Belmore

Belmore has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of November 2025, Belmore's estimated population is around 14,400. This reflects a 619 person increase since the 2021 Census, which reported 13,781 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 14,112 residents following examination of ABS' June 2024 ERP data release and an additional 86 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 5,274 persons per square kilometer, placing Belmore in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 4.5% growth since census is within 1.2 percentage points of its SA3 area (5.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilized. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the Belmore statistical area (Lv2) is expected to increase by approximately 9.3% in total population, adding around 1,514 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Belmore according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Belmore has had approximately 25 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 129 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 17 recorded approvals. On average, about 2.5 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating strong demand for housing which supports property values. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $572,000, suggesting a focus on premium properties by developers.

In FY-26, there have been $6.6 million in commercial development approvals recorded, indicating limited commercial development activity compared to residential. Relative to Greater Sydney, Belmore has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 28th percentile nationally, suggesting fewer housing options for buyers which supports demand for existing properties. New building activity consists of approximately 55.0% detached houses and 45.0% townhouses or apartments, offering choices across price ranges from spacious family homes to more affordable compact options. The area has about 592 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market.

Population forecasts suggest Belmore will gain around 1,342 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Belmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a region can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 37 such projects that could potentially impact the area. Notable projects include the Belmore Sydney Metro Station Upgrade, the Sydney Metro City & Southwest project, the Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs Centre of Excellence, and the Belmore Town Centre Upgrades. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Belmore recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Belmore has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 6.3% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 3.1%.

As of September 2025, 7,202 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.1% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation lags at 48.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The area specializes in transport, postal & warehousing with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services have lower representation at 7.9% compared to the regional average of 11.5%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the past year, employment increased by 3.1%, while labour force grew by 3.5%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. As of 25-Nov, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Belmore's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 30, 2023 shows median income in Belmore at $45,042 and average income at $57,601. Greater Sydney had a median income of $60,817 and an average income of $83,003 during the same period. By September 2025, estimated median income in Belmore would be approximately $49,033 and average income $62,704, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since June 2023. The 2021 Census data ranks household income at the 33rd percentile ($1,456 weekly) and personal income at the 17th percentile in Belmore. Income brackets indicate that 31.2% of residents (4,492 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 78.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 26th percentile.

Belmore features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Belmore's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 43.9% houses and 56.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 48.7% houses and 51.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Belmore was 27.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.5% and rented dwellings at 45.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,156, below Sydney metro's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Belmore was $380, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Belmore's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were higher than the national figure of $375.

Belmore features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.6% of all households, including 32.2% couples with children, 20.5% couples without children, and 14.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.4%, with lone person households at 26.2% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.6 people, smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational attainment in Belmore aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Belmore Trail's educational qualifications trail Greater Sydney's regional benchmarks. As of a recent study, 28.8% of Belmore Trail residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to 38.0% in Greater Sydney. The most common qualification is bachelor degrees at 20.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding them - advanced diplomas account for 11.0%, while certificates make up 17.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 7.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Belmore has 88 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 40 different routes that collectively facilitate 4,741 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing just 135 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 677 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 53 weekly trips per individual stop.

Belmore's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Belmore. Both young and old age cohorts see low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~7,164 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, impacting 6.0 and 5.7% of residents respectively. Seventy-six point two percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.7% across Greater Sydney. As of June 20XX (the exact year is not specified), 17.7% of Belmore's residents are aged 65 and over (2,548 people), which is higher than the 15.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Belmore is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Belmore has a population where 52.3% were born overseas, with 68.1% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Belmore, accounting for 57.0%. Islam makes up 14.8%, lower than Greater Sydney's average of 24.7%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (24.1%), Greek (13.2%), and Lebanese (10.4%). Korean (2.8%) and Vietnamese (4.4%) are notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.3% and 3.7%, respectively, while Spanish is slightly higher at 0.7%.

Belmore's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Belmore is close to Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Belmore has a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (12.0%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (13.0%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 12.3% to 13.0%, while the population aged 35-44 has declined from 13.8% to 13.0%. By 2041, Belmore's age composition is expected to change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 55% (486 people), reaching 1,365 from 878. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 66% of the projected growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 5-14 age groups.