Bardwell Park

Bardwell Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

The population of Bardwell Park is estimated at 2,319 as of May 2026, a decrease of 1 person since the 2021 Census which reported 2,320 people. This change was inferred from AreaSearch's validation of new addresses using the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025. The population density is 2,415 persons per square kilometer, placing Bardwell Park in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 81% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, lower quartile growth is anticipated, with the suburb expected to expand by 75 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 3.2%.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bardwell Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Bardwell Park has experienced around 11 dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 55 homes were approved, with an additional 3 approved in FY-26.

The population decline in recent years has resulted in adequate housing supply relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $563,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardwell Park shows 15.0% lower construction activity per person but ranks among the 76th percentile nationally. Recent trends show increased construction activity. New development consists of 43.0% standalone homes and 57.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a shift from the current pattern of predominantly houses (87.0%).

This trend suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and affordability needs. Bardwell Park has around 157 people per dwelling approval, indicating low density characteristics. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by approximately 75 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Bardwell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified eight projects potentially affecting the region. Notable projects include Bexley North High Density Residential Development, Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision, Booralee Park Playspace Renewal and Fitness Station, and Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Bardwell Park ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Bardwell Park has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% as of December 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.7%.

Residents' work participation rate was 73.2%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%. A significant proportion, 49.1%, of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include education & training, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance. The area specializes in education & training, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance has limited presence at 11.1% compared to 14.1% regionally. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.7%, labour force grew by 4.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardwell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Bardwell Park suburb has a median taxpayer income of $62,076 and an average income of $83,383, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is among the highest in Australia, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $68,482 (median) and $91,988 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank exceptionally at the 87th percentile ($2,386 weekly). Distribution data shows the largest segment comprises 29.7% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (688 residents), reflecting patterns seen in the surrounding region where 30.9% similarly occupy this range. The substantial proportion of high earners (40.6% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the area. Housing accounts for 14.6% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 87th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Bardwell Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Bardwell Park, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 86.7% houses and 13.3% other dwellings. In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardwell Park was 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.1% and rented dwellings at 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,800, above Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Bardwell Park was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bardwell Park's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardwell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.3% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.7%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bardwell Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 36.5% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 15.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in secondary education, 7.7% in primary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardwell Park has 31 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 7 routes that facilitate 2,972 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing 111 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commuters travel outward, predominantly by car (82%), followed by train at 14%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 49.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency across all routes averages 424 trips per day, equating to approximately 95 weekly trips per stop.

Bardwell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's health outcomes assessment for Bardwell Park shows excellent results.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high, at approximately 60% of the total population (1,387 people). The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.2% and 6.2% of residents respectively. 73.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Bardwell Park has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 20.9% (484 people), than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, generally aligning with national rankings.

Bardwell Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardwell Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 33.5% of its population born overseas and 46.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Bardwell Park is Christianity, which accounts for 63.3% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Bardwell Park are Greek (17.9%), English (13.7%), and Other (13.4%).

Notably, Lebanese (4.1%) and Hungarian (0.5%) groups are overrepresented compared to the regional averages of 2.6% and 0.3%, respectively. Macedonian ancestry is also higher than average at 0.9%.

Bardwell Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Bardwell Park is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 13.1% of the population in Bardwell Park, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Sydney. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up 11.9%, which is less than the proportion in Greater Sydney. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.7% to 14.2%, while the 85+ cohort has grown from 2.6% to 3.9%. However, the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 4.9% to 3.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Bardwell Park. Notably, the 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 45%, reaching 249 people from 171. The combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 94% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25 to 34 and 15 to 24 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.