Kingsgrove - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsgrove - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingsgrove - North's population was 6,471 as of Nov 2025, reflecting a 3.4% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 6,261 people. This growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 6,451 in June 2024 and an additional 159 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 2,479 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. Kingsgrove - North's growth rate of 3.4% since the census is within 1.4 percentage points of its SA3 area's rate of 4.8%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 80.1% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022; for uncovered areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Kingsgrove - North is expected to expand by 59 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 0.5% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsgrove - North according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kingsgrove - North has recorded approximately 26 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling 133 homes. As of FY-26, 21 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.9 people per year move to the area for each dwelling built during these years (FY-21 to FY-25), indicating that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties is $493,000, aligning with regional trends. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsgrove - North records 52.0% more new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice. Recent construction comprises 44.0% standalone homes and 56.0% medium and high-density housing, providing accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This shift reflects the reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, differing from the current housing mix of 82.0% houses. The area has approximately 287 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Kingsgrove - North is forecasted to gain 29 residents by 2041.

With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Kingsgrove - North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 17 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones are Sydney Metro City & Southwest, Kingsgrove Public Preschool, Sydney Metro City & Southwest - Sydenham to Bankstown (T3 Bankstown Line Conversion), and WestConnex M8 Motorway Kingsgrove Connection. The following list details those most relevant.

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Employment performance in Kingsgrove - North has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kingsgrove - North has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate in the area was 3.4% as of June 2021, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1% over the past year.

As of June 2025, there were 3,333 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 0.8% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Kingsgrove - North lagged behind Greater Sydney at 52.2% compared to 60.0%. Employment among residents is concentrated in retail trade, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area shows strong specialization in wholesale trade with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance has limited presence at 10.6% compared to 14.1% regionally.

There were 0.9 workers for each resident as per the Census, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 2.1%, labour force increased by 2.6%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6%, labour force expansion of 2.9%, and an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Kingsgrove - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

In financial year 2022, Kingsgrove - North SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $50,780 and an average income of $70,869. These figures exceed the national averages of $41,138 (median) and $64,485 (average). In Greater Sydney, the median was $56,994 and the average was $80,856. By September 2025, adjusted for a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth, estimated incomes are approximately $57,183 (median) and $79,806 (average). According to Census 2021 data, household income ranks at the 55th percentile ($1,841 weekly), with personal income at the 27th percentile. In Kingsgrove - North SA2, 29.2% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to the broader area's 30.9%. Housing costs consume 17.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 54th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kingsgrove - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Kingsgrove - North, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.3% houses and 17.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 48.7% houses and 51.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsgrove - North was at 40.9%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (34.8%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, above Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Kingsgrove - North's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Kingsgrove - North features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 79.2% of all households, consisting of 40.6% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 18.6% and group households making up 2.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Educational attainment in Kingsgrove - North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 29.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (17.8%). Educational participation is high, with 29.6% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.4% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsgrove - North has 36 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 37 individual routes, collectively facilitating 6,406 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents on average located 163 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 915 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 177 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsgrove - North's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Kingsgrove - North. The prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups is very low.

Approximately 55% of the total population (~3,559 people) have private health cover, compared to 49.6% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, impacting 6.6 and 5.0% of residents respectively. 75.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.7% across Greater Sydney. The area has 20.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,309 people), higher than the 15.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Kingsgrove - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsgrove-North has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.6% of its population born overseas and 57.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsgrove-North, accounting for 66.7% of the population, compared to 45.8% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestral groups in Kingsgrove-North are Greek (19.7%), Other (15.4%), and Chinese (11.3%).

These figures differ significantly from the regional averages: Greek is substantially higher at 19.7% vs 8.7%, Other is notably lower at 15.4% vs 26.5%, and Chinese is slightly lower at 11.3% vs 12.4%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Lebanese (8.3% vs regional 10.6%), Italian (7.4% vs 3.9%), and Vietnamese (2.7% vs 3.7%).

Kingsgrove - North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Kingsgrove - North's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Comparing with Greater Sydney, the 75-84 age group is notably over-represented at 7.9% locally, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 11.4% to 14.1%, but the 0-4 cohort has declined from 6.0% to 4.3%, and the 35-44 age group has decreased from 14.2% to 12.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Kingsgrove - North's age profile will change significantly. The 55-64 cohort is projected to grow by 25%, adding 188 residents to reach 942. Residents aged 65 and older represent 56% of anticipated population growth, while the 15-24 and 0-4 cohorts are projected to decline in population.