Bardwell Park

Bardwell Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Bardwell Park statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at around 2,361 as of Nov 2025, reflecting an increase of 41 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 2,320. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,362 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of one new address since the Census date. The population density ratio is 2,459 persons per square kilometer, placing Bardwell Park (SA2) in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 81.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by ABS data.

Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth, with the Bardwell Park (SA2) expected to increase by 70 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 4.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Bardwell Park, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Bardwell Park averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 53 homes were approved, with one more in FY-26 so far. On average, around 0.3 new residents arrived per new home over these five years.

This suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, offering buyers more options while supporting population growth. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $563,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, there have been $6.3 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardwell Park has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person, placing it among the 50th percentile nationally.

New development consists of 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an increasing blend of attached housing types to cater to different price ranges, from spacious family homes to more affordable compact options. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix, which is currently 87.0% houses. Bardwell Park has around 318 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to gain 112 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bardwell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified eight projects potentially influencing this region. Key initiatives include Bexley North High Density Residential Development, Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision, Booralee Park Playspace Renewal and Fitness Station, and Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Bardwell Park ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Bardwell Park's workforce is highly educated with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.3% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 4.3%.

As of September 2025, 1,496 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries included education & training, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance. Education & training had a higher representation at 1.5 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance showed lower representation at 11.1% compared to the regional average of 14.1%.

Employment opportunities appeared limited locally based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.3% and labour force grew by 4.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.3%. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, labour force grow by 2.4%, and unemployment increase to 4.4%. Statewide in NSW, employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) as of 25-Nov-25, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardwell Park's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates that median income in Bardwell Park is $62,076, with an average income of $83,383. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes are approximately $69,904 (median) and $93,898 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household incomes rank at the 87th percentile ($2,386 weekly). Income analysis reveals that 29.7% of locals fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category. A significant 40.6% earn above $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.6% of income, with residents ranking in the 87th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Bardwell Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Bardwell Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 39.8% houses and 60.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardwell Park was 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.1% and rented ones at 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,800, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,383. Median weekly rent in Bardwell Park was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, Bardwell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardwell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.3 percent of all households, including 42.0 percent couples with children, 27.2 percent couples without children, and 9.9 percent single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.7 percent, with lone person households at 17.0 percent and group households comprising 2.3 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

Bardwell Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 36.5% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 15.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in secondary education, 7.7% in primary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardwell Park has 25 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 8 different routes, together facilitating 2,730 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents on average situated 109 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 390 trips per day across all routes, which amounts to around 109 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardwell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bardwell Park has exceptional health outcomes, with very low prevalence rates for common health conditions across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high here, at approximately 60% of the total population (1,412 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 53.1%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.2% and 6.2% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 73.4%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 77.5%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 19.9% (469 people), than Greater Sydney's 16.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Bardwell Park are strong and largely align with the general population's health profile.

Bardwell Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardwell Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 33.5% of its population born overseas and 46.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Bardwell Park is Christianity, accounting for 63.3% of the population, compared to 51.8% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Bardwell Park are Greek (17.9%), English (13.7%), and Other (13.4%).

Notably, Greek ancestry is significantly higher than the regional average of 8.8%, while Other ancestry is lower than the regional average of 21.4%. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Lebanese is overrepresented at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 5.2%, Hungarian is slightly overrepresented at 0.5% compared to 0.3%, and Macedonian is underrepresented at 0.9% compared to the regional average of 3.8%.

Bardwell Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Bardwell Park is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 13.3% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 11.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.7% to 14.4%, and the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 4.9% to 4.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Bardwell Park. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 51% (83 people), reaching 249 from 165. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 92% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.