Kingsgrove - North

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsgrove - North reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Kingsgrove - North's population is approximately 6,471 as of Nov 2025. This represents an increase of 210 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 6,261. The change is inferred from ABS estimates showing a resident population of 6,451 in June 2024 and an additional 159 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,479 persons per square kilometer, placing Kingsgrove - North in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 3.4% growth since the census is within 1.4 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.8%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 80.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, Kingsgrove - North is expected to expand by 59 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 0.5% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsgrove - North according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kingsgrove - North has recorded approximately 26 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 133 homes. As of FY-26, 24 approvals have been recorded. The average population growth per dwelling built in the area between FY-21 and FY-25 is 0.9 people per year.

New construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and enabling population growth. The average value of new properties constructed is $454,000, slightly above the regional average. Compared to Greater Sydney, Kingsgrove - North records 52.0% more new home approvals per person. Recent construction comprises 44.0% standalone homes and 56.0% medium and high-density housing, reflecting a trend towards denser development that caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. The current housing mix is 82.0% houses, indicating a shift in development trends due to reduced availability of sites and changing lifestyle demands. Kingsgrove - North has approximately 287 people per dwelling approval, suggesting a low density market.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain 29 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling population growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Kingsgrove - North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Sydney Metro City & Southwest, Kingsgrove Public Preschool, Sydney Metro City & Southwest - Sydenham to Bankstown (T3 Bankstown Line Conversion), and WestConnex M8 Motorway Kingsgrove Connection. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kingsgrove - North has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kingsgrove North has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.7% in September 2025, which is 0.5% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.2%. As of September 2025, 3,328 residents were employed, with workforce participation at 52.2%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key employment sectors include retail trade, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a strong specialization in wholesale trade, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance has limited presence at 10.6% compared to the regional average of 14.1%. There were 0.9 workers for each resident as per the Census, indicating substantial local employment opportunities. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 3.2%, while labour force grew by 4.1%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Statewide in NSW, employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Kingsgrove North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2022, Kingsgrove - North SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $50,780 and an average income of $70,869. These figures are above the national averages of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively for Greater Sydney. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $57,183 (median) and $79,806 (average), based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census 2021 data shows household income ranks at the 55th percentile ($1,841 weekly), with personal income at the 27th percentile. In Kingsgrove - North SA2, 29.2% of individuals fall within the $1,500-$2,999 income range, similar to the broader area where this cohort represents 30.9%. Housing costs consume 17.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 54th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Kingsgrove - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Kingsgrove - North, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.3% houses and 17.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 48.7% houses and 51.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsgrove - North was at 40.9%, with the rest being mortgaged (34.8%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was $450, compared to Sydney metro's $390. Nationally, Kingsgrove - North's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $450.

Kingsgrove - North features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 79.2% of all households, including 40.6% couples with children, 23.4% couples without children, and 14.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 18.6% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

Educational attainment in Kingsgrove - North aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.1%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 29.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (17.8%). Educational participation is high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.4% in primary, 8.6% in secondary, and 4.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsgrove - North has 36 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 37 individual routes, collectively facilitating 6,406 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 163 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 915 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 177 weekly trips per individual stop.

Kingsgrove - North's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics indicates strong performance across Kingsgrove - North, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (3,559 people), compared to 49.6% across Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are arthritis and diabetes, impacting 6.6 and 5.0% of residents respectively, while 75.4% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.7% across Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 20.2% of residents in Kingsgrove - North are aged 65 and over (1,309 people), which is higher than the 15.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors in Kingsgrove - North are particularly strong, broadly aligning with the general population's health profile.

Kingsgrove - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsgrove-North has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.6% of its population born overseas and 57.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Kingsgrove-North, comprising 66.7% of the population, compared to 45.8% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Kingsgrove-North are Greek (19.7%), Other (15.4%), and Chinese (11.3%).

Notably, Lebanese (8.3%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 10.6%, Italian (7.4%) also exceeds the regional average of 3.9%, while Vietnamese (2.7%) is slightly below the regional average of 3.7%.

Kingsgrove - North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Kingsgrove - North's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, the 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented in Kingsgrove-North at 7.9%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 10.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.4% to 14.1% of the population, while the 0 to 4 cohort has declined from 6.0% to 4.3%, and the 35 to 44 age group has dropped from 14.2% to 12.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Kingsgrove-North's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 55 to 64 cohort projected to grow by 25%, adding 188 residents to reach 942. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 56% of the population growth, while the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are projected to decline in population.