Bardwell Park

Bardwell Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Bardwell Park is estimated at around 2,392. This reflects an increase of 72 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,320 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,358 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,491 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 81.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with the suburb expected to increase by 75 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 3.4% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bardwell Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Bardwell Park shows an average of 11 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 55 homes were approved, with one more approved so far in FY-26.

This averages to about 0.3 new residents arriving per new home over the past five financial years. The average construction value of these dwellings is $563,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. Comparatively, Bardwell Park has 17.0% lower construction activity per person than Greater Sydney but ranks in the 76th percentile nationally. Recent years have seen an acceleration in building activity. The new housing mix consists of 43.0% detached dwellings and 57.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a shift from the area's current housing composition, which is 87.0% houses.

The population density in Bardwell Park is approximately 159 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. Future projections estimate an addition of 81 residents by 2041 based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Bardwell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones are Bexley North High Density Residential Development, Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision, Booralee Park Playspace Renewal and Fitness Station, and Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Bardwell Park ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Bardwell Park has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 2.3% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 4.3%. As of September 2025, 1,496 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.8% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, and workforce participation at 75.8%.

Census responses showed 49.1% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in education & training (strong specialization), professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance (lower representation than regional average). The area offers limited local employment opportunities. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 4.3% while labour force grew by 4.4%, keeping unemployment flat at 2.3%.

In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a slight unemployment increase of 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardwell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 shows median income in Bardwell Park suburb was $62,076 and average income was $83,383. This compares to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% from financial year ended June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $67,576 and average income is around $90,771 as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 data, Bardwell Park's household incomes rank at the 87th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,386. Income distribution shows that 29.7% of locals (710 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to surrounding regions where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Economic strength is evident with 40.6% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, indicating higher consumer spending power. Housing expenses account for 14.6% of income, and residents' disposable incomes place them in the 87th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Bardwell Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Bardwell Park, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.7% houses and 13.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardwell Park was 43.2%, with the rest being mortgaged (37.1%) or rented (19.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,800, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bardwell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardwell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.3% of all households, consisting of 42.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.7%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bardwell Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 36.5% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas comprise 12.2% and certificates make up 15.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in secondary education, 7.7% in primary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardwell Park has 31 active public transport stops serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 7 individual routes, facilitating 2,972 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically residing just 111 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the dominant mode of travel at 82%, while trains account for 14%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 49.1% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 424 trips per day, translating to approximately 95 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardwell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment of health outcomes data for Bardwell Park shows excellent results.

The prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups is very low. Approximately 60% of the total population (1,431 people) has private health cover, which is exceptionally high. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.2% and 6.2% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 73.4%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Bardwell Park has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 20.5% (490 people), than the 15.4% seen in Greater Sydney. The health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, largely aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Bardwell Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardwell Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 33.5% of its population born overseas and 46.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Bardwell Park is Christianity, which accounts for 63.3% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Bardwell Park are Greek (17.9%), English (13.7%), and Other (13.4%).

Notably, Lebanese (4.1%) and Hungarian (0.5%) populations are higher than the regional averages of 2.6% and 0.3%, respectively. Additionally, Macedonian ancestry is also overrepresented at 0.9%.

Bardwell Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Bardwell Park is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 years shows strong representation at 13.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's population, while the 25-34 age group is less prevalent at 11.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.7% to 14.3% of the population, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 2.6% to 3.7%. Conversely, the 0-4 age group has declined from 4.9% to 3.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Bardwell Park. Leading this shift, the 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 46%, reaching 251 people from 172. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 94% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25-34 and 15-24 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.