Bardwell Park

Bardwell Park is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Bardwell Park's population, as estimated by AreaSearch using ABS updates and validated addresses, was around 2,361 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 41 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,320. The increase is inferred from an estimated resident population of 2,362 by AreaSearch, based on ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and one additional validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,459 persons per square kilometer, placing Bardwell Park in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 81% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Future population trends suggest lower quartile growth, with the suburb expected to increase by 70 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall gain of 4.7% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Bardwell Park is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis indicates Bardwell Park averaged approximately 8 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 42 homes were approved, with none yet recorded in FY-26. On average, 0.4 new residents per year arrived for each new home over the past five financial years.

This suggests new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, offering buyers more options while supporting population growth that may surpass current expectations. The average expected construction cost of new dwellings was $563,000. In FY-26, there have been $6.3 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Sydney, Bardwell Park records approximately 63% of building activity per person. Nationally, it ranks at the 13th percentile among assessed areas, suggesting limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties.

This activity is also below the national average, implying the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New development in Bardwell Park consists of 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments. This shift from the current housing mix (87.0% houses) reflects reduced availability of development sites and addresses changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 1193 people per dwelling approval, Bardwell Park reflects a highly mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is projected to gain 112 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Bardwell Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified eight projects likely affecting the region. Key initiatives include: Bexley North High Density Residential Development, Salvation Army Bexley North Subdivision, Booralee Park Playspace Renewal and Fitness Station, and Bayside West Precincts 2036 Plan. Relevant projects are detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Bardwell Park demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Bardwell Park has a highly skilled workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% in the past year, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth was estimated at 3.1% over the same period. As of June 2025, 1,495 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0%, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include education & training, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance.

Education & training has a strong presence, at 1.5 times the regional level. However, health care & social assistance shows lower representation, at 11.1% compared to the regional average of 14.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 3.1%, while labour force grew by 3.0%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.2%. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6%, labour force grow by 2.9%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Bardwell Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Bardwell Park is exceptionally high nationally. The median income is $62,076 while the average income stands at $83,383. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's figures of a median income of $56,994 and an average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $69,904 (median) and $93,898 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household incomes rank exceptionally at the 87th percentile ($2,386 weekly). Income analysis shows that the predominant cohort spans 29.7% of locals (701 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 30.9% in the same category. A significant 40.6% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting pockets of prosperity that drive robust local economic activity. Housing accounts for 14.6% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 87th percentile for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Bardwell Park is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Bardwell Park, as per the latest Census data, 86.7% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 13.3% being semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This differs from Sydney metropolitan area's composition of 39.8% houses and 60.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Bardwell Park stood at 43.2%, with mortgaged properties at 37.1% and rented dwellings at 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,800, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,383. The median weekly rent in Bardwell Park was $550, compared to $480 in Sydney metro. Nationally, Bardwell Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,800 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Bardwell Park features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.3% of all households, consisting of 42.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.7%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.6.

Bardwell Park shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 36.5% for residents aged 15+, exceeding the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 23.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.0%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 27.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.2% and certificates at 15.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.9% in secondary, 7.7% in primary, and 6.5% in tertiary education. Bardwell Park Infants School serves the local community within Bardwell Park, with an enrollment of 29 students as of a recent report. The area shows above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1085). There is one school focusing exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas due to limited local school capacity (1.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 11.4), leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Bardwell Park has 25 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 8 different routes that together facilitate 2730 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated highly with residents generally located 109 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 390 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 109 weekly trips per individual stop.

Bardwell Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Bardwell Park shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with very low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (1,412 people), compared to 53.1% in Greater Sydney.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.2% and 6.2% of residents respectively. 73.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 77.5% in Greater Sydney. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 19.9% (469 people), compared to 16.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with the general population's health profile.

Bardwell Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Bardwell Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 33.5% of its population born overseas and 46.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Bardwell Park is Christianity, which accounts for 63.3% of the population, compared to 51.8% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are Greek (17.9%), English (13.7%), and Other (13.4%).

Notably, Greek ancestry is higher than the regional average of 8.8%, while Other ancestry is lower than the regional average of 21.4%. There are also significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Lebanese at 4.1% compared to the regional average of 5.2%, Hungarian at 0.5% versus 0.3%, and Macedonian at 0.9% compared to 3.8%.

Bardwell Park hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Bardwell Park is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 13.3% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 11.4%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.7% to 14.4%, and the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 4.9% to 4.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Bardwell Park. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 51%, reaching 249 people from 165. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 92% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.