Bardwell Park

Bardwell Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Bardwell Park's population is estimated at around 2,392 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 72 people (3.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,320 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,358 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on Jun 2024 and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,491 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 81.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As future population trends are examined, lower quartile growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is anticipated, with the suburb expected to increase by 77 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 1.8% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Bardwell Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Bardwell Park averaged around 11 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 55 homes were approved, with one more in FY-26 so far.

The average arrival of new residents per new home over these years was around 0.2. This suggests that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, providing buyers with more options and potentially facilitating population growth exceeding current expectations. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $563,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Comparatively, Bardwell Park shows 16.0% lower construction activity per person than Greater Sydney but ranks among the 76th percentile nationally when assessed against other areas. Building activity has accelerated in recent years, with new building activity comprising 43.0% detached dwellings and 57.0% medium to high-density housing.

This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 87.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 159 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections, based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, suggest Bardwell Park will add around 43 residents by 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Bardwell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Bexley North High Density Residential Development, Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision, Booralee Park Playspace Renewal and Fitness Station, and Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan. The following list details those likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Bardwell Park demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Bardwell Park has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.3%, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.8%.

As of December 2025, 1,508 residents are employed, with a participation rate of 75.6% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. A significant proportion, 49.1%, work from home. Key industries include education & training, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance. Education & training shows strong specialization at 1.5 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance is lower at 11.1% compared to the regional average of 14.1%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by resident population versus working population count. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.8%, while labour force grew by 5.7%, keeping unemployment stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardwell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Bardwell Park is high. The median income is $62,076 and the average is $83,383. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $67,576 (median) and $90,771 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank at the 87th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,386. The predominant income cohort spans 29.7% of locals in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region where 30.9% fall into this bracket. Economic strength is evident through 40.6% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.6% of income. Strong earnings place residents in the 87th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Bardwell Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bardwell Park, as per the latest Census evaluation, 86.7% of dwellings were houses, with 13.3% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardwell Park stood at 43.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.1% and rented ones at 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,800, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure for Bardwell Park was $550, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Bardwell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national average of $375.

Bardwell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.3% of all households, including 42.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.7%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Bardwell Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 36.5% for residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.2% while certificates make up 15.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in secondary education, 7.7% in primary education, and 6.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardwell Park has 31 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 7 different routes, facilitating 2,972 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated highly, with residents typically residing 111 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward; cars remain the primary mode at 82%, while train use stands at 14%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 49.1% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 424 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 95 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardwell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment shows excellent health outcomes in Bardwell Park.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (1,431 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.2% and 6.2% of residents respectively. A total of 73.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Bardwell Park has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.7% (495 people), compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Bardwell Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardwell Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 33.5% of its population born overseas and 46.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Bardwell Park, making up 63.3% of people, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are Greek (17.9%), English (13.7%), and Other (13.4%).

Notably, Lebanese (4.1%) Hungarian (0.5%), and Macedonian (0.9%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Bardwell Park compared to regional averages of 2.6%, 0.3%, and 0.4% respectively.

Bardwell Park's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Bardwell Park is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 13.5% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 11.1%. Post-Census data from 2021 shows that the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.7% to 14.5%, and the 85+ cohort has increased from 2.6% to 3.7%. Conversely, the 0-4 age group has declined from 4.9% to 4.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Bardwell Park. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 43%, reaching 250 people from 174. Notably, all growth in the total population will be accounted for by those aged 65 and above, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55-64 and 45-54 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.