 68.9% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Greenacre - North is Islam, which makes up 48.0% of the population. This compares to 6.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Greenacre - North are Lebanese, comprising 27.6% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 2.6%, Other, comprising 24.8% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 16.0%, and Australian, comprising 12.7% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 17.8%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Korean is notably overrepresented at 2.6% of the population in Greenacre - North (vs 1.1% regionally), Vietnamese at 2.2% (vs 1.8%) and Greek at 2.6% (vs 1.9%).

Greenacre - North hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

At 34 years, Greenacre - North's median age is somewhat lower than the Greater Sydney average of 37 and similarly considerably younger than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Sydney, Greenacre - North has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (16.2%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (12.2%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 14.7% to 16.2% of the population, while the 65 to 74 cohort increased from 8.0% to 9.1%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 15.7% to 15.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Greenacre - North. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 61%, adding 500 residents to reach 1,328. Senior residents (65+) will drive 84% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 55 to 64 and 25 to 34 cohorts.